Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 14hAnd the 8th! The 8th was the real problem. Go to festa there and even if he melts down, worst case he gives up 3 and you go to Cade to get 6 outs anyway. More likely, he's mediocre and mediocre probably means an inning where he maybe gives up a run. 010
Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 14hFor the 19-22 in the DS, how often is the road team a WC with a better record? Just curious since the DS often features a team with home field that should maybe be an underdog 100
Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 18hGuess I was wrong about the plan. Bet Venable wishes I were right lol 100
Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 21hBut yes the goal is to force every one of the pre-taylor guys to get 1-3 fewer outs than they hope, and force Venable to decide who else he trusts 110
Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 21hAgreed with the concept, but I think it's "get Smith through DeLauter and bring in Fedde for Adell" and then see if Fedde and Kay can get you something like 15 outs so Taylor can get the last 9. If Smith doesn't get 3 outs, Hudson or someone will have to get 1-2. 100
Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 21hThis is mostly just me saying, I think he doesn't get a 4th hitter today. But we'll see! 010
Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 22hAdding context: in the minors he went consecutive days once as well. 7/31-8/1 - first day faced 3 hitters, was perfect with a K on 13 pitches faced one hitter on back end, got a K He's in uncharted territory once he gets to a second hitter. Doubt he's in long. Maybe just through DeLauter? 100
Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 22hThis isn't predictive or a thing to count on, but Smith has gone two straight days exactly once, August 16/17. First day, 1.2 IP, 6 batters, 26 pitches, 1 K, 1 BB. Second day faced 1 hitter, threw 4 pitches, and gave up a walk off two run shot to PCA. 210
Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 02/10/2026I know it's not the thing on the top of most people's minds with this, but the lead Watson apologists are the Haslams and they're going to own the new Columbus NWSL franchise and I'd really like to know what the players, who have been so vocal as a community supporting women, think about that. 175
Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 30/09/2026@empiregass.bsky.social just listened to the USWNT/NWSL episode. Curious your thoughts on Jordyn Bugg and her role with the national team? Thought she might be a candidate and she's got a few appearances but obviously not this time... 011
Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 27/09/2026Fantasy baseball's final day and I'm scoreboard watching pitchers I don't roster, hoping they give up HR so I can gain a point in HR/9 and move up a spot 041
Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 22/09/2026Sounders not only have two at home this week, they have KC at home next Thursday. That SHOULD be 9 points in 8 days and could potentially have them ABOVE the play-in spots. They can probably survive with 7, but they really really should get 9. 000
Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 16/09/2026I think he's pretty injured. Not to say he's not in decline - at his age, how could he not be? - but I think he'll be mostly fine next year but probably more All Star than MVP 110
Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 07/08/2026Interesting follow-up on an @enosarris.bsky.social comment 000
Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 31/07/2026Film you’ve watched more than six times with a GIF. Hard mode: no Star Trek, Star Wars, LOTR, Marvel, Disney, or Ghibli.static.klipy.comThe Dude's Opinion at the Bowling AlleyALT: The Dude's Opinion at the Bowling Alley 040
Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 29/07/2026I was shocked they got 4 in the early game and then was convinced they were dead down 5-4. Just zero confidence this team will ever score these days 010
Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 19/07/2026We're not. Do you do fantasy baseball writing? Happy to look at samples. 110
Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 18/07/2026Tournament would have sooooo many games and last forever. Group stage alone would be 120 matches (15/group). With each team playing 5, you'd need to either take a month for groups or compress schedule significantly and force a lot more rotation. Seems rough from match congestion/player health POV. 000
Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 17/07/2026The org has had a focus on defense for years so it's not really that surprising they'd dedicate a night to Outs Above Replacement, right? Oh... 110
Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 12/07/2026My soccer timeline is pretty interesting right now. The soccer experts I like/trust are 50/50 split between that being a travesty and being happy to see diving punished harshly 010
Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 12/07/2026I get this and I sorta agree but also... Maybe players should stop diving and trying to draw yellows? Embolo drew a yellow by diving and got caught doing it. 020
Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 06/07/2026Fox talking about how great the Mexico crowd was without acknowledging the chant is pretty frustrating. The atmosphere at that match was terrific but you can't just brush that aside 020
Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 04/07/2026You know who could use a keeper upgrade and whose CSO was on the field for that one? 010
Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 01/07/2026If Cavalli actually said that, Willson was incredibly calm and controlled 020
Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 22/06/2026Counterpoint: yes they will. US Soccer paid a huge premium to bring in an elite coach who both resolved a lot of issues of the old regime and integrated a ton of new talent and I think they're going to be heavy favorites in Brazil next summer and oh you meant the US MEN?! yeah, uh no probably not. 020
Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 21/06/2026Little love for Bazzana who over the last 30 days is at 0.8 fWAR vs 0.9 for JJ and 1.1 for McGonigle 100
Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 19/06/2026I'm open to the idea that Berhalter gives us a little extra solidity against the counter and that his set piece prowess could be crazy valuable against an extremely physical Aussie team. But Australia only gave away 12 fouls against Turkiye. 000
Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 19/06/2026If I'm Poch... 1) I only start Pulisic if he's fully fit and there's zero risk 2) I only use him off the bench if he's basically fit and the risk is limited and we need him 3) first choice is probably Zendejas as the most like-for-like Puli replacement 4) unless Gio can go 60. Then it's Gio. 100
Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 18/06/2026To be clear, if he's fine, he's fine, go get the 3 points 030
Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 18/06/2026With the structure of the 48 team tournament and a win in hand, if he's not 100%, I'd be pretty tempted to let him sit but be available if needed. If we need him, he plays 30-45. And if we don't, he's fully fit for Turkiye and beyond. 120
Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 08/06/2026This was a question that came to me via the @ottoneu.com slack community that I passed along to the team, because I didn't really think I had the data chops to do it justice. Jonathan crushed it. Go check it out. 000
Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 08/06/2026New addition to RotoGraphs @fangraphs.com, Jonathan Vander Lugt, will do really interesting work valuing players, draft picks, etc. in fantasy. Today he dove into a big question: what does early-career K-rate tell us about a hitter's long-term fantasy viability? fantasy.fangraphs.com/debut-k-rate...fantasy.fangraphs.comDebut K-Rate and Fantasy Viability: A StudyMeasuring the impact of a player’s initial strikeout rate on their likelihood of reaching fantasy viability. 101
Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 22/05/2026Totally agree. The no-K, not enough power failures are the counterpoint to the 115 max EV/40% K rate failures. And the guardians in particular haven't succeeded at that enough. Maybe Bazzana and DeLauter are changing that 010
Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 21/05/2026Barrels are one input to getting runs - but getting on base is still king, running the bases still matters, etc. The league is prioritizing barrels; feels like Milwaukee and Cleveland are succeeding by zagging that zig and focusing on the OTHER inputs 100
Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 21/05/2026Listening to Rates & Barrels; conversation Jed, @dvr.bsky.social and @enosarris.bsky.social had about barrels being overvalued/being patient with good decision guys sounds a lot like what the Guards and Brewers have been doing for years. Vargas a great example. Jose Ramirez a similar success story. 260
Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 19/05/2026Another debut from a new RotoGraphs writer! Jack Martin dives into some multi-fastball pitchers and identifies what is working and why. Really excited to have Jack on the team! 000
Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 16/05/2026They don't even have to be GOOD at rebounding. Just go from "embarrassingly bad" to "normal bad" 110
Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 15/05/2026Keeper question: why Schwake vs Stuver or Thomas who seem to be having better years statistically? 010
Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 14/05/2026It was either that gorgeous Ferreira goal or Preston Judd getting a yellow for simulation that was so obvious he couldn't even argue, just had to take it. 010
Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 13/05/2026Another RotoGraphs debut! This one from @corbinyoung21.bsky.social. Super excited to add him to the team, and this first piece shows why. BRB, going to try to buy low on Tanner Bibee. 010
Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 12/05/2026McGreevy popped up in two different articles today with slightly different takes. He's an interesting one, and I've been cautiously buying in as I see some positive trends and signs 010
Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 12/05/2026The newest addition to the RotoGraphs team, Jack Dorfman, debuts with a look at some underappreciated pitchers. Can't tag him here because he's too smart to be on social media 010
Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 10/05/2026They could have sent him down to get right and let hedges handle most of the work. Going and getting Bailey isn't a thing you do if you think Naylor will get right and be back anytime soon 110
Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 09/05/2026I don't think they gave up a first round pick and an intriguing arm without thinking Bailey is around for multiple years. I could be wrong, but this feels like a pretty big overpay if they don't think he's around for a while 010
Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 09/05/2026If Ingle turns into a legit OF bat or an exciting arm via trade, I'm back in lol 100