iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

daniel f stone @dfstone.bsky.social · 08/09/2026

Prediction markets are pretty useful cutting through BS sometimes www.nytimes.com/2026/09/06/u... polymarket.com/event/new-ha...

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daniel f stone @dfstone.bsky.social · 29/08/2026

Great American story open.substack.com/pub/matthewy... (I remember people saying "anything but country" - I might have said it...)

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daniel f stone @dfstone.bsky.social · 23/03/2026

"The sleep of reason produces monsters"

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daniel f stone @dfstone.bsky.social · 09/03/2026

Two things can be true: we can be *both* introspective about ways we can improve and defiant against authoritarianism, lawlessness, corruption, brutality, and illiberalism www.chronicle.com/article/the-...

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daniel f stone @dfstone.bsky.social · 06/03/2026

Re Platner - and politics in general - from Ron Currie 👏 archive.is/JhWAH

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daniel f stone @dfstone.bsky.social · 19/02/2026

My tariff story Ordered a $250 C trumpet from German co Thomann for my kid 1 day later, got hit with $101 'extra import fee' from UPS Paid it since I'd already paid for the trumpet... So: I'm out extra $101, and trade deficit is definitely unchanged 🙃🙃 www.thomannmusic.com/trumpets.html

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daniel f stone @dfstone.bsky.social · 05/02/2026

substack.com/@abio/note/c...? 🥴

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daniel f stone @dfstone.bsky.social · 15/12/2025

Loss aversion ("bad is stronger than good"): evidence from Buddhism

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daniel f stone @dfstone.bsky.social · 10/12/2025

Yes... The existence of the college admissions consulting industry is also pretty clear evidence of this (only wealthy people can afford it - and they wouldn't pay if it didn't work - and it doesn't work by improving test scores/grades... though of course $ can be used to improve these too)

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daniel f stone @dfstone.bsky.social · 05/11/2025

For 478 (literal) swing voters, your vote really did matter www.pressherald.com/2025/11/05/b...

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daniel f stone @dfstone.bsky.social · 28/10/2025

According to Google AI I have coined the term "affective polarization" 😆

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daniel f stone @dfstone.bsky.social · 20/10/2025

For your mental accounts slides www.reddit.com/r/personalfi...

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daniel f stone @dfstone.bsky.social · 13/10/2025

This actually looks like useful advice www.washingtonpost.com/health/2025/...

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daniel f stone @dfstone.bsky.social · 13/10/2025

Backward induction for the win (via The Art of Spending Money by Morgan Housel, ht Justin Welsh)

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daniel f stone @dfstone.bsky.social · 08/10/2025

😅👍👏https://www.jericoliver.com/about-me

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daniel f stone @dfstone.bsky.social · 02/10/2025

www.nytimes.com/2025/10/02/u... Very good to confirm this: the vast majority of both Republicans and Democrats (still) do not think of the other party as "the enemy"

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daniel f stone @dfstone.bsky.social · 27/09/2025

Bowdoin econ is hiring two assistant professors! www.aeaweb.org/joe/listing.... This place is pretty great - see e.g. www.google.com/search?q=wha... (Doesn't even mention the full year full pay junior sabbatical...) Let me know any questions !

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daniel f stone @dfstone.bsky.social · 12/09/2025

(So recent lit debating electoral effects of politicians being moderates might be confounded by not controlling for this... maybe picking up a 'civility' effect?) Anyway link to the draft here, comments welcome! 🙏 osf.io/preprints/so...

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daniel f stone @dfstone.bsky.social · 01/09/2025

Maybe just threatening to use this could be pretty effective papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

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daniel f stone @dfstone.bsky.social · 13/08/2025

Yes, interior solutions are usually optimal! bt.e-ditionsbyfry.com/publication/...

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daniel f stone @dfstone.bsky.social · 31/07/2025

Yes infinite loss aversion is dumb 🙃 www.goodthoughts.blog/p/the-gift-o...

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daniel f stone @dfstone.bsky.social · 22/07/2025

Not sure what you call this type of yield curve

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daniel f stone @dfstone.bsky.social · 13/07/2025

www.nytimes.com/2025/07/13/o...

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daniel f stone @dfstone.bsky.social · 07/07/2025

Highly cited (given it's only been out less than a year) but not actually high impact :(

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daniel f stone @dfstone.bsky.social · 02/07/2025

🫠 news.gallup.com/poll/656891/...

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daniel f stone @dfstone.bsky.social · 25/06/2025

www.pressherald.com?p=7468225&uu... 👍👍

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daniel f stone @dfstone.bsky.social · 19/06/2025

"Increasing self-esteem causally reduces demand for status goods, indicating that social image might be a substitute for self-image" home.uchicago.edu/bursztyn/Sta...

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daniel f stone @dfstone.bsky.social · 06/06/2025

Actually gt may have done pretty well here 🙃 www.bloomberg.com/news/article... chatgpt.com/share/68430a...

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daniel f stone @dfstone.bsky.social · 06/06/2025

~75% of people are altruistic or inequality averse, only about 25% are fully selfish or spiteful pubs.aeaweb.org/doi/pdfplus/... wtd avg calculations- chatgpt.com/share/6842ed...

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daniel f stone @dfstone.bsky.social · 06/06/2025

It pays to overcome confirmation bias www.anderson.ucla.edu/sites/defaul...

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daniel f stone @dfstone.bsky.social · 03/06/2025

The firm with the best reputation in America is a firm that does not advertise 🤔 www.eatingwell.com/why-trader-j... www.axios.com/2025/05/20/a...

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daniel f stone @dfstone.bsky.social · 20/05/2025

10% of the US population describe themselves as unemployed (4/24 through 4/25) 🤔😟 insights.yougov.com/us-job-satis...

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daniel f stone @dfstone.bsky.social · 10/04/2025

Predictions are hard, especially about the future... www.bloomberg.com/company/pres... www.morningstar.com/sustainable-...

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daniel f stone @dfstone.bsky.social · 08/04/2025

From our local food bank 😟

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daniel f stone @dfstone.bsky.social · 05/04/2025

Nice piece on adversarial collaborations. Maybe Kahneman's most underrated contribution www.apa.org/monitor/2025...

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daniel f stone @dfstone.bsky.social · 24/03/2025

www.washingtonpost.com/obituaries/2... 👍

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daniel f stone @dfstone.bsky.social · 23/03/2025

Hmm yeah wasn't sure if came from econ (Spence) or bio first but usually we are the people to call stuff 'costly' when there is some general harm :). Looks like Spence may have been first to say "costly signal" (he used it before Zahavi's 1975 handicap principle)

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daniel f stone @dfstone.bsky.social · 22/03/2025

"what we in psychology call a `costly signal'" 😏 www.salon.com/2025/03/22/a...

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daniel f stone @dfstone.bsky.social · 10/03/2025

gregmankiw.blogspot.com/2025/03/kevi...

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daniel f stone @dfstone.bsky.social · 19/02/2025

The people of course are not "crazy" but yes persistent polarization leads to increasingly distorted beliefs, causing real outcomes to be highly inefficient (failure to implement many Pareto improvements) - i.e. much too much suffering 😞💔 marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevo...

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daniel f stone @dfstone.bsky.social · 15/02/2025

Life is over 600,000 hours if you live > 70 yrs. That's only "short" if you're liking it :) www.nytimes.com/2025/02/13/b...

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daniel f stone @dfstone.bsky.social · 14/02/2025

Extremely gutsy and thoughtful piece by a Bowdoin student, inspired by the recent encampment here bowdoinorient.com/2025/02/14/h...

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daniel f stone @dfstone.bsky.social · 11/02/2025

Loss aversion example of the day: Brady thinks about his 3 Super Bowl losses more than his 7 wins www.thebulwark.com/p/the-right-...

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