iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

It’s like the Joe Biden debate performance except he doesn’t have dementia

My election night needles are now live even though they won't move for 3 weeks (it's just the data from my forecasts but you guys seem to love photos of needles) Regardless you should FOLLOW me to stay updated on election night!!!

111

David @davidslosttt.bsky.social · 3h

The most obvious answer is that Seth Bodnar should've just ran as a Democrat. You can only do this type of thing so many times in so many states before there's a problem

130

David @davidslosttt.bsky.social · 3h

Meeting people at the gas store...

000

David @davidslosttt.bsky.social · 3h

Nothing constructive I can say other than cope

010

David @davidslosttt.bsky.social · 4h

Governor Gina Hinojosa

120

David @davidslosttt.bsky.social · 4h

Outcome 4: I Ain't Movin' From This Chair There's a massive, 2020 style pro-Republican polling miss and the GOP wins 220 house seats and 55 senate seats. A lot of people ain't moving from that chair...

110

David @davidslosttt.bsky.social · 4h

Outcome 3: Blue Puddle The GOP outperforms their polls and the year finishes at or around D+5. The Democrats flip the senate races in North Carolina but fall short everywhere else in a series of heartbreakers, and the 2028 prospects for the GOP look amazing

100

David @davidslosttt.bsky.social · 4h

Outcome 2: Blue Wave The Democrats run equal to their polls and we get a 2018-repeat blue wave year. The Democrats suffer heartbreakers in the corn belt but the senate is still Lean D moving forward, and the house and the presidency are tossups going into 2028

100

David @davidslosttt.bsky.social · 4h

Outcome 1: Blue Tsunami The Democrats outperform their polls and finish at something close to a D+12 year, give or take a few points. They sweep the Senate races in the corn belt and the senate is effectively Safe D until 2032, and the house and presidency are Lean D for 2028

100

David @davidslosttt.bsky.social · 4h

My midterm forecast points to a 63% chance of the Democrats winning BOTH the House and the Senate Here's what that looks like graphed out:

100

David @davidslosttt.bsky.social · 4h

Rick Jackson not debating was... a publicity stunt organized by Keisha Lance Bottoms?

010

David @davidslosttt.bsky.social · 4h

Any estimates of the early vote you'll see being posted by me this cycle are going to be caveated by this And keep in mind they're already all showing 2, 3, 4 point swings to the left, which indicates a blue wave year on its own

220

David @davidslosttt.bsky.social · 4h

The GOP midterm strategy:

020

David @davidslosttt.bsky.social · 5h

I'm getting far-right followers for this... they don't know what they're very likely going to see on this page But I just tell it how it is and this is an example for that. The problem is that this year is the GOP Genocide

000

David @davidslosttt.bsky.social · 5h

The early voting period doesn’t start until tomorrow OH MY GOD

011

David @davidslosttt.bsky.social · 6h

I wouldn’t be surprised if Ken Paxton ate a baby at this point

030

David @davidslosttt.bsky.social · 6h

Yeah she’s winning bro

010

David @davidslosttt.bsky.social · 6h

It’s worth noting that this trend is only in Michigan for whatever reason

010

David @davidslosttt.bsky.social · 7h

“James Talarico is a bad candidate because he’s too woke or something”

000

David @davidslosttt.bsky.social · 7h

IF THERE'S A GOD HE'LL MAKE THIS BECOME TRUE

020

David @davidslosttt.bsky.social · 7h

MICHIGAN EARLY VOTING UPDATE Michigan early voting returns point to a Trump+4.3 electorate, a R+2.8 swing to the right from 2024. This shift is being driven by juiced exurban and rural turnout, a trend that hasn't been seen in other states Follow me to stay updated!!!

100

David @davidslosttt.bsky.social · 7h

PENNSYLVANIA EARLY VOTING UPDATE Democratic returns have picked up slightly in the Keystone State and the modeled electorate has increased from Harris+1.6 to Harris+2.3, or a 4 point shift to the left from 2024 Follow me to stay updated!!!

120

David @davidslosttt.bsky.social · 7h

FULL INTERVIEW BETWEEN KEISHA LANCE BOTTOMS AND HOODANCHORYE

110

David @davidslosttt.bsky.social · 8h

The fact that Democrats are running even and even outpacing the GOP in most of the swing states given that is amazing...

020

David @davidslosttt.bsky.social · 8h

This was very easily predictable btw

000

David @davidslosttt.bsky.social · 8h

"The security camera images were fake bro"

150

David @davidslosttt.bsky.social · 8h

It’s official: Jon Ossoff is the white boy of the year

020

David @davidslosttt.bsky.social · 9h

This has been one of the most silly line of attacks on Hasan ever dude, the GOP doesn’t use this for a reason

120

David @davidslosttt.bsky.social · 12h

Michael LaRosa: "I have never been fired" 🤔*checks notes* Oh, just resigning for bringing dates to a secure area. Got it! Totally different.

040

David @davidslosttt.bsky.social · 13h

I actually don’t think this was a bad take If Biden stayed in the race he would’ve gotten KILLED… just watch this ad Trump would’ve ran against him

120

David @davidslosttt.bsky.social · 14h

KLB and Stacey are so different in every way the fact that people on here compare them is so laughable

120

David @davidslosttt.bsky.social · 14h

Florida is an unreal place

000

David @davidslosttt.bsky.social · 15h

If any of my followers work for the Associated Press I would love for this to use the AP Elections API but I need a key, I would appreciate any support :)