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CAT-UA @cat-ua.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

🔎 What does Russian propaganda reveal about the Kremlin’s next moves? CAT-UA monitors Russian media, social networks and wartime narratives. 📖 Read our full analysis: catuaresearch.substack.com 🔔 Follow CAT-UA on X & Bluesky for more! #OSINT #Ukraine

catuaresearch.substack.com

CAT-UA's Substack | Substack

My personal Substack. Click to read CAT-UA's Substack, a Substack publication. Launched 5 months ago.

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CAT-UA @cat-ua.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

🎯 Russian propaganda is dropping the mask. Pro-Kremlin voices openly celebrate strikes on Ukrainian civilian infrastructure—and some advocate coordinated attacks on factories, power plants and military recruitment offices. #RussianPropaganda #Ukraine

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CAT-UA @cat-ua.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

🛩️ Peace talks? Meanwhile, Russia is recruiting drone factory workers for $2,576/month. Plans to expand carbon fiber production could enable up to 28,000 additional Geran attack drones annually by 2029. CAT-UA tracks the contradiction. #UkraineWar #Drones

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CAT-UA @cat-ua.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

💸 Who pays for Putin’s war? Russians face higher VAT, new car levies and electricity bills that could cover damage to energy infrastructure. Some Russians say voters chose to continue the war—but everyone will pay. #Russia #WarEconomy

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CAT-UA @cat-ua.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

🚨 Russians “voted” for higher taxes—and a longer war. As the Kremlin claims to seek peace, ordinary Russians face rising costs while Moscow expands weapons production. CAT-UA analyzed Russia’s information war, Sept 21–27. 🧵 #Russia #Ukraine #InfoWar

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CAT-UA @cat-ua.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

Follow CAT-UA for weekly analysis of Ukrainian and Russian information spaces. #Ukraine #Disinformation #InfoWar #RussiaUkraineWar #CATUA

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CAT-UA @cat-ua.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

🧠 The mood is increasingly defined by two competing realities: 🇺🇦 confidence in Ukraine’s ability to strike back and regain ground; ⚠️ growing anxiety over Russian attacks, drones, the economy and a difficult winter. Read CAT-UA’s full Information War Digest on Substack 👇 catuaresearch.substack.com

catuaresearch.substack.com

CAT-UA's Substack | Substack

My personal Substack. Click to read CAT-UA's Substack, a Substack publication. Launched 4 months ago.

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CAT-UA @cat-ua.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

🌍 Diplomacy produced a more complicated reaction. Zelenskyy’s UN activity and meetings with Western leaders were broadly welcomed, but many Ukrainians remained deeply sceptical that Russia would respect any ceasefire. Talk of negotiations often triggered anger rather than optimism. #UkraineRussiaWar

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CAT-UA @cat-ua.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

⚔️ The week’s strongest positive emotions came from Ukrainian military successes. Operation “Vivaldi” in the Lyman, advances confirmed by DeepState, and strikes on Russian facilities generated hope, pride & even celebration. Fears of new Russian attacks remained high. #Ukraine #Lyman #DroneWar

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CAT-UA @cat-ua.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

🇺🇦 Ukrainians cheered battlefield gains and Operation “Vivaldi” — but remained deeply sceptical that peace talks could bring a real ceasefire. CAT-UA tracked the mood of Ukrainian social media from 19–25 September. 🧵 Key findings below. #Ukraine #RussiaUkraineWar #OSINT

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CAT-UA @cat-ua.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

🌍 Russian propaganda also intensified the narrative of an approaching war with Europe. Moscow claimed NATO was preparing for confrontation by 2029–2030, while Putin simultaneously said Russia would prefer to “live in friendship.” #NATO #Europe #Security #Russia

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CAT-UA @cat-ua.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

💥 At home, the war felt increasingly difficult to ignore. Russians reported: ▪️ Ukrainian drone attacks deep inside Russia ▪️ explosions near Moscow ▪️ concerns over oil and gas infrastructure ▪️ homes in Belgorod still unrepaired after shelling #Ukraine #Drones #InformationWar

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CAT-UA @cat-ua.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

🗳️ Russia’s State Duma elections unfolded in the shadow of war. Putin framed voting as a “contribution to Russia’s victory”. The election became, in practice, another arena for attitudes toward the war. #Russia #RussianPolitics #UkraineWar

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CAT-UA @cat-ua.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

🇷🇺 Kremlin is sending Russians 2 messages at once: ⚠️ Europe and NATO are preparing for war with Russia. 🤝 Moscow conceals its own intentions behind rhetoric about wanting to “live in friendship.” CAT-UA tracked how this shaped Ru’s information space on Sep 14–20. #Russia #Disinformation #NATO

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CAT-UA @cat-ua.bsky.social · 14/09/2026

The bigger picture: Russian information space is increasingly shaped by fear of mobilization, escalation with Europe, drone strikes inside Russia. Read CAT-UA’s full analysis of Russia’s information war catuaresearch.substack.com/p/cat-ua-mob... #InformationWarfare #Disinformation #CATUA

substack.com

CAT-UA | Substack

"Communication Analysis Team – Ukraine" – "Watch-cats" of social communications. Researching social communications. Analyzing Russia's information warfare. Wartime information landscape analysis. Offi...

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CAT-UA @cat-ua.bsky.social · 14/09/2026

🇩🇪 becoming a major target of Kremlin escalation. After Berlin accused Russia of a hybrid attack at Leipzig/Halle Airport, Lavrov called the accusations “the beginning of a real war.” Medvedev went on to call for strikes on Berlin. #Germany #HybridWarfare #Russia #EuropeanSecurity

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CAT-UA @cat-ua.bsky.social · 14/09/2026

Moscow is shifting its public rhetoric on negotiations. Putin says Russia wants a “lasting peace”, while still blaming “Ukrainian state terrorism” for blocking it. Russian commentators remain deeply sceptical that Witkoff-Kushner diplomacy will produce a ceasefire. #UkraineWar #Diplomacy #Russia

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CAT-UA @cat-ua.bsky.social · 14/09/2026

Other source of anxiety: 🇷🇺 men eligible for military service facing unofficial restrictions on obtaining foreign passports. Propagandists are reframing future mobilization not as preparation for Ukraine — but for a possible war with NATO. #RussiaUkraineWar #NATO #Kremlin

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CAT-UA @cat-ua.bsky.social · 14/09/2026

Putin dismissed the mobilization rumours as “complete bullshit”, blamed them on an infoattack against Russia. But the reaction online suggests the reassurance did not work. Pro-war voices openly argued that another mobilization is inevitable “sooner or later.” #Russia #Putin

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CAT-UA @cat-ua.bsky.social · 14/09/2026

🇷🇺 Mobilization anxiety is rising again in Russia — and this time, Putin himself felt compelled to respond. Searches for “mobilization” and “relocation” have hit their highest levels since autumn 2022. What is driving the fear? A CAT-UA thread 🧵 #Russia #UkraineWar #Mobilization #OSINT

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CAT-UA @cat-ua.bsky.social · 11/09/2026

🧠 The bigger picture: Russia’s information war is not just about pushing false narratives. It also exploits fear, fatigue, uncertainty, political distrust and the emotional aftermath of physical attacks. @cat-ua.bsky.social tracks these shifts week by week. #HybridWarfare

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CAT-UA @cat-ua.bsky.social · 11/09/2026

Suspected sabotage near defense facilities and warnings of Russian hybrid attacks fueled anxiety. For many Ukrainians, the question is no longer whether Russia is waging a hybrid war against Europe, but how far it will go. #Germany #NATO #HybridWarfare #EuropeanSecurity

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CAT-UA @cat-ua.bsky.social · 11/09/2026

🇩🇪 Europe is increasingly part of the same information battlefield. Ukrainians welcomed reports of German military support and the closure of the Russian House in Germany #Germany #NATO #HybridWarfare #EuropeanSecurity

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CAT-UA @cat-ua.bsky.social · 11/09/2026

The information effect matters too: visible vulnerability inside Russia challenges Moscow’s narrative of control. #CognitiveDefense #Russia #Military

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CAT-UA @cat-ua.bsky.social · 11/09/2026

🔥 Reports of Ukrainian strikes deep inside Russia became one of the strongest sources of positive 🙂. Social media focused on attacks against air defenses, oil infrastructure, logistics hubs, and military targets — and on the disruption of Russian airports. #Russia #OSINT

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CAT-UA @cat-ua.bsky.social · 11/09/2026

🚨 Why the darker mood? Russia kept Ukrainians under relentless pressure with air-raid alerts, ballistic missile attacks and jet-powered drones targeting Kyiv, Odesa, and other cities. War fatigue is rising, but Ukrainians are also closely watching Ukraine’s ability to strike back. #RussianAggression

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CAT-UA @cat-ua.bsky.social · 11/09/2026

🇺🇦 Russia’s war against Ukraine is fought not only with missiles and drones, but also through fear, exhaustion, outrage — and attempts to shape how Ukrainians interpret every attack. CAT-UA tracked what dominated Ukraine’s social media on Aug 29–Sep 4. A thread 🧵

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CAT-UA @cat-ua.bsky.social · 06/09/2026

CAT-UA tracks the narratives, emotions and information operations shaping Ukrainian society every week. Follow CAT-UA for weekly analysis of the infowar around Ukraine at catuaresearch.substack.com

catuaresearch.substack.com

CAT-UA's Substack | Substack

My personal Substack. Click to read CAT-UA's Substack, a Substack publication. Launched 4 months ago.

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CAT-UA @cat-ua.bsky.social · 06/09/2026

🇺🇸 One of the week’s most discussed political stories was CIA Director John Ratcliffe’s visit to Moscow. Ukrainians debated what it was about. For many, however, the visit also revived distrust and anger over Western approaches to Russia. #CIA #Geopolitics #Russia #Ukraine #NATO

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CAT-UA @cat-ua.bsky.social · 06/09/2026

🔥 But Ukrainians also found reasons for optimism. Strikes on Russian oil refineries, gas facilities, logistics centres and military targets generated strong positive reactions. So did reports of damage to a MiG-29, pressure on Russia’s economy. #Russia #UkraineWar #DronesAttack #RussiaUnderAttack

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CAT-UA @cat-ua.bsky.social · 06/09/2026

🚨 Russian strikes remained the biggest driver of fear. Kyiv faced repeated waves of attacks, and on August 27 the capital recorded 13 air-raid alerts in a single day. Discussion also focused on fears of further large-scale strikes. #Kyiv #AirDefense #Missiles #DroneWar #Ukraine

catuaresearch.substack.com

Flag Day and Independence Day Felt Like Genuine National Celebrations, but the Week Was Dominated by Anxiety Over Massive Strikes and a Possible Offensive on Kyiv

Information war digest for 22–28 August 2026

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CAT-UA @cat-ua.bsky.social · 06/09/2026

📊 What did Ukrainians actually feel online? CAT-UA’s Social Media Sentiment Index improved slightly from –27 to –23. But negative news still dominated: 🔴 Negative: 47% 🟡 Mixed: 29% 🟢 Positive: 24% And anxiety alone appeared in 30.2% of analysed posts. #UkraineWar #InfoSec

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CAT-UA @cat-ua.bsky.social · 06/09/2026

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CAT-UA @cat-ua.bsky.social · 06/09/2026

🇺🇦 Ukraine’s Independence Day brought a rare emotional lift - but it didn’t last. By the end of the week, social media was dominated by anxiety over massive Russian strikes and fears of a possible new offensive. CAT-UA’s infowar digest 🧵👇 #RussiaUkraineWar #InformationWar #OSINT

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CAT-UA @cat-ua.bsky.social · 27/08/2026

😰 Anxiety (27.7%) is rising ahead of winter: NK ballistic missiles, russia's Shahed launch sites, and warnings of a new campaign against Ukraine's energy grid are all feeding into public fatigue. #EnergyInfrastructure #Shahed #WinterIsComing

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CAT-UA @cat-ua.bsky.social · 27/08/2026

😡 But anger (28.6%) wasn't only about russia. Mykhailo Fedorov's address on elections triggered a rare cross-spectrum backlash — compared online to Putin, Trump, even Kim Jong Un — with critics spanning government allies and opposition alike. #Fedorov #UkrainePolitics #Elections

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CAT-UA @cat-ua.bsky.social · 27/08/2026

😡 But anger (28.6%) wasn't only about Russia. Mykhailo Fedorov's address on elections triggered a rare cross-spectrum backlash — compared online to Putin, Trump, even Kim Jong Un — with critics spanning government allies and opposition alike. #Fedorov #UkrainePolitics #Elections

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CAT-UA @cat-ua.bsky.social · 27/08/2026

💥 Deep strikes inside Russia were the week's biggest morale boost: Flamingo missile hit Samara (900km away), a Wildberries warehouse near Moscow burned, refineries hit in Ufa & Perm, two Kalibr-carrying frigates confirmed damaged at Novorossiysk. #Flamingo #UkraineWar #Russia

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CAT-UA @cat-ua.bsky.social · 27/08/2026

🇺🇦Ukraine's social media sentiment index: –27 for the week (Aug 15–21). Russian strikes dominated the feed — but so did a political storm most outsiders missed. Thread 🧵

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CAT-UA @cat-ua.bsky.social · 08/08/2026

Bottom line: Russia isn't preparing the public for mobilization through announcements — it's doing it through repetition. Every denial keeps the topic alive. Every "no need" makes it a little more familiar. #NarrativeWarfare

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CAT-UA @cat-ua.bsky.social · 08/08/2026

Moscow is quietly turning into a fortress: analysts reportedly counted ~125 new air-defense positions ringing the capital. Meanwhile complaints grow — high prices, drone-strike disruptions to business, explosions near homes. #RussiaAtWar

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CAT-UA @cat-ua.bsky.social · 08/08/2026

Telegram founder Pavel Durov was designated a "terrorist" by Russia's FSB and placed on its wanted list. Notably: even pro-war voices aren't cheering this one — mostly confusion over what it means for ordinary Telegram users. #Durov #Telegram

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CAT-UA @cat-ua.bsky.social · 08/08/2026

Ukrainian strikes hit Wildberries warehouses in Penza & Sarapul and an oil refinery in Bashkortostan — among the week's most-discussed negative topics on Russian channels, alongside rising OZON insurance tariffs for marketplace sellers. #DronesOverRussia

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CAT-UA @cat-ua.bsky.social · 08/08/2026

Quiet but telling: Russian military enlistment offices have reportedly gained access to civil registry records (births, marriages, deaths). More unsettling to ordinary Russians than any official mobilization denial. #InfoWar

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CAT-UA @cat-ua.bsky.social · 08/08/2026

Following Putin's Navy Day speech, a growing share of Russian online conversation reflects one conclusion: this war won't end in 2026. Even the Navy Day parade itself was staged on dry land — in a courtyard, against a painted submarine backdrop. #RussianPropaganda #OSINT #Putin

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CAT-UA @cat-ua.bsky.social · 08/08/2026

Russian social media this week: officials insist "no mobilization needed", while recruitment ads jumped from 6.6% to 9.9% of all sampled content. The messaging shifted: from "sign before mobilization" to "sign before the war ends." 🧵 What Russians are really talking about #Russia #Ukraine

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