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Alan H.

@demandside.bsky.social
882 followers 1.1K following 2.2K posts

Covid began in 2020. Trump bungled it into a deep recession. Biden had the economy humming again on January 19, 2025. Trump Crash 2.0 might be two Covids deep. When the panic comes, there can be no bailouts.

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Alan H. @demandside.bsky.social · 16/05/2026
Is there any making sense of stock prices. In the face of a global downturn, they have generally remained strong. A short look at the substructure, focusing on the "Fed put," the history of the Fed insuring financial markets against losses. aharvey.substack.com/p/whats-with...
aharvey.substack.com
What’s with the stock market?
Is there any making sense of its continued strength?
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Reposted by Alan H.
Richard Murphy @richardjmurphy.bsky.social · 10/05/2026
The economic meltdown we're facing will develop in seven stages - by Christmas, by which time things are going to be ugly. youtu.be/UunBWAzzr9c?...
youtu.be
The economic meltdown we're facing will develop in stages - by Christmas
YouTube video by Richard J Murphy
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Alan H. @demandside.bsky.social · 11/05/2026
The Buffett Indicator divides the total value of the stock market by GDP. As Buffett says, it’s “probably the best single measure of where valuations stand at any given moment.” At its current level, the indicator is beyond the 200% threshold that is when investors are “playing with fire”. (ht
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Alan H. @demandside.bsky.social · 10/04/2026
Putin scale BS/\.
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Alan H. @demandside.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
Nobody in the article thinks to consult with Congress or allies, much less let the American people know he's been lying all this time. I guess that would spoil a sneak attack assination set up so well by conducting contemporaneous negotiations. It's all, "What will the emperor decide."
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Alan H. @demandside.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
Somebody should start thinking about how to rebuild after these clowns leave. The place will be a mess, also in need for efficient, not bureaucratic, restaffing.
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Alan H. @demandside.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
The Farm Bill needs to protect farmers' working capital from freezing up in the coming depression. Big Finance could well crack and deliver us into another 2008-style credit crunch. The food supply is too important and Congress should carve out a special bank for farmers' planting to harvest needs.
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Alan H. @demandside.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
GI Bill, VA home loan, etc., era afterward that delivered prosperity and stability, were Keynesian but delivered by the New Dealers. One of the few good things about the coming global Depression is the rubble that will be made of Finance, plus the opportunity to rebuild starting with the practical.
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Alan H. @demandside.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
Not able to read the whole article, but wanted to insist that Keynesian economics was implemented by the New Deal Democrats, whose primary theme was pragmatism. Mamdani in NYC is of the same order. After being proven in the Depression, but also in the WW2 mobilization and in the Marshall Plan...
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Alan H. @demandside.bsky.social · 02/04/2026
Where's the pitchbot? A historical blunder by a completely incompetent and corrupt nut creates the conditions for world-wide depression. The US does not survive as a world power. The NYT is looking for a clear path from a pile of BS. Sooner or later the delicate language becomes a parody of itself.
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Alan H. @demandside.bsky.social · 02/04/2026
He didn't say too much about the coming economic collapse of this oil shock on top of the AI bubble and top-heavy financial system. Largely because he has no clue. Won't need clues in six months. The plain evidence will be in plain sight.
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Alan H. @demandside.bsky.social · 02/04/2026
This blunder into Iran puts a historical oil shock right on top of an enfeebled economy under the pressure of a top-heavy financial system and political oligarchy. We're going to have to take advantage of the demand destruction and wealth destruction and political implosion and bring democracy back.
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Alan H. @demandside.bsky.social · 02/04/2026
The full scale of the calimity is still to be seen. Dumping an unprecedented oil shock on top of an enfeebled domestic economy and top-heavy financial system means a deep recession, maybe two Covids deep (!). Trump has cemented his loss in the mid-terms, and it's the end of the US as a world leader.
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Alan H. @demandside.bsky.social · 27/03/2026
Re- redistribution. The rich have gamed the system to absorb real wealth and make up financial wealth. The decline of Britain is in direct proportion to the rise in the dominance of Big Money. Restructuring is a better way, eliminating the cancers that drain our vitality.
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Alan H. @demandside.bsky.social · 27/03/2026
Today and Trump is the end of a long and grinding takeover by the oligarchy, but this is the first world war since 1944.
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Alan H. @demandside.bsky.social · 27/03/2026
surriptitious interference became "foreign policy" (e.g., the coup in Iran). Corporate power in the US rose in parallel with from the rise in idiocy of US foreign policy. It was not -- as portrayed in this article -- so simplistic a case of a US national hubris that finally found its comeuppance.
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Alan H. @demandside.bsky.social · 27/03/2026
Not at all on board. Coming out of WW2 the US was by far the dominant power. It overcame its isolationist streak to produce the Marshall Plan, the UN, NATO and the policy of containment of the Soviet Union. The Republican Old Guard returned under Eisenhower to reassert control. It was then that ...
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Alan H. @demandside.bsky.social · 26/03/2026
He doesn't look a day over 70.
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Alan H. @demandside.bsky.social · 26/03/2026
This tanker is not fully loaded. Perhaps it is not a current photo.
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Alan H. @demandside.bsky.social · 23/03/2026
Take Kharg Island for what? To be a target. Suicide.
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Alan H. @demandside.bsky.social · 20/03/2026
Help do what? They've already bombed every installation above ground. Are they going to put the Israeli navy in there? The only way the Strait opens is if Iran opens it. That comes after the US leaves the region. That might be a long time.
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Alan H. @demandside.bsky.social · 20/03/2026
Credit cards are already getting loaded up, ahead of the gasoline price shock. This is not good #economycharts
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Alan H. @demandside.bsky.social · 20/03/2026
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Alan H. @demandside.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
With the US as it's guarantor, Taiwan is best looking for other options. Including a deal with China. That would shift the tech balance big time.
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Alan H. @demandside.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
To say oil prices were embedded in labor costs in 2022 is incorrect, whatever the rest of the argument is. There was a demand-pull component from Biden's investments that is absent today, but that was separate and apart from any oil price effect.
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Alan H. @demandside.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
Tulsi doesn't listen to Trump. ? Can you say "President JD Vance"? There is no way out of the Iran War with Trump as Prez.
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Alan H. @demandside.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
It continues to annoy me to distraction that the Fed things the interest rate button is its only tool against inflation? And that it works the same way no matter what the cause of the inflation. It's what you get with a captured regulator, I guess.
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Alan H. @demandside.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
How long will the Strait of Hormuz be closed? As long as Iran wants it closed. btw Closed only to the actors and allies of Israel and the US. After the unprovoked attack assissinating the Iranian leadership (and the bombing of a girls school). #economycharts
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Reposted by Alan H.
AFT @aft.org · 18/03/2026
Are you in? Join us on March 28. Find an event near you: go.aft.org/nokings
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Alan H. @demandside.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
A case of the anti-semetic Nazi drawing the line between him and the semetic Nazi Netanyahu.
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Alan H. @demandside.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
It's the anti-semetic Nazi coming out against Netanyahu, the semetic Nazi. Kent's mentor is Tucker Carlson.
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Alan H. @demandside.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
#economycharts
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Alan H. @demandside.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
Also from Pettifor, the spike in margin debt, that which turns drops in the stock market into systemic failure.
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Alan H. @demandside.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
From Ann Pettifor's latest piece annpettifor.substack.com/p/war-inflat... Notice the deterioration we experienced beginning in 1980.
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Alan H. @demandside.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
Kevin Hassett has been wrong in every step of his professional life. He is incompetent, but loyal. Like most Trump officials.
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Alan H. @demandside.bsky.social · 17/03/2026
It's 'Trump, the Horror Movie.' I'm walking.
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Alan H. @demandside.bsky.social · 17/03/2026
Remember when reporters spotted him on the roof of the White House. He may have been at that level.
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Alan H. @demandside.bsky.social · 16/03/2026
No other law enforcement agency masks their agents, refuses to identify themselves, breaks in without a warrant, operates in gangs on the street, houses children in filthy camps, etc. But the GOP chooses to shut down FEMA and force TSA to work without pay rather than reform ICE -- Trump's SS.
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Alan H. @demandside.bsky.social · 16/03/2026
Is this swing traders loading up? "Swing Trading": This term describes the specific timeframe and strategy of holding a position for several days to a few weeks to capture a specific "swing" or trend in the market. Anybody who wants to clarify the term, please do.
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Alan H. @demandside.bsky.social · 16/03/2026
Crude Oil 03/16/27 [6:38 PM ET] #economycharts
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Alan H. @demandside.bsky.social · 16/03/2026
Pew Poll on Data Centers 03/16/26 #economycharts
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Alan H. @demandside.bsky.social · 16/03/2026
and wealth destruction in Finance to make the changes that are needed? It's obvious a caring economy will not be their first option and will never happen unless it is their only option. .... somehow?
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Alan H. @demandside.bsky.social · 16/03/2026
High levels of personal, business and sovereign debt will likely lead to a credit crunch and squeeze the working capital of real economy businesses. Last time the taxpayer bailed out the banks and the Fed commenced its perpetual QE bailout. Rather than bail them out, can we not use the crisis...
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Alan H. @demandside.bsky.social · 15/03/2026
Sadly, the lust for money and power is not a sign of moral health. Kakistocracy.
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Reposted by Alan H.
Revolving Door Project @revolvingdoordc.bsky.social · 14/03/2026
Remember how Silicon Valley Bank collapsed in 2023? Trump's cronies on the Fed want to make sure you don't.
prospect.org
Before every financial crisis, there is a concerted effort to argue that this time is different.
Efforts to whitewash recent banking history is an unnecessary sidebar that fuels culture-war grievances while an opportunity for real justice remains on the table.
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Alan H. @demandside.bsky.social · 15/03/2026
The first anti-American administration. Russia could have set off a neutron bomb inside the civil service and not done any more damage.
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Alan H. @demandside.bsky.social · 15/03/2026
Wealth by Percentile since 1990 Green is the top 0.1% Purple is the top 1% Orange (flat line at the bottom) is 50th percentile 20th percentile does not register #economycharts
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Alan H. @demandside.bsky.social · 15/03/2026
What happens when US economic data becomes unreliable? MIT Sloan #economycharts mitsloan.mit.edu/ideas-made-t...
mitsloan.mit.edu
What happens when US economic data becomes unreliable | MIT Sloan
Sound economic planning and policymaking requires trustworthy data. Private data can serve as a complement but not fully replace official U.S. statistics.
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Alan H. @demandside.bsky.social · 13/03/2026
Q4 2025 US GDP at a miserable 0.7 #economycharts
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Alan H. @demandside.bsky.social · 13/03/2026
Not sure we realize how bad the war is going for the US. The US and Israel cannot stop it. The end of MidEast oil is at hand. The Gulf states cannot exist without their desalination plants. (Israel has already hit one of Iran's.) Israel's anti-missile capacity is depleted. Radars are down.
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