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Roger Francis

@botheration.bsky.social
361 followers 59 following 168 posts
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Roger Francis @botheration.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Russian units there are at the end of a load supply chain that must be getting pretty stressed
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Roger Francis @botheration.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
Only 14....
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Roger Francis @botheration.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
That's a decent intercept rate
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Roger Francis @botheration.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
Duh
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Roger Francis @botheration.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
There's a lot more people in the West
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Roger Francis @botheration.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
Recruitment is said to be running at about 1,00 a day, so that's a net loss over the periods of nearly 40k
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Roger Francis @botheration.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
There's a big gap between where Putin thinks the line is and where it really is
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Roger Francis @botheration.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
Sooner I think
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Roger Francis @botheration.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
Given the intensifying UKR medium strike campaign, the range of most MLRS (and their launch signature) means its no surprise that losses in this catergory have been high for months.
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Roger Francis @botheration.bsky.social · 10/08/2026
Neither Trump nor Musk are listening
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Reposted by Roger Francis
MAKS 26 👀🇺🇦 @maks23.bsky.social · 27/07/2026
🛰 Defense-industrial, electronic and aerospace enterprises — 17 attacks on 15 facilities. 🧪 Chemical, petrochemical, fertilizer and explosives plants — 18 confirmed and 1 probable attack. 🛢 NPS / LPDS / UPN and oil pumping infrastructure — 13 attacks. 📌 In total: 199 attacks (204 probable). 3/3
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Reposted by Roger Francis
MAKS 26 👀🇺🇦 @maks23.bsky.social · 27/07/2026
🏗 Other commercial and industrial logistics — 3 attacks. 🔥 Metallurgy — 2 confirmed and 1 probable attack. 🔥 Gas infrastructure — 5 confirmed and 2 probable attacks. 📡 Space and strategic communications — 4 confirmed and 1 probable attack. 2/3
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Reposted by Roger Francis
MAKS 26 👀🇺🇦 @maks23.bsky.social · 27/07/2026
🔥 FACILITIES HIT SINCE BEGINNING OF 2026, - @dronebomber.bsky.social 🏭 Refineries — 69 attacks on 28 plants. 🛢 Oil depots — 36 attacks on 30 facilities (37 including Belgorod). 📦 Wildberries and logistics — 11 attacked facilities. ⚓️ Oil terminals and port — 21 attacks on 10 facilities. 1/3
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Roger Francis @botheration.bsky.social · 23/07/2026
Mobiks do not a blitzkrieg make
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Roger Francis @botheration.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
Good piece
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Reposted by Roger Francis
The Ukrainian Review @theukrainianreview.bsky.social · 13/07/2026
👀 Russian oil refining falls to 20-year low after refinery strikes — Bloomberg Russian refineries are now processing about 3.9 million barrels of oil per day. Over the past 100 days, about 50 Russian fuel infrastructure facilities have been hit, including at least 24 of the 34 largest refineries.
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Reposted by Roger Francis
Meduza in English @meduza.io · 11/07/2026
Russian officials won't say how badly Ukrainian drone strikes have damaged the country's oil refineries. So Meduza measured the gasoline crisis using publicly available exchange trading data. meduza.io/en/feature/2...
meduza.io
How severe is Russia’s gasoline crisis? Meduza sized it up using exchange trading data. — Meduza
Russia is in the grip of a gasoline crisis that developed in just a month, and there is no telling when it will end. Ukraine has continued to batter Russian infrastructure with drones, above all the…
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Roger Francis @botheration.bsky.social · 06/07/2026
The region has not confirmed these numbers, they are confirmed deaths counted by a third party organisation. These deaths are a minimum.
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Roger Francis @botheration.bsky.social · 05/07/2026
Indeed. Pretty hard to believe the EU was negotiating in good faith when they start with a request for 6bn and then drop it to 2bn. I think the UK counter was in the hundreds of millions. What's the right price? I don't know
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Roger Francis @botheration.bsky.social · 05/07/2026
EU wanted a financial contribution that the UK deemed excessive relative to the benefits
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Roger Francis @botheration.bsky.social · 01/07/2026
Marvellous
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Roger Francis @botheration.bsky.social · 26/06/2026
...so how many got through?
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Roger Francis @botheration.bsky.social · 22/06/2026
He's taken a while to show up
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Roger Francis @botheration.bsky.social · 20/06/2026
Sounds encouraging
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Reposted by Roger Francis
Anton Gerashchenko @antongerashchenko.bsky.social · 18/06/2026
What a beautiful morning in Moscow!
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Roger Francis @botheration.bsky.social · 08/06/2026
Sounds great
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Roger Francis @botheration.bsky.social · 03/06/2026
Let's be clear the Pentagon hasn't been holding the money back, the House majority leader has been doing that and he takes his cue from the White House
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Roger Francis @botheration.bsky.social · 31/05/2026
Thanks for the estimated impact of oil prices, not seen many people work that out. It's either all about the positive impact of rising prices or the negative impact of long range sanctions. Good to have a net number
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Roger Francis @botheration.bsky.social · 26/05/2026
Some people do need to be reminded over and over again
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Roger Francis @botheration.bsky.social · 25/05/2026
Lots of tanks left for future visits
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Roger Francis @botheration.bsky.social · 24/05/2026
So, maybe up to 4 per day if I make a wild guess for not published and non-geolocated? Hopefully they can increase that tempo
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Reposted by Roger Francis
MAKS 26 👀🇺🇦 @maks23.bsky.social · 22/05/2026
🇺🇦😎 Ukrainian Armed Forces are destroying logistics on the Mariupol-Taganrog highway, which is one of Russia's key logistics chains, - Exilenova
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Roger Francis @botheration.bsky.social · 10/05/2026
Or send a message by drone?
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Roger Francis @botheration.bsky.social · 02/05/2026
That's getting on for 2% of the male population dead or seriously wounded. Astonishing
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Roger Francis @botheration.bsky.social · 02/05/2026
MLRS!
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Roger Francis @botheration.bsky.social · 22/04/2026
Drones get all the attention, but someone still needs to be in a trench. Incredible endurance by these guys,
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Roger Francis @botheration.bsky.social · 18/04/2026
Definitely a loaded one!
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Roger Francis @botheration.bsky.social · 17/04/2026
Wow
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Roger Francis @botheration.bsky.social · 14/04/2026
Delivery time line?
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Roger Francis @botheration.bsky.social · 14/04/2026
They've left a bit for another raid
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Roger Francis @botheration.bsky.social · 13/04/2026
Not to mention the Chinese
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Roger Francis @botheration.bsky.social · 04/04/2026
And if they don't claim them they don't go through the General Staff loss statistics, but they are losses all the same
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Roger Francis @botheration.bsky.social · 03/04/2026
Can you see the smoke plumes from Primorsk and Ust Luga in St Petersburg?
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Roger Francis @botheration.bsky.social · 03/04/2026
Operational tempo starting to take a toll?
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Reposted by Roger Francis
MAKS 26 👀🇺🇦 @maks23.bsky.social · 03/04/2026
💥 The strikes on Russian military factories appear to have had real results. Military correspondent Romanov reports a serious shortage of missiles for Russia's air defenses, which are no longer able to cope with Ukrainian drone attacks.
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Roger Francis @botheration.bsky.social · 31/03/2026
Of course this would mean no bases in future
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Roger Francis @botheration.bsky.social · 29/03/2026
Using General Staff nos I make the tally so far this month 29,930. With a few days left they should top 30k. FWIW Russia recruited 422k soldiers last year or about 35k pm. Nos are probably down this year and given other sources of wastage the Russians are basically running to stand still.
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Roger Francis @botheration.bsky.social · 26/03/2026
Don't know why it's taken so long
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Roger Francis @botheration.bsky.social · 26/03/2026
Exactly this
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Roger Francis @botheration.bsky.social · 26/03/2026
Not a reliable ally, not a reliable supplier either
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