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Cecilia Keating @ceciliakeating.carbonbrief.org · 14/09/2026

Experts told me the extent of this year's fires in Indonesia will depend in part on how long the El Niño lasts Fires tend to spike in the country during El Niño years - when drought dries out the landscape. Scientists expect it the current El Niño event to be one of the most intense on record.

Bar chart showing annual fire emissions in Indonesia from 1980 to 2026. Emissions vary sharply between years, with major peaks during El Niño years, highlighted by pale red vertical bands. The largest spike occurs in 1997 at just over 800MtC, with other notable peaks around 1991, 1994, 2006 and 2015. The 2026 bar, marked as year-to-date, is around 75MtC. Source: Global Fire Emissions Database.

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Cecilia Keating @ceciliakeating.carbonbrief.org · 14/09/2026

NEW for @carbonbrief.org As El Niño intensifies, the forest fires ripping through Indonesia are on track to reach levels not seen since 2015. The country's 2015 fire season has been linked to 100,000 premature deaths and produced emissions on a par with the EU's fossil-fuel emissions that year.

Line chart showing cumulative daily fire emissions in Indonesia. The 2026 trajectory, highlighted in red, rises sharply to around 75MtC and is closely tracking the early path of 2015, shown in dark blue. In 2015, emissions later surged to about 330MtC, far above the 2000–26 average of roughly 85MtC. Other years are shown in light grey. Source: Global Fire Emissions Database.

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Cecilia Keating @ceciliakeating.carbonbrief.org · 07/07/2026

NEW: During last month’s record-breaking heatwave, there were more than 2,700 heat-related deaths in France. That’s according to new analysis for @carbonbrief.org from @ccallahan45.bsky.social and @andrewdessler.com Read more: www.carbonbrief.org/guest-post-f...

Chart of estimated deaths from heat in France over 12-29 June 2026, with an inset estimating daily deaths.

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Cecilia Keating @ceciliakeating.carbonbrief.org · 10/06/2026

🇮🇹Pleased to be Milan until Friday for the 4th international #CDR conference 🌳 🔍 Am on the look out for interesting projects and upcoming research that might be a good fit for @carbonbrief.org … so come say hi

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Cecilia Keating @ceciliakeating.carbonbrief.org · 18/12/2025

@ncar-ral.bsky.social President Dr Antonio Busalacchi is giving an emergency press briefing at #AGU25 Says he has really seen outpouring support from community today at AGU NCAR is the "jewel in the crown" of efforts to predict the Earth as a coupled system, he tells journalists

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Cecilia Keating @ceciliakeating.carbonbrief.org · 15/12/2025

I'm in New Orleans this week for AGU and looking for climate science stories for @carbonbrief.org 🔎 If you're here - come say hello and tell me about your research 🌍 #agu25

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Cecilia Keating @ceciliakeating.carbonbrief.org · 30/09/2025

Jimmy Fletcher - former St Lucia minister and Paris Agreement architect- is speaking at the @iiasa.ac.at overshoot conference about how breaching climate targets will impact small island states Describes overshoot of 1.5C as "pathway of harm, loss and inequity that no small island state can accept"

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Cecilia Keating @ceciliakeating.carbonbrief.org · 03/09/2025

It seems like an age ago now, but back in 2020 I worked on an op-ed for @businessgreen.bsky.social from @kemibadenochmp.bsky.social where she explicitly backed net zero It states she is "proud" the UK is the "first major economy... to legislate to end its contribution to global warming by 2050"

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Cecilia Keating @ceciliakeating.carbonbrief.org · 02/07/2025

At the #tippingpoints conference, @rockymtninst.bsky.social's Laurens Speelman is presenting on the “compounding effects’’ of clean tech adoption He says: “As tech gets better and costs reduce, sectors that were previously thought to be untippable start to become tippable"

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Cecilia Keating @ceciliakeating.carbonbrief.org · 01/07/2025

Dr Patricia Pinho is talking about social tipping points among communities in the Amazon She points to a "direct link between violence to the environment and violence to people" Says this is a "huge problem" impacting the region, where there are 20% more homicides than a UN threshold

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Cecilia Keating @ceciliakeating.carbonbrief.org · 01/07/2025

@wanderinggaia.bsky.social is speaking at the Exeter #tippingpoints conference She describes social tipping points as "a dramatic change" that tips a place people from "being a place to flee from, rather than a place to stay” This could be due to homes becoming uninsurable, or poor food supply

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Cecilia Keating @ceciliakeating.carbonbrief.org · 30/06/2025

Not a lot of love for the press at the tipping points conference Rockström says the media is “getting it very wrong, seriously wrong” Dr Carlos Nobre points to a lack of coverage of the impacts of the degradation of topical forests, noting the "tremendous risk of epidemics and pandemics”

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Cecilia Keating @ceciliakeating.carbonbrief.org · 30/06/2025

Prof Johan Rockström tells the tipping point conference "there are now, scientifically, a list of tipping element systems that fulfil the criteria of being at high likelihood of occurrence and reaching the unacceptably high impact [required to meet] global catastrophic risk criteria."

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Cecilia Keating @ceciliakeating.carbonbrief.org · 09/06/2025

Received this leaflet over the weekend from the PFFA. A bingo list of climate sceptic talking points, including: - world isn't heating - humans thrive in heat - increased co2 is good for plants - net zero to blame for energy costs - boilers cleanest way to heat homes - what about China?

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Cecilia Keating @ceciliakeating.carbonbrief.org · 28/04/2025

At #EGU25 in Vienna for the first time with the brilliant ayeshatandon.carbonbrief.org 👋 Come say hi or drop me a line - keen to hear what you're working on for @carbonbrief.org

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Cecilia Keating @ceciliakeating.carbonbrief.org · 02/04/2025

Appalling headline choices from the @standard.co.uk.web.brid.gy here which appear to blame a 12-year-old cyclist for being crashed into by a car The car is passive/non-existent, meanwhile Lime is mentioned but not the make of the more powerful and dangerous vehicle @haringeycyclists.bsky.social

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Cecilia Keating @ceciliakeating.carbonbrief.org · 17/11/2024

Five months on from the climate change-linked disaster, the political and humanitarian fallout from the Wayanad landslides is still dominating the Keralan press - full page in the Times of India's Kerala edition here Posters tucked around Varkala pay tribute to the victims of the disaster

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Cecilia Keating @ceciliakeating.carbonbrief.org · 30/08/2024

Arresting stats in this year's DfT National Travey Survey show just quite how wide the cycling gender gap is in England This is why the work the London Cycling Campaign does to tackle barriers to women cycling (safety, abuse) is so critical

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