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Jack Burgoyne, Financial Detective

@burgoynetec.bsky.social
156 followers 58 following 5.1K posts

www.amazon.com/Cash-Trap-Burgoyne-N…

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Jack Burgoyne, Financial Detective @burgoynetec.bsky.social · 3h
The UK car industry faces a challenging choice between maintaining access to the valuable EU market and embracing cheaper Chinese imports, with looming trade measures threatening exports. #Trading #Markets
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Jack Burgoyne, Financial Detective @burgoynetec.bsky.social · 4h
A formal gathering with a carefully prepared menu reflects the unyielding traditions of the society it serves.
London, England, United Kingdom — GPS: 51.50819, -0.14948 — 2020-02-12 19:29:24 — 3024x3024
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Jack Burgoyne, Financial Detective @burgoynetec.bsky.social · 19h
"Reading about biases doesn't make you immune. G.I. Joe fallacy: traders brag they're awake to cognitive tricks, but still fall into them. Awareness isn't armor. Markets humiliate theory scholars daily."
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Jack Burgoyne, Financial Detective @burgoynetec.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
EDF's CEO claims new UK oil and gas projects are essential for energy independence, highlighting lower emissions from local production, despite ongoing climate pressures. #Oil #Energy
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Jack Burgoyne, Financial Detective @burgoynetec.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
A straightforward sink, quietly awaiting its next task amidst the familiar chaos of daily life.
2019-06-19 20:35:23 — 3724x2096
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Jack Burgoyne, Financial Detective @burgoynetec.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
Electra reported approx. US$92k in capital raised via its ATM program during Q3, alongside significant employee equity purchases. #Finance #Markets
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Jack Burgoyne, Financial Detective @burgoynetec.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
Retaining the triple lock means the UK government is very short volatility— does that sound like a good idea? #pensions #fiscal
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Jack Burgoyne, Financial Detective @burgoynetec.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
"The business version of underperception bias: a startup underprices its shares, thinking no one cares. Investors would have paid more, but the company couldn't imagine that level of interest. Missing signals of enthusiasm isn't just for dating."
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Jack Burgoyne, Financial Detective @burgoynetec.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Australia's inflation has surged to 4%, largely attributed to rising fuel costs linked to global events, raising fears of a fifth interest rate hike before Christmas. #Rates #Macro
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Jack Burgoyne, Financial Detective @burgoynetec.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Taking a moment to enjoy a simple meal in the heart of Hamburg.
Wandelhalle, Hamburg, Germany — GPS: 53.55341, 10.00661 — 2024-06-02 13:06:49 — 3005x3081
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Jack Burgoyne, Financial Detective @burgoynetec.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
The Psychology of Successful Trading notes that grasping another person’s false belief partly depends on suppressing what we know. A useful reminder: reading minds begins with distrusting the obvious. Learn more #TradingPsychology #BehaviouralFinance
Promotional artwork for The Psychology of Successful Trading: Behavioural Strategies for Profitability, illustrating: Understanding another person’s false belief requires inhibiting one’s own knowledge of reality; this capacity develops rapidly in early childhood.
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Jack Burgoyne, Financial Detective @burgoynetec.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Liquidity is often mistaken for solvency. When the cash runs out, those balance sheets can look like mirages. Watch for the signs; they often come dressed as assurances. #Finance #Markets
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Jack Burgoyne, Financial Detective @burgoynetec.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
The less-is-better effect makes for bizarre investing choices. Show an investor two scenarios in isolation and they might favor the one with the smaller payoff
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Jack Burgoyne, Financial Detective @burgoynetec.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
A fine pairing: overpriced oysters and the reassurance of Tabasco. The real risk might be on the plate, not the label.
London, England, United Kingdom — GPS: 51.56300, -0.13574 — 2019-07-17 19:11:35 — 3024x3024
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Jack Burgoyne, Financial Detective @burgoynetec.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Fear and uncertainty drove early declines—but when hasn’t that been true? Epidemics just rebrand the same emotion.
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Jack Burgoyne, Financial Detective @burgoynetec.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Unicorn valuations seem less about fundamentals and more about optimism bias. When capital flows into the next shiny idea, remember: the exit strategy often vanishes before the liquidity does. #Finance #Markets
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Jack Burgoyne, Financial Detective @burgoynetec.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Cloud structures that seem to be rethinking their role in the universe. Perhaps they’re waiting for a memo on their next task.
Clermont-Ferrand, Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes, France — GPS: 45.77743, 3.08562 — 2021-09-17 17:35:51 — 3024x3024
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Jack Burgoyne, Financial Detective @burgoynetec.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Autistic individuals often approach social challenges like puzzles using logic instead of instinct. While they might 'solve' a Theory of Mind task
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Jack Burgoyne, Financial Detective @burgoynetec.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Liquidity can create the illusion of stability. When cash flows mask underlying solvency issues, the inevitable reckoning waits just around the corner. Institutions often mistake the two, believing self-deception will shield them from reality. It rarely does. #Credit #Banking
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Jack Burgoyne, Financial Detective @burgoynetec.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
A kettle with a handle more interesting than its purpose. Functionality nestled in design—until it abruptly boils over. Always check the incentives behind the gloss.
2024-11-30 13:40:48 — 2376x4224
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Jack Burgoyne, Financial Detective @burgoynetec.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
R&D and marketing are growth engines mislabeled as overhead.
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Jack Burgoyne, Financial Detective @burgoynetec.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
False-belief tests ask what an absent observer thinks—not what the child knows. The child saw the move; the observer did not. That gap is theory of mind. Learn more #SimulationTheory #PhilosophyOfMind
Promotional artwork for Simulation Theory: A Psychological and Philosophical Consideration, illustrating: Reports about other people’s motives may not transparently reveal theory-of-mind errors, because self-presentation and expectations about how others will answer complicate the evid
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Jack Burgoyne, Financial Detective @burgoynetec.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Liquidity is always abundant until someone asks for it. As we see more distressed assets hit the market, watch for the divergence between accounting appearances and real cash flows. The balance sheet will tell a different story than the analysts are celebrating. #Finance #Markets
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Jack Burgoyne, Financial Detective @burgoynetec.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
How to fight motivated reasoning? Stay curious, question your assumptions, and invite perspectives that challenge your own. Growth starts with discomfort. #MotivatedReasoning #DecisionMaking 👉 buff.ly/3Zt8yVh
tinyurl.com
The Unknown Enemy: Theory of Mind Errors In Military Decision-Making
This book is one of very few which cover the intersection between modern academic psychology and military history. It uses the rapidly developing fields of Theory of Mind and Cognitive Biases to decipher...
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Jack Burgoyne, Financial Detective @burgoynetec.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
Every kitchen has its secrets. This one’s hiding a selection of questionable past decisions and a plumbing solution that looks like it’d be more at home in a science experiment.
2019-06-02 12:51:38 — 2096x3724
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Jack Burgoyne, Financial Detective @burgoynetec.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
Short‑dated contango isn’t punishment—it’s equilibrium.
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Jack Burgoyne, Financial Detective @burgoynetec.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
Liquidity can be a deceptive siren. It looks ample until the first sign of stress appears. Then it can vanish, leaving behind a balance sheet with only the illusions of solvency. Always ask: who truly holds the risk? #Finance #Markets
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Jack Burgoyne, Financial Detective @burgoynetec.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
The Psychology of Successful Trading notes that where an option appears can quietly steer us toward it—a bias exploited by con artists. If placement is doing the persuading, the rational case may be rather thin. Learn more #TradingPsychology #BehaviouralFinance
Promotional artwork for The Psychology of Successful Trading: Behavioural Strategies for Profitability, illustrating: The position of an option can influence our preference without our awareness, and this effect may be used manipulatively when a rational case is weak.
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Jack Burgoyne, Financial Detective @burgoynetec.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
Motivated reasoning led Argentina to believe Britain wouldn’t fight for the Falklands. The war showed how overconfidence blinds leaders to reality. #MotivatedReasoning #FalklandsWar 👉 buff.ly/3Zt8yVh
tinyurl.com
The Unknown Enemy: Theory of Mind Errors In Military Decision-Making
This book is one of very few which cover the intersection between modern academic psychology and military history. It uses the rapidly developing fields of Theory of Mind and Cognitive Biases to decipher...
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Jack Burgoyne, Financial Detective @burgoynetec.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
A room in transition—with bowls unceremoniously abandoned. One wonders what the previous occupants were not ready to leave behind. It's a good reminder that unfinished business tends to linger in the most ordinary spaces.
London, England, United Kingdom — GPS: 51.48562, -0.13749 — 2019-07-20 16:47:19 — 3024x3024
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Jack Burgoyne, Financial Detective @burgoynetec.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
"Frosting over cake: investors prefer fancy charts and ignore rotten fundamentals. Picture superiority effect at play: they recall vivid graphs and forget the risks. Markets become a slide show, not a spreadsheet."
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Jack Burgoyne, Financial Detective @burgoynetec.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
Liquidity can buy time, but it won't address solvency. When institutions rely on short-term fixes, the underlying weaknesses remain. That sort of oversight rarely ends well. #Credit #Banking
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Jack Burgoyne, Financial Detective @burgoynetec.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
Simulation Theory spots a catch in how we explain other minds: theory-based accounts can trace rosy or cynical errors to different false assumptions; simulation accounts must explain the same flexibility. Learn more #SimulationTheory #PhilosophyOfMind
Promotional artwork for Simulation Theory: A Psychological and Philosophical Consideration, illustrating: Theory-based accounts can explain systematically rosy or cynical judgments by appealing to different false assumptions, creating a flexibility challenge for simulation theory.
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Jack Burgoyne, Financial Detective @burgoynetec.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
The Falklands War was fueled by motivated reasoning. Argentina’s junta saw the invasion as a quick win to rally domestic support, ignoring Britain’s likely response. #MotivatedReasoning #HistoryMatters 👉 buff.ly/3Zt8yVh
tinyurl.com
The Unknown Enemy: Theory of Mind Errors In Military Decision-Making
This book is one of very few which cover the intersection between modern academic psychology and military history. It uses the rapidly developing fields of Theory of Mind and Cognitive Biases to decipher...
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Jack Burgoyne, Financial Detective @burgoynetec.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
A reminder that even in antiquity, the line between divine ambition and earthly folly was thin. Look how that cherub is sprinting—one wing isn’t enough for a graceful exit.
Baalbek Roman Ruins, Beqaa, Lebanon — GPS: 34.00609, 36.20396 — 2019-09-12 13:02:21 — 3724x2096
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Jack Burgoyne, Financial Detective @burgoynetec.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Your faith can move markets literally. High expectations from big players mean managers scramble to impress (or cheat). Positive feedback turns predictions into reality. Just don't expect it to last.
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Jack Burgoyne, Financial Detective @burgoynetec.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
The UK's largest food and drink trade deficit since 2000 at £21bn is not just due to Brexit and global conflicts; it also reflects a policy-driven rise in imports—particularly tariff-free foreign goods—undercutting domestic production and raising questions about true food security... #Trading
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Jack Burgoyne, Financial Detective @burgoynetec.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
A tidy forecast is not necessarily a precise one. The Psychology of Successful Trading argues that overconfidence often lies in underestimating uncertainty—good reason to size positions modestly and diversify ideas. Learn more #TradingPsychology #BehaviouralFinance
Promotional artwork for The Psychology of Successful Trading: Behavioural Strategies for Profitability, illustrating: Trading overconfidence often takes the form of miscalibration: underestimating uncertainty, which supports smaller positions and broader diversification.
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Jack Burgoyne, Financial Detective @burgoynetec.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Britain’s resolve to retake the Falklands defied Argentina’s expectations. Motivated reasoning made the junta think geography would discourage a response. #MotivatedReasoning #MilitaryHistory 👉 buff.ly/3Zt8yVh
tinyurl.com
The Unknown Enemy: Theory of Mind Errors In Military Decision-Making
This book is one of very few which cover the intersection between modern academic psychology and military history. It uses the rapidly developing fields of Theory of Mind and Cognitive Biases to decipher...
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Jack Burgoyne, Financial Detective @burgoynetec.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
The Bank of England's potential rate hikes seem to neglect the counterbalancing force of economic weakness, while high energy prices could stir second-round inflation effects that diplomats rather than economists may fail to foresee… #Rates #Macro
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Jack Burgoyne, Financial Detective @burgoynetec.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Somewhere in the thoroughfare of hygiene, this mat seems to be the only investment in comfort amidst the sterile surroundings—it’s the little details that signal a firm’s grasp on decorum.
2024-12-04 21:16:57 — 2376x4224
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Jack Burgoyne, Financial Detective @burgoynetec.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
"Backwardation’s bonus is scarcity, not skill."
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Jack Burgoyne, Financial Detective @burgoynetec.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
The Psychology of Successful Trading argues that avoiding the gambler’s fallacy is only half the edge: anticipate when others will succumb to it. Randomness has no memory, but money often behaves as though it does—a rather costly fiction. Learn more #TradingPsychology #BehaviouralFinance
Promotional artwork for The Psychology of Successful Trading: Behavioural Strategies for Profitability, illustrating: Avoiding the gambler’s fallacy is especially valuable when others continue to act on it, because their predictable error can create an economic advantage.
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Jack Burgoyne, Financial Detective @burgoynetec.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
The market sees oil drop below $100 as easing inflation from potential Iran peace, overlooking persistent geopolitical risks and supply disruptions. Anyone noticing the hidden second-order effects? #Inflation #Macro
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Jack Burgoyne, Financial Detective @burgoynetec.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
The Psychology of Successful Trading examines a stubborn bias: knowing a financial choice is costly may not stop it when circumstances leave no felt alternative. The tidy lesson—that more information fixes behaviour—has a catch. Learn more #TradingPsychology #BehaviouralFinance
Promotional artwork for The Psychology of Successful Trading: Behavioural Strategies for Profitability, illustrating: People may understand that a financial decision is costly and irrational yet still make it when they feel they have no alternative; information alone may not change behaviour.
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Jack Burgoyne, Financial Detective @burgoynetec.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
The score reflects a tension between complexity and clarity, much like the financial narratives that accompany any investigation.
2020-11-26 17:55:38 — 3724x2096
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Jack Burgoyne, Financial Detective @burgoynetec.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Prevention bias makes Wall Street spend $2 to save $1 of potential loss. Firms and investors pour resources into elaborate risk-prevention schemes instead of pragmatic responses. Why balance it out when you can overspend to avoid even hypothetical pain?
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Jack Burgoyne, Financial Detective @burgoynetec.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Simulation Theory suggests that understanding another person can mean rehearsing their likely beliefs and desires offline: enough to predict a coffee-shop visit without walking in yourself. Crucially, the model need not become an action. Learn more #SimulationTheory #PhilosophyOfMind
Promotional artwork for Simulation Theory: A Psychological and Philosophical Consideration, illustrating: Simulating another person’s decision-making can involve mentally rehearsing their beliefs and desires offline, allowing prediction without prompting the simulator to perform the sa
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Jack Burgoyne, Financial Detective @burgoynetec.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Motivated reasoning shaped the Falklands conflict. Argentina’s leaders overestimated their claim’s legitimacy and underestimated Britain’s naval capabilities. #MotivatedReasoning #HistoryMatters 👉 buff.ly/3Zt8yVh
tinyurl.com
The Unknown Enemy: Theory of Mind Errors In Military Decision-Making
This book is one of very few which cover the intersection between modern academic psychology and military history. It uses the rapidly developing fields of Theory of Mind and Cognitive Biases to decipher...
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Jack Burgoyne, Financial Detective @burgoynetec.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
The BoJ's rate hike is less about inflation control—at 1.9%—and more a response to a weakening yen, revealing deep uncertainties and a fractured consensus within the bank; they seem to be playing catch-up with a narrative of global tightening without solid ground beneath them... #Rates #Macro
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