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Ed Kilgore

@edkilgore.bsky.social
5K followers 53 following 1.2K posts

Political columnist, New York Magazine. Former Senate and gubernatorial aide and policy wonk. Observant Christian and progressive. Georgia Bulldog.

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Ed Kilgore @edkilgore.bsky.social · 11h
The MAGA cult of Richard Nixon is about adding to the grounds for vengeance against the forces that took him down. Only problem is: the Nixon presidency actually self-destructed. That's a parallel to Trump that his fans should ponder: nymag.com/intelligence...
nymag.com
MAGA Can’t Let Go of Tricky Dick
Nixon apologists have now spurred a Justice Department investigation of Watergate. But the Trump parallels they draw aren’t flattering to either man.
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Ed Kilgore @edkilgore.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
There's a reason Congress was once called The Last Plantation. And even if Mary Peltola is guilty of being mean to her staff, it's an entire institution that's been set up to encourage abuse. nymag.com/intelligence...
nymag.com
It’s Not Just Peltola: How Congress Treats Its Serfs
Staff complaints about the Alaska Senate candidate shouldn’t be dismissed. But abuse is built right into the institution.
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Ed Kilgore @edkilgore.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Times-Siena polling of Michigan shows that the El-Sayed/Rogers Senate race may not actually be about Hasan Piker after all. Turns out even a big majority of The Kidz have no idea who he is. nymag.com/intelligence...
nymag.com
Hasan Piker May Not Matter As Much As Republicans Want
New polling shows a majority of Michiganders, and an even bigger majority of young voters, don’t even know who the leftist streamer is.
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Ed Kilgore @edkilgore.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Don't know if the allegations about Susan Collins in a new Pro Publica report are fair or foul. But do wonder if Mainers who have been told for ages that Collins is getting them federal gravy care whether some of it spills into the bowls of campaign contributors? nymag.com/intelligence...
nymag.com
Do Voters Care Whether Susan Collins Is Corrupt?
A new report alleging the senator may have traded pork for contributions could be a good test of public tolerance for self-dealing in the Trump era.
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Ed Kilgore @edkilgore.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Trump has stepped on his message so many times this year that it's barely noteworthy that he interrupted a Red Scare campaign to nuzzle his red frenemies: nymag.com/intelligence...
nymag.com
Trump Hates Communism But Likes Hanging Out With Communists
It’s hard to promote a pre-election Red Scare when you’re palling around with a socialist mayor and the Chinese premier.
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Ed Kilgore @edkilgore.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
As a liberal Christian my own self, I am persistently annoyed by the common assumption that the Christian left just wants to replace the Christian Right with a different kind of theocracy. Church-state separation should be, well, sacred. nymag.com/intelligence...
nymag.com
The Key Difference Between Christian Left and Christian Right
Christian clergy running as Democrats in 2026 are defying the alleged GOP monopoly over Christianity without seeking to impose their faith on others.
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Ed Kilgore @edkilgore.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
Crypto assault on Sherrod Brown seems like same-old same-old. But this time it's not personal. Any Democrat running in Ohio would get the same treatment as crypto lobby sheds pretense of bipartisanship in backlash to demise of the Clarity Act. nymag.com/intelligence...
nymag.com
Big Crypto Is Trying to Block Democrats’ Senate Dreams
The industry’s barrage against Sherrod Brown’s attempted comeback in Ohio is revenge against the whole party.
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Ed Kilgore @edkilgore.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
A second thing to note, which isn't a surprise but is still a pretty new phenomenon, is that Democrats are doing better in polls when likely voter screens are utilized. It's not the way it was for many years, and it could boost Democratic prospects down the stretch. nymag.com/intelligence...
nymag.com
Polls Show Big Midterm Spike for Democrats
The Democratic advantage in the national House popular vote is suddenly swelling to near-2018 levels.
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Ed Kilgore @edkilgore.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
All of a sudden, Democrats are opening up a really big advantage in the generic congressional ballot, and high-quality polls are leading the trend. nymag.com/intelligence...
nymag.com
Polls Show Big Midterm Spike for Democrats
The Democratic advantage in the national House popular vote is suddenly swelling to near-2018 levels.
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Ed Kilgore @edkilgore.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
I have a slightly different take than most about Trump's Dallas speech and his $5,000 giveaway promise. He's the exasperated dad opening his wallet to give his surly ungrateful kids some cash to show his contempt for them. nymag.com/intelligence...
nymag.com
The Psychology Behind Trump’s Plan to Give Everyone $5,000
The president believes Americans should be more grateful to him. If he has to bribe them into it, he will.
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Ed Kilgore @edkilgore.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
Annoyed that so many beltway types want to shoehorn the general craving for fresh Democratic leadership into the overblown ideological "struggle for the soul of the party." Right now just conveying an openness to change and reform is the imperative. nymag.com/intelligence...
nymag.com
It’s Not Just the Left That Wants New Democratic Leadership
Widespread dissatisfaction with Jeffries and Schumer isn’t helping Democrats’ effort to become the party of change and reform.
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Ed Kilgore @edkilgore.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
All of a sudden, Congress abandons a big chunk of Trump's and their own agenda. Racing home to campaign on...what? nymag.com/intelligence...
nymag.com
GOP Congress Is Bailing on Trump’s Unfinished Business
The watchword for congressional Republicans in 2026 was mañana. Now time has run out.
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Ed Kilgore @edkilgore.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
More generally, Trump's economic message is taking definitive shape: thanks to AI and huge corporate profits, you've never had it so good! Who cares if groceries and gasoline are more expensive? It's a golden age, and you're stupid if you don't get it! nymag.com/intelligence...
nymag.com
Trump Responds to Data-Center Backlash by Scolding Americans
It’s a perilous argument to make right before the midterms, particularly when combined with Trump’s routine dismissal of living-cost concerns.
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Ed Kilgore @edkilgore.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
How could Trump make his regular dismissals of voters' living cost concerns even worse? Tell them they are dumbasses for not welcoming data centers. And BTW, that they are stooges for Communist China. Republicans have to be cringing. nymag.com/intelligence...
nymag.com
Trump Responds to Data-Center Backlash by Scolding Americans
It’s a perilous argument to make right before the midterms, particularly when combined with Trump’s routine dismissal of living-cost concerns.
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Ed Kilgore @edkilgore.bsky.social · 30/08/2026
Kind of important to understand it's not the MAGA freaks who are likely to bail on the GOP in November, it's non-MAGA 2024 Trump voters. Media way too focused on divisions in the MAGA ranks that may matter in 2028, but not now (much like the alleged "civil war" among Dems). nymag.com/intelligence...
nymag.com
Trump Can’t Rally the Republicans He Needs
The GOP’s midterms problem isn’t the MAGA base. It’s the Trump 2024 voters who don’t think he’s doing that great a job.
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Ed Kilgore @edkilgore.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
Recent numbers reinforce how big a lie it was when Trump and his allies talked about mass deportation being focused on the "worst of the worst." It's understandable that progressives are focused on specific ICE outrages, but the overall patterns are important too. nymag.com/intelligence...
nymag.com
Is Trump Just Deporting ‘the Worst of the Worst’? Far From It.
While ICE is trying to avoid more protest-generating outrages, it’s quietly targeting more and more immigrants with no criminal record.
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Ed Kilgore @edkilgore.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
Jeffries has a strong hand and needs to be upping the ante between now and November. Amiably chit-chatting with the likes of Kushner before the deal goes down makes a mockery of all those accurate Democratic accusations of corruption. nymag.com/intelligence...
nymag.com
Hakeem Jeffries Picked a Bad Time to Cozy Up to Jared Kushner
If Jeffries becomes Speaker, talking with President Trump’s son-in-law might make sense. But it can wait until after the midterms.
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Ed Kilgore @edkilgore.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
I'm not a Jeffries-hater like the lefties who chanted "You're next!" at his image on television on New York's primary night. But his reported negotiations with Jared Kushner are a really bad idea substantively and politically. nymag.com/intelligence...
nymag.com
Hakeem Jeffries Picked a Bad Time to Cozy Up to Jared Kushner
If Jeffries becomes Speaker, talking with President Trump’s son-in-law might make sense. But it can wait until after the midterms.
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Ed Kilgore @edkilgore.bsky.social · 23/08/2026
One of the best lines I ever wrote as a speechwriter was in a 1990 introduction of Bill Clinton as "the first person in politics to become a bright young rising star in three different decades." Two years later the potential he had shown for so long paid off. nymag.com/intelligence...
nymag.com
Bill Clinton’s Party Needs a ‘Different Kind of Democrat’ Again
The 42nd president’s legacy has diminished, and many of his policies now seem misguided. But his revival of the party holds lessons for 2028.
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Ed Kilgore @edkilgore.bsky.social · 23/08/2026
Latest "OMG you're so old" moment for me: The Big Dog turning 80! First saw him speak in mid-1980s and thought: "This guy will be president some day." Useful to remember the youthful energy he injected into Democratic politics back in the day: nymag.com/intelligence...
nymag.com
Bill Clinton’s Party Needs a ‘Different Kind of Democrat’ Again
The 42nd president’s legacy has diminished, and many of his policies now seem misguided. But his revival of the party holds lessons for 2028.
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Ed Kilgore @edkilgore.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
Some thoughts about the precocity of two possible 2028 Democratic presidential candidates after our recent Old Goat era in the White House. nymag.com/intelligence...
nymag.com
AOC and Ossoff Are Young. Why Rush to Run in 2028?
Either of the Democratic 2028 prospects would be the youngest president ever. Unlike fellow millennial J.D. Vance, it may be smarter for them to wait.
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Ed Kilgore @edkilgore.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
OK, I confess, I wrote this snarky, mean-spirited post about speculation Pete Hegseth might be running for president out of personal spite. I'm angry that this nimrod gets to go to the Iowa State Fair--via a military plane, no less-and I don't. nymag.com/intelligence...
nymag.com
Pete Hegseth Wants Promotion to President of War
Trips to Iowa and South Carolina are stirring rumors about the Defense secretary bringing his clownish macho act to the 2028 field.
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Ed Kilgore @edkilgore.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
I'm susceptible to negative stereotypes about Florida, some based on many years of downscale summer vacations on the Redneck Riviera. Sorry to report that this year's very weird Florida primaries won't improve the state's reputation. Stranger than a python eating a gator: nymag.com/intelligence...
nymag.com
Florida’s Chaotic Primaries Show Impact of GOP Takeover
Republicans’ recent gerrymander upended Florida’s map, setting off messy GOP battles as Democrats fight for survival.
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Ed Kilgore @edkilgore.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
Another polling update shows Trump bumping along at the floor of his job approval ratings with little significant movement. He still has the support of his MAGA base, but that's about it, and it's not like he's making any effort to expand it. nymag.com/intelligence...
nymag.com
Polls Show Trump’s MAGA Base Is All He Has Left
Trump’s job-approval numbers are awful any way you slice it. And there’s little chance that will change before the midterms.
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Ed Kilgore @edkilgore.bsky.social · 09/08/2026
The "struggle for the soul of the party" would obviously get a lot worse if Democrats manage to lose the midterms. I take a look at the possible carnage. Not predicting anything like this; just examining the possibilities. nymag.com/intelligence...
nymag.com
What Happens If Democrats Blow the Midterms?
Democrats are widely expected to flip the House and maybe even the Senate. If not, there could be hell to pay.
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Ed Kilgore @edkilgore.bsky.social · 07/08/2026
Nice to see the post-Callais gerrymandering rush wound up biting at least one white Republican pol in the ass. And it couldn't happen to a nicer guy than the bigot Andy Ogles. nymag.com/intelligence...
nymag.com
Trump’s Grip on GOP Slips Again With Tennessee Loss
A Republican gerrymander accidentally took down the fiery Islamophobe Andy Ogles, despite Trump’s backing. Marsha Blackburn was luckier.
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Ed Kilgore @edkilgore.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
Francesca Hong's personal story made her affordability pitch especially compelling. Unfortunately, it also made her Thanksgiving gaffe harder to shake. nymag.com/intelligence...
nymag.com
Wisconsin’s Messy Governor’s Race Adds Thanksgiving Drama
Francesca Hong is probably still going to win her primary. But old social-media posts about abolishing Thanksgiving aren’t helping her.
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Ed Kilgore @edkilgore.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
I looked back at my first take on the Wisconsin gubernatorial race in late March, and it seemed pretty calm and straight-forward with lots of choices. Not any more. nymag.com/intelligence...
nymag.com
Wisconsin’s Messy Governor’s Race Adds Thanksgiving Drama
Francesca Hong is probably still going to win her primary. But old social-media posts about abolishing Thanksgiving aren’t helping her.
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Ed Kilgore @edkilgore.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
FWIW, I've been hearing about Adam Hamilton's church for a long time. It will be fascinating to see if Republicans try to attack his theology as they've done with Warnock and Talarico. You know, the ol' "you can't love Jesus unless you hate gay folks and don't trust women." nymag.com/intelligence...
nymag.com
Kansas Primaries Give Democrats a Shot at a Big Upset
Gubernatorial nominee Cindy Holscher and Senate nominee Adam Hamilton are about the strongest ticket Democrats could hope for in this red state.
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Ed Kilgore @edkilgore.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
It didn't get much national attention given the cliffhanger in Michigan, but Kansans once again defeated a ballot initiative designed to undermine abortion rights, and Democrats got themselves about as strong a statewide ticket as they could have reasonably expected. nymag.com/intelligence...
nymag.com
Kansas Primaries Give Democrats a Shot at a Big Upset
Gubernatorial nominee Cindy Holscher and Senate nominee Adam Hamilton are about the strongest ticket Democrats could hope for in this red state.
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Ed Kilgore @edkilgore.bsky.social · 04/08/2026
Darline Graham not just running for the Senate. She's running away from her brother's legacy. Hardly seems right, since I don't believe she'd be in the position without him. nymag.com/intelligence...
nymag.com
Darline Graham Is Running Away From Lindsey’s Legacy
South Carolina’s appointed senator wants to be known as the heir to her late brother but the ideological servant to Donald Trump.
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Ed Kilgore @edkilgore.bsky.social · 03/08/2026
For federal employees and contractors and everyone else who relies on a functioning federal government, the big test over a possible shutdown is coming early. Unfortunately, the key figure is once again Donald Trump: nymag.com/intelligence...
nymag.com
Will Trump Let Thune Avoid a Government Shutdown?
The Senate GOP leader has a tentative deal on a stopgap spending bill. But Trump could instantly kill it.
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Ed Kilgore @edkilgore.bsky.social · 02/08/2026
At least earlier red scares took place in the context of actual international communist threats, however exaggerated or misunderstood. This one is 100%, not just 90%, demagoguery, and the people stirring it up know it. nymag.com/intelligence...
nymag.com
The GOP’s Big Red Scare Is Really Stupid
No, Democrats aren’t communist, and the relatively small progressive surge in primaries isn’t a Bolshevik Revolution.
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Ed Kilgore @edkilgore.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
To a remarkable extent, Trump has created all of the problems that are frustrating his agenda in the Senate. But nobody's willing to say directly to him: "Shoulda thought about that before you forced Tillis into retirement and purged Cornyn and Cassidy." nymag.com/intelligence...
nymag.com
Trump Reaping Whirlwind From His Senate Purges
His agenda is jammed in the Senate due to Republican senators he ousted or alienated. Intraparty strife is also a bad look for the midterms.
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Ed Kilgore @edkilgore.bsky.social · 26/07/2026
Democrats can't keep Republicans and the media from exaggerating or distorting their differences, but they can stop contributing to the "civil war" narrative their own selves, at least until November. nymag.com/intelligence...
nymag.com
Democrats Need to Postpone Their Civil War
There will be time enough for fighting each other after the midterms. Doing so now helps the GOP make this election a choice rather than a referendum.
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Ed Kilgore @edkilgore.bsky.social · 24/07/2026
As an honorary Iowan, I'm sad, but not surprised, to say the long-time First-in-the-Nation-Caucus state was left far out of the charmed circle of early Democratic contests. But Iowa will likely still go first among Republicans. nymag.com/intelligence...
nymag.com
South Carolina Will Go First in 2028 Democratic Presidential Primaries
Nevada, New Hampshire, Michigan, New Mexico and Virginia also earned early-state status. Iowa is out in the cold.
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Ed Kilgore @edkilgore.bsky.social · 24/07/2026
Interestingly, South Carolina is the state that proved you don't have to go first to have a decisive effect on the nomination. Biden won there in 2020 after finishing fourth in Iowa, fifth in New Hampshire, and second in Nevada. nymag.com/intelligence...
nymag.com
South Carolina Will Go First in 2028 Democratic Presidential Primaries
Nevada, New Hampshire, Michigan, New Mexico and Virginia also earned early-state status. Iowa is out in the cold.
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Ed Kilgore @edkilgore.bsky.social · 24/07/2026
So Republicans aren't the only South Carolinians in the news this week. nymag.com/intelligence...
nymag.com
South Carolina Will Go First in 2028 Democratic Presidential Primaries
Nevada, New Hampshire, Michigan, New Mexico and Virginia also earned early-state status. Iowa is out in the cold.
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Ed Kilgore @edkilgore.bsky.social · 24/07/2026
Nobody in SC is going to forget for a moment what Trump did to Pamela Evette in the June gubernatorial primary: endorsed her, then panicked and co-endorsed her runoff opponent, which destroyed her candidacy. Could he do the same thing to Darline Graham? nymag.com/intelligence...
nymag.com
Also-rans Abound in the Race for Lindsey Graham’s Seat
Blasts from the past like Mark Sanford and Trey Gowdy could be in the field, along with some 2026 losers. Then there’s the late incumbent’s sister.
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Ed Kilgore @edkilgore.bsky.social · 24/07/2026
Special primary to choose successor to Lindsey Graham turning into a real mess. August primary (and then probably runoff) in SC means hellish weather and a small turnout of fanatics. And Trump gambit to clear field for Darline Graham clearly failed. nymag.com/intelligence...
nymag.com
Also-rans Abound in the Race for Lindsey Graham’s Seat
Blasts from the past like Mark Sanford and Trey Gowdy could be in the field, along with some 2026 losers. Then there’s the late incumbent’s sister.
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Ed Kilgore @edkilgore.bsky.social · 23/07/2026
Mike Johnson is happy as a clam, and off on recess. Now John Thune gets to bury as much of Trump's legislative agenda as he can dare. nymag.com/intelligence...
nymag.com
Thune to Take the Blame for the Failure of Trump’s Agenda
The House keeps passing legislation Trump wants, but it can’t get through the Senate. That’s making the majority leader a target for MAGA wrath.
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Ed Kilgore @edkilgore.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
If you're interested in John Fetterman's bizarre situation, I've written a pretty thorough explanation about how or whether he'd have the leverage to consider a party-switch, with some bonus discussion of Lisa Murkowski as a possible counter-weight. nymag.com/intelligence...
nymag.com
John Fetterman’s Party-Switch Calculus
The erratic Pennsylvania Democrat is flirting with a party flip. If the midterms produce a narrow Senate majority, he could have massive leverage.
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Ed Kilgore @edkilgore.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
To put it mildly, I'm no fan of the fiscal hawks of the House Freedom Caucus. But you almost have to feel sorry for how Mike Johnson and Donald Trump have played Lucy with the football to their Charlie Brown when it comes to the extremely unpopular budget cuts they want. nymag.com/intelligence...
nymag.com
Johnson Promises Hawks Huge Safety-Net Cuts … Next Time
The Speaker keeps putting off hugely unpopular cuts to social programs. Now they’re supposedly coming in a fourth reconciliation bill.
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Ed Kilgore @edkilgore.bsky.social · 17/07/2026
Darline Graham appears to have more political chops than she was given credit for. The lede image in this post shows her looking like the cat that ate the canary. Might just be a coincidence, but somehow I don't think so. nymag.com/intelligence...
nymag.com
Darline Graham Is Maneuvering Herself Into a Full Senate Term
Originally a temporary fill-in giving Republicans a chance to sort out their options, Lindsey Graham’s sister seems to be making a power move.
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Ed Kilgore @edkilgore.bsky.social · 17/07/2026
LOLd when Trump claimed the PRC had paid "large sums of money" to journalists to write negative stories about him. Believe me, Mr. President, I need no bribes to write negative stories about you. They often write themselves, as they did after this abominable speech. nymag.com/intelligence...
nymag.com
Trump Drags America Deep Down the Rabbit Hole
In a White House address, Trump spouted wild election conspiracy theories. Damage to the midterms could be profound.
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Ed Kilgore @edkilgore.bsky.social · 17/07/2026
So Trump's speech was both overwhelming (a Red Chinese conspiracy so immense!) and underwhelming (no specifics, not much energy, plus the pro forma "everything's great" lead-in and the usual tired SAVE America Act pitch). But it was above all exhausting. nymag.com/intelligence...
nymag.com
Trump Drags America Deep Down the Rabbit Hole
In a White House address, Trump spouted wild election conspiracy theories. Damage to the midterms could be profound.
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Ed Kilgore @edkilgore.bsky.social · 16/07/2026
It is reasonably clear that in Trump's mind the calendar is stuck on, and will always be stuck on, January 6, when his "patriots" failed to reverse his one big defeat. Think about that if as expected he rants and snarls about 2020 tonight. nymag.com/intelligence...
nymag.com
Republicans Are Dreading Trump’s Speech — With Good Reason
For years, many Republicans have tried to avoid engaging with his election denial. Tonight, he’s rubbing their faces in it.
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Ed Kilgore @edkilgore.bsky.social · 16/07/2026
GOP jitters over Trump's speech tonight are a good example of the difference between known unknowns (how far down the election denial rabbit hole will he go?) and unknown unknowns (whatever else might pop into his head and then come out of his mouth?). nymag.com/intelligence...
nymag.com
Republicans Are Dreading Trump’s Speech — With Good Reason
For years, many Republicans have tried to avoid engaging with his election denial. Tonight, he’s rubbing their faces in it.
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Ed Kilgore @edkilgore.bsky.social · 16/07/2026
Looking like Johnson may get away with giving Trump a stunted facsimile of the SAVE America Act. But there are other problems with Reconciliation 3.0. nymag.com/intelligence...
nymag.com
Mike Johnson Tries to Appease Trump With Third Reconciliation Bill
The Speaker is trying to break Trump’s legislative logjam by giving him Iran-war funding and a watered-down SAVE America Act.
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Ed Kilgore @edkilgore.bsky.social · 15/07/2026
Most of the country looks at the latest ICE atrocities and is outraged or at least concerned. In MAGA-land, it's "Yes, more of this please!" And of course Trump chooses to give them what they want. nymag.com/intelligence...
nymag.com
MAGA Won’t Stand for Limits on ICE Brutality
Efforts to rein in ICE tactics and poorly targeted mass deportations have been met with a backlash from Trump’s base.
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