DSB @dsb000.bsky.social · 2hWho wants to be located downtown in Whiterun? The cloud district is what you want to be next to, but I guess you don’t get there very often 000
DSB @dsb000.bsky.social · 23hClassic example of "being right when everyone else is wrong" breaking your brain permanently 0280
DSB @dsb000.bsky.social · 10/10/2026From what I've seen of Spain on bluesky, they skew pretty normielib/leftwing (and UK bsky of course is pretty leftwing as well). 060
DSB @dsb000.bsky.social · 10/10/2026Wonderful thread! With EVs, we've been seeing a massive takeoff in developing markets (eg South Africa, Brazil, Nepal, Ethiopia) – is there any evidence of V2G being used for battery storage in them yet? 010
DSB @dsb000.bsky.social · 09/10/2026Did and did count: Jefferson, Buchanan, Lincoln, Hoover Did and didn’t count: Obama, JFK, Reagan, Teddy Roosevelt Didn’t but would have counted: Grant, GHWB, Carter Didn’t and wouldn’t have counted: GWB, Wilson, John Adams 190
DSB @dsb000.bsky.social · 09/10/2026aking a line chart over time of “presidents who have had interracial relations” and “presidents who have had homosexual relations” and deriving perplexing and worrisome implications 1140
DSB @dsb000.bsky.social · 09/10/2026Yeah but I think his point is more that outside some cities/towns, control was effectively delegated to local rulers. When Britain, Germany and France dismembered the Sokoto Caliphate they left emirs in control in the interior, for example 220
DSB @dsb000.bsky.social · 09/10/2026Saudi Arabia wants to transition away from oil in the way people want to get in shape on January 2nd 030
DSB @dsb000.bsky.social · 07/10/2026Ok but putting this another way: one in twelve manned aircraft shot down in this war, were shot down by Kuwait 010
DSB @dsb000.bsky.social · 07/10/2026Russia is already basically an economic puppet for China. Since Russia got somewhat cut off from Europe they’re basically a captive supplier and easy consumer for China 060
DSB @dsb000.bsky.social · 07/10/2026If you want gas prices to go down, you don’t target the oil producers, you target the demand. He’s going to blow up the F-150 plant 010
DSB @dsb000.bsky.social · 07/10/2026I think the Chinese car ban debate is the real test here, and Slotkin shilling so hard for it keeps me worried. If that dies an ignominious death, I feel a lot better about trade. Letting chinese cars into the US is the easiest way to generate a visible consumer surplus from free trade 000
DSB @dsb000.bsky.social · 07/10/2026Oman/Zanzibar de facto controlled the eastern half of the Congo via Tippu Tip at the same time. That said, failure to effectively control Sudan is one of the main factors that leads to Britain getting influence in Egypt, so it probably wouldn't be easy. 150
DSB @dsb000.bsky.social · 07/10/2026Who needs expertise when you have the avatar of masculinity in Scott Bessent who is willing to get into fistfights with any official, elected or otherwise? Do you really think the markets could win a fistfight with a spry 64 year old? 010
DSB @dsb000.bsky.social · 07/10/2026It's concentrated in metro NY and spills over into NJ; I think general machine dysfunction is the underlying cause here, so it's the center collapsing to attacks from both left (Kim, Zohran, AOC) and right. Sherrill in NJ was also a massive poll overperformance last year. 010
DSB @dsb000.bsky.social · 07/10/2026This is probably best case scenario? – idiots who bribed Trump get rinsed – If we're going to take back all of the Trump family net worth in 2029, I'd rather take cash than crypto 000
DSB @dsb000.bsky.social · 07/10/2026Really strongly recommend “Islamic Enlightenment” on the topic which does a lot of compare-and-contrast with the Persians and Ottomans of the same era 190
DSB @dsb000.bsky.social · 07/10/2026And they’re making a pretty credible push towards modernization! Huge amount of progress catching Egypt up on science, medicine, and even industrialization, then becoming a major cotton producer in the American civil war. 3120
DSB @dsb000.bsky.social · 05/10/2026So I think there’s a kernel of truth in there (“I’m bad at math” being treated as an immutable characteristic, for example), but effectively the entire mythology of America is built on grindset. Even Michael Jordan’s persona is built on idea of working around the clock to get better 0150
DSB @dsb000.bsky.social · 05/10/2026Once East-West is attacked once, I'd assume that's the real pricing mechanism, isn't it? I feel like the question is less "is a 1,200 KM pipeline vulnerable to being blown up" and more "is the enemy considering that a valid target" and the first bombing already answered that question 070
DSB @dsb000.bsky.social · 05/10/2026What’s kind of fascinating is that there’s some countries with traditional “machismo” issues that are taking up EVs in droves (Colombia, Ecuador, Dominican Republic), and even neighboring Ukraine hit 50% in December 010
DSB @dsb000.bsky.social · 05/10/2026So I think the question becomes, what are the things democrats can do in 2029-32 that will be sufficient wins to offset this? France, Latam, and Korea don’t seem to have answers. The IRA didn’t prevent this, locking them up isn’t working in Brazil/Korea, and killing data centers won’t work either. 010
DSB @dsb000.bsky.social · 05/10/2026Perhaps Brazil should have tried finding a second left-of-center politician at some point in the last 40 years 0170
DSB @dsb000.bsky.social · 05/10/2026Bolsonaro’s lead is down to 4pts with 89% reporting and it will probably get narrower, but seems like an absolute shellacking in Rio+Sao Paulo 190
DSB @dsb000.bsky.social · 04/10/2026But between both Korea and Brazil I think “hey just lock them up! That’s easier when you have living memory of authoritarianism” is aging really poorly. 1916
DSB @dsb000.bsky.social · 04/10/2026Being an octogenarian incumbent with corruption allegations and high inflation during a Latin American rightwing wave is a tough position 2733
DSB @dsb000.bsky.social · 04/10/2026Islam’s anti-alcohol provisions are why caliphates expanded so quickly, and if the Byzantines had adopted that from them rather than iconoclasm, everywhere from Ukraine to Morocco would be speaking Greek 020
DSB @dsb000.bsky.social · 04/10/2026House reps could get bonuses every reelection equivalent to $1 per vote margin. They can’t determine their own districts so hopefully that incentivizes both high turnout AND high popularity, and “$1 in tax if you think your rep is doing a good job” isn’t a crazy sell 000
DSB @dsb000.bsky.social · 04/10/2026Should a House Representative be paid more or less than an entry level SWE position at Meta? A shockingly difficult question, apparently 061
DSB @dsb000.bsky.social · 03/10/2026And at the same time, it provides an interesting villain and counterfactual. “What if the Whites won the Russian Civil War” isn’t exciting because we already have 500 years of history of that in Russia. “What if a slave empire won the American Civil War” vs “America stays British, like Canada” 010
DSB @dsb000.bsky.social · 03/10/2026EVs? Renewables? Making something that doesn’t contain three layers of plastic wrappers? All anathema to Japan 010
DSB @dsb000.bsky.social · 03/10/2026There is no country on earth that loves petrochemicals like Japan. The petrostates of the world did not choose their love of oil: Japan, despite having none, has built their entire economy around petroleum products and refuses to change even when it would save their economy trillions of dollars 100
DSB @dsb000.bsky.social · 03/10/2026Who is having the worst year between Putin, MBS, or MBZ? Every single foreign policy decision the UAE has made for like two decades has backfired so badly this year that they’re dropping bombs in Dubai 130
DSB @dsb000.bsky.social · 03/10/2026In a pre-NAFTA world, you didn’t have to be as down to earth to win elections in Ohio 030
DSB @dsb000.bsky.social · 03/10/2026The UAE? Hiring an extremist and being shocked when it backfires? Pics unrelated 020
DSB @dsb000.bsky.social · 02/10/2026Is he drinking Tim Horton’s or something else Also shoutout to Merz for seemingly looking at his phone while WFH, another solid Friday mood 020
DSB @dsb000.bsky.social · 02/10/2026This is close enough to where there’s an incentive to really push some buttons, though. If you’re BMW with their large plant there, you start asking Graham some *very* tough questions about tariffs and trade wars, for instance. 000
DSB @dsb000.bsky.social · 02/10/2026What even is the argument for lethal injection at this point? It doesn’t absolve any souls and it seems to have a very spotty track record with some high profile failures. 000
DSB @dsb000.bsky.social · 02/10/2026It’s like a turn-based affair. KSA ineffectually drops $4B worth of bombs on the Houthis, who respond by crippling the Saudi economy for a week with $500 worth of drones 0131
DSB @dsb000.bsky.social · 02/10/2026- Stoning witches together as a community - Good old days of Tercios instead of barbaric pike and shot - No vile Prussians or Swedes anywhere in sight - Good ol' days where you got to pillage protestant cities like Magdeburg and no one put up a big fuss 030
DSB @dsb000.bsky.social · 02/10/2026Since he’s come back from the taxpayer funded roadtrip, he finalized worse fuel efficiency standards for cars and this for some reason. Between him and Kash, the government seems to run better when we’re paying taxes for their holidays 010
DSB @dsb000.bsky.social · 02/10/2026I mean they also killed manual transmissions because they weren’t sellers, and the Lamborghini Urus was a smashing success. Never underestimate how terrible the taste of supercar buyers can be! 000
DSB @dsb000.bsky.social · 02/10/2026The decentralized chaos is why the Xiongnu/Huns/Mongols/Jurchens/Goths never, ever threatened Rome or China, right? Right? 011
DSB @dsb000.bsky.social · 01/10/2026I think my worry is just that it's really hard to electrify when Big 3 (and Honda) aren't taking electrification seriously, and higher gas prices have been driving people to Asian hybrids so far, not EVs. We'll see, but policy+OEM headwinds look really tough here 000
DSB @dsb000.bsky.social · 01/10/2026I felt like this in H1, but July and August were just really bad and reversed the recovery that we saw in the beginning of the year. There's been bad rumblings about Ford's new EV pickup so I'm pretty worried about a healthy turnaround in 2027 200
DSB @dsb000.bsky.social · 01/10/2026Was the death star a public-private joint venture? Did it issue stock/bonds? Was there a hedge fund who made bank by predicting that it was going to be a disaster and shorting the bonds? Does the Star Wars galaxy have more complex forms of credit that we haven't invented yet? 020
DSB @dsb000.bsky.social · 01/10/2026Do investment banks in the Star Wars Universe treat their analysts better or worse than BoA? 030
DSB @dsb000.bsky.social · 30/09/2026Billions of Corellians laid off as they hear the news that there’s no longer enough power available to set up the new Chevy Wookie XL plant 0431
DSB @dsb000.bsky.social · 30/09/2026Andor established that the Death Star’s front was a much-needed energy program, so Luke probably crashed the Coruscant stock market and triggered an energy prices shock as producers and buyers calibrated to a new expected equilibrium 6643
