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dubmetrics

@dubmetrics.com
39 followers 141 following 50 posts

WNBA stats, modeled. Team power ratings, on/off RAPM & player projections. Numbers over takes. 🏀📈

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dubmetrics @dubmetrics.com · 16/08/2026
The model's season so far: 163-76 on 239 games (68.2%). When it gave a team 65% or better (94 games): 74-20. Average error on final margin: 10.1 points — the number to hold it to, not the win rate. dubmetrics.com/results
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dubmetrics @dubmetrics.com · 11/08/2026
Last night the model went 2 for 2. Clean sweep. Best call: ATL at 78% — ATL 107, TOR 95. Season to date: 150-75 (66.7%). dubmetrics.com/results
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dubmetrics @dubmetrics.com · 10/08/2026
Monday Movers — how the model's power ratings shifted this week. Up: ↑ MIN +0.5 ↑ IND +0.4 ↑ WSH +0.4 Down: ↓ DAL -0.3 ↓ POR -0.5 ↓ TOR -0.6 Biggest swing: TOR, lost 0.6.
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dubmetrics @dubmetrics.com · 09/08/2026
The model's season so far: 145-74 on 219 games (66.2%). When it gave a team 65% or better (83 games): 63-20. Average error on final margin: 10.2 points — the number to hold it to, not the win rate. dubmetrics.com/results
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dubmetrics @dubmetrics.com · 07/08/2026
Most impactful players this season — net RAPM, our opponent-adjusted on/off 1. A'ja Wilson (LV) — +6.8 2. Veronica Burton (GS) — +6.3 3. Leonie Fiebich (NY) — +5.1 4. Olivia Miles (MIN) — +4.9 5. Alyssa Thomas (PHX) — +4.5 dubmetrics.com/ratings
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dubmetrics @dubmetrics.com · 03/08/2026
Monday Movers — how the model's power ratings shifted this week. Up: ↑ MIN +0.5 ↑ IND +0.4 ↑ WSH +0.4 Down: ↓ DAL -0.3 ↓ POR -0.5 ↓ TOR -0.6 Biggest swing: TOR, lost 0.6.
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dubmetrics @dubmetrics.com · 31/07/2026
Points per game leaders (2026) 1. A'ja Wilson (LV) — 25.9 2. Kelsey Plum (LA) — 23.9 3. Kelsey Mitchell (IND) — 23.6 4. Caitlin Clark (IND) — 21.3 5. Breanna Stewart (NY) — 21.1 dubmetrics.com/players
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dubmetrics @dubmetrics.com · 30/07/2026
Nia Coffey's shot map this season. A rim-or-three diet: 149 of her 182 field goal attempts come at the rim or from three. She's hitting 64% at the rim and 40% from deep on real volume (102 threes). The midrange is 18% of her attempts, on 33% shooting. dubmetrics.com/players/3054590
dubmetrics player card. Nia Coffey's shot map this season.
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dubmetrics @dubmetrics.com · 27/07/2026
Some updated stats before heading into the post all-star break. The model's season so far: 133-71 on 204 games (65.2%). When it gave a team 65% or better (78 games): 58-20. Average error on final margin: 10.6 points - the number to hold it to, not the win rate. dubmetrics.com/results
dubmetrics.com
dubmetrics — WNBA stats, ratings & projections
An independent WNBA stats site: power ratings, player projections, shot charts, and RAPM impact. No takes, just numbers.
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dubmetrics @dubmetrics.com · 25/07/2026
Sophie Cunningham's shot map this season. A rim-or-three diet: 135 of her 156 field goal attempts come at the rim or from three. She's hitting 69% at the rim and 45% from deep on real volume (100 threes). The midrange is 13% of her attempts, on 24% shooting. dubmetrics.com/players/3907781
dubmetrics player card. Sophie Cunningham's shot map this season.
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dubmetrics @dubmetrics.com · 24/07/2026
Most impactful players this season — net RAPM, our opponent-adjusted on/off 1. A'ja Wilson (LV) — +6.5 2. Veronica Burton (GS) — +6.3 3. Leonie Fiebich (NY) — +5.0 4. Olivia Miles (MIN) — +4.8 5. Breanna Stewart (NY) — +4.5 dubmetrics.com/ratings
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dubmetrics @dubmetrics.com · 23/07/2026
Points per game leaders (2026) 1. A'ja Wilson (LV) — 26.1 2. Kelsey Plum (LA) — 23.9 3. Kelsey Mitchell (IND) — 23.3 4. Breanna Stewart (NY) — 21.2 5. Marina Mabrey (TOR) — 21.0 dubmetrics.com/players
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dubmetrics @dubmetrics.com · 23/07/2026
The model's 2nd-most impactful player this season isn't a scorer. Veronica Burton (Golden State Valkyries) ranks 2nd in the WNBA by net RAPM, at +6.34 per 100 possessions on 11.9 PPG. dubmetrics.com/players/4398935
dubmetrics player card. The model's 2nd-most impactful player this season isn't a scorer.
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dubmetrics @dubmetrics.com · 22/06/2026
Monday #WNBA Movers - how the model's power ratings net points per 100 poss) shifted this week. ↑ WSH +0.7 ↑ CHI +0.6 ↑ ATL +0.6 ↓ NY -0.7 ↓ DAL -0.7 ↓ SEA -0.8 Atlanta keeps climbing: 2nd at +7.3, behind only Minnesota (+10.2). NY is the only top-five team trending down. dubmetrics.com/ratings
dubmetrics.com
dubmetrics — WNBA stats, ratings & projections
An independent WNBA stats site: power ratings, player projections, shot charts, and RAPM impact. No takes, just numbers.
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dubmetrics @dubmetrics.com · 22/06/2026
🆕 the dubmetrics Weekly Model Report - issue #1! Minnesota leads the model at +11.0 net and a 53% title probability. The model went 17 of 19 this week. If you are into the #WNBA & like some advanced stats - check out the full issue ↓ dubmetrics.beehiiv.com/p/weekly-mod...
dubmetrics.beehiiv.com
Weekly Model Report - Jun 22, 2026
Minnesota leads the model at +11.0 net and a 53% title probability. Plus: a 17-of-19 week and the week ahead.
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dubmetrics @dubmetrics.com · 21/06/2026
Rhyne Howard's shot diet this season: 138 of 185 field goal attempts at the rim or from three. 76% at the rim, 39% from deep on 109 threes. The midrange - a quarter of her shots - is the part she's cut back on. #WNBA
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dubmetrics @dubmetrics.com · 19/06/2026
TGIF #WNBA! Tonight's model reads (3 games): - New York Liberty 73% over Washington Mystics - Minnesota Lynx 59% over Golden State Valkyries - Tempo / Sun: the model had Toronto at 58%, but that's before Brittney Sykes (foot) was ruled out. Without their leading scorer, it's closer to a toss-up.
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dubmetrics @dubmetrics.com · 18/06/2026
Tonight in the #WNBA - Atlanta Dream @ Indiana Fever. The model gives Atlanta a 53% win probability, projecting a score of ATL 85 - IND 84 at ~84 possessions. Top projected scorer: Rhyne Howard (18.9 pts). One possession separates the model's projections, a margin well within shooting variance.
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dubmetrics @dubmetrics.com · 17/06/2026
The model's 2nd-most impactful #WNBA player this season isn't a scorer. By net RAPM, Veronica Burton (Golden State Valkyries) ranks 2nd in the WNBA, behind only A'ja Wilson: +5.81, on 14.2 PPG. Pass-first, two-way: 5.7 APG, 3.48 assist-to-turnover (98th pct). dubmetrics.com/players/4398...
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dubmetrics @dubmetrics.com · 17/06/2026
The #WNBA is going to 50 games in 2027, up from 44! For most, it's scheduling. For a model, it's a gift: short seasons are why WNBA stats are noisy. Six more games is six more of signal - ratings settle sooner, projections tighten. More basketball, less guessing. check us out → dubmetrics.com
dubmetrics.com
dubmetrics — WNBA stats, ratings & projections
An independent WNBA stats site: power ratings, player projections, shot charts, and RAPM impact. No takes, just numbers.
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dubmetrics @dubmetrics.com · 16/06/2026
New here, so the short version: dubmetrics builds opponent-adjusted ratings and player cards for the W. First card up - A'ja Wilson. 100th percentile scoring rate, 97th in blocks, 90th on the glass. 25.6 / 9.0 / 3.1 a night. A volume scorer who also guards the rim. The shape of an MVP year.
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dubmetrics @dubmetrics.com · 15/06/2026
A little WNBA side project I've been tinkering with. 🟧 Player cards - impact ratings, shot maps, season-by-season - for every player. Still early, but here's a peek. #WNBA
dubmetrics Rating Card for Kelsey Plum - net/offensive/defensive impact ratings, a career shot chart, and a season-by-season stat table.
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