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Christian Ambrosius

@chrambrosio.bsky.social
303 followers 511 following 117 posts

Research and Teaching on Economics, Development, Migration, Latin America www.lai.fu-berlin.de/homepages/ambr…

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Christian Ambrosius @chrambrosio.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Thanks for mentioning. Fresh from the press :)
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Christian Ambrosius @chrambrosio.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Wie wäre es zur Abwechslung mal mit einer inhaltlichen Brandmauer
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Christian Ambrosius @chrambrosio.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
@taz.de mal wieder grandios mit der besten Einschätzung zur Berlin Wahl 😂
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Christian Ambrosius @chrambrosio.bsky.social · 01/08/2026
It’s a tragedy that such a tragedy will lead to only more tragedy if that is all we have to offer in terms of empathy and policies
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Christian Ambrosius @chrambrosio.bsky.social · 01/08/2026
I tried very hard yesterday to find something in the reporting on Ceuta that was better than just feeding the basic instincts and fears of invasion
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Christian Ambrosius @chrambrosio.bsky.social · 29/07/2026
Glen Hansard RIP. Thanks for all the beautiful songs you left us. smid=nytcore-ios-share
nytimes.com
Glen Hansard, Frontman of Irish Band the Frames, Dies at 56
The Irish singer-songwriter, who won an Oscar for the song “Falling Slowly” from the movie “Once,” died in a motorcycle crash.
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Christian Ambrosius @chrambrosio.bsky.social · 13/06/2026
Fox entering the party when we get tired that is the wild life of Berlin #wildlife
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Christian Ambrosius @chrambrosio.bsky.social · 28/05/2026
That’s great news for Berlin and WZB
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Christian Ambrosius @chrambrosio.bsky.social · 27/05/2026
Ich bin stolz darauf an einem Institut zu lehren an dem sich zahlreiche Kolleg*en an der initiative www.Wissenschaft-gegen-Faschismus.de beteiligen @wigefa.bsky.social @freieuniversitaet.bsky.social
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Christian Ambrosius @chrambrosio.bsky.social · 22/04/2026
if you can't access the publisher link above, the open access version is here: refubium.fu-berlin.de/handle/fub18... Feel free to repost 🙏
refubium.fu-berlin.de
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Christian Ambrosius @chrambrosio.bsky.social · 22/04/2026
Recently, President Gustavo Petro warned of backlash against the U.S. if policies don’t change. But do leaders’ views actually reflect public opinion? elpais.com/internaciona...
elpais.com
Gustavo Petro: “Habrá rebelión si Estados Unidos no replantea su política con Latinoamérica”
El presidente de Colombia, en entrevista con EL PAÍS, siembra dudas sobre las próximas elecciones presidenciales. A la pregunta sobre si respetará el resultado, responde: “Sí, pero no el fraude”
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Christian Ambrosius @chrambrosio.bsky.social · 22/04/2026
The literature on #Anti-Americanism in the region has a long and fascinating tradition. With current Trump-era policies and the rise of pro- and anti-U.S. blocs, we’ll likely see a revival of this debate.
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Christian Ambrosius @chrambrosio.bsky.social · 22/04/2026
My colleague Cova Meseguer (ICADE) and I really like this paper published a little over a year ago in Global Networks. Cova thinks we were ahead of our time 💡— the paper examines #deportations to #LatinAmerica and #publicopinion toward the U.S. Read here: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
Forced returns fuel anti‐Americanism: Evidence from U.S. deportations to Latin America
In the last two decades, forced removals have been the main feature of U.S. migration policy toward Latin America. In this research, we explore whether this policy has had implications in terms of La...
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Christian Ambrosius @chrambrosio.bsky.social · 21/04/2026
Compared to 137 or so illegal and arbitrary executions that’s of course not the the main issue but wtf: Once the men were on the patrol boat, the US personnel boarded the fishing boat and stole the crew’s food and the beer, Palacios said.
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Christian Ambrosius @chrambrosio.bsky.social · 06/04/2026
During Easter processions at Lake Atitlán, you’ll meet Maximón — originally a Maya deity who often takes on the role of Judas Iscariot. He also drinks, smokes, and has a thing for neckties.
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Christian Ambrosius @chrambrosio.bsky.social · 26/03/2026
Good MPI is setting an example with one position. Maybe, considering the pace at which things change in Germany, things will be better 30 years from now 😅
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Christian Ambrosius @chrambrosio.bsky.social · 05/03/2026
I like the new piñatas offered in Tijuana
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Christian Ambrosius @chrambrosio.bsky.social · 23/02/2026
Congratulations! I envy your students for the teacher and mentor they get wonderful news
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𝙽𝚊𝚜𝚑 𝙸𝚜 𝙷𝚎𝚛𝚎 𝙵𝚘𝚛 𝙸𝚝 @nashishereforit.bsky.social · 17/02/2026
Wow.
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Christian Ambrosius @chrambrosio.bsky.social · 24/01/2026
Goodby end of history hello apocalyptic studies www.capas.uni-heidelberg.de/en
capas.uni-heidelberg.de
Käte Hamburger Centre for Apocalyptic and Post-Apocalyptic Studies - CAPAS
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Christian Ambrosius @chrambrosio.bsky.social · 23/01/2026
Very much looking forward to this very nice conference in Segovia next week
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Christian Ambrosius @chrambrosio.bsky.social · 19/01/2026
Do we already have a quiz show “satire or reality” based on trump quotes?
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Christian Ambrosius @chrambrosio.bsky.social · 16/01/2026
#Nobel #FoundInBerlin
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Manuel Santos Silva @m-santos-silva.bsky.social · 14/01/2026
📢 2nd Junior Workshop Economics of Latin America - Call for Papers! Aimed at PhD students & post-docs working on development economics with a regional focus on Latin America. 9-10 July 2026 in Berlin. Submission deadline: Feb 28. (details below) #EconConf #EconSky
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Christian Ambrosius @chrambrosio.bsky.social · 11/01/2026
Also: with so many terrible things happening in the world it feels really good to just see everybody having fun with simple things and not thinking about any of it for a while.
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Christian Ambrosius @chrambrosio.bsky.social · 11/01/2026
Berlin sledding season ❄️ Sleds spotted today include: traffic signs, Euro pallets, skateboards, drying racks, and garbage bags. When it snows, Berlin improvises.
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Christian Ambrosius @chrambrosio.bsky.social · 10/01/2026
So hard these days to distinguish satire from reality 😢
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Anja Prummer @anjaprummer.bsky.social · 08/01/2026
Inaugural Workshop of the Standing Committee for Political Economy of the German Economic Association (Verein für Socialpolitik e.V.), @vfsecon.bsky.social Call for Papers below! Maik T. Schneider, @steinhardt.bsky.social @theocharisgr.bsky.social and I hope to see you in Berlin, March 26-27!
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Christian Ambrosius @chrambrosio.bsky.social · 05/01/2026
Vielen Dank für eine der sachkundigsten Analysen die ich in deutschen Medien gesehen oder gelesen habe
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Christian Ambrosius @chrambrosio.bsky.social · 04/01/2026
“With the U.S. not just unwilling but unable to underwrite any order, it’s Trumpian anarchy. There is a sudden vacuum in the world order, while Trump wields diminished U.S. military and diplomatic power wildly, with no constraints.”
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Christian Ambrosius @chrambrosio.bsky.social · 03/01/2026
reminder if not evident: US backed coups in Latin America haven't usually led to periods of democratic transitions and stabiliy, and neither did they usually have that intention (e.g. Guatemala 1954; Brazil 1964; Dominican Rep. 1965; Chile 1973; etc.)
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Christian Ambrosius @chrambrosio.bsky.social · 03/01/2026
Back in Christmas mood
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Christian Ambrosius @chrambrosio.bsky.social · 28/11/2025
10/ 📚 Why this matters: Millions are affected by enforced return each year—yet data is fragmented. The research note helps map the landscape and opens doors for research on the drivers & consequences of deportation. #Research #MigrationStudies #DataForPolicy
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Christian Ambrosius @chrambrosio.bsky.social · 28/11/2025
9/🧩 Overall pattern: Deportation risk is: • highly uneven across countries • extremely unequal across corridors • shaped by politics, bureaucracy & international cooperation #MigrationPolitics #ComparativeMigration #DeportationRegimes
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Christian Ambrosius @chrambrosio.bsky.social · 28/11/2025
8/ 📏 Figure 7: Deportation risk relative to diaspora size & origin-country populations. U.S.–Central America corridors dominate absolutely and relatively—but Europe–Albania and Spain–Morocco also show high relative risks.
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Christian Ambrosius @chrambrosio.bsky.social · 28/11/2025
🌍 Figure 6: Biggest enforced-return corridors (excluding the 4 U.S. giants to Mexico and Central America): Spain–Morocco, Greece–Albania, Colombia–Cuba, Germany–Albania. Lot of diversity below the Top 4. #MigrationCorridors #MobilityData
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Christian Ambrosius @chrambrosio.bsky.social · 28/11/2025
⚖️ Figure 5: Enforcement gap = enforced returns ÷ orders to leave. Variation is huge: Japan ~60%; others (BE, PT, BG, PL, CZ) <10%. #DeportationGap #AdministrativeState
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Christian Ambrosius @chrambrosio.bsky.social · 28/11/2025
🔄 Figure 4: “Other returns” (assisted/voluntary/administrative). Mexico and the U.S. dominate. In many EU countries, “other returns” exceed enforced ones—showing how procedure & reporting shape the data. #VoluntaryReturn #AVR #MigrationGovernance
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Christian Ambrosius @chrambrosio.bsky.social · 28/11/2025
📊 Figure 3: Annual enforced returns by country (2014–2022). The U.S. is an outlier—several orders of magnitude above others. Germany ranks 2nd, ~5% of U.S. levels. #MigrationStats #ForcedReturn #ComparativePolitics
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Christian Ambrosius @chrambrosio.bsky.social · 28/11/2025
🛂 Figure 2: Refusals of entry, U.S. vs EU. EU refusals collapse during COVID; U.S. do not—because of Title 42, which artificially inflated turnbacks. Excluding Title 42 shows the “true” refusal trend. #Borders #USBorder #EU #Title42 #MigrationControl
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Christian Ambrosius @chrambrosio.bsky.social · 28/11/2025
In the following: Seven graphs created from this data. Figure 1: U.S. removals massively exceed those in Europe. Four U.S.– Central America + Mexico corridors (MX, GT, HN, SV) dominate global return patterns.
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Christian Ambrosius @chrambrosio.bsky.social · 28/11/2025
New research note: Cross-Country Variation in Deportation Risk tinyurl.com/3x5ss4jk We mapped ~7,200 deportation corridors using data from 42 deporting countries. Data available as an interactive #RShiny app 👉 www.deprisk.info #DepRisk #Migration #Deportations #Data4Migration
deprisk.info
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Christian Ambrosius @chrambrosio.bsky.social · 13/11/2025
My 11yo explained to me why the opportunity cost of spending less time with his friends isn’t worth the marginal improvement in grades. I think he’s ready for an economics degree.
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Christian Ambrosius @chrambrosio.bsky.social · 07/11/2025
There was a time when Germany had great architects. #Bauhaus Reichsknappschaftshaus by Max Taut, 1929, now the Institute for Latin American Studies at Freie Universität Berlin de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reichsk...
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Toman Barsbai @tomanbarsbai.com · 05/11/2025
BÆM is back! Submit your paper and join us for the 3rd Bristol Applied Economics Meetings. Three workshops with a fantastic lineup of invited speakers: Development Economics, 5-6 May Economics of Migration, 6-7 May Fairness in the Economy, 8 May Calls for papers👇https://www.baem.info/
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Christian Ambrosius @chrambrosio.bsky.social · 25/10/2025
Ist es sozialwissenschaftlicher Analphabetismus oder bewusste Irreführung oder beides? Einfach zum Haare raufen was da sogar vermeintlich seriöse Medien verbreiten
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Andrea Velasquez @andreavelasquez.bsky.social · 22/10/2025
Muy feliz y honrada de contribuir a esta gran iniciativa de la Facultad de Economía - Uniandes! economia.uniandes.edu.co/voces/mas-al... En esta entrada resumo un nuevo documento de trabajo co-autorado con mis increíbles colegas @chrambrosio.bsky.social y Juliana Quigua: www.iza.org/publications...
iza.org
Beyond the Border: Labor Market Effects of U.S. Immigration Enforcement Policies in El Salvador
By 2020, one in four Salvadorans lived abroad, with 88 percent residing in the United States. The remittances to GDP ratio was about 25 percent, highl...
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Christian Ambrosius @chrambrosio.bsky.social · 22/09/2025
Working paper alert: We find that being more exposed to deportation threats had strong negative wage effects driven by the most precarious jobs and agriculture
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Christian Ambrosius @chrambrosio.bsky.social · 21/09/2025
#BerlinMarathon #Kreuzberg ❤️
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Anja Prummer @anjaprummer.bsky.social · 03/07/2025
We are looking for PhD students! More information at www.wiwiss.fu-berlin.de/fachbereich/...
wiwiss.fu-berlin.de
Call for Applications: EQUALFIN Doctoral Fellowships 2026
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