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Chad DeDominicis @cmdedominicis.bsky.social · 17/04/2025

We have our Sabres playoff drought bracket final. Nostalgic moment vs recency bias. Lucic hit on Miller vs Palm Tree press conference Voting will begin tomorrow.

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Chad DeDominicis @cmdedominicis.bsky.social · 12/04/2025

The Final 4 of the Sabres playoff drought bracket is set!

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Chad DeDominicis @cmdedominicis.bsky.social · 11/04/2025

Final Game Charts - Sabres were the better team for most of the game but that doesn't always mean you win - Zucker a lot of shot attempts tonight - Dahlin was excellent per usual - I wouldn't mind Ostlund getting one game with Zucker and Tuch.

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Chad DeDominicis @cmdedominicis.bsky.social · 10/04/2025

There are a handful of things that went wrong with the Sabres that we'll dive into but all of the issues do start at the top and trickle down. Full episode: linktr.ee/expectedbuffalo

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Chad DeDominicis @cmdedominicis.bsky.social · 07/04/2025

Final Game Charts - After the first period it was all Sabres - 9/20/72 is a problem for the league - Ostlund line only allowed one shot attempt against all game - Nice for Luukkonen to get a W on the board.

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Chad DeDominicis @cmdedominicis.bsky.social · 06/04/2025

Ovi owns the day with setting the record but we have a huge matchup tonight in Buffalo. Bruins in town. It's a potential elimination night for the Sabres. If they lose in regulation AND the Habs beat the Predators they'll officially miss for the 14th year in a row.

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Chad DeDominicis @cmdedominicis.bsky.social · 05/04/2025

The Bolts are in town tonight. Noah Ostlund will make his Sabres debut tonight as well. The magic number elimination for the Sabres is 6. It can drop to 2 tonight if the Sabres lose and the Habs beat the Flyers.

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Chad DeDominicis @cmdedominicis.bsky.social · 03/04/2025

The Sabres playoff drought bracket Sweet 16 is set. We lost two top seeds and one #2 seed last round. A few Cinderella high seeds making a run.

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Chad DeDominicis @cmdedominicis.bsky.social · 02/04/2025

Final Game Charts - Ottawa ahead in shot share and quality but not on the scoreboard - Period by period charts are not broken. Just didn't collect the data tonight - Reimer was excellent once again

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Chad DeDominicis @cmdedominicis.bsky.social · 01/04/2025

Sabres wrap up the season series with the Senators tonight as they go for the sweep. The Sabres are arguably the best finishing team (at 5v5) in the league this season. Then there's the goaltending...

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Chad DeDominicis @cmdedominicis.bsky.social · 31/03/2025

Offseason content is going to begin this week (I took off the name of the first guy)

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Chad DeDominicis @cmdedominicis.bsky.social · 31/03/2025

Lastly, goalie charts. Reimer running away with being the best goaltender this season for the Sabres.

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Chad DeDominicis @cmdedominicis.bsky.social · 31/03/2025

Updated Sabres shooting data in all situations. - Tage is a finishing freak - A lot of + finishing forwards - Krebs and Greenway are still near the bottom of the missed shot rate

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Chad DeDominicis @cmdedominicis.bsky.social · 31/03/2025

There are 9 games remaining in the Sabres season. Here's how the players are pacing down the final stretch. McLeod is tracking towards 50+ points. Quinn is somehow pacing to 16 goals with the hot finish.

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Chad DeDominicis @cmdedominicis.bsky.social · 31/03/2025

A few people asked for a chart update. So here you go. They need to win out to keep the 0.1% chance alive. The magic number to elimination is 10 points lost or earned by WC2 spot. Technically based on the current ROW tiebreaker it's 9 but that's not final yet.

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Chad DeDominicis @cmdedominicis.bsky.social · 30/03/2025

The Sabres are back at it today in DC. Probably no Dahlin again and Ovechkin is 6 goals short of history.

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Chad DeDominicis @cmdedominicis.bsky.social · 29/03/2025

Final Game Charts - It was an even game through 40 minutes and then the Sabres looked deflated in the third - No Dahlin was obviously a big problem - Top line didn't have it today - Luukkonen was really bad & gave them no shot to win today.

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Chad DeDominicis @cmdedominicis.bsky.social · 29/03/2025

Sabres in Philly today. If you want to see a team that has been CRUSHED by goaltending take a look at the Flyers. They're 20 goals WORSE than the 31st-ranked Penguins in goals saved above expected.

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Chad DeDominicis @cmdedominicis.bsky.social · 28/03/2025

Final Game Charts - Sabres were in control of this one from the opening minute. - Benson Kulich and Tage line terrorized the Penguins. - JBD and Power have looked good together.

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Chad DeDominicis @cmdedominicis.bsky.social · 27/03/2025

One of the final reminders on our month long deal we’ve had on the site. We’re in the final week! Current subscribers keep your eyes open. I’ll have a deal for you starting tomorrow. Link: www.expectedbuffalo.com/membership-a...

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Chad DeDominicis @cmdedominicis.bsky.social · 26/03/2025

Final Game Charts - Senators ahead in shot share and quality at 5v5 but didn't get enough power plays to get that special teams merchant victory - Reimer was excellent once again - Benson Kulich and Tage were strong - Sabres sweep the season series

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Chad DeDominicis @cmdedominicis.bsky.social · 25/03/2025

Dylan Cozens is back in town tonight. This will be interesting...

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Chad DeDominicis @cmdedominicis.bsky.social · 23/03/2025

Final Game Charts - Jets cooked the Sabres at 5v5 in the numbers. Hockey is an evil sport though. - Reimer was great - McLeod 4 point day and Bernard-Docker 2 points - Everyone has bad numbers

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Chad DeDominicis @cmdedominicis.bsky.social · 23/03/2025

The Sabres finish up their road trip today in Winnipeg. The Jets are good. The Sabres are not.

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Chad DeDominicis @cmdedominicis.bsky.social · 22/03/2025

Last week the Expected Buffalo Discord just started spamming random Sabres playoff drought moments. Something magical was created from it. I present the Sabres drought bracket to you. 64 moments. Tank Region Yacht Club Region Swiss Region Palm Trees Region

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Chad DeDominicis @cmdedominicis.bsky.social · 22/03/2025

Final Game Charts - Low event game where the Sabres generated little offensively - UPL finished -1.15 goals saved above expected - Idk what else to say. Winnipeg tomorrow.

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Chad DeDominicis @cmdedominicis.bsky.social · 20/03/2025

The Sabres make their first-ever trip to Utah tonight. Don't sleep on the hockey club. They're a sneaky good team with some bad luck/injuries hitting them at points this season.

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Chad DeDominicis @cmdedominicis.bsky.social · 18/03/2025

Final Game Charts - Sabres finished ahead in shot share and quality in a low-event game - Nice Power game - 9/71/17 cooked again - Good overall effort missing a few key players

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Chad DeDominicis @cmdedominicis.bsky.social · 17/03/2025

I'm back in Buffalo so we're back to hockey. Sabres in Boston tonight to face old friends Casey Mittelstadt and Henri Jokiharju

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Chad DeDominicis @cmdedominicis.bsky.social · 12/03/2025

I hate promo posts a lot but today is our anniversary. Our promo will still run through the month but I'd recommend getting in now. We have a fun expansion situation coming soon. Our Discord is also awesome & feedback has been good from new folks. Link: www.expectedbuffalo.com/membership-a...

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Chad DeDominicis @cmdedominicis.bsky.social · 12/03/2025

The Sabres have the chance to play spoiler tonight for the Red Wings playoff hopes. Standings say Detroit is 10 points better but idk about that.

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Chad DeDominicis @cmdedominicis.bsky.social · 11/03/2025

I can get to the last of my Sabres numbers/chart updates now. The goalies. NST's model is a little harsh on UPL. Evolving Hockey has him at -2.75.

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Chad DeDominicis @cmdedominicis.bsky.social · 11/03/2025

Up next, shooting in all situations. - Josh Norris is a + finisher and doesn't miss the net often relative to the roster. - If Zach Benson could find a finishing touch next season he'll be dangerous in the middle of the lineup.

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Chad DeDominicis @cmdedominicis.bsky.social · 11/03/2025

Time for another round of Sabres numbers/charts updates. Kick things off with the current production pace with 19 games remaining. - Tage on pace for over 40 goals - Tuch pacing over 30 goals - A 45-point season from McLeod would be excellent

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Chad DeDominicis @cmdedominicis.bsky.social · 11/03/2025

Final Game Charts - Sabres went punch for punch at 5v5 - McLeod and his line was excellent against McDavid - I liked the Krebs line too - Good Byram game - Norris first point on game-winner - UPL was amazing

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Chad DeDominicis @cmdedominicis.bsky.social · 10/03/2025

My article today takes a look at the moves Adams made over the deadline & what it means. We still have our anniversary sale rolling for the rest of this month. I'd highly recommend getting in now. We have an exciting expansion project coming soon. Link: www.expectedbuffalo.com/membership-a...

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Chad DeDominicis @cmdedominicis.bsky.social · 10/03/2025

Connor McDavid and crew are in town tonight

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Chad DeDominicis @cmdedominicis.bsky.social · 09/03/2025

Final Game Charts - UPL finished with over a goal saved above expected. Tonight wasn't a night to be mad at him. - Norris was fine I felt. Nothing spectacular nothing bad. - Fourth line was terrorized tonight

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Chad DeDominicis @cmdedominicis.bsky.social · 07/03/2025

Final Game Charts - Sabres come out ahead on shot share and break even basically on quality - Dahlin was excellent and Peterka had a good game too - Byram struggled again away from Dahlin - UPL a -3.48 goals saved above expected in NST's model. YIKES.

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Chad DeDominicis @cmdedominicis.bsky.social · 06/03/2025

The Sabres are in Tampa tonight. There's not a lot here that favors the Sabres in this matchup. Oh and this is an ESPN game. A national broadcast of what could be a one-sided affair would be interesting.

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Chad DeDominicis @cmdedominicis.bsky.social · 04/03/2025

Apparently, it's Bills night with the Sharks in town. Don't care about 3 in 4 or back to back's (Sharks were in Toronto last night) with this one. Can't lose this game on home ice.

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Chad DeDominicis @cmdedominicis.bsky.social · 28/02/2025

Final Game Charts - This is what getting embarrassed looks like in chart form - I'm impressed two players put up + xG numbers - Lindy should probably stop being bullish with Tage playing wing. Just put him back at C. Worked Tuesday & today the best F line was him at C. - Reimer was good!

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Chad DeDominicis @cmdedominicis.bsky.social · 27/02/2025

Don't forget it's our 5th birthday at @ExpectedBuffalo in a few weeks. To say thank you and give back we're giving 50% off for one-year membership to see what we're all about. Our Discord alone will be busy w/ deadline talk. Link: www.expectedbuffalo.com/membership-a...

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Chad DeDominicis @cmdedominicis.bsky.social · 27/02/2025

The Sabres take a quick business trip to Carolina tonight. Hurricanes are struggling and wearing the Whalers jersey tonight won't save them.

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Chad DeDominicis @cmdedominicis.bsky.social · 26/02/2025

Final Game Charts - Sabres were in control of that game at 5v5. Dominated. - Good third period from Cozens. It's what makes him frustrating because why do we see it few and far between? - Dahlin and Byram were excellent again. - Liked Tuch a lot tonight too.

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Chad DeDominicis @cmdedominicis.bsky.social · 26/02/2025

The Chart has no mercy. It demands points. The Sabres oblige. They now climb past the Penguins on points percentage. No longer in the basement in the East.

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Chad DeDominicis @cmdedominicis.bsky.social · 25/02/2025

The Chart was created to chase an unrealistic playoff push. It’s time to get back to its roots. Here we go. This is their next 15 games. Long live The Chart!

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Chad DeDominicis @cmdedominicis.bsky.social · 25/02/2025

The Ducks make their annual visit to Buffalo tonight. They're a team that doesn't finish well but has had the top goaltending performance as a team in the league this season based on GSAx.

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