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David Blanchard

@davidblanchard.bsky.social
1.7K followers 198 following 1K posts

Atmospheric Scientist, Ph.D., CCM. Chased by storms since 1981. Trail running, mountain biking, skiing. Astro, weather, and landscape photographer. dblanchard.net/blog/

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David Blanchard @davidblanchard.bsky.social · 17h
Thank you!
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David Blanchard @davidblanchard.bsky.social · 21h
An interesting mix of summer wildflowers and fall aspen colors along Waterline Road in the San Francisco Peaks north of Flagstaff this week. #wildflowers #aspen #landscape 📷
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David Blanchard @davidblanchard.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
Did a trail run loop using Oldham, Sunset, and Down Under for about 7 miles and ~1700' vertical. An interesting mix of fall aspen colors and summer wildflowers. #trailrunning #landscape 📷
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David Blanchard @davidblanchard.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
Today's group run was along the Arizona Trail between Aspen Corner on Snowbowl Road and Bismarck Lake. Aspen trees were showing a lot of color. Still some wildflowers, too. #trailrunning #landscape 📷
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David Blanchard @davidblanchard.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Venus and Mercury setting in the evening twilight. Venus and its reflection was easy to see; Mercury was much harder and never had a reflection. 1838 MST 01 October 2026; about 30 minutes after sunset and just a few minutes after the end of Civil twilight. #astrophotography #landscape 📷
Venus and Mercury setting in the evening twilight. Venus and its reflection was easy to see; Mercury was much harder and never had a reflection. Ashurst Lake near Flagstaff, Arizona.Venus and Mercury setting in the evening twilight. Venus and its reflection was easy to see; Mercury was much harder and never had a reflection. Ashurst Lake near Flagstaff, Arizona.
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David Blanchard @davidblanchard.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Some new and/or re-aligned trails were completed this week in the Flagstaff/Buffalo Park area. So we had to check them out on a trail run. Nice. Very nice. #trailrunning #landscape 📷
A runner on the recently re-aligned Forces of Nature Trail at the base of Mount Elden north of Flagstaff, Arizona. Large rocks are located to the left of the trail.A runner passes through a large stand of oak trees on the recently re-aligned Forces of Nature Trail at the base of Mount Elden near Flagstaff, Arizona. Route of the run from Buffalo Park to Forces of Nature Trail and Camino Trail at the base of Mount Elden.
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Reposted by David Blanchard
Paula Corrette @pcorrette.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
This is why I support our public lands. A double rainbow over Isis Temple and the Grand Canyon in the last light of sunset. August 28, 2026.
Double rainbow over Isis Temple and the Grand Canyon in the last light of sunset.
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David Blanchard @davidblanchard.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Sorry..that should be 2.69". (The 2.44" was a 48-h total.)
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David Blanchard @davidblanchard.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
An extended period of rain brought several opportunities for weather photography. On Tuesday evening a band of storms (with weak mid-level rotation/shear) moved across northern Arizona. Wednesday morning brought fog and low clouds -- and very green landscapes. #azwx #weather #landscape 📷
Leading edge of convection and outflow winds moves across the Mormon Lake basin (currently there is very little water in the lake) on Tuesday afternoon. Panoramic view of the leading edge of convection and outflow winds moving across the Mormon Lake basin on Tuesday afternoon. Mormon Mountain is seen on the far right of the image and is draped with low clouds across the summit. In the center distance heavy rain is falling.Sunrise (but without much Sun) looking across the Mormon Lake basin (which is currently mostly dry). In the foreground the grasses and foliage is very green with a touch of fall color. Some old ranch bulldings are also visible. In the distance a light rain shower obscures the horizon.Looking across the Mormon Lake basin to a small rise ringed by trees. Some of the trees are starting to show fall colors. In the distance light rain and mist obscures the horizon.
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David Blanchard @davidblanchard.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
It's been a great end-of-the-monsoon rainfall event across N AZ (and the SWUS) with storm totals > 2" in many locations and even a few 3-4" amounts. 72-hour rainfall at Flagstaff is 2.44". #azwx #weather #monsoon2026 MRMS
MRMS 72-hour multi-sensor rainfall totals across the southwest US and northwest Mexico. Moisture from tropical systems Odalys and Polo brought substantial moisture northward that interacted with a closed low in the westerlies moving across CA and AZ.Rainfall totals across the Flagstaff rain gage network.
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Reposted by David Blanchard
Paul Voosen @voosen.me · 28/09/2026
New Horizons is now *three days away* from shutting off its two heliophysics instruments, simply because NASA has not provided the $2M in funding it had promised to the mission last year or this year. There is no science basis for shutting these off. Our earlier coverage:
science.org
NASA’s New Horizons mission may shut down two instruments over lack of funding
Decision risks “incalculable loss” of data from the edge of the Sun’s influence, scientists say
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David Blanchard @davidblanchard.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Absolutely wonderful!
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David Blanchard @davidblanchard.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
It's been raining for a bit more than 36 hours here in Flagstaff and storm total at the airport is 1.43". Expect more rain today. Satellite image shows Hurricane Polo, TS Rachael, and remnants of Odalys. #azwx #weather #hurricane
Visible satellite image showing the low-level swirl of the remnants of TC Odalys plus landfalling Hurrincane Polo over Mexico. Farther south, Tropical Storm Rachael is strengthening.MRMS graphic showing rainfall over the past 72 hours across the southwest US.KFGZ radar (Flagstaff) showing current precipitation.
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David Blanchard @davidblanchard.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
So you are saying there is a chance...
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David Blanchard @davidblanchard.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Moisture from the remains of Hurricane Odalys continues to bring widespread rainfall to the SWUS. Satellite image shows the plume of moisture and the MRMS graphic shows 48h rainfall totals. Hurricane Polo and Tropical Storm Rachael are also visible in the image. #azwx #weather
Visible satellite image from GOES-18 shows the remains of Hurricane Odalys, Hurricane Pola, and Tropical Storm Rachael. A plume of moisture is streaming from Odalys to the northeast and bringing widespread rainfall to the desert southwest US.MRMS graphic showing 48h rainfall totals over the southwest US.
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David Blanchard @davidblanchard.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
Tropical systems Odalys & Polo will bring increases in moisture across the SWUS ahead of a closed low in CA/AZ. This baroclinic low and its positioning fits the climatology for "transition season" supercells and tornadoes in the southwest. www.stormresearch.com/pubs/sls_200... #azwx #weather
500-mb chart showing a deep, baroclinic low over the southwest US.SkewT-lnP chart for north-central Arizona on Tuesday afternoon. Marginal instability but a strongly curved hodograph suggest possibilities of supercells
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David Blanchard @davidblanchard.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
Impressive image of Tropical Storm Odalys and Hurricane Polo side-by-side on Sunday morning. Moisture from these systems will move across the SWUS and produce potentially heavy rains. #azwx #weather
Satellite image showing the side-by-side circulations of Tropical Storm Odalys and Hurricane Polo in the eastern Pacific.
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David Blanchard @davidblanchard.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Yes.
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David Blanchard @davidblanchard.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
I flew in a hurricane on the NOAA WP-3D in 1979. Was a smooth flight even when going thru the eyewall. The Mission Scientist said that was their little secret -- that the flights are mostly smooth. But not always. Also flew thru thunderstorms on this aircraft in the '80s. Those flights were rough!
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David Blanchard @davidblanchard.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Did a run today on the Abineau–Waterline–Bear Jaw loop in the San Francisco Peaks. Aspen are starting to show some color and there are still wildflowers. About 7 miles starting at ~8500' and topping out at ~10300'. #trailrunning #landscape 📷 #aspen
A runner ascends through an aspen grove showing fall colors on the Abineau Trail in the San Francisco Peaks north of Flagstaff, Arizona.A view looking down Abineau Canyon in the San Francisco Peaks. In the far distance is the north rim of Grand Canyon jutting ~1000' feet higher than the south rim. In the foreground is a conifer forest.At the intersection of the Abineau Trail and Waterline Road. Humphreys Peak (12633') is on the upper right.Map of the route using Abineau Trail, Waterline Road, and Bear Jaw Trail.
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David Blanchard @davidblanchard.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
RadarScope and Apple CarPlay. Woo-hoo!
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David Blanchard @davidblanchard.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
Beautiful! I got to photograph last night’s launch but was clouded out of the previous launch.
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David Blanchard @davidblanchard.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
Thank you!
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David Blanchard @davidblanchard.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
Rocket launch from Vandenberg SFB this evening. #astrophotography #landscape 📷
Second stage rises higher in the sky. In the foreground is a line of trees and a lake.Second stage rises to the upper left; in the lower right is the descending first stage. The exhaust cloud exhibits some interesting wave structure.Second stage continues to accelerate and passes below Venus in the twilight sky.
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David Blanchard @davidblanchard.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
Thursday morning was moist and foggy across northern Arizona with low clouds and bands of fog obscuring the mountains. Also, some trees are showing a bit of fall color. #azwx #weather #landscape 📷
In the foreground is an escarpment with the [dry] Mormon Lake to the left and the San Francisco Peaks in the far distance.Fog and low clouds are present in the distance and a forest highway can be seen on the left side of the image.
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David Blanchard @davidblanchard.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
The KFGZ 00 UTC sounding and hodograph.
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David Blanchard @davidblanchard.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
Interesting evolution of storms over northern Arizona this afternoon. One storm was a left mover; the other a right mover. #azwx #weather
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David Blanchard @davidblanchard.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
Went to photograph a rocket launch but it was scrubbed. So, settled for sunset clouds plus the Moon, Venus, & Mercury. #azwx #weather #landscape 📷 #astrophotography
Cirrus clouds are illuminated by the setting Sun. In the distance is Mormon Mountain; in the foreground is the lake bed of Upper Lake Mary -- currently with very low water levels and dry at this end. In the bottom left are several large boulders.A zoomed-in view of distant thunderstorm anvil clouds illuminated by the setting Sun. The shoulder/ridge of Mormon Mountain is in the middle; the dry lake bed of Upper Lake Mary is in the foreground.A few virga showers are brightly lit by the setting sun while a Ponderosa pine forest is in the foreground.Twilight showing high cirrus clouds, the Moon and planets Venus and Mercury. The latter is barely visible in the image. As the sky darkened Mercury dropped behind the clouds.
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David Blanchard @davidblanchard.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
Nice example of HCR (horizontal convective rolls) in both visible satellite and radar images this morning across portions of northern Arizona. #azwx #weather
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David Blanchard @davidblanchard.bsky.social · 13/09/2026
Saturday's group run was up O'Leary Peak to the Fire Lookout tower. About 10 miles and ~2100' ascent. #trailrunning #landscape 📷
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David Blanchard @davidblanchard.bsky.social · 12/09/2026
Brilliant sunset followed by great lightning! #azwx #weather #landscape 📷
A few minutes after sunset and the middle and high clouds are still illuminated by the sun. In the foreground is the nearly dry lake bed of Mormon Lake. In the distance is Mormon Mountain.The sun has set but twilight still illuminates the upper portion of the thunderstorm while the lower part is lit up by a lightning bolt -- which is reflected in the shallow water of the lake bed.A thunderstorm is illuminated from in-cloud and cloud-to-ground lightning.
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David Blanchard @davidblanchard.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
Sunset light from a few days ago. A short segment of a rainbow is visible and the rain core is illuminated by the Sun. A few minutes later the underside of the clouds glow with sunlight as the rainbow shrinks in size. #azwx #landscape 📷 #rainbow
A distant storm is illuminated by the setting sun. A short segment of rainbow is visible and sunlight is making the rain core glow. A few trees are present in the middle distance and the foreground is a grassland.The setting sun is illuminating the undersides of the clouds while a very short segment of rainbow is visible. There are trees in the middle distance and grasses in the foreground.
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David Blanchard @davidblanchard.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
Hummingbird slammed into a window this morning. Moved it to handrail and out of reach of neighborhood predators. Was unresponsive for ~20 minutes then rolled from its side to a sitting position. Another few minutes and it flew away. Yay! #birds #hummingbird
A dazed hummingbird rests on a wooden handrail. The bird hit a window and was unresponsive except for rapid quivering (heart beat?). It would occasionally open an eye then close it again. From time to time it would extend its tongue. It finally rolled from its side to a sitting position before flying away.
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David Blanchard @davidblanchard.bsky.social · 05/09/2026
Group run on forest roads in Government Prairie north of Parks, AZ. About 6 miles and only 162 feet elevation change. Flat! #trailrunning #landscape 📷
A cinder cone in the middle distance matches profile with the more distant San Francisco Peaks. In the foreground are grasslands.Unnamed cinder cone in Government Prairie area north of Parks, Arizona. Two runners can be seen in the middle distance.Map of the route. This is one of the loops of the 18K and 30k distances in the "Soulstice Prairie Run" to be held in October.
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David Blanchard @davidblanchard.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
Active storm day in the eastern Pacific. GOES-18 water vapor channel. #wxsky #weather #hurricanes
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David Blanchard @davidblanchard.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
#azwx #weather #landscape 📷
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David Blanchard @davidblanchard.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
2026 was the 2nd hottest meteorological summer (JJA) on record for Flagstaff. Five of the top 10 hottest summers have occurred since 2020. #azwx #weather
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David Blanchard @davidblanchard.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
Two lightning photos from a few nights ago. Long past sunset but the Moon was rising to provide some light on the storm. Camera details in Alt Text.
A distant thunderstorm produces several lightning strikes to the ground while the in-cloud portion of the lightning illuminates the cloud. Blue sky and stars are visible in the upper left.

Nikon D850, 34mm, f/8.0, ISO 200, 8 seconds.A distant thunderstorm produces lightning strikes to the ground while the in-cloud portion of the lightning illuminates the cloud. The rising Moon gently illuminates the spreading anvil.

Nikon D850, 24mm, f/4.0, ISO 400, 8 seconds.
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David Blanchard @davidblanchard.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
For a few days before/after the full Moon the lunar light can be bright enough to create a visible Moonbow (or Lunar rainbow). Here the bow shares the night sky with a flash of lightning. 2025 MST 29 August 2026. Moonrise 1942 MST; Moon ~8° above horizon. #rainbow #moonbow #azwx #astrophotography
A nocturnal thunderstorm in the distance produces a flash of lightning as well as a partial arc of a Lunar rainbow or a Moonbow. 

2025 MST 29 August 2026.
Moonrise 1942 MST; Moon ~8° above horizon.

Nikon D850, 24mm, f/8.0, ISO 6400, 15 seconds.
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David Blanchard @davidblanchard.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
Beautiful!
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David Blanchard @davidblanchard.bsky.social · 30/08/2026
Late afternoon light on the San Francisco Peaks in northern Arizona. Several thunderstorms can be seen in the distance and a cap cloud lies atop the peaks. A small area in the foreground is also lit by the Sun. #azwx #wxsky #landscape 📷
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David Blanchard @davidblanchard.bsky.social · 30/08/2026
Serious flooding along Bright Angel Creek yesterday.
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David Blanchard @davidblanchard.bsky.social · 30/08/2026
Juvenile red-tailed hawk flying the updrafts on the Mormon Lake escarpment. The birds have become accustomed to visitors at the overlook and happily fly just a a few 10's of meters above. Sony RX10 IV, 600mm (equiv.), 1/2000 sec, f/4, auto ISO. #bif #BirdsInFlight
Juvenile red-tailed hawk flying the updrafts on the Mormon Lake escarpment.Juvenile red-tailed hawk flying the updrafts on the Mormon Lake escarpment.Juvenile red-tailed hawk flying the updrafts on the Mormon Lake escarpment.
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David Blanchard @davidblanchard.bsky.social · 28/08/2026
Forecast was for mostly cloudy skies -- and it was. Got a brief moment in the clear while the Moon was still low in the east. 0239 UTC and 0415 UTC. #eclipse #astrophotography
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David Blanchard @davidblanchard.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
I have a Sony RX10 IV that can shoot about 3 seconds of 960 fps video. Start the video and it writes to memory then hit the stop button and it writes the last 3 seconds to the card. Haven't had a chance to try it yet. Small sensor so results might be noisy.
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David Blanchard @davidblanchard.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
Trail run today on Orbit-Apollo-Dipper-Spacewalk-Big Bang-Afterglow (the "space loops") and finished on Schultz Creek trail. The fragrance from this cliffrose was enough to make me stop and turn back. #trailrun #wildflowers
Trail map of today's run through the Mount Elden—Dry Lakes (MEDL) area north of Flagstaff.White flowers on a bushy cliffrose plant on the side of the trail.Trail sign at Dipper and Apollo. There is a tree swing near here.Trail sign for Big Bang and Afterglow trails near a large boulder in a forest.
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David Blanchard @davidblanchard.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
Maybe even better than a lightning trigger! Nice shot.
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David Blanchard @davidblanchard.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
Saw many wildflowers on a morning walk along the Flagstaff Urban Trail System (FUTS) just north of Fort Tuthill County park. After trail re-construction a few years ago, they spread native wildflower seed on the sides. #wildflowers #landscape 📷
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David Blanchard @davidblanchard.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
Late afternoon light on Sunset Crater Volcano taken from Bonito Park. Focus stacking. #landscape 📷
Late afternoon light illuminates Sunset Crater Volcano while a field of yellow sunflowers is in the middle and foreground.
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David Blanchard @davidblanchard.bsky.social · 23/08/2026
Fire tower on the summit of Kendrick Peak.
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