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dwither

@dwither.bsky.social
891 followers 1K following 1.5K posts

Resilience, adaptation and disaster management. Ōtepoti/Dunedin, Aotearoa 🇳🇿

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dwither @dwither.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
spaces are how you ultimately address context collapse and manage adversarial behaviour at scale
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dwither @dwither.bsky.social · 03/08/2026
Cheers. Yeah, im looking for something of a voting guide here so I dont have to figure which is which myself. Or, accidentally make a mistake that could be costly.
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dwither @dwither.bsky.social · 04/06/2026
heuristic?
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dwither @dwither.bsky.social · 04/06/2026
There's a fundamental asymmetry to these kind of bad faith dynamics. People operating in good faith, trying to generate good outcomes int he world, lose to people who are trying to manipulate for power and status, when those people aren't sufficiently constrained.
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dwither @dwither.bsky.social · 04/06/2026
The gov was acting on the best available knowledge of what was happening at the time, whereas the other side was searching for any plausible narrative to undermine them.
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dwither @dwither.bsky.social · 04/06/2026
When COVID started getting political in NZ, the opposition would was testing what bad faith narratives would allow them to destabilise the government. At the time Jacinda Ardern made the point that "they don't have to be right about everything".
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dwither @dwither.bsky.social · 24/05/2026
I meant bound, as in boundaries.
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dwither @dwither.bsky.social · 24/05/2026
Yeah, I’ve never coded anything before and wanted to do some analysis on stancil and his attackers. Used Claude code, pulled everything, and the power of it is insane. Answer to this is spaces imo. Once that’s there, you can bound people’s capacity to do this naturally.
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dwither @dwither.bsky.social · 23/05/2026
Yeah, that’d explain it.
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dwither @dwither.bsky.social · 23/05/2026
Yeah, if you type two words joined by a ‘.’ it will turn it into a link and generate an embed card for it. Even if you fix the typo, the embed card will stay. You need to fix typo an hit the X on the embed.
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dwither @dwither.bsky.social · 13/05/2026
Ah yeah, stem makes sense, I was just surprised as it seemed much heavier than the ones I buy.
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dwither @dwither.bsky.social · 13/05/2026
Cool! How much does the weight go down with curing?
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dwither @dwither.bsky.social · 29/04/2026
It’s a good one. I recommend this one too. Perhaps we should talk about our favourite labellers more often.
bsky.app
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dwither @dwither.bsky.social · 28/04/2026
I would agree, but knowing which are the right brainers intuiting, and which are bad faith actors trying to substitute their preferred framing is the challenging part.
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dwither @dwither.bsky.social · 24/04/2026
I like it, it's good imo. Like the system had dependencies, and they flow through faithfully. That's user choice at work, nothing is being imposed top down.
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dwither @dwither.bsky.social · 24/04/2026
Seems to me that our governance system is being challenged and renegotiated. We didn't start it, or break with precedents. But we can follow suit. And I think we'll have to. It's not the cleanest way to do things, but better to aim for a good outcome than to just surrender to the inevitable.
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dwither @dwither.bsky.social · 23/04/2026
That has been the recent pattern. I guess what im trying to imply, is that this will likely be something that has to be forced through, and maintained, until it's established and has legs of its own. And done in a way that can't be easily reversed. Or, we'll have to accept the inevitable decline.
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dwither @dwither.bsky.social · 23/04/2026
And thats going to require some sort of political stability from start to finish.
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dwither @dwither.bsky.social · 23/04/2026
But for it to work, it's going to require some substantial projects that put someone who's thinking like this in charge. And they'll need a base of knowledge and people to support/implement. And once you’re generating good outcomes, you can start expanding the processes/methods outwards.
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dwither @dwither.bsky.social · 23/04/2026
Rather, it’ll be a response to some sort of crisis. Something will happen (say, maybe someone closes the strait of Hormuz and kicks of an energy crisis), and we’ll need to seize the moment to embark on a period of adaption.
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dwither @dwither.bsky.social · 23/04/2026
Couldn't agree more - I would read the in-depth write up. I'm interested in how we transition from where we are, to what you describe. I no longer think we'll come to some sort of consensus and implement something like this in a non partisan manner.
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dwither @dwither.bsky.social · 21/04/2026
I came to the conclusion a while back, that if we could create some sort of system that removed bad faith actors from decision-making institutions, the way those conveyor belt machines remove bad apples/tomatoes, it would solve the majority of our problems.
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dwither @dwither.bsky.social · 18/04/2026
Ok I am impressed by your commitment to mothing.
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dwither @dwither.bsky.social · 18/04/2026
And the quality of LLM output varies based on the input.
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dwither @dwither.bsky.social · 18/04/2026
Which means that the concern is the people using the tool, how they use it, and their understanding of it, not the tool itself. Just because one person used a hammer badly, and hit their finger, doesn't make hammers bad, nor suggest we should get rid of the tool.
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dwither @dwither.bsky.social · 18/04/2026
I strongly agree with the instinct to push back on making the protocol invisible. People need to have a basic understanding of how the system works, to have reasonable expectations of what it can provide for them. In the same way, we should have a functional knowledge of how our societies work.
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dwither @dwither.bsky.social · 18/04/2026
My phd supervisor used to do it on the plane on the way to the venue. In undergrad I always thought that the staff must be so much more organised, but I then realised they’re just better at doing stuff last minute.
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dwither @dwither.bsky.social · 16/04/2026
Yep, this is horrific.
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dwither @dwither.bsky.social · 16/04/2026
It’s certainly bad for anyone in Aus, NZ, SEA etc. This move does have logic behind it though, oil sales are as big part of how the IRGC makes money, so this blockade directly hurts the people in Iran who are in control of the war. We’re just the innocent bystanders. But no good options now tbh.
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dwither @dwither.bsky.social · 15/04/2026
Heh, that reminds me of this book. Chapter 2: The Solid Darkness of the Enlightenment.
A photo of a book titled The Geography of Good and Evil.
The first contents page, chapter 2 notably being 'the solid darkness of the enlightenment'
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dwither @dwither.bsky.social · 15/04/2026
Yeah, shortages are the real concern in the short to medium term. If we get a sustained shortage of diesel, our entire economy pretty much shuts down. Which is why they're doing rationing planning right now.
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dwither @dwither.bsky.social · 14/04/2026
This, it's so frustrating when pages try to sign me up instead of just letting me log in. Otherwise, 1 or 4.
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dwither @dwither.bsky.social · 14/04/2026
This is exactly what I've been thinking about in this discourse. In my own research it's pretty clear that the numbers decision-makers use at the top don't capture all thats relevant for peoples lived experiences at the bottom. Which raises the question, what's not getting captured by the metrics?
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dwither @dwither.bsky.social · 14/04/2026
This is related to the fact that we judge ourselves by how others are doing, not objectively based on what we need to survive. And marketing leans heavily into the 'you're not enough' framing, because it helps sales.
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dwither @dwither.bsky.social · 10/04/2026
Yeah, tbh, that kinda investment would mean that it should become government owned.
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dwither @dwither.bsky.social · 10/04/2026
Ok, I hadn’t retained that number. 3x as much as the lng plant they proposed. Much better off spending that on the transition.
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dwither @dwither.bsky.social · 10/04/2026
It was the last gov that did the cost benefit analysis and let it close. I’m not sure the analysis would change even now, especially as Marsden pt was for ME crude which is disrupted. Now we should have a fibre like approach to electrification, but this gov has cancelled all that.
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dwither @dwither.bsky.social · 10/04/2026
Yeah, I think we should have kept that capacity. It wouldn’t have saved us in this specific scenario, but the capacity did provide a certain type of resilience.
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dwither @dwither.bsky.social · 10/04/2026
We import refined products, so origin doesn't matter so much. This would have been a concern if Marsden point was still running, but it isn't.
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dwither @dwither.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
They are overrepresented, especially at the top, and it inhibits developing the types of relationships we need for good governance. Election wise, for the most part people don't have the experience with narcissists necessary to understand how they operate, or the threat they pose.
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dwither @dwither.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
It's not just about that one example at the top right now, he's representative of a deeper structural issue. I've spent a bunch of time in decision-making institutions talking through these issues from a resilience perspective, and this is a pattern that kept coming up.
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dwither @dwither.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
Yeah, that's fair. Doctor's should be elective. Perhaps it's something that comes through from the legal side, but that has its own complications, in that it'd probably actually need a diagnosis. That being said, unchecked narcissism in our governing structures is problematic as well.
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dwither @dwither.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
I get the point you're making. Just seems like a significant blind spot that treatment is only indicated if it's negatively affecting their life. There are clear examples where it's fine for them, because they externalise all the negative effects to those around them.
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dwither @dwither.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
But there is a very clear distinction between being an asshole and being a malignant narcissist.
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dwither @dwither.bsky.social · 08/04/2026
Wait, but what if it makes everyone else's life around them measurably worse? Surely that matters?
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dwither @dwither.bsky.social · 07/04/2026
Yep, similar issue here. Had some extra credit disappear from my account and the only support is an AI agent who ends the convo with a useless link after you describe the problem.
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dwither @dwither.bsky.social · 06/04/2026
Hah, you're not wrong. It's def a commitment. But it is getting engagement. There's an article version here: skywriter.blue/@eliothiggin...
skywriter.blue
Page by Eliot Higgins | @eliothiggins.bsky.social
🧵 Democracy feels like it's in a rough state at the moment across the globe, and we hear various explanations, like polarisation, extremism, disinformation, and loss of trust. But what if those explan...
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dwither @dwither.bsky.social · 06/04/2026
This is an exceptional thread. Well worth the time and effort.
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Reposted by dwither
Eliot Higgins @eliothiggins.bsky.social · 06/04/2026
🧵 Democracy feels like it's in a rough state at the moment across the globe, and we hear various explanations, like polarisation, extremism, disinformation, and loss of trust. But what if those explanations are mainly symptoms and we've been trying to treat them rather than the underlying causes?
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dwither @dwither.bsky.social · 06/04/2026
I'm not sure this is an artefact of social media. Rather, it's about the quality of the room you're in. Large scale social media is a good example though.
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