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Reposted by Efe Tokdemir

Burak Kazim Yilmaz @bkyilmaz.bsky.social · 12/10/2026

Our article with @efetokdemir.bsky.social is now out at Journal of Conflict Resolution! Using an LLM to classify presidential speeches, we examine how leaders’ rhetorical emphasis on foreign policy helps explain the relationship between economic hardship and the diversionary use of force. Link 👇

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Reposted by Efe Tokdemir

counster.bsky.social @counster.bsky.social · 26/08/2026

Meet the COUNSTER team! Led by @efetokdemir.bsky.social our team brings together postdoctoral and predoctoral researchers with expertise spanning conflict studies, computational social science, and fieldwork. With our incoming team member, Leo Bauer, the picture will be complete soon!

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Reposted by Efe Tokdemir

counster.bsky.social @counster.bsky.social · 21/08/2026

🚀 The COUNSTER project website is now live: counster-project.com Curious about what we're building? Head over to our website to explore the project's aims, meet the team, and see what's ahead!

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counster.bsky.social @counster.bsky.social · 07/08/2026

Welcome to the official page of COUNSTER, a European Research Council (ERC) Consolidator project hosted at Bilkent University for five years. Follow us to keep up with the project's research, fieldwork, and findings, and keep an eye out for the launch of our website.

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Reposted by Efe Tokdemir

counster.bsky.social @counster.bsky.social · 07/08/2026

The project COUNSTER aims to explain why, how, and when governments target the constituents of non-state armed actors (NSAAs), and what determines the success or failure of these government-constituency relations as a strategic tool in counterinsurgency.

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Efe Tokdemir @efetokdemir.bsky.social · 19/03/2026

🚨 Our new article on political economy of conflict with @serayyalaz.bsky.social and Seden Akcinaroglu is now online first @jpeaceresearch.bsky.social Also a proud moment to have another piece with an emerging scholar and great student. It is open access via academic.oup.com/jpr/advance-...

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Efe Tokdemir @efetokdemir.bsky.social · 11/03/2026

📢13 Mart Cuma günü İstanbul Politikalar Merkezi'nde @erc.europa.eu projemin de temelini oluşturan "radikalleşme, isyan ve terörle mücadele stratejisi olarak çözüm/açılım süreçlerine" dair erken bulgularımı paylaşacağım. Kayıt olmak için: docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...

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Efe Tokdemir @efetokdemir.bsky.social · 27/01/2026

📌 Hiring one postdoctoral and two predoctoral researchers for the @erc.europa.eu project #COUNSTER, each position for up to 3 years to start on May 2026. Postdoc: stars.bilkent.edu.tr/staffapp/IR2... (Deadline Feb 20) Predoc: stars.bilkent.edu.tr/staffapp/IR2... (Deadline March 1)

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Efe Tokdemir @efetokdemir.bsky.social · 09/12/2025

The application was an arduous process; initial failures pave the ground for the eventual success. Many colleagues (I could not list them all here due to space constraints, already thanked them in person) provided me with valuable feedbacks at each stage.

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Efe Tokdemir @efetokdemir.bsky.social · 09/12/2025

Thrilled to share that I have been awarded an @erc.europa.eu Consolidator Grant for my project, COUNSTER! Many thanks to @bilkentuniv.bsky.social @ufukavrupa-tr.bsky.social @cfppr.bsky.social for their great help during the submission process. I am very excited for the journey ahead! #ERCCoG +

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Reposted by Efe Tokdemir

BJPIR @bjpir.bsky.social · 20/11/2025

📝 Don't miss this article from the current issue of #BJPIR 'Enforcement of international human rights law: A comparative exploration of alternative public opinion channels' by A Burcu Bayram, Eric Keels & @efetokdemir.bsky.social 🔗 buff.ly/I2r6aXM @polstudiesassoc.bsky.social

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Efe Tokdemir @efetokdemir.bsky.social · 28/10/2025

And now, the paper is out @conflictmanagement.bsky.social "Unique Offerings: Ideological Competition and Rebel Governance" You can check it out: journals.sagepub.com/eprint/QZV67...

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Efe Tokdemir @efetokdemir.bsky.social · 23/10/2025

The article is in the issue @bjpir.bsky.social It is a timely piece to check out: Apparently, public concerns over human rights violations in foreign countries are highly strategic, based on political alliances rather than legal context (based on findings from experiments in USA, Germany, Türkiye)

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Efe Tokdemir @efetokdemir.bsky.social · 17/10/2025

My department is further expanding: Two open rank positions: 1) Open specialization:stars.bilkent.edu.tr/staffapp/IR2026 2) Historical approaches in IR:stars.bilkent.edu.tr/staffapp/IR202… The positions come with perks incl. teaching reduction, free housing, and IB schooling options for children

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Reposted by Efe Tokdemir

Conflict Management and Peace Science @conflictmanagement.bsky.social · 08/09/2025

First, Latife Kınay-Kılıç, Ersel Aydınlı and @efetokdemir.bsky.social investigate how states respond to external support for rebel groups during civil wars, finding that strategic rivalry drives the most severe responses.

journals.sagepub.com

Just a moment...

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Efe Tokdemir @efetokdemir.bsky.social · 05/09/2025

My advisees Özge Karban and Deniz Özdemir have successfully defended their MA theses during the Summer 2025. Özge will pursue her PhD at PennState, and Deniz will do at Binghamton University Keep an eye on them in the upcoming years - two great scholars in the making Congratulations!

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Reposted by Efe Tokdemir

Ayşenur Dal @aysenurdal.bsky.social · 13/08/2025

Based on a nationwide survey in Türkiye, we demonstrate how exposure to violence resulting from conflict conditions (i.e., involvement) and perceptions of state efficacy in security provision (i.e., blame attribution) shape trust in legacy vs. social media.

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Reposted by Efe Tokdemir

Ayşenur Dal @aysenurdal.bsky.social · 13/08/2025

Our coauthored article with Seden Akçınaroğlu and @efetokdemir.bsky.social is published online first in Media, War & Conflict. We explore the impact of exposure to conflict-related violence on trust in different media types regarding conflict-related information and news. @mwcjournal.bsky.social

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Efe Tokdemir @efetokdemir.bsky.social · 21/07/2025

Do sanction threats work? We find that threats—even if credibly backed—do not increase support for concessions in the target public (Turkiye case). Plus, positive inducements provoke backlash in some groups, highlighting coercive diplomacy’s limits Check out our research note: shrturl.app/3l4wWJ

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Reposted by Efe Tokdemir

All Azimuth: A Journal of Foreign Policy and Peace @allazimuth.bsky.social · 02/07/2025

Our latest issue is now available! Check it out👇 www.allazimuth.com/issues/

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Efe Tokdemir @efetokdemir.bsky.social · 13/06/2025

Saldırı ABD-İran nükleer görüşmeleriyle kesişti, ABD kamuoyu ve Trump da görüşmelerin olumlu sonuçlanabileceği düşüncesi vardı. ABD açıktan İsrail’e karşı çıkmaz, ama Trump’ın uzayan süreçlere ve alternatif planlara tahammülsüzlüğü ise bilindik.Rubio “tek taraflı” açıklamaları buradan okunmalı

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Reposted by Efe Tokdemir

All Azimuth: A Journal of Foreign Policy and Peace @allazimuth.bsky.social · 06/02/2025

Publication Alert – Our latest article titled, "All Azimuth Debate: Gradual Reform or Revolution? Pathways to Global IR," by @aysezarakol.bsky.social l and Ersel Aydınlı is now online ! www.allazimuth.com/2025/02/06/a...

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Efe Tokdemir @efetokdemir.bsky.social · 14/05/2025

Had a great time giving a guest talk at University of Washington International Security Colloquium. Grateful for kind invitation, insightful discussion, awesome Seattle weather. Big thanks to the Dept of Polisci and @aslicansunar.bsky.social for hosting me at the campus 🙏

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Reposted by Efe Tokdemir

Paul Staniland @pstaniland.bsky.social · 22/04/2025

Indian accounts plugged into BJP on other site saying possibly ~25 dead. very very much TBD, but targeting of tourists, possible death toll, Vance visit, relative calm prior all suggest a potential crisis moment:

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Reposted by Efe Tokdemir

Istanbul Policy Center | İstanbul Politikalar Merkezi @ipc-ipm.bsky.social · 08/04/2025

Prof. Dr. Fuat Keyman’ı anmak ve onun akademi ve düşünce dünyasına değerli katkılarını hatırlamak için 15-16 Mayıs'ta "Prof. Dr. Fuat Keyman: Bilimin İzinde Bir Ömür" anma toplantısını düzenlenecektir. Program detayları, ilerleyen günlerde tüm sosyal medya hesaplarımızdan paylaşılacaktır.

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Efe Tokdemir @efetokdemir.bsky.social · 06/04/2025

Since my graduation back in 2017, I was in @bingpolisci.bsky.social for the first time as a guest speaker. A great audience with tough questions as always. It was really good to be back home, and walk through the corridors of the department once again. Truly thankful for their invitation…

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Efe Tokdemir @efetokdemir.bsky.social · 03/04/2025

Glad to be part of “What do we know about Terrorism” edited volume. Truly learned a lot from my colleagues during the workshop! Thanks @brianjphillips.bsky.social and @sbmitche.bsky.social for leading and ırganizing such a great initiative

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Efe Tokdemir @efetokdemir.bsky.social · 22/03/2025

Przeworski (1991) demokrasileri bugünün kaybedenlerinin yarın kazanma ihtimaline sahip olduğu rejimler olarak tanımlar. Muhaliflerin kazanma ihtimallerinin yok edildiğini, kazanma şanslarının olmadığını düşündüğü bir ortamda demokrasiden bahsedilemez. Yaşasın demokrasi!

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Ayşenur Dal @aysenurdal.bsky.social · 14/03/2025

Here are the list of articles in the special issue. We thank all of the authors for their valuable contribution to our initiative🌞

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Ayşenur Dal @aysenurdal.bsky.social · 14/03/2025

The Global Perspectives on Science, Polarization, and Populism Special Issue we co-edited with Erik C. Nisbet is out in the International Journal of Public Opinion Research. Here is the link to our Introduction chapter: academic.oup.com/ijpor/articl...

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Reposted by Efe Tokdemir

BJPIR @bjpir.bsky.social · 04/03/2025

📈 Trending in BJPIR this week 'Enforcement of international human rights law: A comparative exploration of alternative public opinion channels' A Burcu Bayram, Eric Keels & @efetokdemir.bsky.social 🔓 Read the article available in #OpenAccess here: buff.ly/4hGnS7l @polstudiesassoc.bsky.social

buff.ly

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Efe Tokdemir @efetokdemir.bsky.social · 27/02/2025

Bonus: PKK-leader's address does not mention any other offshoots of PKK - such as YPG/PYD operating in Syria. PKK was not very active in last 2-3 years, and most of their members had already joined the ranks of YPG/PYD. So, we should not read this call as end of the conflict per se.

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Efe Tokdemir @efetokdemir.bsky.social · 27/02/2025

Sure, the whole story is way more nuanced, this is just some updates in bullet points for those who are not an ardent follower of Turkish politics and Turkiye-PKK conflict - which is one of the longest and deadliest in the world

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Efe Tokdemir @efetokdemir.bsky.social · 27/02/2025

Domestic: need for a constitutional change for reelection of Erdogan, then need for support of Kurds. International: Once Kurds in N. Iraq emerging as a separate entity, and now it is the Northern Syria - Turkiye repositioning itself regarding the upcoming developments for Middle Eastern Politics

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Efe Tokdemir @efetokdemir.bsky.social · 27/02/2025

7) Main difference between two attempts: ultra-nationalist party was anti-Kurdish peace process back then, but pro-peace process this time. This is critical regarding the electoral politics. 8) Why now? Well, this is to speculate with some known facts regarding domestic and international politics:

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Efe Tokdemir @efetokdemir.bsky.social · 27/02/2025

4) Back in 2013, Ocalan made a similar declaration asking PKK to lay down the arms and engage in politics 5) The first process halted following PKK attacks after a non-violent period 6) Some argued that the end of process was also related to incumbent government's electoral failure on June 2015

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Efe Tokdemir @efetokdemir.bsky.social · 27/02/2025

An update from Türkiye for peace/conflict scholars: 1) Imprisoned PKK leader Ocalan called for disband and disarmament of PKK 2) The process was initiated by the leader of ultra-nationalist party, Bahceli, on October 2024, 3) Not the first public attempt, the last one took place some time ago

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BJPIR @bjpir.bsky.social · 17/02/2025

📈 Trending in BJPIR 'Enforcement of international human rights law: A comparative exploration of alternative public opinion channels' A Burcu Bayram, Eric Keels & @efetokdemir.bsky.social 🔓 Read the article available in #OpenAccess here: buff.ly/4hGnS7l @polstudiesassoc.bsky.social

buff.ly

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Efe Tokdemir @efetokdemir.bsky.social · 23/01/2025

Sabbatical year comes with benefits: visiting Uni. of Pittsburgh PoliSci was a great pleasure. I would like thank TASA for their invitation, and many colleagues, friends, and graduate students for their hospitality and substantial feedbacks!

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Efe Tokdemir @efetokdemir.bsky.social · 25/12/2024

Our article is online first now. Comparing public attitudes in USA, Germany & Türkiye, we show that public concerns over human rights violations in foreign countries are highly strategic, based on political alliances rather than legal context. Access free thru: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

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Reposted by Efe Tokdemir

Center for Foreign Policy and Peace Research @cfppr.bsky.social · 05/12/2024

Reminder: We are seeking a post-doctoral fellow! Applications will be reviewed on a rolling basis until the position is filled, with a deadline of December 15. More details here: www.foreignpolicyandpeace.org/index.php/en...

foreignpolicyandpeace.org

CALL FOR APPLICATIONS: CFPPR POST-DOCTORAL FELLOWSHIP Deadline: December 15, 2024 | CENTER for FOREIGN POLICY and PEACE RESEARCH

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