iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

A general rule for critical analysis of any research that purports to model human thinking: generate a random dataset. If the effect is stronger in the random dataset than in the research, the research is bunk.

The belief in D-K persists because expert humans - think Neil Degrasse Tyson - fail spectacularly when just outside their area of expertise, because they can’t see the infelicities in their models (or hubris). That’s not a general effect on all humanity.

120

Russ Wilcox @russwilcox.bsky.social · 22/12/2024

Nope, worse than that. The refined analysis is that asked to score themselves on a *percentile* basis against an unknown cohort will substantially outperform against random weighting. Which is strong evidence that, even when the system is rigged, humans are really good at general self-assessment.

110

Reposted by Andy Ellis

It's this year's Kindle candle table bundle

021

What is this? Wrong answers only.

240

Andy Ellis @csoandy.bsky.social · 10/12/2024

Haven’t listened to the podcast, but you do know that the research that D-K relied on is sloppy, and, if anything, disproves the D-K effect? The study itself is the best argument for the effect … because many social science researches are incompetent at basic data analysis.

120

San Francisco Hillel. Khaybar, if you didn’t know, is a reference to a Jewish community conquered by Mohammed, where the Jews were ethnically cleansed by Muhammad and his followers.

Andy Ellis @csoandy.bsky.social · 09/12/2024

Melbourne. Laguna Beach. Toronto. Amsterdam.

Andy Ellis @csoandy.bsky.social · 29/11/2024

If you don’t eat your pie this way, do you really love America?

Andy Ellis @csoandy.bsky.social · 25/11/2024

This weekend, in Canada, you were more likely to be arrested or hassled by the cops for being a Jew than for openly calling for the murder of Jews. (If you don’t know what I’m talking about, think about your news sources)

000

Andy Ellis @csoandy.bsky.social · 25/11/2024

Welcome to Bluesky, where mocking the murder of Jews is … normal?

100

Andy Ellis @csoandy.bsky.social · 24/11/2024

May his memory be for a blessing.

100

Andy Ellis @csoandy.bsky.social · 19/11/2024

Za’atar Picanha. (Spice from Shuk Hacarmel, Tel Aviv, Israel)

000

Andy Ellis @csoandy.bsky.social · 19/11/2024

Not sure how much longer one will be able to stumble across these memorials in Germany.

000

Andy Ellis @csoandy.bsky.social · 17/11/2024

Sunset in Tel Aviv (last week).

030

Andy Ellis @csoandy.bsky.social · 16/11/2024

Hassled by airport security in Paris for wearing this.

010

I did not say “as the war”, nice try. But there are prices - especially in the lives of future Hamas victims - that one does not pay. But it sounds to me like you’re perfectly comfortable leaving Hamas in a place to keep killing Jews, so we’re done here.

100

Sounds like you’re projecting. “If you cared” is the rhetorical sound of someone with no empathy.

100

It has to be airdropped to get past areas Hamas controls. Many of the trucks are simply taken by Hamas; have you noticed how plump many of the Hamas terrorists are when captured and stripped to small clothes?

100

Hamas didn’t offer to free all of them. And some prices are too high to pay. I do actually care; but I’m suspecting you do not, except as a bludgeon to use rhetorically.

100

A) that was a month ago, not a week ago. B) Hamas demanded, in exchange for 40 of 140 hostages (which might include some, but not all, women): ending the war, the release of pretty much all Palestinians convicted of terrorism, and Israel’s exit from half of Jerusalem. But you do you.

100

Building destruction data: x.com/ltcpeterlern...

x.com

000

Ah, look, you’ve listed all the places Hamas been operating from! Which means you’re either an ignorant repeater of things you’ve heard, or you’re knowingly evil, spreading Hamas’s propaganda. Either way, I’m done with you, but I hope that Adonai grants you favor and shows you kindness.

100

Israel is not committing genocide, no matter how much antisemites like to claim they are. And you didn’t point out anything; you linked to an article that relies on the statements of the UN, whose hand has been caught in the cookie jar of employing Hamas terrorists. Thanks for playing.

100

Anyway, thanks for demonstrating that you’re perfectly comfortable supporting Hamas’s genocidal desires and actions, including raping Jewish women in captivity.

200

Yes they are. Israel facilitates a huge amount of aid into Gaza, but a huge chunk of it disappears, only to be resold by Hamas on the black market.

200

Andy Ellis @csoandy.bsky.social · 12/02/2024

It’s apparently starting to be fashionable for Jews to call for a “bilateral ceasefire.” I reject this quisling formulation. I call upon Hamas and its Gazan supporters to unilaterally surrender, release all hostages, and permit humanitarian aid to reach the people of Gaza.

300

When the person "in charge" needs on-the-fly support, how are you prepared to address their need? duhaone.substack.com/p/engaging-b...

000

Andy Ellis @csoandy.bsky.social · 25/12/2023

In the spirit of Festivus, let me air a grievance. It’s Christmas. Wish folks a Merry Christmas! open.substack.com/pub/duhaone/...