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Daniel_Daniel

@dan-oninfowar.bsky.social
5 followers 15 following 42 posts

Not official, but not random // Ex-MoD voice on Defence and Security topics from a European point of view

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Daniel_Daniel @dan-oninfowar.bsky.social · 21/02/2026
Proxy Market www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
bloomberg.com
China’s Drone Exports to Russia Use a New Route Through Thailand
On the 30th floor of the Chartered Square building in downtown Bangkok, the low-key office of Skyhub Technologies Ltd. serves as a nexus for a burgeoning and contentious trade.
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POLITICO Europe @politico.eu · 21/02/2026
A strong minority across Europe doesn’t regard the far right as a threat to democracy. In fact, one in five Europeans believe that in certain cases a dictatorship is preferable to democracy, according to a survey shared with POLITICO. www.politico.eu/article/one-...
politico.eu
1 in 5 Europeans say dictatorship might be preferable
The discontent concerns how democracy works in practice, not democracy itself.
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The Diplomat @thediplomat.com · 03/02/2026
In a recent interview, the Chinese ambassador to Australia suggested Beijing may be willing to use economic tools to punish Australia should Canberra not fall in line on Taiwan.
buff.ly
Maybe China Hasn’t Given Up on Economic Coercion in Australia
In a recent interview, the Chinese ambassador to Australia suggested Beijing may be willing to use economic tools to punish Australia should Canberra not fall in line on Taiwan.
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Courrier international @courrierinter.bsky.social · 03/02/2026
🇺🇸🇮🇳Un accord commercial signé entre Washington et New Delhi prévoit de réduire de 50 à 18 % le montant des droits de douane américains sur les produits importés aux États-Unis en provenance d’Inde. Laquelle s’engage en retour à ne plus acheter, à terme, de pétrole russe.
courrierinternational.com
L’Inde passe un accord commercial avec les États-Unis, moyennant de sérieuses concessions
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POLITICO Europe @politico.eu · 03/02/2026
The Trump administration is demanding access to the European travelers' sensitive data. The move could endanger EU citizens' privacy, lawmakers and civil rights groups warn. 🔗 www.politico.eu/article/eu-m...
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Daniel_Daniel @dan-oninfowar.bsky.social · 03/02/2026
Votre avis ? L’Inde va-t-elle vraiment arrêter ? La Russie peut-elle compenser ? Impact réel sur la guerre en Ukraine ? 💬 Débattons. #Économie #Géopolitique #Russie #Inde #USA
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Daniel_Daniel @dan-oninfowar.bsky.social · 03/02/2026
À retenir : ✔️ Coup dur potentiel pour l’économie russe ✔️ Tout dépendra de l’application par l’Inde ✔️ Moscou doit trouver d’autres débouchés… rapidement
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Daniel_Daniel @dan-oninfowar.bsky.social · 03/02/2026
Et si l’Inde ne tient pas ? • Baisse progressive, pas arrêt total • Moscou pourrait casser les prix • Un jeu d’influence pour limiter les pertes
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Daniel_Daniel @dan-oninfowar.bsky.social · 03/02/2026
Pourquoi c’est un coup stratégique US ? • Couper une source clé de devises pour Moscou • Orienter l’Inde vers des fournisseurs pro-US • Mettre la pression sur la Russie dans la guerre en Ukraine
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Daniel_Daniel @dan-oninfowar.bsky.social · 03/02/2026
L’Inde a-t-elle vraiment dit stop ? • Des raffineurs (Reliance…) suspendent leurs achats • Alternatives étudiées : Venezuela ou autres • Aucune annonce officielle d’arrêt des importations russes
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Daniel_Daniel @dan-oninfowar.bsky.social · 03/02/2026
Le pétrole russe = bouée de sauvetage : • L’Inde = 21,8% des revenus hydrocarbures russes (2025) • Perte estimée : 20 à 30 Md€ / an • Trouver d’autres acheteurs sous sanctions ? Mission compliquée.
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Daniel_Daniel @dan-oninfowar.bsky.social · 03/02/2026
Trump 🇺🇸 et Modi 🇮🇳 concluent un accord : ✅ Droits de douane US : 50% ➝ 18% ✅ En échange, l’Inde cesserait d’acheter du pétrole russe Mais New Delhi n’a rien confirmé. Pourquoi Moscou s’inquiète ? 🧵
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Daniel_Daniel @dan-oninfowar.bsky.social · 03/02/2026
🚨 Coup dur pour Moscou ? L’Inde, 2e acheteur de pétrole russe, pourrait stopper ses importations après un accord avec les USA. Tournant économique… ou coup de poker ? Thread ⏬ #Géopolitique #Pétrole #Russie
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Daniel_Daniel @dan-oninfowar.bsky.social · 03/02/2026
Your take? Will India really stop? Can Russia offset the loss? Impact on the Ukraine war? 💬 Join the debate. #Economy #Geopolitics #Russia #India #USA
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Daniel_Daniel @dan-oninfowar.bsky.social · 03/02/2026
Key takeaways: ✔️ A potential major hit to Russia ✔️ Depends on India’s real actions ✔️ Russia must find new markets… fast
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Daniel_Daniel @dan-oninfowar.bsky.social · 03/02/2026
What if India doesn’t follow through? • Gradual reduction, not a full stop • Moscow could slash prices • A quiet influence game
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Daniel_Daniel @dan-oninfowar.bsky.social · 03/02/2026
Why this is strategic for the US: • Cut a key Russian revenue stream • Push India toward US-aligned suppliers • Increase pressure on Moscow over Ukraine
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Daniel_Daniel @dan-oninfowar.bsky.social · 03/02/2026
Did India really say no? • Refiners (Reliance…) paused purchases • Alternatives: Venezuela or others • No official statement ending Russian imports
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Daniel_Daniel @dan-oninfowar.bsky.social · 03/02/2026
Russian oil = economic lifeline: • India = 21.8% of hydrocarbon revenues (2025) • Potential loss: €20–30B/year • Finding new buyers under sanctions? Tough
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Daniel_Daniel @dan-oninfowar.bsky.social · 03/02/2026
Trump 🇺🇸 & Modi 🇮🇳 strike a deal: ✅ US tariffs: 50% ➝ 18% ✅ India would stop buying Russian oil But New Delhi has not confirmed. Why is Moscow worried? 🧵
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Daniel_Daniel @dan-oninfowar.bsky.social · 03/02/2026
🚨 A blow to Moscow? India, Russia’s 2nd oil buyer, may halt imports after a US deal. Economic turning point… or bluff? Thread ⏬ #Geopolitics #Oil #Russia
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Daniel_Daniel @dan-oninfowar.bsky.social · 03/02/2026
Can the U.S. reverse this trend? 🤔 Or is the era of unchallenged American hegemony over? 🔁 RT if multilateralism is the future ❤️ Like if the US remain indispensable
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Daniel_Daniel @dan-oninfowar.bsky.social · 03/02/2026
🇺🇸 “America First” created a paradox. By seeking dominance, the U.S. pushed its allies to seek independence. A strategy that may weaken—not secure—its global influence. 🌍 The world isn’t waiting for America anymore… it’s moving on. #Geopolitics www.wsj.com/world/how-am...
wsj.com
Essay | How America First Risks Becoming America Alone
U.S. allies are growing increasingly disenchanted and insulted by the country’s aggressive foreign policy strategy.
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Daniel_Daniel @dan-oninfowar.bsky.social · 28/01/2026
La Russie n’a plus les moyens de ses ambitions. 💸 Piégée dans une guerre coûteuse en Ukraine, Moscou est contrainte de réduire sa présence en Afrique et au Moyen-Orient. Ce n’est pas un repositionnement stratégique — c’est un déclin. 📉 De la projection de puissance à la gestion de crise. ⚠️
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Daniel_Daniel @dan-oninfowar.bsky.social · 28/01/2026
Russia can no longer afford its ambitions. 💸 Trapped in a costly war in Ukraine, Moscow is being forced to scale back its presence in Africa and the Middle East. This is not strategic repositioning — it’s decline. 📉 From power projection to damage control. ⚠️ #Russia #Ukraine
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Daniel_Daniel @dan-oninfowar.bsky.social · 23/01/2026
The U.S. no longer faces resistance only from rivals. 🌍 It now comes from a world pushing back. ⚠️ When allies start asserting autonomy, influence declines. #Greenland
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Daniel_Daniel @dan-oninfowar.bsky.social · 23/01/2026
The U.S. no longer faces resistance only from rivals. 🌍 It now comes from a world pushing back. ⚠️ When allies start asserting autonomy, influence declines. #Greenland
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Daniel_Daniel @dan-oninfowar.bsky.social · 23/01/2026
"Donald Trump is currently shifting European public opinion" Donald Trump’s U.S. is selling off its influence at bargain prices A must-read ! ❓ Will Europe take advantage of it ? legrandcontinent.eu/fr/2026/01/2...
legrandcontinent.eu
Le moment Groenland: l’opinion européenne face à la menace américaine
La nouvelle vague de notre grande enquête d’opinion européenne révèle une rupture dans la perception des États-Unis pour les Européens : l’hypothèse d’un affrontement avec Washington est désormais cla...
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Daniel_Daniel @dan-oninfowar.bsky.social · 23/01/2026
"Donald Trump is currently shifting European public opinion" Donald Trump’s U.S. is selling off its influence at bargain prices A must-read ! ❓ Will Europe take advantage of it ? legrandcontinent.eu/fr/2026/01/2...
legrandcontinent.eu
Le moment Groenland: l’opinion européenne face à la menace américaine
La nouvelle vague de notre grande enquête d’opinion européenne révèle une rupture dans la perception des États-Unis pour les Européens : l’hypothèse d’un affrontement avec Washington est désormais cla...
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Daniel_Daniel @dan-oninfowar.bsky.social · 27/01/2026
EU countries must be ready to face such actions too
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Daniel_Daniel @dan-oninfowar.bsky.social · 27/01/2026
🗣️ Your take? • Too ambitious? • Not concrete enough? • Which sectors should come first? 👇 RT if Europe must accelerate #TechSovereignty #EU #DigitalEurope
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Daniel_Daniel @dan-oninfowar.bsky.social · 27/01/2026
🔍 In short • Risk: geopolitical and strategic • Response: regulation + massive investment • Challenge: coordination and speed ❓ Can the EU be sovereign by 2030?
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Daniel_Daniel @dan-oninfowar.bsky.social · 27/01/2026
💼 3 immediate actions for companies 1️⃣ Audit tech dependencies 2️⃣ Prioritize OVH, Mistral, Thales 3️⃣ Work with EU funds (Horizon Europe) ✈️ Airbus already uses sovereign data centers.
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Daniel_Daniel @dan-oninfowar.bsky.social · 27/01/2026
🤖 AI: Mistral vs OpenAI • Mistral valuation: €11.7bn (2026) • Critical dependency on Nvidia GPUs • EU response: EuroHPC supercomputers
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Daniel_Daniel @dan-oninfowar.bsky.social · 27/01/2026
☁️ Sovereign cloud: myth or strategic lever? • Players: OVH, Deutsche Telekom • Market share: just 8% • Key lever: public sector obligation to use EU solutions
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Daniel_Daniel @dan-oninfowar.bsky.social · 27/01/2026
⚠️ The limits of “made in EU” • €20bn for a single chip factory • Up to 10 years to catch up in AI • 27 rules = 27 fragmented markets ➡️ Key solution: pooled EU funds.
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Daniel_Daniel @dan-oninfowar.bsky.social · 27/01/2026
🇫🇷🇩🇪🇳🇱 Member states are moving — but not together 🇫🇷 European preference in public procurement 🇩🇪 Chip factories (Intel) 🇳🇱 Data center hub ❗ Only 12 countries have banned Huawei.
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Daniel_Daniel @dan-oninfowar.bsky.social · 27/01/2026
📅 EU plan for 2026 • Regulation: Cloud Act, AI Act, cybersecurity • Investment: €200bn • Innovation: support for OVH, Mistral 🎯 Goal: 20% EU cloud market share by 2030
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Daniel_Daniel @dan-oninfowar.bsky.social · 27/01/2026
⚠️ Where Europe is most vulnerable: 1️⃣ Cloud: 92% of the market controlled by non-EU players 2️⃣ Chips: 10% of global production (vs 50% Taiwan) 3️⃣ AI: Mistral 🇫🇷 vs OpenAI 🇺🇸 4️⃣ Telecoms: Chinese gear phased out by 2029
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Daniel_Daniel @dan-oninfowar.bsky.social · 27/01/2026
📊 US / China: Europe stuck between two powers 🇺🇸 Hyperscalers (AWS, Google) + chips (Nvidia) 🇨🇳 Telecom equipment (Huawei, ZTE) ➡️ From 2026: mandatory phase-out of “high-risk” suppliers in telecoms.
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Daniel_Daniel @dan-oninfowar.bsky.social · 27/01/2026
🇪🇺 Why is tech sovereignty urgent? • 80% of EU data hosted outside the bloc • 5G, cloud, AI rely on foreign providers • Risks: cyberattacks, sanctions, unilateral decisions Virkkunen: “We must act now.”
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Daniel_Daniel @dan-oninfowar.bsky.social · 27/01/2026
🚨 What if Europe lost access to its critical data tomorrow? Tech dependency is a strategic risk. Henna Virkkunen (EU) warns: “It can be weaponized.” 👇 Thread to understand why. #EUdigitalRace
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Disclose @disclose.ngo · 26/01/2026
🔴 Revelations on the misuse of #Interpol by the world's most repressive regimes @disclose.ngo and the BBC expose abuse including secret manhunts and arbitrary arrests after thousands of internal Interpol documents were leaked disclose.ngo/en/article/r...
disclose.ngo
Revelations on the misuse of Interpol by the world’s most repressive regimes
The prestigious criminal police institution, to fight organised crime, is being misused on a large scale for the benefit of some of the world’s most repressive states, Disclose and the BBC can reveal ...
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Daniel_Daniel @dan-oninfowar.bsky.social · 23/01/2026
Donald Trump’s U.S. is selling off its influence at bargain prices ❓ Will Europe take advantage of it ?
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Daniel_Daniel @dan-oninfowar.bsky.social · 23/01/2026
🌍 A win for international law — not the endgame. This operation proves allied naval cooperation works. Yet hundreds of vessels still evade detection. ❓ Can these interceptions truly cut Russia’s war financing? #Sanctions #FrenchNavy #UkraineWar
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Daniel_Daniel @dan-oninfowar.bsky.social · 23/01/2026
🇷🇺 shadow fleet ▪️ flags of convenience ▪️ disabled AIS tracking ▪️ shell companies ➡️ Designed to bypass sanctions and keep oil flowing. ⚠️ Every shipment directly funds Russia’s war in Ukraine. 🇫🇷 By enforcing UNCLOS Article 110, France shows sanctions can be enforced at sea.
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Daniel_Daniel @dan-oninfowar.bsky.social · 23/01/2026
🚢 A Russian oil tanker intercepted in the Mediterranean. This morning, the @MarineNationale boarded a vessel linked to Russia’s shadow fleet. 👉 Low visibility operation, high strategic impact. Why does it matter? ⤵️
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Daniel_Daniel @dan-oninfowar.bsky.social · 23/01/2026
2/2 I will share: - clear structured threads - strategic insight - information warfare - EU defence posture Let's disturb the propaganda
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Daniel_Daniel @dan-oninfowar.bsky.social · 23/01/2026
1/2 Defence isn't just tanks and fighter jets. It's diplomacy, influence, perception and narratives. This account is the voice of someone who's been inside
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