Cover-1 Analytics @cover-1analytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2026Short throws behind the line of scrimmage complete at 81% on the left, 75% on the right — but deep shots to the left are a different story: just 36% completed, the toughest zone on the field through 4 weeks. nflverse #NFL #NFLStats 000
Cover-1 Analytics @cover-1analytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2026Minnesota's defense was the stingiest in the league in Week 4, allowing just -0.24 EPA/play. New Orleans was the week's worst by a lot: +0.33 allowed, nearly matching Atlanta's offensive explosion from the same week on the other side of the ball. nflverse #NFL #NFLStats 000
Cover-1 Analytics @cover-1analytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2026Minnesota is still blitzing more than anyone in football — 72.5% of dropbacks through 4 weeks, a full 25 points clear of 2nd place (Washington, 47.4%). Cincinnati blitzes the least at just 16.1%. FTN Data / nflverse #NFL #NFLStats 010
Cover-1 Analytics @cover-1analytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2026Houston is pushing the ball downfield more than anyone through 4 weeks — a median target depth of 8 air yards, deepest among the league's busiest passing offenses. nflverse #NFL #NFLStats 000
Cover-1 Analytics @cover-1analytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2026Waiver wire buzz. Most-added players on Sleeper this week: 1. Keon Coleman (BUF) — 1.40M 2. Dohnte Meyers (CIN) — 991K 3. Emanuel Wilson (SEA) — 683K 4. Roman Wilson (PIT) — 597K 5. Will Shipley (PHI) — 331K Sleeper · #NFL #FantasyFootball #WaiverWire 000
Cover-1 Analytics @cover-1analytics.bsky.social · 06/10/2026Atlanta's offense was on another planet in Week 4: +0.33 EPA/play, nearly double every other team. Carolina and San Francisco tied for 2nd at +0.19. Miami was the week's worst by a wide margin at -0.24. nflverse #NFL #NFLStats 000
Cover-1 Analytics @cover-1analytics.bsky.social · 03/10/2026Nobody's broken away from the pack on early-season rushing. Among the 14 highest-volume rushing offenses, medians are bunched between 3.0 and 4.0 yards per carry — Atlanta and Baltimore nominally lead at 4.0, but it's a flat field right now. nflverse #NFL #NFLStats 010
Cover-1 Analytics @cover-1analytics.bsky.social · 03/10/2026Small-multiples passing chart for every team: each hexagon is a field zone, colored by EPA per attempt. Kansas City (+0.49 average), Baltimore (+0.40), and Dallas (+0.38) are creating the most value across the field so far. nflverse #NFL #NFLStats 001
Cover-1 Analytics @cover-1analytics.bsky.social · 03/10/2026San Francisco converts 83% of its series into a new set of downs, best in the league. Minnesota is last at 57%, barely converting half its series into even a 2nd-down conversion along the way. Steelers sit mid-pack at 63%. nflverse #NFL #NFLStats 020
Cover-1 Analytics @cover-1analytics.bsky.social · 03/10/2026Vikings and Raiders are elite against the run (both near -0.13 EPA/play allowed) but mediocre against the pass. Miami's defense is the opposite problem times two: worst pass defense in the league (+0.46 allowed) and nothing special against the run either. nflverse #NFL #NFLStats 000
Cover-1 Analytics @cover-1analytics.bsky.social · 03/10/2026Blitzing more doesn't reliably mean more pressure. Chicago gets to the QB on 48% of dropbacks blitzing just 39% of the time, best pressure-per-blitz rate in the league. Minnesota blitzes far more than anyone (73%) but "only" gets 44% pressure. FTN Data, PFR / nflverse #NFL #NFLStats 000
Cover-1 Analytics @cover-1analytics.bsky.social · 30/09/2026No team leans on non-receivers in the red zone like Pittsburgh: 38% of their red-zone targets go to a TE, another 38% to a RB, just 25% to wide receivers, lowest in the league. Small sample (8 targets). New England and Green Bay are the opposite, both near 78% to WRs. nflverse #NFL #NFLStats 010
Cover-1 Analytics @cover-1analytics.bsky.social · 30/09/2026Chris Olave: from the #3 pass defense (Raiders) to the #28 (Falcons), the best WR matchup swing of the week at +25. Hardest landing: Quentin Johnston, from the #30 pass defense (Buffalo) to the #4 (Seahawks), -26. nflverse #NFL #NFLStats 000
Cover-1 Analytics @cover-1analytics.bsky.social · 30/09/2026Bucky Irving gets the softest matchup of any RB this week, from Minnesota's #3 run defense to Green Bay's #31, a +28 swing. Hardest landing: Omarion Hampton, from the #29 run defense (Buffalo) to the #5 (Seattle), a -24 downgrade. nflverse #NFL #NFLStats 000
Cover-1 Analytics @cover-1analytics.bsky.social · 30/09/2026Every qualifying QB's efficiency, split by middle-of-the-field throws vs. everything else. Matthew Stafford has the biggest middle edge (+1.43 EPA/attempt gap), followed by Jalen Hurts and Aaron Rodgers. 26 QBs shown, one box each. nflverse #NFL #NFLStats 010
Cover-1 Analytics @cover-1analytics.bsky.social · 30/09/2026CPOE leaders 🎯 1. G.Smith (NYJ) +10.9 2. T.Lawrence (JAX) +8.6 3. L.Jackson (BAL) +7.2 4. D.Prescott (DAL) +6.3 5. B.Purdy (SF) +6.3 via nflverse · #NFL #NFLStats #FantasyFootball 000
Cover-1 Analytics @cover-1analytics.bsky.social · 29/09/2026If Joey Porter Jr. were exaggerating his injury to gain contract leverage, could the #Steelers prove it? maffiemd.github.io/balls-and-st...maffiemd.github.ioCould an NFL Team Prove a Player Is Faking Back Pain?The labor dispute developing between Joey Porter Jr. and the Pittsburgh Steelers raises an important new question for the NFL’s collective bargaining agreeme... 000
Cover-1 Analytics @cover-1analytics.bsky.social · 29/09/2026And then they get Houston and Indy. Something tells me they won’t be in the top 5 (or maybe even top half of the league) very long. 010
Cover-1 Analytics @cover-1analytics.bsky.social · 29/09/2026absolutely. Early season stats are very unstable. 110
Cover-1 Analytics @cover-1analytics.bsky.social · 29/09/2026Jayden Daniels gets the softest landing spot of any QB this week: from Seattle's #3 pass defense to Indianapolis's #30, a +27 swing. On the other end, Lamar Jackson goes from Dallas's #29 to Tennessee's #2, the week's worst swing at -27. nflverse #NFL #NFLStats 010
Cover-1 Analytics @cover-1analytics.bsky.social · 29/09/2026Red zone TD rate leaders through Week 3: 1. 49ers — 90% (9/10) 2. Jaguars — 89% (8/9) 3. Saints — 82% (9/11) 4. Falcons — 80% (4/5) 5. Vikings — 80% (4/5) Small trip counts this early, so these will move. nflverse #NFL #NFLStats #FantasyFootball 001
Cover-1 Analytics @cover-1analytics.bsky.social · 29/09/2026Full target-share breakdown for all 32 teams through Week 3. Seattle leans hardest on one receiver (38% to its WR1), the Giants lean hardest on tight ends (34%), and San Francisco spreads the most to running backs (29%). nflverse #NFL #NFLStats 000
Cover-1 Analytics @cover-1analytics.bsky.social · 29/09/2026Nobody can run the ball right now. Buffalo has the best rush offense in the league through 3 weeks at just +0.07 EPA/play, barely positive. Green Bay is the extreme outlier in the other direction at -0.47. Meanwhile San Francisco's pass offense (+0.62) is off on its own. nflverse #NFL #NFLStats 000
Cover-1 Analytics @cover-1analytics.bsky.social · 29/09/2026Brock Purdy is in a class of his own through 3 weeks: +0.66 EPA/dropback, nearly double 2nd place (Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen, both +0.34). Bottom of the list: Baker Mayfield, Aaron Rodgers, Daniel Jones. nflverse #NFL #NFLStats 000
Cover-1 Analytics @cover-1analytics.bsky.social · 27/09/2026Best offenses of Week 2 by EPA/play: 1. #Bills +0.33 2. #49ers +0.30 3. #Cowboys +0.26 4. #Lions +0.23 5. #Colts +0.20 One game each. nflverse #NFL #NFLStats 000
Cover-1 Analytics @cover-1analytics.bsky.social · 26/09/2026Best defense of Week 2 by EPA/play allowed: the #Panthers at -0.47, well clear of the #Patriots (-0.29), #Seahawks (-0.26), #Rams and #Bengals (-0.25). One game each, so a one-Sunday story. nflverse #NFL #NFLStats 021
Cover-1 Analytics @cover-1analytics.bsky.social · 26/09/2026Completion rate by field zone through Week 2: throws 10-15 yards over the middle connect 71% of the time, vs. 53% to the left and 60% to the right. Behind the line of scrimmage to the left: 84%. nflverse #NFL #NFLStats 000
Cover-1 Analytics @cover-1analytics.bsky.social · 26/09/2026The #Steelers rank 2nd-toughest against WRs and 26th against RBs in fantasy points allowed, so #Bengals RB Chase Brown gets the biggest RB matchup upgrade this week (+24). The biggest drop: 49ers RB Kaelon Black (-27). Two-game sample. nflverse #NFL #NFLStats 010
Cover-1 Analytics @cover-1analytics.bsky.social · 26/09/2026The #Vikings are blitzing on 78% of dropbacks through Week 2, more than double the league rate (32%). #Buccaneers (49%) and #Panthers (44%) are next. The fewest: #Bengals at 11%, who visit the #Steelers (25%) Sunday. Two games, so small samples. FTN Data / nflverse #NFL #NFLStats 010
Cover-1 Analytics @cover-1analytics.bsky.social · 26/09/2026Tougher Sunday for two QBs: #Bengals' Joe Burrow, from the 28th-ranked pass defense (HOU) to the 2nd (#Steelers), and #Commanders' Jayden Daniels, 27th to 1st (#Seahawks). Biggest upgrade: #Chargers' Justin Herbert at Buffalo (30th). QB fantasy points allowed, 2 games. nflverse #NFL #NFLStats 001
Cover-1 Analytics @cover-1analytics.bsky.social · 26/09/2026Tough draw for Tee Higgins: after the 29th-ranked WR defense last week (HOU), he gets the 2nd-ranked one Sunday, the #Steelers. Biggest downgrade on the board (-27). Biggest upgrades: Josh Downs and Quentin Johnston (+26). Ranks by WR fantasy points allowed, 2 games. nflverse #NFL #NFLStats 000
Cover-1 Analytics @cover-1analytics.bsky.social · 26/09/2026Red zone TD rate through Week 2: #49ers 88% (7/8) #Cowboys 86% (6/7) #Colts 83% (5/6) #Chargers 80% (4/5) #Vikings 80% (4/5) Tiny samples, big swings. nflverse #NFL #NFLStats 000
Cover-1 Analytics @cover-1analytics.bsky.social · 26/09/2026The #Rams are running a different sport. Their median carry goes for 5 yards through Week 2; no other busy rushing offense is above 4. The #Lions, #Patriots and #Eagles: 2. nflverse #NFL #NFLStats 021
Cover-1 Analytics @cover-1analytics.bsky.social · 26/09/20263.5 to 7: the range of median air yards among the 14 busiest passing offenses through Week 2. #Packers deepest (7), #Colts shallowest (3.5), and 11 of the 14 sit between 4 and 6. The median throw is a short one. nflverse #NFL #NFLStats 000
Cover-1 Analytics @cover-1analytics.bsky.social · 25/09/2026#Cowboys QB Dak Prescott is completing passes 13 points above expectation, the best CPOE in the league through Week 2. Brock Purdy (+11.6), Trevor Lawrence (+10.1) and Jalen Hurts (+10.0) are next. At the other end of the board: #Packers QB Jordan Love, -11.3. nflverse #NFL #NFLStats 000
Cover-1 Analytics @cover-1analytics.bsky.social · 25/09/2026Where is the passing game creating value? Through Week 2, the sweet spot is 10-15 yards over the middle (+0.87 EPA/att). Throws behind the line are costly everywhere, worst in the middle (-0.35). Green = efficient, red = costly, size = volume. nflverse #NFL #NFLStats 000
Cover-1 Analytics @cover-1analytics.bsky.social · 25/09/2026Who loves their tight ends? Through Week 2, the #Giants send 38% of their targets to a TE and the #Cardinals 37%. The #Seahawks are the opposite: 10% to tight ends, 44% to their WR1, the most in the league. nflverse #NFL #NFLStats 110
Cover-1 Analytics @cover-1analytics.bsky.social · 25/09/2026Which offenses keep the chains moving? The #Cowboys convert 85% of their series into a new set of downs, with the #49ers and #Bills at 83%. The #Steelers and #Falcons are last at 56%. League average: 70%. Two games, so grain of salt. nflverse #NFL #NFLStats 010
Cover-1 Analytics @cover-1analytics.bsky.social · 25/09/2026Running the ball is tough sledding early. Through Week 2, only 6 of 32 offenses have positive rush EPA/play vs. 21 with positive pass EPA. Best on the ground: #Chiefs (+0.18), #Colts (+0.16). Worst: #Chargers (-0.48) and #Packers (-0.47). nflverse #NFL #NFLStats 000
Cover-1 Analytics @cover-1analytics.bsky.social · 25/09/2026Which NFL defenses are actually stopping people? Through Week 2: #Steelers best against the pass (-0.35), #Raiders best against the run (-0.50). Worst: #Giants through the air (+0.46), #Broncos on the ground (+0.17). Lower is better on both axes. nflverse #NFL #NFLStats 000
Cover-1 Analytics @cover-1analytics.bsky.social · 25/09/2026QB EPA per dropback through Week 2. It's good to be Buffalo, Seattle and SF. But Pittsburgh...? Yikes. @steelersdepot.bsky.social #NFL #NFLStats 000
Cover-1 Analytics @cover-1analytics.bsky.social · 14/09/2026Every Week 1 throw. Treat EPA is cautiously because of small sample sizes. #NFL #NFLStats 010
Cover-1 Analytics @cover-1analytics.bsky.social · 14/09/2026Who gives their WR1 the highest share of targets? NFL target distribution (Week 1). 000
Cover-1 Analytics @cover-1analytics.bsky.social · 14/09/2026EPA per dropback, Week 1 (still waiting on DEN-KC): #NFL #NFLStats 000
Cover-1 Analytics @cover-1analytics.bsky.social · 06/09/2026What if Christian Gonzalez or Joey Porter Jr. extend their holdout into the regular season? maffiemd.github.io/balls-and-st...maffiemd.github.ioGonzalez, Porter Jr., and a Gap in the NFL's CBAAn image of Christian Gonzalez from CBS Sports. Two of the NFL’s premier young cornerbacks, Christian Gonzalez of the Patriots and Joey Porter Jr. of... 000
Cover-1 Analytics @cover-1analytics.bsky.social · 13/08/2026#PITvGB: Jordan Love (2025): above average at every depth. #Pitt's defense is solid through 10 yards, but leaks badly from 10-20 yards downfield. #Steelers defend well against right guard runs (-0.37 vs. league average), but the right end (+0.21) is a real weakness. #NFL #Steelers #Packers 010
Cover-1 Analytics @cover-1analytics.bsky.social · 13/08/2026#PITvGB: The #Steelers offense (2025): below average from 5-15 yards and on deep balls, only clearly above average behind the line and at 15-20. #GB's defense is mostly average, with one real soft spot: the left guard gap (+0.18 vs. league average). @steelcurtainrising.bsky.social #NFL #Packers 110
Cover-1 Analytics @cover-1analytics.bsky.social · 13/08/2026Which teams trust their tight ends and running backs closest to the end zone? The #49ers, #Browns, and #Steelers top the list: they send 64%+ of red-zone targets to a non-WR. The #Saints are the least likely, at just 31%. nflverse #NFL #NFLStats 001
Cover-1 Analytics @cover-1analytics.bsky.social · 12/08/2026New #Steelers DC Patrick Graham's coverage mix has shifted dramatically at every stop, from 48% Cover 1 in Miami (2019) to just 15% in his final year with the Raiders (2025). Here's his full history vs. Pittsburgh's 2025 mix. @steelcurtainrising.bsky.social nflverse #NFL #Steelers 010
Cover-1 Analytics @cover-1analytics.bsky.social · 12/08/2026Which NFL offense is the most one-man show in the passing game? Seattle, by a clear margin: 36% of targets go to a single receiver, the most concentrated target share in the league. #SeattleSeahawks #GoHawks #12thMan #SeahawksNation #NFL 211
