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Ed Dolan

@dolanecon.bsky.social
1.2K followers 2.3K following 370 posts

Economist, Senior Fellow at Niskanen Center. Political economy, social policy, environmental economics and more.

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Ed Dolan @dolanecon.bsky.social · 30/06/2026
Must read of the month. Would be even better if it spent more time applying its thesis to US domestic governance. www.cfr.org/articles/draft
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Ed Dolan @dolanecon.bsky.social · 12/05/2026
Plutopopulism under Trump. www.ft.com/content/31f4...
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Ed Dolan @dolanecon.bsky.social · 05/05/2026
The US is on track to become a quaint island of antique fossil-fuel technology in a world of green energy. Iran is accelerating the trend. paulkrugman.substack.com/p/trump-is-l...
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Ed Dolan @dolanecon.bsky.social · 01/04/2026
A great exposition of the thesis that "you can't eat GDP". www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...
washingtonpost.com
Opinion | Don’t believe the claim about war and the economy
The “wartime economy” fairy tale misunderstands what GDP measures.
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Ed Dolan @dolanecon.bsky.social · 17/03/2026
Is the whole world changing? Is there going to be a place for the US in the new version? www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...
washingtonpost.com
Opinion | Britain is ready to admit it has an America problem
Washington’s unquestioned leadership of the West’s postwar alliance system is dissolving.
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Ed Dolan @dolanecon.bsky.social · 11/03/2026
"World War III is already underway" -- A Ukrainian perspective on the Iran conflict. meduza.io/en/feature/2...
meduza.io
‘World War III is already underway’: Zelensky advisor Mykhailo Podolyak on what the new Middle East war means for Ukraine — Meduza
When the U.S. and Israel launched a war against Iran in late February, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky warned that the new conflict could make it harder for Kyiv to obtain the missiles and othe...
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Ed Dolan @dolanecon.bsky.social · 02/03/2026
@dsorennie.bsky.social With regard to your Feb 14 piece on Democracy and modernity: Here is some hard statistical evidence that you are right: Liberal democracies that succumb to populism do not become Singapores. www.niskanencenter.org/the-numbers-...
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Ed Dolan @dolanecon.bsky.social · 24/02/2026
The art of the deal at work. wapo.st/4tOngmV
wapo.st
Opinion | Trump’s nixing of this bridge to Canada would be economic malpractice
Turning down a fully built, Canadian-funded span hurts U.S. competitiveness.
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Ed Dolan @dolanecon.bsky.social · 10/02/2026
Capital is winning labor is losing. That's it -- the whole story. www.wsj.com/economy/jobs...
wsj.com
The Big Money in Today’s Economy Is Going to Capital, Not Labor
Soaring profits and stocks funnel more of GDP toward companies, their top employees and shareholders. AI will intensify this trend.
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Ed Dolan @dolanecon.bsky.social · 04/01/2026
I ran across a Redditt thread (not new) that suggests US oil companies aren't really much interested in access to Venezuela's heavy sour crude. (See image for a small sample of the thread) Has anyone seen more on this topic from sources that know the industry well? www.reddit.com/r/stocks/com...
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Ed Dolan @dolanecon.bsky.social · 31/12/2025
In a May '25 post, I cited Gallup data to show that American attitudes made it unrealistic to count on immigration to smooth population trends -- most people wanted to cut immigration or keep it the same. The latest data (next slide) show a sharp change www.milkenreview.org/articles/the... ...
milkenreview.org
The Birth Dearth: Panic or Celebrate?
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Ed Dolan @dolanecon.bsky.social · 18/12/2025
" Technical workarounds that the agency used to deal with the collection issues may have biased the November figure downward, causing inflation to be understated." Let's wait to celebrate the end of inflation. www.wsj.com/economy/cons...
wsj.com
Inflation Eased to 2.7% in Report Distorted by Government Shutdown
Consumer prices rose 2.7% in November from a year earlier, according to a delayed government report, slowing from 3% in September.
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Ed Dolan @dolanecon.bsky.social · 17/11/2025
According to this account, Russian foreign policy is in disarray. open.substack.com/pub/ironcurt...
open.substack.com
The crisis of influence: How war and administrative stagnation undermine Russia’s foreign policy
November 16, 2025
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Ed Dolan @dolanecon.bsky.social · 14/11/2025
Great article on the importance of grasslands and biodiversity, including the role of very small, lawn-sized plots with dozens of different plant species. www.washingtonpost.com/climate-envi...
washingtonpost.com
Column | Scientists discover an ancient landscape – in our own backyard
Newly discovered patches of ancient landscape have somehow managed to survive without being turned into a farm, forest or subdivision.
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Ed Dolan @dolanecon.bsky.social · 28/10/2025
As @pkrugman.bsky.social explains, the GOP is shooting itself in the foot with its cutoff of SNAP funding. Just a glance at this map shows that SNAP cutoffs hit red counties (well, darker green on this map) harder than blue. paulkrugman.substack.com/p/the-hunger...
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Ed Dolan @dolanecon.bsky.social · 11/10/2025
Administration's immigration policy is disrupting farm labor market. This piece highlights the fact that no one seems to be thinking this through carefully. www.washingtonpost.com/business/202...
washingtonpost.com
Trump administration says immigration enforcement threatens higher food prices
U.S. farmers face labor shortages and potential food price hikes due to Trump’s immigration policy, the administration acknowledged in a Federal Registry document.
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Ed Dolan @dolanecon.bsky.social · 10/10/2025
From @niskanencenter.bsky.social , a potentially powerful tool to ease the nationwide housing shortage. www.niskanencenter.org/home-field-a...
niskanencenter.org
HOME field advantage: Leveraging HUD dollars to build more housing - Niskanen Center
This proposal represents the single biggest action HUD could take on its own to increase housing supply and open the possibility to substantially address the U.S. housing affordability crisis.
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Ed Dolan @dolanecon.bsky.social · 07/10/2025
Sometimes we have to say "no." This yes-no-yes approach makes it easier to do without unnecessary antagonism. www.talkmarkets.com/content/sayi...
talkmarkets.com
Saying No To Empower Your Yes: Practical Ways To Disagree Without Picking A Fight
By prefacing a principled
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Ed Dolan @dolanecon.bsky.social · 23/09/2025
1/2 Alarmed by the decrease in college enrollment? Most of the drop is in low-quality schools, says @prestoncooper93.bsky.social . Although humanities majors like me will be saddened by erosion of deeper learning in favor of career-boosting majors. prestoncooper93.substack.com/p/why-the-co...
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Ed Dolan @dolanecon.bsky.social · 17/09/2025
It's far too soon to know the full effects of the Administration's war on immigration. But one thing is already clear: It isn't creating jobs www.wsj.com/opinion/trum...
wsj.com
Opinion | Trump Secured the Border, So Where Are the Jobs?
There’s little evidence that less immigration means more opportunities for Americans to work.
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Ed Dolan @dolanecon.bsky.social · 11/09/2025
Forget about meaningless year-on-year inflation. What's important is what is happening now. August CPI inflation was 4.5 percent compounded annual rate -- and rising fast.
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Ed Dolan @dolanecon.bsky.social · 26/08/2025
This California bill promotes more housing near transit hubs. Lists arguments for and against. Looks to me that the listed arguments against are things that make me like it better. www.slowboring.com/p/breaking-d...
slowboring.com
Breaking down State Senate Bill 79
California debates a major transit-oriented housing reform
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Ed Dolan @dolanecon.bsky.social · 25/08/2025
Those of us in the academic world write about "state capacity." Sometimes that term is just too wonky for those who live on planet Earth. Here is a case study that says exactly what "state capacity" means in that real world. (Hat-tip to @pahlkadot.bsky.social ) www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2025...
washingtonpost.com
FEMA staff warn Trump officials’ actions risk a Katrina-level disaster
About 180 FEMA employees, many of them anonymous, signed a letter to Congress arguing that agency leadership has hindered the ability to effectively manage emergencies.
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Ed Dolan @dolanecon.bsky.social · 23/08/2025
"President says he’ll decide later “whose fault it is” that Moscow and Kyiv have not moved closer to end the war." (If he hasn't figured that out yet, things don't look good.) wapo.st/3JvvRrN
wapo.st
Frustrated, Trump signals pause in his Ukraine peace effort
The president, who had said a deal to end the war could be reached soon, expressed frustration over lack of progress and signaled he would pause his efforts.
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Ed Dolan @dolanecon.bsky.social · 22/08/2025
By some reports, Russia is "winning" the war in Ukraine. However, the cost to its economy is enormous. meduza.io/en/feature/2...
meduza.io
As the Kremlin stalls on peace talks, Russia’s economy shows mounting strain — Meduza
The wartime mobilization of Russia’s economy has drained its reserves, though the country has so far avoided slipping into a recession. Civilian industries are stagnating or already shrinking, while o...
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Ed Dolan @dolanecon.bsky.social · 14/08/2025
@pkrugman.bsky.social quotes Arendt: "Totalitarianism in power invariably replaces all first-rate talents, regardless of their sympathies, with those crackpots and fools whose lack of intelligence and creativity is still the best guarantee of their loyalty." paulkrugman.substack.com/p/hackificat...
paulkrugman.substack.com
Hackification
Arendt’s Law comes for economic data
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Ed Dolan @dolanecon.bsky.social · 14/08/2025
Utilities often keep coal plants online even when they are not the cheapest source of power. Trump rules are making this problem worse. We could have a win-win (cut electricity prices AND cut emissions) if we could thwart this coal-friendly practice. www.volts.wtf/p/trumps-lat...
volts.wtf
Trump's latest attempt to save coal
Frank Rambo joins me to discuss the multi-billion-dollar utility practice of running expensive coal plants and the Trump administration's efforts to prop them up.
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Ed Dolan @dolanecon.bsky.social · 12/08/2025
What to expect in Alaska? “The ideal scenario for Putin would be to divorce the issue of relations with America from the issue of Ukraine, hoping that other political and economic matters would make Ukraine of little relevance to Trump.” www.wsj.com/world/russia...
wsj.com
Russia Has High Hopes for Trump-Putin Summit. Peace Isn’t One of Them.
The meeting represents a victory for Russian President Vladimir Putin, who seeks to end international isolation and separate Russian ties with the U.S. from the fate of Ukraine.
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Ed Dolan @dolanecon.bsky.social · 11/08/2025
Looks much like Bukele's playbook. www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...
washingtonpost.com
Trump readies federal moves on D.C. crime, takes over D.C. police
The president is planning to flex his law enforcement power over Washington, declaring that he would clear the city of homeless people and crack down on crime.
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Ed Dolan @dolanecon.bsky.social · 02/08/2025
I, for one, am all for cutting government waste. Why, then, is the government becoming a major perpetrator of waste? www.washingtonpost.com/nation/2025/...
washingtonpost.com
Vast supplies of U.S. aid remain stranded, despite State Department promises
More than 60,000 metric tons of food have languished in warehouses in the United States and around the world — with expiration dates nearing on some items.
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Ed Dolan @dolanecon.bsky.social · 01/08/2025
You can't fight the culture wars and make government more efficient at the same time. The see-saw battle over paper vs. plastic straws is a case in point, says @gabemenchaca.bsky.social of @niskanencenter.bsky.social www.eatingpolicy.com/p/grasping-a...
eatingpolicy.com
Grasping at (Paper) Straws
You can have government efficiency or wage the culture war, but not both at once
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Ed Dolan @dolanecon.bsky.social · 24/07/2025
Can someone explain why this is different from a cybercriminal who steals your data and then promises to give it back in return for a payment? www.washingtonpost.com/education/20...
washingtonpost.com
White House touts deal with Columbia as critics decry ‘chilling’ precedent
Education lawyers and advocates said Columbia’s deal with the White House was a potentially dangerous government intrusion into higher education.
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Ed Dolan @dolanecon.bsky.social · 23/07/2025
@meduza.io reports a bizarre trend among Russian elites toward beards, long hair for men, and traditional "patriotic" dress meduza.io/en/feature/2...
meduza.io
Dressing the part In wartime Russia, political elites are literally wearing their patriotism on their sleeves — Meduza
Since launching its full-scale war against Ukraine, the Kremlin has demanded total loyalty from government officials. In response, many in the country’s political elite have remade their public image ...
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Ed Dolan @dolanecon.bsky.social · 23/07/2025
1/2 @pkrugman.bsky.social explains here why Trump's Japan trade deal, if fully implemented, will increase rather than decrease the US trade deficit. The key is the simple equation US Trade Deficit = Net Foreign Investment to US. ... open.substack.com/pub/paulkrug...
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Ed Dolan @dolanecon.bsky.social · 15/07/2025
1/2 To follow the rise of inflation, watch the annualized monthly rate, not the %change from a year ago.
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Ed Dolan @dolanecon.bsky.social · 12/07/2025
The only slim hope that Trump's Big Bad Bill will NOT trigger a major fiscal crisis is for GDP growth to increase. Already not very realistic, that hope is further dashed by a new study from the Atlanta Fed showing that mass deportation will send growth down, not up. www.wsj.com/opinion/dona...
wsj.com
Opinion | The Economic Drain of Mass Deportation
A Dallas Fed study shows how much it could sap economic growth.
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Ed Dolan @dolanecon.bsky.social · 10/07/2025
Trump's tariff policy is bad enough on economic grounds alone, but this is something else altogether. www.wsj.com/world/americ...
wsj.com
Trump Threatens 50% Brazil Tariff, Citing Bolsonaro Trial
That is the highest levy announced so far in Trump’s letters to world leaders this week, and comes after he wrote a lengthy message supporting the former Brazilian leader.
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Ed Dolan @dolanecon.bsky.social · 09/07/2025
"It's the housing, stupid!" Well, this new report from @niskanencenter.bsky.social does not go so far as to call anyone "stupid," but it does show that the high cost of housing is the leading reason for California's sky-high SPM poverty rate. www.niskanencenter.org/housing-poli...
niskanencenter.org
Housing policy and poverty: The case of California - Niskanen Center
Policy strategies that increase housing supply and reduce housing costs should be viewed analogously to anti-poverty strategies that redistribute cash income.
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Ed Dolan @dolanecon.bsky.social · 08/07/2025
1/2 Economists who study our healthcare system are frustrated by one thing above all: Not only are prices high, they are unknowable. www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...
washingtonpost.com
Opinion | Surprise, the No Surprises Act hasn’t stopped shock medical bills
Americans who thought they knew what a trip to the doctor was going to cost them still don’t.
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Ed Dolan @dolanecon.bsky.social · 05/07/2025
Greg Ip, @wsj.com: "If governments could borrow as much as they wished and set interest rates by fiat, why don’t more do it? Because there is no free lunch. If interest rates are persistently too low, something bad will happen, usually inflation." www.wsj.com/economy/cent...
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Ed Dolan @dolanecon.bsky.social · 03/07/2025
BLS reports the unemployment rate decreased but the labor force fell by 130k and the employment population ratio was unchanged. On balance, a mixed picture on strength of job market. www.bls.gov/news.release...
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Ed Dolan @dolanecon.bsky.social · 26/06/2025
@gabemenchaca.bsky.social of @niskanencenter.bsky.social argues that the admin's attempts to improve performance and accountability in the civil service are simply "cloaking partisan control over the civil service in the language of “efficiency,” and “fitness." www.niskanencenter.org/you-cant-fir...
niskanencenter.org
You can’t fire your way to a high-performing government - Niskanen Center
Instead of tackling the real challenges of performance management in the federal workforce, the Trump Administration is dismantling a century of protections against politically motivated firings.
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Ed Dolan @dolanecon.bsky.social · 26/06/2025
Do work requirements for Medicaid work? No, says Robert Gordon, who has hands-on experience running such a program. donmoynihan.substack.com/p/how-medica...
donmoynihan.substack.com
How Medicaid Work Requirements Betray Work and Waste Money
I Oversaw Work Requirements in Michigan - Here is What I Told Congress
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Ed Dolan @dolanecon.bsky.social · 26/06/2025
1/3 Should we fight population decline with immigration and other tools? wapo.st/44dEoGA
wapo.st
Immigrants drive population growth in a graying America, census shows
Immigration is driving U.S. population growth, partially offsetting a broader demographic shift as baby boomers age, according to Census Bureau data.
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Ed Dolan @dolanecon.bsky.social · 24/06/2025
Who is going to bring in the harvest? And MAGA's effects on rural America don't stop there. paulkrugman.substack.com/p/maga-will-...
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Ed Dolan @dolanecon.bsky.social · 22/06/2025
1/2 The Jones Act, the original legislation that gave preference to American Ships, was bad. The new one is worse. This is the new one ... www.freightwaves.com/news/lawmake...
freightwaves.com
Lawmakers give US-flag shipping a cargo boost
The House approved legislation requiring that all federal commercial cargo be carried on U.S.-owned ships.
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Ed Dolan @dolanecon.bsky.social · 21/06/2025
Russia's economy in serious trouble, officials say meduza.io/en/feature/2...
meduza.io
‘We really are in a perfect storm’ Russia’s finance minister admits federal budget is facing ‘serious turbulence’ — Meduza
At an event on the sidelines of the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum, Russian Finance Minister Anton Siluanov made a telling remark. In his words, the country’s federal budget, which has po...
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Ed Dolan @dolanecon.bsky.social · 19/06/2025
@paulkrugman discusses the bad job market for recent college grads open.substack.com/pub/paulkrug...
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Ed Dolan @dolanecon.bsky.social · 15/06/2025
1/2 What is the key value of libertarianism? Destruction of the state, or enhancement of liberty itself? @mattzwolinski.bsky.social does a good job of parsing this issue, which is newly important as MAGA captures the remnants of libertarianism. . . . www.theunpopulist.net/p/to-fight-a...
theunpopulist.net
To Fight Authoritarianism, Libertarians Need to be More Pro-Liberty, Not Just Anti-State
Blogger Noah Smith’s praise for libertarianism comes at an odd time but offers an opportunity to clarify the side that has contributed to human freedom and flourishing
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Ed Dolan @dolanecon.bsky.social · 13/06/2025
Just the facts, ma'am: New CBO estimates show that Trump's tax bill would take $1,559 from the average family in the lowest income decile and give $12,044 to the average family in the top income decile. www.cbo.gov/system/files...
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