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Chad Young

@chadyoung.bsky.social
2.5K followers 334 following 779 posts

Managing Editor of RotoGraphs; cohost of Keep or Kut podcast; elementary school tutor. Also like to talk soccer, books, politics, etc. When it's not fantasy, it's Guardians, Sounders, Reign, Cavs.

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Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 14h
And the 8th! The 8th was the real problem. Go to festa there and even if he melts down, worst case he gives up 3 and you go to Cade to get 6 outs anyway. More likely, he's mediocre and mediocre probably means an inning where he maybe gives up a run.
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Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 14h
For the 19-22 in the DS, how often is the road team a WC with a better record? Just curious since the DS often features a team with home field that should maybe be an underdog
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Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 18h
Guess I was wrong about the plan. Bet Venable wishes I were right lol
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Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 21h
But yes the goal is to force every one of the pre-taylor guys to get 1-3 fewer outs than they hope, and force Venable to decide who else he trusts
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Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 21h
Agreed with the concept, but I think it's "get Smith through DeLauter and bring in Fedde for Adell" and then see if Fedde and Kay can get you something like 15 outs so Taylor can get the last 9. If Smith doesn't get 3 outs, Hudson or someone will have to get 1-2.
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Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 21h
This is mostly just me saying, I think he doesn't get a 4th hitter today. But we'll see!
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Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 22h
Adding context: in the minors he went consecutive days once as well. 7/31-8/1 - first day faced 3 hitters, was perfect with a K on 13 pitches faced one hitter on back end, got a K He's in uncharted territory once he gets to a second hitter. Doubt he's in long. Maybe just through DeLauter?
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Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 22h
This isn't predictive or a thing to count on, but Smith has gone two straight days exactly once, August 16/17. First day, 1.2 IP, 6 batters, 26 pitches, 1 K, 1 BB. Second day faced 1 hitter, threw 4 pitches, and gave up a walk off two run shot to PCA.
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Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
I know it's not the thing on the top of most people's minds with this, but the lead Watson apologists are the Haslams and they're going to own the new Columbus NWSL franchise and I'd really like to know what the players, who have been so vocal as a community supporting women, think about that.
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Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
@empiregass.bsky.social just listened to the USWNT/NWSL episode. Curious your thoughts on Jordyn Bugg and her role with the national team? Thought she might be a candidate and she's got a few appearances but obviously not this time...
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Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
Fantasy baseball's final day and I'm scoreboard watching pitchers I don't roster, hoping they give up HR so I can gain a point in HR/9 and move up a spot
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Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Sounders not only have two at home this week, they have KC at home next Thursday. That SHOULD be 9 points in 8 days and could potentially have them ABOVE the play-in spots. They can probably survive with 7, but they really really should get 9.
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Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
I'll take the over on 4 fWAR next year
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Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
I think he's pretty injured. Not to say he's not in decline - at his age, how could he not be? - but I think he'll be mostly fine next year but probably more All Star than MVP
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Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 07/08/2026
Interesting follow-up on an @enosarris.bsky.social comment
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Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
Film you’ve watched more than six times with a GIF. Hard mode: no Star Trek, Star Wars, LOTR, Marvel, Disney, or Ghibli.
static.klipy.com
The Dude's Opinion at the Bowling Alley
ALT: The Dude's Opinion at the Bowling Alley
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Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 29/07/2026
I was shocked they got 4 in the early game and then was convinced they were dead down 5-4. Just zero confidence this team will ever score these days
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Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 19/07/2026
You can do it talking to your teammates though
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Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 19/07/2026
We're not. Do you do fantasy baseball writing? Happy to look at samples.
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Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 18/07/2026
Tournament would have sooooo many games and last forever. Group stage alone would be 120 matches (15/group). With each team playing 5, you'd need to either take a month for groups or compress schedule significantly and force a lot more rotation. Seems rough from match congestion/player health POV.
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Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 17/07/2026
The org has had a focus on defense for years so it's not really that surprising they'd dedicate a night to Outs Above Replacement, right? Oh...
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Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 16/07/2026
Julius Falafel
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Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 12/07/2026
My soccer timeline is pretty interesting right now. The soccer experts I like/trust are 50/50 split between that being a travesty and being happy to see diving punished harshly
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Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 12/07/2026
I get this and I sorta agree but also... Maybe players should stop diving and trying to draw yellows? Embolo drew a yellow by diving and got caught doing it.
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Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 06/07/2026
Fox talking about how great the Mexico crowd was without acknowledging the chant is pretty frustrating. The atmosphere at that match was terrific but you can't just brush that aside
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Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 04/07/2026
You know who could use a keeper upgrade and whose CSO was on the field for that one?
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Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 01/07/2026
If Cavalli actually said that, Willson was incredibly calm and controlled
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Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 22/06/2026
Counterpoint: yes they will. US Soccer paid a huge premium to bring in an elite coach who both resolved a lot of issues of the old regime and integrated a ton of new talent and I think they're going to be heavy favorites in Brazil next summer and oh you meant the US MEN?! yeah, uh no probably not.
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Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 21/06/2026
Little love for Bazzana who over the last 30 days is at 0.8 fWAR vs 0.9 for JJ and 1.1 for McGonigle
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Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 19/06/2026
I'm open to the idea that Berhalter gives us a little extra solidity against the counter and that his set piece prowess could be crazy valuable against an extremely physical Aussie team. But Australia only gave away 12 fouls against Turkiye.
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Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 19/06/2026
If I'm Poch... 1) I only start Pulisic if he's fully fit and there's zero risk 2) I only use him off the bench if he's basically fit and the risk is limited and we need him 3) first choice is probably Zendejas as the most like-for-like Puli replacement 4) unless Gio can go 60. Then it's Gio.
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Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 18/06/2026
To be clear, if he's fine, he's fine, go get the 3 points
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Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 18/06/2026
With the structure of the 48 team tournament and a win in hand, if he's not 100%, I'd be pretty tempted to let him sit but be available if needed. If we need him, he plays 30-45. And if we don't, he's fully fit for Turkiye and beyond.
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Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 08/06/2026
This was a question that came to me via the @ottoneu.com slack community that I passed along to the team, because I didn't really think I had the data chops to do it justice. Jonathan crushed it. Go check it out.
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Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 08/06/2026
New addition to RotoGraphs @fangraphs.com, Jonathan Vander Lugt, will do really interesting work valuing players, draft picks, etc. in fantasy. Today he dove into a big question: what does early-career K-rate tell us about a hitter's long-term fantasy viability? fantasy.fangraphs.com/debut-k-rate...
fantasy.fangraphs.com
Debut K-Rate and Fantasy Viability: A Study
Measuring the impact of a player’s initial strikeout rate on their likelihood of reaching fantasy viability.
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Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 22/05/2026
Totally agree. The no-K, not enough power failures are the counterpoint to the 115 max EV/40% K rate failures. And the guardians in particular haven't succeeded at that enough. Maybe Bazzana and DeLauter are changing that
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Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 21/05/2026
Barrels are one input to getting runs - but getting on base is still king, running the bases still matters, etc. The league is prioritizing barrels; feels like Milwaukee and Cleveland are succeeding by zagging that zig and focusing on the OTHER inputs
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Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 21/05/2026
Listening to Rates & Barrels; conversation Jed, @dvr.bsky.social and @enosarris.bsky.social had about barrels being overvalued/being patient with good decision guys sounds a lot like what the Guards and Brewers have been doing for years. Vargas a great example. Jose Ramirez a similar success story.
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Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 19/05/2026
Another debut from a new RotoGraphs writer! Jack Martin dives into some multi-fastball pitchers and identifies what is working and why. Really excited to have Jack on the team!
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Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 16/05/2026
That was still embarrassing smh
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Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 16/05/2026
They don't even have to be GOOD at rebounding. Just go from "embarrassingly bad" to "normal bad"
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Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 15/05/2026
Keeper question: why Schwake vs Stuver or Thomas who seem to be having better years statistically?
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Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 14/05/2026
It was either that gorgeous Ferreira goal or Preston Judd getting a yellow for simulation that was so obvious he couldn't even argue, just had to take it.
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Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 13/05/2026
Another RotoGraphs debut! This one from @corbinyoung21.bsky.social. Super excited to add him to the team, and this first piece shows why. BRB, going to try to buy low on Tanner Bibee.
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Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 13/05/2026
Lewd Zeppelin
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Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 12/05/2026
McGreevy popped up in two different articles today with slightly different takes. He's an interesting one, and I've been cautiously buying in as I see some positive trends and signs
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Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 12/05/2026
The newest addition to the RotoGraphs team, Jack Dorfman, debuts with a look at some underappreciated pitchers. Can't tag him here because he's too smart to be on social media
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Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 10/05/2026
They could have sent him down to get right and let hedges handle most of the work. Going and getting Bailey isn't a thing you do if you think Naylor will get right and be back anytime soon
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Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 09/05/2026
I don't think they gave up a first round pick and an intriguing arm without thinking Bailey is around for multiple years. I could be wrong, but this feels like a pretty big overpay if they don't think he's around for a while
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Chad Young @chadyoung.bsky.social · 09/05/2026
If Ingle turns into a legit OF bat or an exciting arm via trade, I'm back in lol
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