Sign in

Çağatay Cebe

@cagataycebe.bsky.social
549 followers 784 following 373 posts

Interested in Lebanon, Jihadi Movements and Security Affairs.

PostsRepliesMedia
Reposted by Çağatay Cebe
Pieter Van Ostaeyen @p-vanostaeyen.bsky.social · 03/12/2025
Fuel crisis threatens security and stability in the Sahel A good round-up on the current security situation in the Sahel based on interviews with @simnasr.bsky.social @cagataycebe.bsky.social and myself (by @anadoluajansicom.bsky.social) www.aa.com.tr/tr/dunya/sah...
aa.com.tr
Sahel’de yakıt krizi güvenlik ve istikrarı tehdit ediyor
Uzmanlar Mali, Burkina Faso ve Nijer'de derinleşen ve Batı Afrika’nın diğer ülkelerine sıçrama riski bulunan yakıt krizinin halkın günlük yaşamını felç ettiğini, güvenlik ve siyasi istikrar üzerinde c...
073
Çağatay Cebe @cagataycebe.bsky.social · 24/11/2025
A look at how security pressure in Turkey and the Afghanistan–Pakistan region weakened ISIS’ Turkish-language media presence.
open.substack.com
A Short Assessment of ISIS Turkish Media Service
A look at how security pressure in Turkey and the Afghanistan–Pakistan region weakened ISIS’s Turkish-language media presence.
021
Çağatay Cebe @cagataycebe.bsky.social · 22/11/2025
The arrest of Halis Bayancuk, one of Turkey's well-known and rising religious figures, sparked a debate on social media between Sufis and Salafis in recent days.
open.substack.com
The detentions that deepened the Sufi–Salafi tension on social media in Turkey
How the arrest of two Salafi figures after the 10 November debate reshaped discussions between religious communities.
010
Çağatay Cebe @cagataycebe.bsky.social · 20/11/2025
JNIM in Mali issued a statement today calling on international organizations, businesspeople, student groups, and the working class. It created a narrative encompassing the people of the coastal region.
open.substack.com
An interesting statement from al Qaeda in West Africa.
In their latest statement, JNIM calls on the international and local actors to investigate and tries to gain the support from locals in Mali and the rest of the Sahel.
010
Çağatay Cebe @cagataycebe.bsky.social · 17/11/2025
I'll publish some of my articles in English and Turkish on Substack. To subscribe: fromcagataycebe.substack.com/welcome
000
Çağatay Cebe @cagataycebe.bsky.social · 16/11/2025
I spoke with sheikhs from the al-Baggara, al-Ugeidat/Aqidat, and Masahadah tribes in eastern Syria. They shared their views on the SDF.
fromcagataycebe.substack.com
The View of Syrian Arab Tribes on the SDF
How Arab tribes in Syria see the SDF and why tensions continue in the region
000
Çağatay Cebe @cagataycebe.bsky.social · 11/11/2025
During Trump and Sharaa's meeting, Syria announced its decision to join the anti-ISIS coalition politically, rather than militarily. Two weeks ago, a Syrian official told me that Damascus had requested that the U.S. halt ground operations, though they could accept sharing intelligence against ISIS
al-monitor.com
Syria officials: US strike on jihadi commander a message to rebel holdouts
A US strike that killed a prominent rebel in Syria in early October aimed to send a message to militants who refuse to join the new Syrian national army, Syrian sources told Al-Monitor.
000
Çağatay Cebe @cagataycebe.bsky.social · 09/11/2025
"AFRICOM officials were concerned that the U.S. lacked the intelligence and assets to support expanding operations to Nigeria, one of the people familiar said."
washingtonpost.com
Trump’s ‘guns-a-blazing’ threat to Nigeria shocked key players, aides
President Trump’s threat to go “guns-a-blazing” into Nigeria concerned U.S. military officials in Africa and surprised even those who had been pushing the issue.
000
Çağatay Cebe @cagataycebe.bsky.social · 08/11/2025
Iran, Sudani said, is “a neighboring country with which we have friendly ties. But certainly, this friendship will not be at the expense of our national decisions and the interests of Iraq and Iraqis.”
wsj.com
Iraq’s Leader Seeks an Improbable Prize: Independence From the U.S. and Iran
Mohammed Shia al-Sudani is running for re-election Tuesday after managing to keep his country out of the region’s recent conflicts.
000
Çağatay Cebe @cagataycebe.bsky.social · 04/11/2025
Like Iran’s “axis of resistance” - a network of non-state actors loosely tied together under an Islamic revolutionary banner - the UAE’s “axis of secessionists” comprises a network of non-state actors tied together under a counterrevolutionary banner.
middleeasteye.net
How Abu Dhabi built an axis of secessionists across the region
From North Africa to the Gulf, the UAE has aggressively expanded its counter-revolutionary strategy in the wake of the Arab Spring
010
Çağatay Cebe @cagataycebe.bsky.social · 04/11/2025
A sophisticated Chinese spy ship monitored Australian, Philippines, United States and New Zealand naval forces as they conducted joint exercises in the South China Sea last week. www.abc.net.au/news/2025-11...
abc.net.au
Chinese ship spies on Australia, Philippines and the US
A sophisticated Chinese spy ship monitors Australian, Philippines, United States and New Zealand naval forces as they conduct another round of joint exercises in the South China Sea.
011
Çağatay Cebe @cagataycebe.bsky.social · 04/11/2025
"More than 200 million people are estimated to live in territories controlled by non-state armed groups."
thenewhumanitarian.org
Climate change is here to stay. So are armed groups. Ahead of COP30, here’s why that matters…
A Q&A unpacking the complex impacts of climate change on violent crises, and the increasingly important role of non-state actors.
000
Çağatay Cebe @cagataycebe.bsky.social · 04/11/2025
Defense Intelligence Agency and the State Department’s intelligence bureau, show an increase in the flow of material from the U.A.E. to the rebel RSF since the spring.
wsj.com
Exclusive | How U.A.E. Arms Bolstered a Sudanese Militia Accused of Genocide
Reports by U.S. intelligence agencies show an increase in the flow of materiel from the U.A.E. to the rebel Rapid Support Forces since the spring, according to U.S. officials.
020
Çağatay Cebe @cagataycebe.bsky.social · 02/11/2025
President Trump on Saturday threatened Nigeria with potential military action and said the United States might cut off aid, accusing the West African country’s government of failing to protect Christians.
nytimes.com
Trump Threatens Military Action in Nigeria Over Protections for Christians
000
Çağatay Cebe @cagataycebe.bsky.social · 27/10/2025
My latest: Sources ranging from former Hurras ad-Deen/al-Qaeda members to official army personnel emphasize that CENTCOM's use of the term "al-Qaeda" is merely a pretext, and that the real aim is to push jihadi groups not yet in the army's ranks to join.
al-monitor.com
Syria officials: US strike on jihadi commander a message to rebel holdouts
A US strike that killed a prominent rebel in Syria in early October aimed to send a message to militants who refuse to join the new Syrian national army, Syrian sources told Al-Monitor.
010
Çağatay Cebe @cagataycebe.bsky.social · 26/10/2025
Xi, who wants Trump to drop his tariffs on Chinese goods, ease access to U.S. technology like semiconductors and loosen restrictions on Chinese investments in the US, analysts said. The icing on the cake for Xi would be if Trump signaled he was open to reducing Washington’s support for Taiwan.
nytimes.com
Asia, Caught in the Middle, Faces Trump and Xi’s Tug of War
010
Çağatay Cebe @cagataycebe.bsky.social · 25/10/2025
Jointly and separately, US and NATO forces conducted operations and exercises throughout the Arctic in recent weeks to counter increasing competition in the higher latitudes, officials from the forces have acknowledged.
janes.com
US, NATO hone Arctic skills across High Northern latitudes
Jointly and separately, US and NATO forces conducted operations and exercises throughout the Arctic in recent weeks to counter increasing competition in the higher...
010
Çağatay Cebe @cagataycebe.bsky.social · 25/10/2025
Senior White House and Navy officials are in early discussions to replace the current mix of warships with a new “Golden Fleet” that would be better suited to counter China and other potential future threats, according to former and current officials.
wsj.com
Exclusive | Trump Pushes for New Classes of Navy Warships
The president is personally involved in discussions for what the Navy is calling the “Golden Fleet.” The new warships would be better suited to counter China and other potential future threats.
000
Çağatay Cebe @cagataycebe.bsky.social · 22/10/2025
ECFR warns that "Traoré is struggling to control territory beyond major urban centres, and many African and European analysts now fear Ouagadougou could fall to jihadist groups". Around 60% of Burkina Faso’s territory is now believed to be beyond government authority.
theafricareport.com
Burkina Faso: Will Ouagadougou fall to jihadists? - The Africa Report.com
Behind the patriotic propaganda and Russian backing, Burkina Faso’s military is losing ground fast and the once unthinkable prospect of an isolated capital now looms large as jihadist groups choke its...
000
Çağatay Cebe @cagataycebe.bsky.social · 18/10/2025
“I want Chevron here for another 100 years,” Mr. Maduro said after Chevron got a U.S. permit to restart pumping oil. The company has been in Venezuela since 1923.
nytimes.com
How a U.S. Oil Giant Became a Pillar of Venezuela’s Fragile Economy
011
Çağatay Cebe @cagataycebe.bsky.social · 16/10/2025
Missiles, Subs, and Drones: How China Plans to Sink a U.S. Aircraft Carrier
nationalsecurityjournal.org
China's Plan to Sink U.S. Navy Aircraft Carriers Comes Down to 3 Words
A look inside China's A2/AD "bubble." How carrier-killer missiles, hypersonic weapons, and a "drone wall" are designed to keep the U.S. Navy and its aircraft carriers out.
000
Çağatay Cebe @cagataycebe.bsky.social · 16/10/2025
Ermenistan-Azerbaycan barışının sağlanması Güney Kafkasya’da büyük bir değişim yaratabilir. Yıllardır kapalı olan sınırların açılmasıyla, bölgenin Avrupa ile Asya arasında bir transit merkezi haline gelmesine katkıda bulunarak küresel ekonomiye entegrasyonu güçlendirebilir.
crisisgroup.org
Ermenistan ve Azerbaycan: Kalıcı Barışa Giden Zorlu Yol | International Crisis Group
Ermenistan ve Azerbaycan arasında ihtilafı sonlandıracak anlaşma imzaya hazır bekliyor. Barış, hem iki ülke hem de iki ülkenin bölgesel ekonomik entegrasyona dair ortak vizyonları için faydalı olur. B...
000
Çağatay Cebe @cagataycebe.bsky.social · 16/10/2025
An elite Army Special Operations aviation unit (160th Special Operations Aviation Regiment) has been conducting flights in the southern Caribbean Sea near the coast of Venezuela.
nytimes.com
U.S. B-52s and Helicopters Fly Near Venezuela in Show of Threats
000
Çağatay Cebe @cagataycebe.bsky.social · 16/10/2025
"...an interrogator revving a power drill near a blindfolded prisoner to scare him into divulging Al Qaeda secrets in the aftermath of the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks. In another, the interrogator is holding a handgun to the prisoner’s head."
nytimes.com
Fragments of 2003 Cable Detail Torture in a Secret C.I.A. Prison
010
Çağatay Cebe @cagataycebe.bsky.social · 16/10/2025
"Together with a ban on Russian warships visiting Cyprus, which had previously supplied refueling and maintenance services, this was a major blow to the Russian presence in the Mediterranean."
navalnews.com
Russia’s Submarine Problem Is Much Worse Than Many Imagine - Naval News
The Russian submarine Novorossiysk, an Improved Kilo-class vessel, has been forced to limp home to the Baltic after a mechanical failure in the Mediterranean. While some reports exaggerated its plight...
000
Çağatay Cebe @cagataycebe.bsky.social · 16/10/2025
Israel Aerospace Industries (IAI) has introduced a new generation of its Counter-Unmanned Aerial Systems (C-UAS) Swarm solution at AUSA 2025.
defence-industry.eu
IAI unveils new generation multi-layered defence system against drone swarms at AUSA 2025
Israel Aerospace Industries (IAI) has introduced a new generation of its Counter-Unmanned Aerial Systems (C-UAS) Swarm solution at AUSA 2025.
010
Çağatay Cebe @cagataycebe.bsky.social · 16/10/2025
Singapore is set to launch the first of its new multirole combat vessels (MRCVs) in October, marking a major milestone in the Republic of Singapore Navy's (RSN's) fleet renewal programme.
janes.com
Singapore prepares to launch first multirole combat vessel
Singapore is set to launch the first of its new multirole combat vessels (MRCVs) in October, marking a major milestone in the Republic of Singapore Navy's (RSN's) fleet...
000
Çağatay Cebe @cagataycebe.bsky.social · 11/10/2025
All of this should concern Israelis. Even if the war ends, there will then need to be a moment of soul-searching about the collective society’s responsibility for the years of mass killing and displacement. Palestinians desperately need this war to end. But so do Israelis.
nytimes.com
Opinion | Israel Cannot Go On Winning Like This
010
Çağatay Cebe @cagataycebe.bsky.social · 11/10/2025
An arrest means that counterintelligence has failed to deter and, for a time, to detect the recruitment of an American by a foreign intelligence service.
thehill.com
000
Çağatay Cebe @cagataycebe.bsky.social · 05/10/2025
Some 83,000 Israelis emigrated in 2024, 50 percent more than the previous year. Seven members of the Israeli military died by suicide in July and August alone.
nytimes.com
Israel at War With Itself
010
Çağatay Cebe @cagataycebe.bsky.social · 02/10/2025
Western war planners see the European Arctic as a potential hot spot in a conflict with Russia. U.S. and European militaries have been sending troops to train in Arctic winter conditions.
wsj.com
How Arctic Soldiers Train for What They Fear Most: Warm Weather
The high north is dreaded for its bone-chilling winters. Even worse, say soldiers there, is the warmer season, when insects infest marshes that flood overnight.
010
Çağatay Cebe @cagataycebe.bsky.social · 25/09/2025
"Hybrid warfare refers to the combined use of conventional military combat with other means, such as clandestine operations or cyberattacks, to target adversaries."
washingtonpost.com
Denmark blames ‘systematic’ attack as mystery drones swarm more airports
Drones forced Aalborg Airport to close, and others were spotted near three airports in the south. Days earlier, sightings closed Copenhagen and Oslo airports.
000
Çağatay Cebe @cagataycebe.bsky.social · 25/09/2025
Companies in the U.S., China, France, the U.K. and elsewhere are all working on their own unmanned aerial vehicles that seek to emulate the Shahed.
wsj.com
Every Nation Wants to Copy Iran’s Deadly Shahed Drone
Militaries around the world are seeking low-cost, easy-to-make ways to exhaust an enemy’s air defenses.
000
Çağatay Cebe @cagataycebe.bsky.social · 25/09/2025
Two major news agencies demanded that Israel explain what happened during a strike on a hospital in Gaza last month that killed five journalists, calling for concrete actions and accountability to ensure it doesn’t happen again.
apnews.com
AP, Reuters demand answers from Israeli government on airstrike that killed journalists last month
Two major news agencies are demanding that Israel clarify what happened during strikes last month that killed five journalists as part of the Israeli war against Hamas in Gaza.
000
Çağatay Cebe @cagataycebe.bsky.social · 25/09/2025
The Taipei District Court on Thursday found a former adviser to the foreign minister and a former Democratic Progressive Party aide guilty of passing secrets to China.
taiwannews.com.tw
Taiwan finds former DPP members guilty of spying for China | Taiwan News | Sep. 25, 2025 14:59
Appeals against prison sentences still possible | Sep. 25, 2025 14:59
010
Çağatay Cebe @cagataycebe.bsky.social · 20/09/2025
“Given the large number of U.S. military assets that have been deployed to the Caribbean, it is clear that the administration intends to continue such operations,” Senator Jack Reed of Rhode Island said.
nytimes.com
U.S. Military Buildup in Caribbean Signals Broader Campaign Against Venezuela
000
Çağatay Cebe @cagataycebe.bsky.social · 20/09/2025
"After the Israeli attack on Qatar, one of UEFA's largest sponsors, pressure has been exerted in recent days to expel Israel from the organization's competitions."
mako.co.il
N12 - ישראל בסכנת הדחה מתחרויות אופ"א – ישיבת הנהלה בנושא כבר...
לאחרונה בכיר ישראלי הזהיר: "אנחנו כפסע מלהגיע למצב של רוסיה" • גורמים בישראל מנסים למנוע את המהלך
010
Çağatay Cebe @cagataycebe.bsky.social · 19/09/2025
"The proposed sales include a deal worth $3.8 billion for 30 AH-64 Apache helicopters ... The administration is also seeking approval for a $1.9 billion deal for 3,250 infantry assault vehicles for the Israeli army."
wsj.com
Exclusive | U.S. Plans $6 Billion in New Arms Sales to Israel
The Trump administration is seeking congressional approval for the sales, moving forward despite Israel’s recent missile strike on Hamas in Qatar.
001
Reposted by Çağatay Cebe
ECFR @ecfr.eu · 19/09/2025
The Israeli attacks on Doha, and America’s support of them, has caused Gulf leaders to majorly rethink their security, writes @cinziabianco.bsky.social @ecfrmena.bsky.social bit.ly/4puZHx8
ecfr.eu
Out of the rubble: The new Gulf response to Israeli aggression
The Israeli attacks on Doha, and America’s support of them, has caused Gulf leaders to majorly rethink their security. This could lead to a new Gulf-led security format…
076
Çağatay Cebe @cagataycebe.bsky.social · 19/09/2025
Russia and Vietnam have developed a back-door method of concealing arms deal payments to avoid American and other Western sanctions.
apnews.com
AP Exclusive: Russia, Vietnam using energy profits to avoid possible US sanctions for arms deals
Russia and Vietnam have developed a mechanism to conceal arms deal payments to avoid American and other Western sanctions, using profits from joint energy-sector ventures to pay for defense contracts,...
000
Çağatay Cebe @cagataycebe.bsky.social · 19/09/2025
Turkish arms deals and deployment by Indonesia, Malaysia and the Philippines have made the news recently, putting the spotlight on this non-traditional source of weapons.
channelnewsasia.com
Why are some Southeast Asian states buying Turkish warships, jets and missiles?
Turkish arms deals and deployment by Indonesia, Malaysia and the Philippines have made the news recently, putting the spotlight on this non-traditional source of weapons.
000
Çağatay Cebe @cagataycebe.bsky.social · 19/09/2025
Iran decided at the last minute Thursday to withdraw a resolution prohibiting attacks on nuclear facilities.
nbcnews.com
Iran withdraws resolution to ban attacks on nuclear sites following U.S. pressure
The U.S. raised the possibility of reducing funding to the International Atomic Energy Agency if the resolution were adopted.
000
Çağatay Cebe @cagataycebe.bsky.social · 18/09/2025
"He wasn’t hired for catering or logistics. Instead, Saleem was forced into the “International elite battalion”, a foreign mercenary unit fighting on the frontlines of Russia’s war against Ukraine."
middleeasteye.net
From Telegram to trenches: The Russian page luring Jordanians into war
Promised safe, high-paying jobs, Jordanians are being recruited through Telegram and sent to fight on Ukraine’s frontlines - under threats, deception, and false contracts
064
Çağatay Cebe @cagataycebe.bsky.social · 18/09/2025
Beijing's targeting of Southeast Asia, its institutions, including government agencies and diplomats, and especially spying on the latter, is a crucial example of how it uses cyber capabilities as a foreign policy tool and for its growing political ambitions.
orfonline.org
Indo-Pacific Responses to Chinese Cyber Hegemony
Beijing’s cyber offensives are redrawing Indo-Pacific fault lines. States are striking back with varied strategies, and India can no longer afford to stay silent.
000
Çağatay Cebe @cagataycebe.bsky.social · 07/09/2025
"The Japanese government is preparing for likely U.S. demands that Japan cover a greater share of the costs for stationing U.S. forces in the country, after President Donald Trump expressed dissatisfaction with Tokyo's current level of burden-sharing."
japantimes.co.jp
Japan braces for Trump push on U.S. troop funding
The financial support covers the salaries of workers at U.S. military bases, utilities costs and facility maintenance expenses.
001
Çağatay Cebe @cagataycebe.bsky.social · 07/09/2025
"The United States was pontificating about its power at a time when its power is visibly ebbing in front of everyone’s faces," said Larry Wilkerson, who served as chief of staff to former Secretary of State Colin L. Powell.
nytimes.com
President of Peace, Department of War. A New Name Sends Mixed Signals.
000
Çağatay Cebe @cagataycebe.bsky.social · 07/09/2025
“We’re seeing the biggest conventional arms race since World War II,” said Pat Conroy, Australia’s minister for defense industry. “China is massively modernizing its conventional and nuclear armed forces.”
nytimes.com
With ‘Ghost Bat’ Drone, Australia Gears Up for New Arms Race
000
Çağatay Cebe @cagataycebe.bsky.social · 06/09/2025
"In June, Israel cast aside that doctrine in favor of blunt military action that killed hundreds of civilians. Some strikes killed residents with the bad luck to live beside a nuclear scientist or a senior general." www.nytimes.com/2025/09/06/w...
nytimes.com
Thrust Into the Line of Fire, Iranians Worry About What Comes Next
074
Çağatay Cebe @cagataycebe.bsky.social · 06/09/2025
"The military so far has deployed eight warships, several Navy P-8 surveillance planes and one attack submarine to the region."
nytimes.com
What to Know About a Rapid U.S. Military Buildup in the Caribbean
000
Çağatay Cebe @cagataycebe.bsky.social · 06/09/2025
“The U.S. is now directly targeting civilians. Drug traffickers may be criminals but they aren’t combatants,” the Department of Defense official said.
theintercept.com
Pentagon Official: Trump Boat Strike Was a Criminal Attack on Civilians
A current DoD official and many military legal experts say the U.S. attack on a boat in the Caribbean near Venezuela broke international law.
000