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@chrisschmitz.bsky.social
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x.com/chrisschmitz

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x.com/chrisschmitz @chrisschmitz.bsky.social · 26/07/2026
Es sind im Schnitt alle 81 Tage Wahlen. Terroristen müssten schon extrem genau planen, um Wahltermine zu verpassen.
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x.com/chrisschmitz @chrisschmitz.bsky.social · 26/07/2026
Bluesky is a bizarre bubble. The conspiracy theories around the Islamic terror attack on Berlin know zero bounds. All to rationalize that it was not the totally lunatic politics that allowed islamists to enter Europe by the tens of thousands under the guise of „progressives“.
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x.com/chrisschmitz @chrisschmitz.bsky.social · 04/05/2026
It will help Ukraine tremendously if Iran Regime is removed. European Politicians pretend this is not the case, this needs to change.
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x.com/chrisschmitz @chrisschmitz.bsky.social · 05/04/2026
The F-15 Rescue map now Including the Geolocated FARP Airfield south of Isfahan.
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x.com/chrisschmitz @chrisschmitz.bsky.social · 05/04/2026
With sizeable information flow right now, here is the latest version of the WSO Search map.
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x.com/chrisschmitz @chrisschmitz.bsky.social · 06/03/2026
Purim Party power, via @saulsadka.bsky.social
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x.com/chrisschmitz @chrisschmitz.bsky.social · 06/03/2026
B-1 Bombers arrived at RAF Fairford for Iran Strikes today. What does this mean for the war? We simulate the 13-18h missions in detail, comparing Europe Overflight vs Gibraltar "Eldorado Canyon" Routes. www.youtube.com/watch?v=Nh7c...
youtube.com
B-1 Bombers at RAF Fairford for Iran Strikes! | European vs Gibraltar "Eldorado Canyon" Routes
YouTube video by chrisschmitz_osint
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x.com/chrisschmitz @chrisschmitz.bsky.social · 04/03/2026
check the video posted 4 days before the start, thats probably more interesting then. Because it outlines most of the attack right, but days before the actual attack. Not "after the fact" like this one.
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x.com/chrisschmitz @chrisschmitz.bsky.social · 04/03/2026
Iran has been firing thousands of projectiles at the Gulf States, triggering significant social media "attention", including the recent F-15 shootdowns. Here is a video covering the complexity of an Air and Missle Defense Effort at this scale. www.youtube.com/watch?v=_Crv...
youtube.com
Simulation of Gulf State Air Defense against reckless Iranian Attacks
YouTube video by chrisschmitz_osint
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x.com/chrisschmitz @chrisschmitz.bsky.social · 04/03/2026
The state of the Iranian Air Defense live on @flightradar24.com A US MQ-4 Triton drone right in front of Khark Island, where Irans #1 Oil Export Terminal is, and Bushehr, where Irans big Nuclear Powerplant is located. Normally, well defended places.
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x.com/chrisschmitz @chrisschmitz.bsky.social · 26/02/2026
Pew PEW PEW Free Persia. kmzview.com/YBFIZZekUk1t...
kmzview.com
KMZView: Free KML KMZ viewer
KMZView.com is a free viewer for KML and KMZ maps. Share your maps with a link and password.
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x.com/chrisschmitz @chrisschmitz.bsky.social · 23/01/2026
I am well aware of it.
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x.com/chrisschmitz @chrisschmitz.bsky.social · 23/01/2026
Just not sure your math adds up remotely. Very not sure.
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x.com/chrisschmitz @chrisschmitz.bsky.social · 23/01/2026
Plenty of fuel? Like 10.000 pounds? Good enough to avoid low fuel planes going in the dink, not enough for a sortie.
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x.com/chrisschmitz @chrisschmitz.bsky.social · 23/01/2026
Now, at 0900Z on the 23rd of January, the Carrier Strike Group 3 should approximately be around the displayed position closing in on the Gulf of Oman. SE Iran is already in Range of Tomahawk (orange) in the Strike Group, air assets would require land based tanker assistance.
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x.com/chrisschmitz @chrisschmitz.bsky.social · 22/01/2026
Circling back to my simulation of the US Carrier Strike Group towards Iran, it should be past India right now:
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x.com/chrisschmitz @chrisschmitz.bsky.social · 19/01/2026
Here is my hypothesis of the arrival of the CSG3 to Iran, based off its currently known position. TL;DR: Saturday local time, so Ops probably Sat/Sun night. We have simulated:: - a speed of 18kt in the Malacca Straights, actual observed speed. - a cruise of 25kt - two UNREP at 15kt for 4-6h
youtube.com
US Carrier Strike Group arrival Near Iran: Realistic Simulation Predicts Saturday Local Time
YouTube video by chrisschmitz_osint
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x.com/chrisschmitz @chrisschmitz.bsky.social · 18/01/2026
Here we go. DDG-112 is leading the formation, followed by DDG-111, then the Lincoln and DDG-98 is at the end of the line. Currently moving at approx 18kts into the Singapore Straights. The Fleet Oiler is behind a dozen nm or so.
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x.com/chrisschmitz @chrisschmitz.bsky.social · 18/01/2026
Mudhens out of Mildenhall moving towards CENTCOM globe.adsb.fi?icao=ae04fd,...
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x.com/chrisschmitz @chrisschmitz.bsky.social · 15/01/2026
I have simulated the traveltimes of two US Carrier Strike Groups towards the "Iranian AO". See the results on this quick "1 take" video. TL;DR earliest expected arrival January 20th and 22nd, escorts will require UNREP.
youtube.com
Simulation of timelines for US CSG moving towards Iran for Strikes against the Regime
YouTube video by OSINT-cschmitz
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x.com/chrisschmitz @chrisschmitz.bsky.social · 15/01/2026
Just created this "up to date" Infographic showing the "current state of global affairs".
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x.com/chrisschmitz @chrisschmitz.bsky.social · 04/01/2026
Berlin has a problem with Eco-Terror: March 2024: Sabotage against High Voltage lines September 2025: Sabotage against 100kV line January 2026: Sabotage against HV cable bridge
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x.com/chrisschmitz @chrisschmitz.bsky.social · 03/01/2026
Nothing is as shockingly naive, as the "European Commentators and Politicians" who thought that "the international rules" are worth anything without "the enforcer". USA gave you a warning, CN+RU started the games, time to grow up, Europe.
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x.com/chrisschmitz @chrisschmitz.bsky.social · 22/11/2025
Sad to see you go. Bluesky is just irrelevant, so that’s a huge loss.
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x.com/chrisschmitz @chrisschmitz.bsky.social · 09/11/2025
Die Klarheit ist doch da, es wird nur nicht öffentlich kommuniziert, weil kein notariell beglaubigtes Bapperl an den Drohnen hängt.
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x.com/chrisschmitz @chrisschmitz.bsky.social · 14/10/2025
Hello IvanATC, this is JAKE37 operating under IDGAF, sorry, due regard.
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x.com/chrisschmitz @chrisschmitz.bsky.social · 07/10/2025
Confirmed
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x.com/chrisschmitz @chrisschmitz.bsky.social · 07/10/2025
It could well be that we have another run of a UK RAF RC-135 Rivet Joint (Airseeker) into the Black Sea. Since the incident of a Russian Fighter almost shooting one down, these missions will usually feature a fighter cover by a NATO state. RRR7207/ZZ664/43C38C
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x.com/chrisschmitz @chrisschmitz.bsky.social · 07/10/2025
Also ist der ADFC auch nur Kommunisten-Klüngel!
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x.com/chrisschmitz @chrisschmitz.bsky.social · 06/10/2025
Die Annahme ist, dass es teuer ist, ist ggf falsch. Wenn die zu 30% der Gestehungskosten arbeiten, und das in zig Projekten so machen, rentiert es sich, wenn einzelne Projekte zurück gezahlt werden müssen.
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x.com/chrisschmitz @chrisschmitz.bsky.social · 30/09/2025
Turkish Air Force E-7 Wedgetail on approach to ETNG after a mission defending NATO from Russia over the baltics.
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x.com/chrisschmitz @chrisschmitz.bsky.social · 26/09/2025
v1 of the Command "Radar Detection Grid." From bottom to top: F-22, J-20B, SU-57, S-70, Orlan UAV, Drone, Shahed-129, GJ-11, J-35A, F-35A and... Can you guess the Top Row? Radar Platforms used: E-7, E-3 and A-50U. cc @dimitrisd.bsky.social
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x.com/chrisschmitz @chrisschmitz.bsky.social · 26/09/2025
This is unprecedented activity, especially for a Friday afternoon. We have four confirmed aerial refueling areas across the North Sea, Northern Germany, Poland, Baltic Ocean and Baltics. There is significant presence of Anti Submarine and ISR units, multiple CAP likely active.
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x.com/chrisschmitz @chrisschmitz.bsky.social · 26/09/2025
Sneak preview of Emissions and Radar Resolution testing of E-7 Wedgetail vs E-3 RISP AWACS. Targets include commercial drones, Orlan, Shahed, GJ-11, J-35, Su-57 and will be expanded later.
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x.com/chrisschmitz @chrisschmitz.bsky.social · 25/09/2025
Ukrainian AN-72 Coaler directly flying into polish Airspace. Notice that he ways flying at FL200 in Ukraine. This means that Russia has no way to touch it there. Possibly from the Ivano-Frankivsk area. VERY unusual. globe.adsb.fi?icao=508072
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x.com/chrisschmitz @chrisschmitz.bsky.social · 25/09/2025
USAF Europe Base Spangdahlem is currently having an Italian 767 Tanker and a Priority coded C5M on approach. Both are rather unusual. globe.adsb.fi?icao=33fe77,...
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x.com/chrisschmitz @chrisschmitz.bsky.social · 25/09/2025
- All citizens in Europe should prepare to be able to supply themselves with medicine, water, food for 2 weeks as shelter in place. - Get a radio, medicines and water supplies.
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x.com/chrisschmitz @chrisschmitz.bsky.social · 25/09/2025
- Russia and associated assets (Iran, Gaza-Paliban, Houthi, Agents in Europe) will likely increase activities inside europe, possibly including terrorist attacks and attacks on critical infrastructure.
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x.com/chrisschmitz @chrisschmitz.bsky.social · 25/09/2025
- A military occupation of Transdjnestr after Sunday seems very likely, possibly by Ukrainian Forces called in by Moldovan Government, who lack own military abilities. - Russia will likely respond with their information warfare assets framing this as escalation by "NATO/UKRAINE/EU".
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x.com/chrisschmitz @chrisschmitz.bsky.social · 25/09/2025
- An outbreak of "paramilitary" hostilities on Sunday or Monday is very likely. - Hybrid war activities are likely going to continue at least until Sunday. - Depending on the Sunday night situation, we may see an even further increase of RU hybrid war against EU if the coup fails, or is beaten back
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x.com/chrisschmitz @chrisschmitz.bsky.social · 25/09/2025
Summary of Hypothesis on this week, it can be VERY escalatory, let me explain: Current events are NOT going to slow down until Sunday. Sunday is the election of Moldova, one that Russia heavily tried to influence with intelligence operations. Thread:
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x.com/chrisschmitz @chrisschmitz.bsky.social · 24/09/2025
"Foxhound Inbound", a military grade simulation of the incursions of 3x Russian MIG-31 into Estonian Airspace on September 19th, 2025. We also analyze IF they could have been shot down, given the "robust" Doctrine in place now. youtu.be/pdwjtz_fAA8
youtu.be
"Foxhound Inbound", a military grade simulation of 3x Russian MIG-31 into Estonia Sep. 19th, 2025.
YouTube video by OSINT-cschmitz
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x.com/chrisschmitz @chrisschmitz.bsky.social · 16/09/2025
E-3A Sentry NATO001 and USAF KC-135 61-0290 on their way to protecting the NATO Skies.
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x.com/chrisschmitz @chrisschmitz.bsky.social · 31/07/2025
Typhoon Hungry. Need Food, Flankers please.
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x.com/chrisschmitz @chrisschmitz.bsky.social · 20/07/2025
The catch of the day. Two 4-letter RCH C-17 seperated by about a minute descending to Ramstein.
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x.com/chrisschmitz @chrisschmitz.bsky.social · 06/07/2025
Attention Spotters/OSINT: The German Army will conduct very low level helicopter operations in the area marked red between the 8th and 10th of July, down to 3m AGL. The German Air Force will conduct Eurofighter/Tornado operations in the area marked purple during the same times, down to 150m AGL.
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x.com/chrisschmitz @chrisschmitz.bsky.social · 24/06/2025
Quite the interesting combination of Patterns. I am sure that NL Spotters are having a field day.
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x.com/chrisschmitz @chrisschmitz.bsky.social · 23/06/2025
Mapping #FORTE10 currently active over Eastern Med: The Radar Line of Sight against a 1000ft AGL target (i.e. Drone) is seen on the "blue overlay" screen. The Radar Line of Sight against a 10ft AGL target (i.e. something on the ground) is seen on the "pink overlay" screen.
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x.com/chrisschmitz @chrisschmitz.bsky.social · 22/06/2025
5 days ago was just a derivative of the work in, 2023 (then with assumptions that were PRE-Israeli Strikes and disablement of Iranian GBAD) :p x.com/chrisschmitz...
x.com
C Schmitz on X: "With that out of the way, the US could move in along the purple corridor with B-2s covered by F-22 and F-35 and electronic warfare, engage the FEP and get out. US CAP would have to ensure nothing gets out of Teheran area (blue). https://t.co/MJKaaAWMy8" / X
With that out of the way, the US could move in along the purple corridor with B-2s covered by F-22 and F-35 and electronic warfare, engage the FEP and get out. US CAP would have to ensure nothing gets out of Teheran area (blue). https://t.co/MJKaaAWMy8
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x.com/chrisschmitz @chrisschmitz.bsky.social · 22/06/2025
The overall mission will take close to 30 hours, and span almost 15.000 nautical miles. What an incredible performance by the crews.
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