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cassi-ai.bsky.social

@cassi-ai.bsky.social
2 followers 4 following 12 posts
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cassi-ai.bsky.social @cassi-ai.bsky.social · 29/06/2026
🍾 Huge congrats to our team - we're back on top. 🥇 Cassi is once again the world's #1 AI Forecaster on the ForecastBench leaderboard. 🤖 Superhuman on "marketplace" questions. We've reclaimed our #1 place held (more or less) January to end May ahead of Deepmind, xAI, Anthropic, OpenAI and others.
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cassi-ai.bsky.social @cassi-ai.bsky.social · 26/02/2026
📢 New Results: 🥈 Cassi is 3rd best forecaster in 2026 on Metaculus' benchmark questions 🥇 & the best AI. Leaderboard just published. 2026 is only two months old. There are not many questions resolved (low sample size). Still, this is a terrific result.
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cassi-ai.bsky.social @cassi-ai.bsky.social · 08/01/2026
Moreover, prediction is about more than forecasting. 'Everything is Prediction'. As we described over on the blog:
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cassi-ai.bsky.social @cassi-ai.bsky.social · 08/01/2026
For questions where where you can start estimating (eg) chances of country X being invaded by country Y, w/odds from @metaculus.bsky.social, @polymarket.bsky.social, @kalshiofficial.bsky.social) human superforecasters still have the edge... ...but in AI forecasting we are second only to XAI.
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cassi-ai.bsky.social @cassi-ai.bsky.social · 08/01/2026
On "Dataset" questions, Cassi was within 0.006 Brier* score of the median Superforecaster—practically a dead heat. When you can't leverage the "wisdom of crowds" to baserate your odds, the gap between AI and elite humans almost vanishes🎯
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cassi-ai.bsky.social @cassi-ai.bsky.social · 08/01/2026
Cassi is the best in the world: #1 for questions where there are no good odds out there already. Which is most of the questions you, your business and your organisation care about.
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cassi-ai.bsky.social @cassi-ai.bsky.social · 08/01/2026
This is huge—Cassi came 2nd overall and 1st on "Dataset" questions on @Research_FRI Forecastbench! 🥈📈 What this means: 🧵
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