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Bread Crumbs Research

@breadcrumbsre.bsky.social
845 followers 203 following 204 posts

I invest in unrecognized/underappreciated excellence. Marathon AM: Trying to spot a great manager remains a game very much worth playing.

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Bread Crumbs Research @breadcrumbsre.bsky.social · 04/08/2025
Is this place completely dead now? Over the past hour I’ve got 7 tweets from 742 accounts I follow
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Bread Crumbs Research @breadcrumbsre.bsky.social · 18/06/2025
When you account for 10% of daily trading volume in a nanocap stock 🐳
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Bread Crumbs Research @breadcrumbsre.bsky.social · 17/04/2025
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Bread Crumbs Research @breadcrumbsre.bsky.social · 03/04/2025
Brent down 4.75%, usd index down 1.75%. Oil just got cheaper 6.5% for non US buyers
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Bread Crumbs Research @breadcrumbsre.bsky.social · 03/04/2025
It seems like there is at least one certainty: if I’m a ceo of a US company I’m delaying investment projects to see where the dust will settle down
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Bread Crumbs Research @breadcrumbsre.bsky.social · 03/04/2025
If Trump tariffs cause recession I’m loading up with oil stocks, anyone who survives 3 recessions in a decade will have bright future
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Bread Crumbs Research @breadcrumbsre.bsky.social · 01/04/2025
State of oil services now: I own a company that’s trading at c. 6x ebitda and buys other oil services companies at 3-4x ebitda (that’s 6-8x p/fcf); last 8 years revenue per share cagr = 21%. I know, I will get rekt on this one but at least it’s going to be fun
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Bread Crumbs Research @breadcrumbsre.bsky.social · 24/03/2025
My favorite chart of the day
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Bread Crumbs Research @breadcrumbsre.bsky.social · 19/03/2025
There is a category of cyclical stocks that are flat for decade, then double or triple in a couple of years and stay flat for another decade
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Bread Crumbs Research @breadcrumbsre.bsky.social · 18/03/2025
How to pick good management teams
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Bread Crumbs Research @breadcrumbsre.bsky.social · 17/03/2025
This podcast is the most clear sign of the bubble in so called "quality" stocks I've seen so far @upslopecapital.bsky.social
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Bread Crumbs Research @breadcrumbsre.bsky.social · 13/03/2025
Management philosophy of Post Holdings
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Bread Crumbs Research @breadcrumbsre.bsky.social · 07/03/2025
Does it make sense to pursue green transition agenda in a dog eats dog world? Waiting for Europe to abandon this effort
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Reposted by Bread Crumbs Research
Emilia Alho 🇫🇮🇪🇺🇺🇦🇵🇸 @emiliaalho.bsky.social · 06/03/2025
We Finns should have learned this already from the Winter War. Without the social policies of the 20's-30s, the war would have most likely ended differently. But thanks to those policies, even the poor felt like 🇫🇮 was worth defending, unlike in 1918.
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Bread Crumbs Research @breadcrumbsre.bsky.social · 07/03/2025
Trump is dismantling existing world order and you’re not bullish commodities ?
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Bread Crumbs Research @breadcrumbsre.bsky.social · 03/03/2025
European defence stocks in panic buying mode
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Bread Crumbs Research @breadcrumbsre.bsky.social · 28/02/2025
Bust after post Covid boom seems like a decent hunting ground
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Bread Crumbs Research @breadcrumbsre.bsky.social · 25/02/2025
India looks unstoppable
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Bread Crumbs Research @breadcrumbsre.bsky.social · 25/02/2025
Done shitposting for today, back to work
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Bread Crumbs Research @breadcrumbsre.bsky.social · 25/02/2025
Thinking about the value of experience in business and investing. My hypothesis based on observation is that experience is more valuable in slow moving industries (banks, oil and gas) than in fast moving industries like tech
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Bread Crumbs Research @breadcrumbsre.bsky.social · 25/02/2025
It seems like capital allocation skill is a natural extension of operational excellence. Never seen good capital allocator management who were not good operators. But not all good operators master capital allocation, which itself takes a lot of time
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Bread Crumbs Research @breadcrumbsre.bsky.social · 21/02/2025
I like this definition of corporate culture: the worst behaviors that leadership are willing to tolerate.
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Bread Crumbs Research @breadcrumbsre.bsky.social · 06/02/2025
Babcock with a casual +10% day on strong guidance
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Reposted by Bread Crumbs Research
Kristian Kiehling @kristiankiehling.bsky.social · 29/01/2025
I have translated today's speech in the German Bundestag by Ukrainian Jewish Holocaust survivor Roman Shvartsman into English, because I think it is really important that as many people as possible read it. Please re-post and share. Thank you very much! www.bundestag.de/dokumente/te...
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Bread Crumbs Research @breadcrumbsre.bsky.social · 30/01/2025
UPS is done
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Bread Crumbs Research @breadcrumbsre.bsky.social · 30/01/2025
Russia keeps financing anti-EU parties across Europe while Europe keeps buying Russian LNG. Essentially Europe is financing hybrid war against themselves. Unbelievable stupidity
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Bread Crumbs Research @breadcrumbsre.bsky.social · 25/01/2025
My observation following excellent management teams in massive slow/no growth industries like banking, insurance, oil and gas, transportation etc is there are ALWAYS segments within the industry that are growing. ALWAYS. There are always segments that are more defensible, more profitable etc
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Bread Crumbs Research @breadcrumbsre.bsky.social · 21/01/2025
Out of the 30 largest companies by market cap only 6 are not from the US
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Bread Crumbs Research @breadcrumbsre.bsky.social · 21/01/2025
“the European Commission estimates that the bloc’s members will need to spend €500 billion on defense over the next decade — still means there will be a lot of money available for European defense firms” www.politico.eu/article/dona...
politico.eu
Why Trump means good times for Europe’s arms-makers
The industry anticipates that no matter what the new U.S. president does, it stands to make a lot of money.
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Bread Crumbs Research @breadcrumbsre.bsky.social · 19/01/2025
situation in cannabis industry is so bad that Tilray decided to divorsify into beer
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Bread Crumbs Research @breadcrumbsre.bsky.social · 15/01/2025
Danaher Business System
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Bread Crumbs Research @breadcrumbsre.bsky.social · 14/01/2025
Pricing power at WDFC
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Reposted by Bread Crumbs Research
Michael Fritzell (Asian Century Stocks) @fritzell.bsky.social · 13/01/2025
A list of my most-recent write-ups on the Asian Century Stocks newsletter: www.asiancenturystocks.com/p/table-of-c...
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Reposted by Bread Crumbs Research
iinvested.bsky.social @iinvested.bsky.social · 11/01/2025
4Q'24 Palm Valley Capital Fund on $KELYA, $SEB, $HTLD More fund letters here: lettersandreviews.blogspot.com/p/4th-quarte... #stocks #investing #$KELYA #$SEB #$HTLD
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Bread Crumbs Research @breadcrumbsre.bsky.social · 08/01/2025
Fun stat: # of stocks in S&P 600 index (small caps) with - >20% price CAGR over the last 15 years: 15 - <0% price CAGR over the last 15 years: 75
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Bread Crumbs Research @breadcrumbsre.bsky.social · 07/01/2025
Babcock at 10x earnings growing at 15%, yet nobody cares www.ft.com/content/8c35...
ft.com
Western investors ‘stupid’ to shun arms industry, says Nato official
Rob Bauer calls on banks, pension funds and rating agencies to change outdated policies in face of rising threats
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Bread Crumbs Research @breadcrumbsre.bsky.social · 29/12/2024
3-4y IRRs from my small cap watchlist / portfolio
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Bread Crumbs Research @breadcrumbsre.bsky.social · 25/12/2024
Chips on shoulders put chips in pockets
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Bread Crumbs Research @breadcrumbsre.bsky.social · 22/12/2024
Not bad for European defence stocks
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Reposted by Bread Crumbs Research
Terminal Value🧃 @valueterminal.bsky.social · 21/12/2024
Make a real starter pack babygirl, here is how bsky.social/about/blog/0...
bsky.social
Introducing Bluesky Starter Packs - Bluesky
Create a starter pack today — personalized invites that bring friends directly into your slice of Bluesky.
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Bread Crumbs Research @breadcrumbsre.bsky.social · 21/12/2024
Extremely impressive business transformation at Deckers: from mostly wholesale channel to wholesale + DTC. Also growth at HOKA helped a lot. Pulled off by Dave Powers.
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Bread Crumbs Research @breadcrumbsre.bsky.social · 20/12/2024
If you invest in small caps what’s your required IRR? It obviously depends on risk but I’m gradually leaning towards thinking that anything below 20-25% is not worse the brain damage
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Bread Crumbs Research @breadcrumbsre.bsky.social · 19/12/2024
I’m a power user of notebook LM. Wrote to customer support that I absolutely hate when the app sends me back to the home dashboard when I press “Save to not” button, this disrupted my workflow. Took them a couple of days to fix this. Amazing speed, now works fine
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Bread Crumbs Research @breadcrumbsre.bsky.social · 17/12/2024
Egg prices
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Bread Crumbs Research @breadcrumbsre.bsky.social · 14/12/2024
Record retirement due to booming stock market AND boom in low skilled industries like construction = you have massive labour shortage which you cover with unprecedented immigration
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Bread Crumbs Research @breadcrumbsre.bsky.social · 12/12/2024
Watched an interview with CEO of a European company. The guy mentioned “sustainability” around 30 times during 15 minute interview. 🤨
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Bread Crumbs Research @breadcrumbsre.bsky.social · 10/12/2024
Got the first crypto scam offering from the imposter “bill brewster” account
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Bread Crumbs Research @breadcrumbsre.bsky.social · 05/12/2024
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Bread Crumbs Research @breadcrumbsre.bsky.social · 04/12/2024
Slowly rebuilding my twitter circle here without Nazis, Russian bots, crypto folks and M*sk
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Bread Crumbs Research @breadcrumbsre.bsky.social · 04/12/2024
One theme that I found interesting in the latest Einhorns interview is he explained how slow growing, boring businesses can get to 50-60-whatever earning
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