EB @ellliotb.bsky.social · 24/05/2025White collar work is mostly in service of other white collar work. If AI is theoretically to wipe out those jobs, it will also wipe out that from which it derives its value? 020
EB @ellliotb.bsky.social · 24/05/2025Having run out of ways to get liquidity for underwater holdings, there’s an entire article in the pension real estate mag promoting dumping their bags on the buyers of last resort, lolprea.orgPrivate Wealth Will Change Real EstateBrandon Sedloff Juniper Square Private wealth is poised to reshape commercial real estate. As more high-net-worth (HNW) and ultra-high-net-worth (UHNW) individuals seek uncorrel... 020
EB @ellliotb.bsky.social · 23/05/2025Everyone thought TINA was a ZIRP phenomenon and not a permanent feature of a financialized economy where the only business is money 041
EB @ellliotb.bsky.social · 23/05/2025The problem with the term “grift” is that when the economy is just money, that’s the business 030
EB @ellliotb.bsky.social · 03/05/2025Berkshire holders Saturday Berkshire holders Monday at the open 1233
EB @ellliotb.bsky.social · 03/05/2025I don’t really understand why the business model is going to be “robotaxi” vs “selling Hyundai Waymo cars with a monthly subscription to the self driving” 030
EB @ellliotb.bsky.social · 17/04/2025I’m ready for stagflation, shortages and getting poorer as a country. I pretty much don’t care about anything that costs money. Enjoyed the nice things while they lasted 040
EB @ellliotb.bsky.social · 01/04/2025Will AI eliminate all the trash people pay for monthly for years to keep in storage 100
EB @ellliotb.bsky.social · 23/03/2025What’s an appropriate ebitda multiple in countries where the government coerces the law firms they don’t like into submission 1110
EB @ellliotb.bsky.social · 19/03/2025Have you considered not being a gigantic retail grifting scumbag 1232
EB @ellliotb.bsky.social · 19/03/2025Stocks up rates up, exactly what the admin has been telling you they wanted, have to play the market in front of you 240
EB @ellliotb.bsky.social · 18/03/2025Have a long thread on the other site about how AI is making the Internet useless and why everything is going to be forced offline again, allow me a moment to port over so I can continue here 391
EB @ellliotb.bsky.social · 17/03/2025If you asked people now about investing in commercial real estate in 2015, they would prob say “it was so easy, everything just went up” and yet if you actually look at the broad reporting from the biggest PE shops, routinely struggling to hit double digits 020
EB @ellliotb.bsky.social · 13/03/2025I’m in camp that multifamily bubble never actually popped, despite the stories of the complete wipeouts 240
EB @ellliotb.bsky.social · 12/03/2025Soho house sucks so bad shares tanking during a fight over the acquisition offer not being high enough 010
EB @ellliotb.bsky.social · 12/03/2025AI going to force us off the internet by destroying it completely. In person meetings, flip phones, suitcases to transfer money 062
EB @ellliotb.bsky.social · 12/03/2025Ngl this is more indictment on SF operating permit process than Tesla gotcha 010
EB @ellliotb.bsky.social · 12/03/2025We’re raising our office rents (not commodity product; mostly full) 130
EB @ellliotb.bsky.social · 12/03/2025a number of the below prob exited in 21/22, and while everyone focused on bridge debt implosions because great stories, the zombie equity now is more true than ever, multiples higher than back then. No way out, minimal cash flow, fees guaranteed for a decade (if sponsored) 050
EB @ellliotb.bsky.social · 12/03/2025Palisades fire sale update: not fire sale prices “Overall, we see 10 buyers for every property, and we expect that to continue.” “Also, the other question is how developers expect to profit by buying homes 10-20% below market when their labor costs and materials far exceed this discount.” 150
EB @ellliotb.bsky.social · 12/03/2025Who still buys airline tickets on the OTAs? Hotels I can maybe see because there’s a lot of independents, but there’s only a handful of airlines and even fewer per route 030
EB @ellliotb.bsky.social · 12/03/2025If Lutnick doesn’t work out, can always go back to the octogenarian defending tariffs with a can of Campbell’s Soup 240
EB @ellliotb.bsky.social · 10/03/2025Redfin total return as a public company since 2017 IPO to acquisition: -34% 150
EB @ellliotb.bsky.social · 03/03/2025Rates down every day and opendoor can’t catch a bid How many people employed by zombie spacs like that and sonder and smartrent or even the series c’s and d’s that didn’t spac in time 020
Reposted by EBKP @kpinreallife.bsky.social · 02/02/2025@mcuban.bsky.social I AM ON MUSHROOMS RIGHT NOW AND I FIND OUT THAT WE TRADED LUCA FOR FUCKING ANTHONY DAVIS????!!!!!? 291
EB @ellliotb.bsky.social · 18/01/2025ultimately temporary (for most of the city) but for some reason no matter how often I am reminded of the precarity of the restaurant business, I'm still momentarily taken aback la.eater.com/2025/1/17/24... 051
EB @ellliotb.bsky.social · 17/01/2025Fed says $22T of CRE by value and $6T of CRE debt Assume avg 50% leverage, so $10T unleveraged (assume largely non institutional assets/owners?) and $6T leveraged (inst'l assets) Brookfield and Blackstone alone have $600B CRE AUM 2 firms = 10% of institutional equity 150
EB @ellliotb.bsky.social · 14/01/2025Kind of sucky for the laid off meta people that their next job interview is going to start off with "so tell me, looks like you were specifically cut for being in the bottom 5% of performers and someone was hired in your place" 0143
EB @ellliotb.bsky.social · 13/01/2025They are putting the construction type in the subject lines now 020
EB @ellliotb.bsky.social · 13/01/2025Not only would it be funny to tear down a merely 35 year old Chicago skyscraper, it would also be insanely bullish that such plan results in a positive value for the building today 130
EB @ellliotb.bsky.social · 24/12/2024AI is going to have the opposite effect and force us entirely offline Everything on the internet is going to be spam 4231
EB @ellliotb.bsky.social · 22/12/2024Prob my favorite one of the year, felt like he was talking directly to me 051
Reposted by EBHunter @lewisenterprises.bsky.social · 19/12/2024Industrial REIT multiples are getting pretty beat up. Most of these trading in the mid-5s cap rate range 251
EB @ellliotb.bsky.social · 19/12/2024Tired of constantly talking about the trials and tribulations of everyday people and families. Overdue addressing the issues faced by once in a while folks, the occasional working class, the sometimes elderly 030