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Jonathan Powell

@drpowell.bsky.social
206 followers 61 following 8 posts

Free agent social scientist studying political instability and human security

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Reposted by Jonathan Powell
Dr. Salah Ben Hammou @salahbhpolisci.bsky.social · 26/11/2025
A military coup appears to have happened in Guinea-Bissau. The warning signs were there, leading up to Sunday's elections. @drpowell.bsky.social & I wrote about these warning signs last week over at @africa.theconversation.com. theconversation.com/guinea-bissa...
theconversation.com
Guinea-Bissau’s presidential poll has already failed the credibility test
What’s at stake in Guinea-Bissau’s election is a wider regional crisis in which incumbents erode legitimacy.
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Reposted by Jonathan Powell
Dr. Salah Ben Hammou @salahbhpolisci.bsky.social · 10/11/2025
Had the pleasure to join the good folks over at the Centre for African Conflict & Development to offer my perspective on the Madagascar coup and other related developments in their latest podcast episode. open.spotify.com/episode/18ea...
open.spotify.com
EP 108: The Recent Coup in Madagascar with Dr Salah Ben Hammou
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Reposted by Jonathan Powell
Dr. Salah Ben Hammou @salahbhpolisci.bsky.social · 06/11/2025
Happy to share my latest piece at Foreign Policy w/ @drpowell.bsky.social. Madagascar’s recent coup reflects a wider “coupvolution” trend - civilians help topple leaders, only to be sidelined once the military takes over. Here's what they can do. foreignpolicy.com/2025/11/06/m...
foreignpolicy.com
Madagascar’s ‘Coupvolution’ Is Following a Familiar Pattern
Gen Z protesters now have buyer's remorse.
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Reposted by Jonathan Powell
Armed Forces & Society Journal @afssage.bsky.social · 27/10/2025
As we see a rise in coups across Africa, Salah Ben Hammou (@salahbhpolisci.bsky.social) and Jonathan Powell (@drpowell.bsky.social) have been making significant contributions to conversations about coups around the world, including in AF&S! Find their articles here: journals.sagepub.com/home/afs
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Jonathan Powell @drpowell.bsky.social · 14/02/2025
Perhaps, but until we actually see a powerless court maybe the system shouldn't be coded worse than Mao or Fujimori on executive constraints.
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Jonathan Powell @drpowell.bsky.social · 12/02/2025
For some perspective, a +4 overall is on par with Apartheid South Africa, Mugabe's Zimbabwe, and Putin's Russia.
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Jonathan Powell @drpowell.bsky.social · 12/02/2025
The explanation for the downgrade not aligning with stated criteria was also an issue for post-2020. If the explanations reflect actual criteria used for the US, those criteria for unknown reasons appear to be wholly ignored in many other cases in their dataset.
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Jonathan Powell @drpowell.bsky.social · 12/02/2025
I'll be more blunt. It's a joke. Trump will be challenged in court, as the legal process would demand. They did this before with Trump and quickly reversed their coding. The US also seems to be the only country that gets this sort of treatment with their autocoup measure.
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Reposted by Jonathan Powell
Dr. Salah Ben Hammou @salahbhpolisci.bsky.social · 07/02/2025
Sharing my latest with Kelsey Norman over at Foreign Policy @foreignpolicy.com. Here, we discuss how mutual aid networks in Sudan offer an alternative model of aid distribution in armed conflict. foreignpolicy.com/2025/02/07/s...
foreignpolicy.com
Sudan’s New Model for Aid Distribution
Rather than rely on other countries or international organizations, local communities have banded together.
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Jonathan Powell @drpowell.bsky.social · 15/12/2024
All the Die Hard talk distracts us from recognizing a truly great Christmas movie: Lethal Weapon
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Jonathan Powell @drpowell.bsky.social · 29/11/2024
New commentary with @salahbhpolisci.bsky.social on post-coup politics. This will be the first of a number on the return of military rule and its relationship to broader shifts in global politics. theconversation.com/gabons-coup-...
theconversation.com
Gabon’s coup leaders have changed the constitution to entrench their power – it’s a growing trend in west Africa
Coup leaders in Gabon are using democratic tools to extend their stay in power.
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Jonathan Powell @drpowell.bsky.social · 04/11/2023
A lot of trouble to go through for a captain… amp.theguardian.com/world/2023/n...
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Jonathan Powell @drpowell.bsky.social · 22/09/2023
I got that from a guy at my first ever conference presentation. Dude had just presented on great power warfare…
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