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Dan Barrie

@dbb.bsky.social
241 followers 142 following 85 posts
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Dan Barrie @dbb.bsky.social · 15/03/2026
Claim #6: "Iran may no longer be able to threaten the Strait of Hormuz “in a week or two.”" Verification: by March 26, 2026, is Iran no longer meaningfully able to disrupt or threaten maritime transit in the Strait of Hormuz?
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Dan Barrie @dbb.bsky.social · 15/03/2026
Claim #5: A popular uprising is all but inevitable Verification: - widespread sustained protests across multiple cities - explicit anti-regime character - persistance over time
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Dan Barrie @dbb.bsky.social · 15/03/2026
Claim #4: The regime is likely to become a “zombie state.” Verification: - loss of effective control over parts of the country - major additional fiscal collapse or breakdown in basic state functions - inability to suppress dissent consistently
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Dan Barrie @dbb.bsky.social · 15/03/2026
Claim #3: “Before this war is over, we will find a way to remove Iran’s remaining stores of highly enriched uranium.” Verification: - has Iran’s remaining HEU stockpile been secured, removed, surrendered, or verifiably destroyed before the war is over?
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Dan Barrie @dbb.bsky.social · 15/03/2026
Claim #2: “Iran’s ability to threaten its neighbors diminishes by the day.” Verification: - is Iran still launching drones/missiles around 4/1/26 - are proxy attacks happening? - is shipping traffic freely moving through the Straight of Hormuz as of 4/1/26?
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Dan Barrie @dbb.bsky.social · 15/03/2026
Claim #1: "We are less than two weeks into a war that will almost surely be over by the end of the month" Verification: is the war over by March 31, 2026? Validation metrics: - cessation of U.S./Israeli airstrikes on Iran for one week following 3/31 - ceasefire or settlement - end of hostilities
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Dan Barrie @dbb.bsky.social · 15/03/2026
Bret Stephens seems particularly energized and out there in this #NYTimes op-ed discussion about the Iran war: www.nytimes.com/2026/03/12/o... The great news for Stephens haters is he makes a lot of verifiable claims, so why don't we keep track of how they go! :-)
nytimes.com
Opinion | ‘He Seems Really Bad at Getting Advice’: 3 Opinion Writers on Trump and Iran
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Dan Barrie @dbb.bsky.social · 07/01/2026
Dang
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Dan Barrie @dbb.bsky.social · 29/12/2025
Clouds are fantastic right now. These ones are being illuminated from below by reflection off the Potomac @capitalweather.bsky.social
View southward from Silver Spring Maryland toward Washington D.C. showing a low cloud deck illuminated from below by reflection off the Potomac River.
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Dan Barrie @dbb.bsky.social · 20/12/2025
That's fantastic. Thanks for explaining!
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Dan Barrie @dbb.bsky.social · 10/12/2025
These ads are crazy. I get the one with the red sweater of a bearded bespeckled yelling man on the front. No thanks! Not in the market for insane knittables!
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Dan Barrie @dbb.bsky.social · 05/11/2025
The totally apparent direction of flow on the cliff face is awesome
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Dan Barrie @dbb.bsky.social · 25/10/2025
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Dan Barrie @dbb.bsky.social · 21/07/2025
Exponentially? Linearly?
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Dan Barrie @dbb.bsky.social · 09/07/2025
A warning system for this part of the Guadalupe River would have cost about a million dollars. Those 100+ lives were not worth $1M dollars to these politicians. abcnews.go.com/US/flood-pro...
abcnews.go.com
'We are very flood prone': Local Texas officials spent years discussing potential warning system
Flooding has been at the top of Texans’ minds this week, but this is not the first time that the need for flood-related measures has come up among local officials.
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Dan Barrie @dbb.bsky.social · 08/07/2025
"Crying wolf" - what an incredibly sad mentality. 100 lives apparently not worth some inconvenience to some people.
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Dan Barrie @dbb.bsky.social · 03/07/2025
These facilities are terrible, and they're also not at all appropriate for "housing" the homeless population.
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Dan Barrie @dbb.bsky.social · 30/06/2025
Literally the worst time possible for this to happen as the Senate considers killing the industry www.yahoo.com/news/1-hurt-...
yahoo.com
1 hurt in windmill blade incident on Maryland highway
A windmill turbine blade became loose Monday morning, crossing the median on Interstate 70 in Maryland and causing traffic to be backed up for several miles.
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Dan Barrie @dbb.bsky.social · 27/06/2025
That's a collection
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Dan Barrie @dbb.bsky.social · 25/06/2025
Lots of steps before that
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Dan Barrie @dbb.bsky.social · 24/06/2025
Solid Smashing Pumpkins song
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Dan Barrie @dbb.bsky.social · 24/06/2025
It's not clear to me at the moment how this conflict gets to the point of needing to draft soldiers. How does that work as best you can imagine it?
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Dan Barrie @dbb.bsky.social · 15/06/2025
Why are they marching completely out of step?
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Dan Barrie @dbb.bsky.social · 06/06/2025
Please please please Books That Kill this book. I have thoroughly hated every interview I've heard with them.
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Dan Barrie @dbb.bsky.social · 03/06/2025
Cool to see the surface layer highlighted so clearly, although the last thing we need are more surface-level smoke particles. View from Silver Spring MD looking south toward D.C. panning from west to east.
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Dan Barrie @dbb.bsky.social · 26/05/2025
*funniest*
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Dan Barrie @dbb.bsky.social · 06/05/2025
Completely understand the dillema also happy to help
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Dan Barrie @dbb.bsky.social · 28/04/2025
This is so excellent "He does not look strong and soft to me here, he looks like he may struggle with a supply chain collapse, and we probably won’t cuddle all that much."
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Dan Barrie @dbb.bsky.social · 20/04/2025
He's a thick Boi and it's hard to redirect all that mass in a circle after rounding second
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Dan Barrie @dbb.bsky.social · 06/04/2025
Are there any laws even covering passenger vehicle modifications these days? I just see insane unsafe mods everywhere all the time.
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Dan Barrie @dbb.bsky.social · 31/03/2025
I thought Florida and Texas were supposed to be God's gift to capitalism and markets? They're barely different from NY, which is supposedly falling apart.
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Dan Barrie @dbb.bsky.social · 29/03/2025
Such a great bike city
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Dan Barrie @dbb.bsky.social · 21/03/2025
That song rocks so hard that my Millenial Weezer cover band has done in in the encore
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Dan Barrie @dbb.bsky.social · 20/03/2025
Wonderful moment of grace thanks for sharing!
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Dan Barrie @dbb.bsky.social · 18/03/2025
Seems like it generally goes to 0 exports in the first quarter of the year?
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Dan Barrie @dbb.bsky.social · 18/03/2025
Chilled glass?
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Dan Barrie @dbb.bsky.social · 17/03/2025
Quit bragging
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Dan Barrie @dbb.bsky.social · 15/03/2025
And the egg! Nice.
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Dan Barrie @dbb.bsky.social · 13/03/2025
😭
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Dan Barrie @dbb.bsky.social · 13/03/2025
Look at this work
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Dan Barrie @dbb.bsky.social · 13/03/2025
Yeah, is there anything whatsoever that distinguishes them from other airlines at this point?
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Dan Barrie @dbb.bsky.social · 07/03/2025
Ordering a wellness check for the guy in the NY Times ad who said "Wordle makes me feel things that I don't feel from anyone else"
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Dan Barrie @dbb.bsky.social · 04/03/2025
😂
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Dan Barrie @dbb.bsky.social · 02/03/2025
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Reposted by Dan Barrie
Andrew D Thaler @drandrewthaler.bsky.social · 01/03/2025
I worry that the focus on NOAA's weather predicting value is ignoring the millions of other ways NOAA researchers enrich communities and local economies. There are no oysters without NOAA. There are no blue crabs without NOAA. NOAA trains teachers. NOAA is the lifeblood of coastal communities.
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Dan Barrie @dbb.bsky.social · 28/02/2025
That was a good decision for them
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Dan Barrie @dbb.bsky.social · 28/02/2025
You are a wonderful person, scientist, and communicator, and I am beyond sad to lose you as a colleague for now. Sending lots of love and compassion. I appreciate you.
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Dan Barrie @dbb.bsky.social · 23/02/2025
Am I supposed to sing this to the tune of the nsync song
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Dan Barrie @dbb.bsky.social · 23/02/2025
This is an incredible point honestly
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Dan Barrie @dbb.bsky.social · 22/02/2025
well timed, frog and toad
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