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butterickjoe.bsky.social

@butterickjoe.bsky.social
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Reposted by @butterickjoe.bsky.social
Demographic Research @demresjournal.bsky.social · 11/02/2026
“How many sisters or cousins will you have? We've developed the first method to calculate the probability distribution of kin numbers across your lifetime – not just averages, but actual chances of having 0, 1, 2+ relatives at each age.” 📄👉https://www.demographic-research.org/articles/volume/54/9
A figure showing diagrams about the probability of the number of kin for cousins and sisters at 20 years and 50 years of age. Cousins (age 20) mean=0.8, sd=0.92, skew=1.19; Cousins (age 50) mean=0.77, sd=0.9, skew=1.21; Sisters (age 20) mean=0.88, sd=1.01, skew=1.24; Sisters (age 50) mean=0.84, sd=0.98, skew=1.26
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Reposted by @butterickjoe.bsky.social
ESRC Centre for Population Change and Connecting Generations @cpc-cg.bsky.social · 17/03/2025
🔖 NEW paper by Butterick, Smith, Bijak and Hilton Extends research on #kinship models, showing how where people live – a #demographic characteristic ubiquitous across (and between) societies – can influence their #family networks. www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
sciencedirect.com
A mathematical framework for time-variant multi-state kinship modelling
Recent research on kinship modelling in demography has extended age-structured models (i) to include additional characteristics, or “stages” (multi-st…
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