⚡️🌙 @dystopiabreaker.xyz · 16/09/2026actually can not believe that cory doctorow has still not updated, almost 4 years into this 51184
⚡️🌙 @dystopiabreaker.xyz · 09/09/2026i think that like 95-99% of the "it's just autocomplete and all the reports of ai capabilities are actually psychosis" people will preference cascade to a state of panic over the next 9 months. similar to early covid dynamics. 723620
Reposted by ⚡️🌙Dan Luu @danluu.com · 01/09/2026How accurate have Ed Zitron's AI skeptic predictions been? danluu.com/zitron/ 1944375
⚡️🌙 @dystopiabreaker.xyz · 01/09/2026how accurate have ed zitron's predictions been? danluu.com/zitron/danluu.comHow accurate have Ed Zitron's AI skeptic predictions been? 2705
⚡️🌙 @dystopiabreaker.xyz · 12/06/2026given recent events, re-sharing my thoughts on space datacenters :p 1230
⚡️🌙 @dystopiabreaker.xyz · 12/06/2026when your claude finds the hidden seam that hinges the skeleton 2301
Reposted by ⚡️🌙Geoffrey Irving @girving.bsky.social · 10/06/2026We are starting a new, nonprofit alignment organization, ⊢ Sequent Research, bringing together researchers previously on UK AISI’s Alignment Team, Timaeus, and elsewhere to research how to align superintelligence. We are hiring! 🧵 sequent.org/launch 4172
Reposted by ⚡️🌙⚡️🌙 @dystopiabreaker.xyz · 14/10/2025Don’t Worry — It Can’t Happen (also, the scientists who claim fission exists are just in the pocket of Big Science, and they’re literal nazis anyway, and also it’s just a stochastic reaction that peters out, and only physbros care about it, and it hasn’t ever happened before so it won’t) 411022
Reposted by ⚡️🌙Andy Masley @andymasley.bsky.social · 08/06/2026Wow this farmer has a message for AI companies who want to buy his land 416115
⚡️🌙 @dystopiabreaker.xyz · 07/06/2026miss this discourse tbh. it was very funny in this specific way 1401
Reposted by ⚡️🌙Astronomy Picture of the Day 🪐 @apod.shinyakato.dev · 01/06/2026🔭 Saturn at Night Image Credit: NASA, JPL-Caltech, Space Science Institute, Mindaugas Macijauskas ap260601 015945
⚡️🌙 @dystopiabreaker.xyz · 30/05/2026i've been doing this increasingly in the past few months where I have time because of the urgency (esp security automation things), and now it looks like i'll finally be able to apply the amount of focus that i want to to this area now. very excited 1380
⚡️🌙 @dystopiabreaker.xyz · 27/05/2026one of my favorite cheeky papers, from 1999, is this one where the authors argue that sometimes it is better to simply wait and do nothing, because your astrophysical simulations will complete faster if you simply wait for the next epoch of compute arxiv.org/pdf/astro-ph... 511613
⚡️🌙 @dystopiabreaker.xyz · 26/05/2026found an old project from a laptop from high school where i had just learned about neural networks and was trying to implement an autonomous network security agent named 't-cell' by carving out a static set of decision classes from a static network manifest input lol. raw numpy, didnt get very far 3310
⚡️🌙 @dystopiabreaker.xyz · 23/05/2026how many layers of negative polarization are you on? you are like baby, watch this, 1020122
⚡️🌙 @dystopiabreaker.xyz · 23/05/2026everything is a bytecode-targetable virtual machine if you look at it sideways. JBIG2 image decompression? virtual machine. x86 mov instruction? virtual machine. truetype fonts? virtual machine. Magic: The Gathering? believe it or not, also virtual machine. 612724
⚡️🌙 @dystopiabreaker.xyz · 18/05/2026average MLeng: 'well, the adversary would have to know the details of how our defense works' the humble Kerckhoff axiom: 1251
⚡️🌙 @dystopiabreaker.xyz · 18/05/2026thinking about the utter bullshit that is DNS rebinding attacks 1142
⚡️🌙 @dystopiabreaker.xyz · 18/05/2026neural networks try to design towards “all structure” in their layers, whereas block ciphers must be “no structure at all” (any structure is a break, usually) 2211
Reposted by ⚡️🌙Andy Masley @andymasley.bsky.social · 13/05/2026Everything MPU posts about data centers is complete garbage. They have zero respect for their audience. Literally no one here is losing power. This post is a complete lie. 🧵 29570162
⚡️🌙 @dystopiabreaker.xyz · 09/05/2026friday night, perfect time to work on something completely normal 0291
⚡️🌙 @dystopiabreaker.xyz · 09/05/2026the vast majority of practical traditional software security problems are strongly 'on distribution'; detecting them at a high level is basically an n-classification problem, where n is actually quite small, and there is a _ton_ of shitty code out there. 1270
⚡️🌙 @dystopiabreaker.xyz · 05/05/2026i think i was mostly right about this but too unkind in the way i communicated it 1260
⚡️🌙 @dystopiabreaker.xyz · 04/05/2026“Why are neural networks and cryptographic ciphers so similar?” reiner.org/neural-net-c...reiner.orgWhy are neural networks and cryptographic ciphers so similar?Several neural network design principles are almost identical to cipher design principles. 2202
⚡️🌙 @dystopiabreaker.xyz · 04/05/2026is it good if the system design diagram looks like the numogram 190
⚡️🌙 @dystopiabreaker.xyz · 03/05/2026it's really funny that linux is de-facto converging on win32 api as its first universal ABI format 2626
⚡️🌙 @dystopiabreaker.xyz · 01/05/2026i cannot believe that 'rust and memory safety are a gay woke moralist op and true redpillers run vulnerable c code' is a real thing. it seemed too stupid to be possibly real when i 'made up a guy to make fun of' about it years ago but here we are 2741551
⚡️🌙 @dystopiabreaker.xyz · 01/05/2026diffing the activations of Talkie and Gemma to try to find Lost Artifacts 1302
⚡️🌙 @dystopiabreaker.xyz · 25/04/2026the pollution would from gas turbines would be substantially less concerning if they were actually 'burning pure methane' 2614
Reposted by ⚡️🌙⚡️🌙 @dystopiabreaker.xyz · 24/04/2026one cool thing you can do with simple, lightweight systems level mitigations/instrumentation like this is stick them in a zkVM (like SP1) and produce succinct proofs over arbitrarily sized agent trajectories, and show compliance to some agent policy without revealing the transcript at all 3142
⚡️🌙 @dystopiabreaker.xyz · 24/04/2026one cool thing you can do with simple, lightweight systems level mitigations/instrumentation like this is stick them in a zkVM (like SP1) and produce succinct proofs over arbitrarily sized agent trajectories, and show compliance to some agent policy without revealing the transcript at all 3142
⚡️🌙 @dystopiabreaker.xyz · 24/04/2026sometimes i bring things to claudes and am just like 'do u like this' 41063
![Feb 2024: "I believe we're reaching the upper limits about what generative AI can do and how accurate its outputs can be."
Wrong4
March 2024: "Have We Reached Peak AI?"; another prediction that hallucinations mean that AI progress is limited to then-current levels
Wrong
April 2024: "As I previously warned, artificial intelligence companies are running out of data ..."; another prediction that models can't improve because there's no more data
Wrong
June 2024: OpenAI growth is stalling (with the implication it will continue to stall), which will lead to some kind of collapse of OpenAI
Wrong (it could be the case that OpenAI will collapse but, if so, it won't be due to any kind of growth stall from 2024)
July 2024: "Generative AI, as I said back in March, is peaking, if it hasn't already peaked. It cannot do much more than it is currently doing, other than doing more of it faster with some new inputs"
Wrong
July 2024: "Generative AI models aren’t getting more energy-efficient, nor are they getting more “powerful” in a way that would increase their functionality, nor are they even capable of automating things on their own [July 2024]"
Wrong5
August 2024: "generative AI is a dead-end technology that has peaked”
Wrong
August 2024: re-iteration that the AI bubble has 3 quarters to prove itself (from March 2024) or there will be a collapse
Wrong6
September 2024: "o1 shows that OpenAI is both desperate and out of ideas", with a re-iteration of the idea that models can't improve due to lack of data
Wrong
Oct 2024: OpenAI's forecast of $3.7B revenue in 2024 and $11.6B in 2025 and $100B in 2029 are absurd, "a statement so egregious that I am surprised it's not some kind of financial crime to say it out loud"
Wrong (2025 goal exceeded, 2029 TBD but not an egregious financial crime level of implausible)
Oct 2024: "[OpenAI revenue] growth is already slowing…](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:2mrgzk6xlemfv6yugn644xxy/bafkreigvfeplyc2h64aigu3v7bryiwedhemivwghrxyqyji4nuqs347tde)
