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caffeinateddata.bsky.social

@caffeinateddata.bsky.social
13 followers 50 following 124 posts
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caffeinateddata.bsky.social @caffeinateddata.bsky.social · 20h
We all need to touch the stove a second time I guess.
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caffeinateddata.bsky.social @caffeinateddata.bsky.social · 20h
We can hope. Hopefully there's enough "moderates" or whatever you want to call them that think Lula's party losing the congress is reason enough to defect and vote Lula.
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caffeinateddata.bsky.social @caffeinateddata.bsky.social · 20h
Definitely Likely Bolsonsaro, but way better than the Round 1 call it was looking like earlier. Goddamn that shit was scary.
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caffeinateddata.bsky.social @caffeinateddata.bsky.social · 20h
Yeah, AP and Fox really gambled with that projection. In a way it was good because it served as a good buffer to Trump claiming he won, since all the other battlegrounds were still uncalled and the one that was was for Biden.
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caffeinateddata.bsky.social @caffeinateddata.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
I agree with almost all of this except TX-35. I think if the other south texas seats are going blue, that one is right there with them.
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caffeinateddata.bsky.social @caffeinateddata.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
It would be so fucking annoying to see her trailing by like 1-3 points in each poll.
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caffeinateddata.bsky.social @caffeinateddata.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
Trump is literally talking about delaying attacks on Iran till after that midterm. Like they don't have a presidential election to win in two fucking years lmao.
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caffeinateddata.bsky.social @caffeinateddata.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
The existence of Trump '24 -> Dem '26 -> R Pres '28 voters implies that the GOP learns anything from the last two years even if they get their asses kicked in a month.
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caffeinateddata.bsky.social @caffeinateddata.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
Some GOP leaning public polls back in 2020 and 2016 showed a rosy scenario for Republicans. They're now showing a blue wave vs. the Tsunami that others are showing.
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caffeinateddata.bsky.social @caffeinateddata.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
I remember seeing "Democracy" and "Abortion" as highly ranked issues in the 2024 exit polls and thinking that Harris was on track to win lmao.
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caffeinateddata.bsky.social @caffeinateddata.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
It's great when you fuck your party for a generation in just 2 years.
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caffeinateddata.bsky.social @caffeinateddata.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
As a gay man, my support for her has strengthened after learning she uses common gay vernacular like "faggot." Feel very represented by her.
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caffeinateddata.bsky.social @caffeinateddata.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
Sarcasm lol
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caffeinateddata.bsky.social @caffeinateddata.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
It's a toss-up isn't it lmao
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caffeinateddata.bsky.social @caffeinateddata.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Also allows them to fuck things up on only a regional scale rather than subjecting the entire country to a crisis for several years.
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caffeinateddata.bsky.social @caffeinateddata.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Great observation, that's why the GOP just dumped millions into Georgia and North Carolina senate.
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caffeinateddata.bsky.social @caffeinateddata.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Median result predicted by GOP internals rn.
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caffeinateddata.bsky.social @caffeinateddata.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Ossoff gonna help pull her over the line. Rest of the Georgia statewide GOP slate probably goes down too.
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caffeinateddata.bsky.social @caffeinateddata.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Nice to see that Shapiro is evidently more popular than Fitzpatrick in the district.
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caffeinateddata.bsky.social @caffeinateddata.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
God, the concept of the 2020 election being 6 years ago is crazy. That still feels like it just happened.
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caffeinateddata.bsky.social @caffeinateddata.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Iran and the Houthis were the biggest resist libs this entire time.
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caffeinateddata.bsky.social @caffeinateddata.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
More parties = more unique ideologies and you don't have a party with control of ~50% of congress being dragged far right because their leader will punish if they don't vote like an insane person.
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caffeinateddata.bsky.social @caffeinateddata.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
If gas spikes bad again, literally right before the election, Trump might do something very fucking stupid last minute in an attempt to get prices down. It'll likely just raise them higher AND fuck the GOP even more.
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caffeinateddata.bsky.social @caffeinateddata.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Key component of any good campaign: A wall of text about how I didn't beat my bitch wife.
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caffeinateddata.bsky.social @caffeinateddata.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Paxton is so absolutely fucked lmao.
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caffeinateddata.bsky.social @caffeinateddata.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Disgusting you let Ray Coper slide.
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caffeinateddata.bsky.social @caffeinateddata.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Dem Senate SCANDALS dropping left and right: Chris Pappas: GAY Abdul El-Sayed: ARAB and MUSLIM Mary Peltola: WOMAN Jon Ossoff: JEW Sherrod Brown: Named SHERROD (ew) Roy Cooper: Secretly named RAY COPER Troy Jackson: OLD Josh Turek: DISABLED
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caffeinateddata.bsky.social @caffeinateddata.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Safe R GA-Gov, Lean R GA-Sen
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caffeinateddata.bsky.social @caffeinateddata.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
North Carolina is blue even in their fever dream lmao
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caffeinateddata.bsky.social @caffeinateddata.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
So guessing this means gas is gonna keep going up just about everywhere?
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caffeinateddata.bsky.social @caffeinateddata.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Trump and so who are also more likely to be more Trumpy and thus pro-Republican. Basically inflates Republican support among 2024 Trump voters in polls.
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caffeinateddata.bsky.social @caffeinateddata.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
People who voted for Trump are getting counted as Harris voters because they're lying and are embarrassed. This forces pollsters to lump them in with Harris voters who are obviously already >95% going for Dems, and makes them have to find Trump voters who aren't embarrassed to say they voted for
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caffeinateddata.bsky.social @caffeinateddata.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
I feel like we need a full polling audit of every race in the country at this point to get an idea of where shit is competitive, because it seems like everyday we're getting articles like "Yeah looks like Wyoming Senate is lowkey tied in both party's internals."
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caffeinateddata.bsky.social @caffeinateddata.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Geographically yes, no one took serious the idea that Democrats would even have a remote chance of taking back the senate before November last year. 49 was seen as the primary goal by picking off North Carolina and Maine.
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caffeinateddata.bsky.social @caffeinateddata.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Voted for Trump because haha funny meme and now they can't afford gas and groceries lmao.
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caffeinateddata.bsky.social @caffeinateddata.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
TX-10 was Trump + 22 in 2024. Very good result for Hinojosa and Talarico.
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caffeinateddata.bsky.social @caffeinateddata.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Girl wtf is going down in VA-05?
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caffeinateddata.bsky.social @caffeinateddata.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
224 ballots cast in all of Ohio lmao. What dumb fucks.
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caffeinateddata.bsky.social @caffeinateddata.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Really makes me think that centrists don't have that special of a juice when they're campaigning on shit they should know isn't going to help them win.
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caffeinateddata.bsky.social @caffeinateddata.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Lmao Rounds getting fucked would be awesome.
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caffeinateddata.bsky.social @caffeinateddata.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Great for gas prices.
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caffeinateddata.bsky.social @caffeinateddata.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
The concept of Maine having only -3 approval of Collins lmao
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caffeinateddata.bsky.social @caffeinateddata.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Interesting there's no CO-08 mentioned here. Evans starts me as one basically DOA once polls close in Colorado. Especially with a wife beater at the top of his ticket.
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caffeinateddata.bsky.social @caffeinateddata.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Being in a Trump + 11 district in a D+8 or more environment and beating your wife does that to you.
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caffeinateddata.bsky.social @caffeinateddata.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
It's like they're presented with a "Make things easier for you" button and a "Make things harder for you" button and they keep slamming the latter.
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caffeinateddata.bsky.social @caffeinateddata.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Hurd, Crank, and Boebert are so fucked lmao Evans might as well start sending out resumes at this point.
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caffeinateddata.bsky.social @caffeinateddata.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Horrible poll for Ray Coper.
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caffeinateddata.bsky.social @caffeinateddata.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Honestly kinda adorable if they think we're getting an R+1 electorate in this environment.
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caffeinateddata.bsky.social @caffeinateddata.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Crowley + 3, but Tiffany at 18% with indies? Lmao
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caffeinateddata.bsky.social @caffeinateddata.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
I know, but I think the current boundaries of this TX-09 was still won by Beto if I'm not mistaken.
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