iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Ciro Borrelli @ciroborrelli.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

Italy may need less gas in the future. But could weather matter more? In a recent ICIS analysis by Marta Del Buono, I shared my perspective on Italian gas demand and weather. The shift is not only about volumes. It is also about when the energy system needs flexibility. #EnergyMarkets

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Ciro Borrelli @ciroborrelli.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

Snow in the Alps is also stored energy. I spoke with Montel about Italy’s hydropower outlook and why weak snow accumulation this winter, combined with another hot and dry summer, could carry consequences into 2027. Weather and energy operate on very different timescales.

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Ciro Borrelli @ciroborrelli.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

Saipem’s new project off Angola reaches water depths of 1,750m. But the weather affecting operations can begin thousands of kilometres away: South Atlantic storms can send long-period swell towards Angola days later. Offshore weather is rarely just local. #Offshore #WeatherIntelligence

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Ciro Borrelli @ciroborrelli.bsky.social · 19/09/2026

Almost a year since my TEDx BilancinoLake talk, “Dove finisce il cielo e cominciamo noi.” Weather, climate, and how what happens above our heads shapes the decisions we make every day. The talk is in Italian — link below. #TEDx #Weather #Climate

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Ciro Borrelli @ciroborrelli.bsky.social · 17/09/2026

When a supercell turns noon into dusk in minutes, regional solar vanishes and wind shuts down on gust limits just as building lights flip on. In 15-minute power markets, managing that imbalance comes down to radar nowcasting. Discussed with Alfredo Spalla on Montel News

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Ciro Borrelli @ciroborrelli.bsky.social · 15/09/2026

"It's no longer rain, it's a bullet." Supercells cut solar output to zero in 15 mins, while markets plan on 24h. Discussed EU storm risks on Montel News: montelnews.com/news/32218a0...

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Ciro Borrelli @ciroborrelli.bsky.social · 10/09/2026

Western Europe recorded its warmest summer ever. As I discussed with Montel today, grids face a compound risk: cooling demand spikes just as drought hits hydro and cooling-water generation. Solar carries midday, but from Romania’s Danube lows to Greece’s evening ramps, weather risk is now grid risk.

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Ciro Borrelli @ciroborrelli.bsky.social · 06/09/2026

On stage at TIF Thessaloniki today. Data doesn't stop damage — pre-agreed decisions do. We can see severe weather days ahead. The real bottleneck is whether the operational rule was written before the alarm rings. Find #Weathernews at Pavilion 13, J01!

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Ciro Borrelli @ciroborrelli.bsky.social · 03/09/2026

A "very strong" El Niño is confirmed through early 2027. For offshore wind, the battleground is Europe. In the North Sea, wave heights threaten CTV/SOV access windows despite high wind. In the Med, record sea temps act as fuel for rapid squalls. #OffshoreWind

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Ciro Borrelli @ciroborrelli.bsky.social · 03/09/2026

WMO confirmed a "very strong" El Niño persisting into 2027. Traders are betting on a mild winter, but don't overlook hydrology. Warm Atlantic storms mean rain instead of snowpack at mid-altitudes: fast winter runoff, dry reservoirs by spring. Detailed market briefing next week. #ElNino #Energy

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Ciro Borrelli @ciroborrelli.bsky.social · 31/08/2026

We're pretty good at seeing disasters coming. We're still bad at acting on it in time. That's what I'll be talking about this Sunday on a Weathernews & JTI panel in Thessaloniki, right after my colleague Teppei presents the wildfire science. Japan Pavilion, TIF 2026, 10:30. Open to everyone.

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Ciro Borrelli @ciroborrelli.bsky.social · 27/08/2026

Saharan dust can become a power-market issue very quickly. Not only because PV output falls, but because day-ahead forecasts may overestimate generation just as cooling demand is rising. This week it looks more like a multi-day balancing challenge than a single bad day. #Energy #Solar #Weather

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Ciro Borrelli @ciroborrelli.bsky.social · 26/08/2026

Rain can help river levels recover quickly. Rebuilding reservoirs and groundwater takes much longer. That distinction matters for hydropower availability and power prices too. Glad to contribute my perspective to Alina Trabattoni’s latest piece for Montel News. #Energy #Weather #Drought

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Ciro Borrelli @ciroborrelli.bsky.social · 25/08/2026

Rain can help river levels recover quickly, but rebuilding reservoirs, lakes and groundwater takes much longer. That matters for hydropower, thermal generation and power prices too. Glad to have contributed to this Montel News piece. montelnews.com/news/e3dc6e5...

montelnews.com

Italy drought gets some relief but power price risk lingers

Northern rains give Italy modest drought relief, but low hydropower reservoirs mean power price risk may persist into autumn and winter.

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Ciro Borrelli @ciroborrelli.bsky.social · 24/08/2026

Tomorrow Italy's new renewable auction scheme (FER-X) goes live: up to 37GW of wind and solar. The interesting bit isn't the size — at least 30% of the quota won't be decided on price alone. Lowest-bidder auctions have a history of producing paper winners.

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Ciro Borrelli @ciroborrelli.bsky.social · 24/08/2026

A couple of weeks ago Romania shut its biggest nuclear plant because the Danube ran too low. This week the same country cleared the final hurdle for what could become the EU's largest solar plant — with batteries attached. Same summer, opposite headlines.

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Ciro Borrelli @ciroborrelli.bsky.social · 18/08/2026

Everyone's talking about the Spanish eclipse's solar drop — 16GW to 500MW. But an eclipse is a known unknown: exact time, path, magnitude, known years ahead. That's what makes forecasting easy. The real test is the ordinary Tuesday nobody saw coming.

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Ciro Borrelli @ciroborrelli.bsky.social · 18/08/2026

Romania just shut its last working nuclear reactor. Not maintenance — the Danube got too low and warm to cool it. Cernavodă normally supplies about a fifth of the country's power. This year, a river decided that, not fuel or demand. More at ENERGY EXPO Bucharest in Sept.

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Ciro Borrelli @ciroborrelli.bsky.social · 12/08/2026

Central banks are now watching weather maps. The weather derivatives market has roughly quadrupled this year. Heat isn't a future problem anymore — it's already in the GDP numbers. Weather trades on the market floor now.

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Ciro Borrelli @ciroborrelli.bsky.social · 11/08/2026

A wildfire near Athens was traced to a short circuit — in a wind farm's own grid connection. The infrastructure for clean power became the spark. Wildfire risk in Greece is now a grid question. At TIF Thessaloniki next month — Pavilion 13, J01. Let's talk.

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Ciro Borrelli @ciroborrelli.bsky.social · 10/08/2026

Heat, drought, and power generation: a complex equation testing the Italian energy system. While dry spells hit hydro hard, the situation in the Po river basin shows how vulnerable the thermal power fleet is too. ~3% of Italy’s thermal capacity is cutting output. (1/2)

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Ciro Borrelli @ciroborrelli.bsky.social · 10/08/2026

Good morning! Sharing our latest Weathernews brief: Slovenia hit €717.75/MWh on Aug 3 — not a blackout, drought. Rivers too warm to cool Krško and Cernavodă, Đerdap hydro at record lows, all colliding at the evening demand peak.

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Ciro Borrelli @ciroborrelli.bsky.social · 07/08/2026

Il Po ai minimi storici, un terzo delle centrali termoelettriche italiane in derating per l'acqua troppo calda. Pure la Francia nucleare in difficoltà. Prezzo luce: 207€/MWh. Non è un'anomalia — è la 4ª crisi idro-termica in 5 anni. #Siccità #Energia #ClimateChange

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Ciro Borrelli @ciroborrelli.bsky.social · 06/08/2026

Glad to have contributed to the latest Montel News article on how drought and extreme heat are increasing operational risks for Italy’s thermal power fleet. Many thanks to the Montel team. montelnews.com/news/72f026d... #Energy #Climate #PowerMarkets

montelnews.com

32% of Italian thermal power fleet at risk of drought – analyst

Analyst: drought threatens about 20 GW (32%) of Italy’s thermal fleet in the Po basin as cooling‑water shortages and heatwaves risk keeping spot power near EUR 200/MWh.

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Ciro Borrelli @ciroborrelli.bsky.social · 05/08/2026

Heatwaves are no longer exceptional events for the energy sector. Perhaps the energy transition is no longer just about building new assets. It’s also about learning to operate them in a climate that is becoming less predictable. www.reuters.com/business/env... #Energy #Climate #Weather

reuters.com

Wildfire threat moving east, threatening Italy and Greece, EU says

Europe suffered its worst wildfire season on record last year, with more than a million hectares of land burned. The situation this year so far is similar.

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Ciro Borrelli @ciroborrelli.bsky.social · 04/08/2026

Türkiye’s first offshore wind YEKA consultation closes on 17 August. The next two weeks are a genuine pre-tender influence window—not just another future opportunity. www.rechargenews.com/auctions/off...

rechargenews.com

Offshore wind push could turn Turkey into a Mediterranean export hub

Tender specifications contain incentives for developers, but uncertainties remain about wind and soil conditions

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Ciro Borrelli @ciroborrelli.bsky.social · 04/08/2026

Everyone is talking about the value of Galp’s latest acquisition. Integrating 15 operational wind farms into one high-performing portfolio is where the real challenge—and value—begins. Congratulations to the teams at Galp and Acciona Energía. www.galp.com/corp/en/inve...

galp.com

Galp advances power portfolio optimisation strategy with new renewables wind acquisition in Spain

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Ciro Borrelli @ciroborrelli.bsky.social · 04/08/2026

Europe is burning. Heatwaves aren’t just climate stories anymore—they’re energy stories. Rising demand, stressed grids, lower generation efficiency and growing wildfire risk are all connected. The real challenge isn’t predicting the weather. It’s preparing for its consequences.

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Ciro Borrelli @ciroborrelli.bsky.social · 01/07/2026

Non stiamo preparando il futuro. Stiamo cercando di adattarci al presente. #ClimateChange #Resilience

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Ciro Borrelli @ciroborrelli.bsky.social · 01/07/2026

Non stiamo preparando il futuro. Stiamo cercando di adattarci al presente. #ClimateChange #Resilience

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Ciro Borrelli @ciroborrelli.bsky.social · 21/06/2026

Ignite 2026 is over. I can’t share what was discussed, but I can share what makes it work: mutual trust, mutual respect and high commitment. Thank you to all my colleagues across Weathernews. Weather brought us together. The team makes the difference. #Ignite2026

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Ciro Borrelli @ciroborrelli.bsky.social · 10/06/2026

Si parla sempre più di un possibile Super El Niño nel 2026. Ma cos’è davvero? In questo breve video spiego come il riscaldamento anomalo del Pacifico tropicale possa influenzare il clima globale e perché gli esperti lo stanno monitorando con attenzione. #ElNino #Clima #Meteorologia #ENSO

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Ciro Borrelli @ciroborrelli.bsky.social · 10/06/2026

🌎 Super El Niño 2026: global models increasingly point to a potentially very strong El Niño in H2 2026. For Europe, the biggest risks may be indirect: LNG markets, hydro generation, commodity prices and supply chains. The climate signal is strengthening. #ElNino #EnergyMarkets

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Ciro Borrelli @ciroborrelli.bsky.social · 05/06/2026

Il problema della disinformazione climatica non è soltanto la diffusione di notizie false. È la crescente difficoltà nel distinguere ciò che è vero da ciò che non lo è. Il clima oggi non è solo una questione ambientale. È una questione di resilienza, sicurezza e fiducia. #ClimateChange

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Ciro Borrelli @ciroborrelli.bsky.social · 05/06/2026

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Ciro Borrelli @ciroborrelli.bsky.social · 29/05/2026

Il meteo influenza energia, infrastrutture, agricoltura e molte delle decisioni che prendiamo ogni giorno. Grazie a InAttivista per aver raccontato una parte di questa storia. open.substack.com/pub/inattivi...

open.substack.com

Ciro Borrelli traduce il cielo in decisioni

Ciro Borrelli passa molto tempo a guardare il cielo.

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Ciro Borrelli @ciroborrelli.bsky.social · 19/05/2026

Uno degli articoli più forti letti negli ultimi tempi. Pensate che si parli di cambiamento climatico, ma dentro c’è molto di più: economia, società, cultura, fragilità e futuro dell’Italia. Uno spaccato impressionante del Paese. Leggetelo e poi mi direte. www.duegradi.eu/news/mobilit...

duegradi.eu

Non è il clima che non mobilita, è l'Italia che non sa più ribellarsi

Economia informale al 10,2% del PIL, sindacati frammentati, inibizione culturale: tre meccanismi scaricano la pressione prima che diventi ribellione.

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Ciro Borrelli @ciroborrelli.bsky.social · 15/05/2026

People betting on Paris temperatures… and possibly trying to influence data from a weather station inside Charles de Gaulle Airport to win. Weather is no longer just forecasting. It is increasingly becoming a financial asset. And when uncertainty becomes tradable, data integrity becomes critical.

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Ciro Borrelli @ciroborrelli.bsky.social · 13/05/2026

A few moments from Athens last week Very interesting discussions around energy markets, renewables, weather and operational challenges across Europe. And honestly… great people and great atmosphere. #Energy #Networking #Athens #Renewables #Weathernews

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Ciro Borrelli @ciroborrelli.bsky.social · 08/05/2026

Back from X Energy Exchanges in Athens 🇬🇷 Great event, excellent networking, and a fantastic atmosphere. Congratulations to Ioannis Psarros and the team 👏 Thanks again for the invitation, also on behalf of Weathernews Inc. #Energy #Athens

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Ciro Borrelli @ciroborrelli.bsky.social · 24/04/2026

WindEurope this year felt different. Intense days, lots of clients, real opportunities. The message is clear: it’s not about more data, but better decisions. Climate & resilience are becoming central. Great momentum — now time to follow up.

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Ciro Borrelli @ciroborrelli.bsky.social · 21/04/2026

First day at #WindEurope — done. Great to reconnect and talk offshore/onshore ops, weather forecasting, power prediction & climate resilience. Intense but valuable. Two more days in Madrid — happy to meet. www.linkedin.com/posts/weathe...

linkedin.com

#windeurope2026 #offshorewind #windenergy | Weathernews Inc.

¡Hola Madrid! 🇪🇸 WindEurope is underway this week. Chiara Liardo, Ciro Borrelli, and David C. Henneveld from Weathernews Inc. Europe are in Madrid this week and happy to catch up over a coffee. If ...

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Ciro Borrelli @ciroborrelli.bsky.social · 14/04/2026

Extreme events are not just increasing. Their probability is changing. What used to be rare is no longer that rare. And many decisions are still based on a past that no longer exists. That’s the real risk. www.linkedin.com/posts/ciro-b...

linkedin.com

How Likely Are Extreme Events, Really? | Ciro Borrelli

What is often described as an increase in extreme events is, in reality, a shift in probability. Events that used to sit in the tail of the distribution are moving closer to the centre. They are stil...

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Ciro Borrelli @ciroborrelli.bsky.social · 10/04/2026

600+ vessels stranded in the Persian Gulf. AIS data shows they’re not static, but swinging on anchor due to wind and tides. With winds above 30 knots, this becomes operational risk. sea.weathernews.com/resources/20...

sea.weathernews.com

Hormuz Gridlock: Analyzing the AIS Data of Stranded Ships

What AIS data reveals about navigational risks for stranded vessels

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Ciro Borrelli @ciroborrelli.bsky.social · 07/04/2026

Weather often defines maritime operations. Weathernews is sharing free port forecasts for the Middle East (SeaNavigator Free). Next 24–48h: 20–30 knot winds, ~3m waves in the Strait of Hormuz. Conditions ease after April 8. sea.weathernews.com/resources/ #weather #maritime #offshore

sea.weathernews.com

Weather insights for maritime industry

Explore our latest articles, trends and research about weather to keep you updated on what’s new in the shipping and offshore wind energy industries

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Ciro Borrelli @ciroborrelli.bsky.social · 03/04/2026

Snow is back in Abruzzo… in April. Cold air from the north meets milder Mediterranean air right over this area. Energy builds up → intense snow and strong winds. Not unheard of, but events like this are becoming more frequent and more intense, likely linked to climate change.

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Ciro Borrelli @ciroborrelli.bsky.social · 02/04/2026

Abruzzo, Italy: over 2m of snow in April. Not impossible — but this intense, this persistent, with flooding below? That’s different. Weather isn’t just forecast anymore. It’s risk to manage

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Ciro Borrelli @ciroborrelli.bsky.social · 30/03/2026

Not safe. Not unsafe. Just… maybe. That’s where offshore decisions get expensive. Curious how others handle this.

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