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Bob Ventimiglia | MLS Analysis, Expert Picks @bobvsoccer.bsky.social · 13h

Portland Thorns should have a huge advantage over Boston Legacy this weekend (my model gives them a 63.8% win chance). I like pairing the double chance (roughly 88.1% chance) with the under 3.5 goals (74.8% chance) to get +107. #NWSL #NWSLbets #PortlandThorns

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Bob Ventimiglia | MLS Analysis, Expert Picks @bobvsoccer.bsky.social · 14h

Orlando Pride host SD Wave this weekend. Bookmakers think it is advantage to SDW, while my model thinks it is a littler closer. In the end, I like the draw (on a smaller half unit play) at +290. #NWSL #NWSLbets #OrlandoPride

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Bob Ventimiglia | MLS Analysis, Expert Picks @bobvsoccer.bsky.social · 15h

Here are my model's results for NWSL Matchweek 24! Just a few moments away we will be getting started. In the thread, find each match- including a breakdown of the over/under on 2.5 and 3.5 goals, PLUS the BTTS (both teams to score) chance. Good luck this weekend!

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Bob Ventimiglia | MLS Analysis, Expert Picks @bobvsoccer.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

I like the NC Courage to win or draw this weekend. Pairing the double chance with over 1.5 goals brings us up to -123 odds. #NWSL #NCCourage

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Bob Ventimiglia | MLS Analysis, Expert Picks @bobvsoccer.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

I wish Philly wasn’t Philly and I could root for them. Because this Union team seems a lot of fun.

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Bob Ventimiglia | MLS Analysis, Expert Picks @bobvsoccer.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

Vancouver Whitecaps vs D.C. United has a good chance at going under 2.5 goals, so when I saw the under 3.5 odds at -112, I knew I liked that play. Hear why on this week’s show- buff.ly/viWPRfW

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Bob Ventimiglia | MLS Analysis, Expert Picks @bobvsoccer.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

My model is picking up that the Austin FC vs SDFC match should be an UNDER game. Under 2.5 should hit around 53% of the time, yet is priced at +142. This is a risky play with a nice payout. Hear more on the podcast- buff.ly/piyinjt

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Bob Ventimiglia | MLS Analysis, Expert Picks @bobvsoccer.bsky.social · 26/09/2026

Charlotte FC should win against the Chicago Fire, who are missing Lewandowski, Lod, and Brady on international duty. Charlotte has some absences but Biel and Saint-Maximin should still provide enough attack. Hear more on this week’s show! YouTube- buff.ly/mI2Ckh0

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Bob Ventimiglia | MLS Analysis, Expert Picks @bobvsoccer.bsky.social · 26/09/2026

I think that any team headed into Salt Lake City right now should be looking at leaving with 3 points. The Revolution have a better chance at winning outright than RSL does, and the Draw No Bet takes away a lot of the risk. #MLSbets #NERevolution More on this week’s show- buff.ly/viWPRfW

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Bob Ventimiglia | MLS Analysis, Expert Picks @bobvsoccer.bsky.social · 26/09/2026

My second draw play for this week (also 1/2 unit) is the Seattle Sounders vs Minnesota United match. Both are teams that are hard to trust right now, and that +290 when the teams are nearly within 5% of each other is too juicy to avoid. #MLSbets #Sounders #Loons

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Bob Ventimiglia | MLS Analysis, Expert Picks @bobvsoccer.bsky.social · 26/09/2026

One of my #NWSL plays this week is Bay FC over Orlando Pride. My model has Bay with a 50%+ chance of winning, so any bet over +100 is golden. #BayFC #OrlandoPride

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Bob Ventimiglia | MLS Analysis, Expert Picks @bobvsoccer.bsky.social · 26/09/2026

I think that this CF Montreal game against FC Cincinnati is going to have a low total, so the FC Cincy team total under 1.5 at +100 is a bargain. Hear more about this game on this week’s show- buff.ly/mI2Ckh0

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Bob Ventimiglia | MLS Analysis, Expert Picks @bobvsoccer.bsky.social · 26/09/2026

Atlanta United and NYCFC play later today, and I see DRAW written all over this one. Neither team has been playing particularly well this season, and when the win percentages are this close, it plays to a draw. 1/2 unit play only. Hear more on the podcast- buff.ly/piyinjt

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Bob Ventimiglia | MLS Analysis, Expert Picks @bobvsoccer.bsky.social · 26/09/2026

Here is my MLS model’s predictions for MLS Week 28. I know there are going to be changes because of weather, but the computer doesn’t care. In the thread, each match is broken down by win %, over/under 2.5 and 3.5 goals, and BTTS. Good luck, stay dry, and stay safe. #MLS #MLSbets

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Bob Ventimiglia | MLS Analysis, Expert Picks @bobvsoccer.bsky.social · 26/09/2026

When Seattle Reign host Boston Legacy this weekend, I am taking a chance on Reign (win or draw), and pairing it with a small goal total, over 1.5. #NWSL #ReignFC #SeattleReign

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Bob Ventimiglia | MLS Analysis, Expert Picks @bobvsoccer.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

Here are this week's model projections for NWSL Matchday 23. In the thread, each game breakdown has the over/under on 2.5 and 3.5 goals, as well as the BTTS (Both Team To Score) chance. Good luck this weekend! #NWSL

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Bob Ventimiglia | MLS Analysis, Expert Picks @bobvsoccer.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

Tonight I like the Gotham FC vs Chicago Stars game to go UNDER 3.5 goals. Gotham wins, but they usually don't pile on, even in such slanted matchups. Good luck! #GothamFC #NWSL

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Bob Ventimiglia | MLS Analysis, Expert Picks @bobvsoccer.bsky.social · 20/09/2026

My last official play this weeks goes back to NWSL. I'll pair the Boston Legacy Double Chance (win or draw) with an over on 2.5 goals. This gets us close to even money at -112. Good luck this weekend! #NWSL #BostonLegacy

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Bob Ventimiglia | MLS Analysis, Expert Picks @bobvsoccer.bsky.social · 20/09/2026

Philadelphia Union down 0-3 to SKC. Someone activated Cavan. It’s 3-3. In four minutes. Don’t activate Cavan.

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Bob Ventimiglia | MLS Analysis, Expert Picks @bobvsoccer.bsky.social · 20/09/2026

Portland has a LONG injury list, which means they're even money to win. Atlanta is 2-4-7 on the road and hasn't travelled across the country since March 1st. The risk is baked into the price here. Trying not to overthink it. #MLS #RCTID Hear more on this week's podcast-https://buff.ly/gsGOd3D

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Bob Ventimiglia | MLS Analysis, Expert Picks @bobvsoccer.bsky.social · 20/09/2026

Real Salt Lake only needs to score two goals, at home, to get even money? Sign me up. The play has some risk, but VCW just played midweek and now need to travel back across the country to play at altitude. I'm not predicting a win, just a second goal. #MLS #RSL Hear more- buff.ly/gsGOd3D

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Bob Ventimiglia | MLS Analysis, Expert Picks @bobvsoccer.bsky.social · 19/09/2026

Nashville SC has been on a roll, and I haven't been along for the ride. That changes this week, when they host the Chicago Fire. #MLS #NashvilleSC Nashville to win at -130 is the play. Hear why on this week's podcast- YouTube- buff.ly/gsGOd3D Audio Links- buff.ly/6vtEvvr

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Bob Ventimiglia | MLS Analysis, Expert Picks @bobvsoccer.bsky.social · 19/09/2026

This weekend I like the Wave to win, but pairing San Diego with the double chance (win or draw) and the under on 3.5 goals gets me to -110 and eliminates a low of risk on a 1-1 or 0-0 draw. #NWSL #SDWave #KCCurrent

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Bob Ventimiglia | MLS Analysis, Expert Picks @bobvsoccer.bsky.social · 19/09/2026

Minnesota United host the LA Galaxy in what could be an unpredictable match. What isn't unpredictable, however, is the goal total. With the under 3.5 goal set at -136, we're getting a ton of value. #MLS #LAGalaxy #Loons Watch this week's show for more- buff.ly/gsGOd3D

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Bob Ventimiglia | MLS Analysis, Expert Picks @bobvsoccer.bsky.social · 19/09/2026

This week I love FC Dallas to get a rivalry win over Austin FC. Historically these are high scoring, and I see no reason why both teams dont score and push the total over 2.5 goals. Check out last night's show for more! buff.ly/gsGOd3D #FCDallas #AustinFC #MLS

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Bob Ventimiglia | MLS Analysis, Expert Picks @bobvsoccer.bsky.social · 19/09/2026

This week when the Chicago Stars host the Washington Spirit, I will be taking the under 2.5 goals bet. While Washington has a great chance to win (according to my model 58%), they are only averaging 1.38 goals per game. I don't think Stars will push the total, so we have a big advantage. #NWSL

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Bob Ventimiglia | MLS Analysis, Expert Picks @bobvsoccer.bsky.social · 19/09/2026

Here are all my official NWSL and MLS plays for this weekend. Good luck everybody! #NWSL #MLS #NWSLbets #MLSbets Tune into the Designated Pundits for more! Audio Links- buff.ly/zZZFtvB YouTube- buff.ly/ubc6RUS

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Bob Ventimiglia | MLS Analysis, Expert Picks @bobvsoccer.bsky.social · 19/09/2026

Orlando Pride hosts the Portland Thorns, and I have the Orlando Pride to win. Also here- my sports model's prediction on winner, over/under 2.5 and 3.5 goals, and the BTTS chance (Both Teams to Score). Good Luck this weekend! #NWSL #OrlandoPride

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Bob Ventimiglia | MLS Analysis, Expert Picks @bobvsoccer.bsky.social · 18/09/2026

MLS is in Matchweek 27 this weekend, and here is my model’s predictions for each match. In the thread, I added win %, Over/Under on 2.5 and 3.5 goals, and the chance that both teams score (BTTS). Good luck this weekend! #MLS #MLSbets

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Bob Ventimiglia | MLS Analysis, Expert Picks @bobvsoccer.bsky.social · 18/09/2026

Starting with NWSL today, here are my model’s predictions for this weekend’s matches. In the thread, each individual match also includes the win %, over/under on 2.5 and 3.5 goals, and the chance that both teams score (BTTS). Good luck! #NWSL

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Bob Ventimiglia | MLS Analysis, Expert Picks @bobvsoccer.bsky.social · 13/09/2026

Portland Thorns should beat the Chicago Stars this weekend, but the -550 is too steep to make money. Instead, try the Under on 3.5 goals at -118. This game shouldn’t be a shootout- and very well may be a Thorns shutout.

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Bob Ventimiglia | MLS Analysis, Expert Picks @bobvsoccer.bsky.social · 13/09/2026

San Diego FC host the Philadelphia Union in what should be one of the best matches of the week. Philly is hot but traveling across the country. This is the first time SDFC plays the Union. Last night’s livestream had more details-https://buff.ly/OuUPCp0

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Bob Ventimiglia | MLS Analysis, Expert Picks @bobvsoccer.bsky.social · 12/09/2026

Vancouver Whitecaps have a chance to bounce back from that STLC game and thrash Austin FC this weekend. Spread picks have been tricky that season, but VCW should win by 2. This is one of our biggest win percentages we’ve seen this season. Hear more on the pod- buff.ly/298MW26

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Bob Ventimiglia | MLS Analysis, Expert Picks @bobvsoccer.bsky.social · 12/09/2026

I like the low goal total in the LA Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders game. I split my official play between “Under 2.5 Goals” and “Both Teams to Score NO.” Hear why on last night’s livestream- buff.ly/OuUPCp0

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Bob Ventimiglia | MLS Analysis, Expert Picks @bobvsoccer.bsky.social · 12/09/2026

I like the Washington Spirit to win this weekend, but the official play (with much better odds) is Under 3.5 goals and NO DRAW. This match definitely deserves a winner, while the low goal total has an over 76% chance of hitting.

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Bob Ventimiglia | MLS Analysis, Expert Picks @bobvsoccer.bsky.social · 12/09/2026

Considering ALL the injuries to these two teams, I think Real Salt Lake against NYCFC has a better than usual chance at being a draw. I took a little 1/4 unit play at +270 Last night we discussed this and more on out podcast- check the links below! buff.ly/b2AA9pA

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Bob Ventimiglia | MLS Analysis, Expert Picks @bobvsoccer.bsky.social · 12/09/2026

I like the Rapids this week; they should get a win hosting CF Montreal. Their odds need a partner to approach even money, so I will take them with the over on 1.5 goals. We discussed 11 matches for this weekend on last night’s livestream- buff.ly/L48gai4

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Bob Ventimiglia | MLS Analysis, Expert Picks @bobvsoccer.bsky.social · 12/09/2026

The Seattle Reign should get the win this weekend over Bay FC. I like the home advantage, although you are paying up just a hair with the 47% win probability. This is my second official NWSL pick of the weekend.

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Bob Ventimiglia | MLS Analysis, Expert Picks @bobvsoccer.bsky.social · 11/09/2026

When the Columbus Crew host RBNY we expect a low goal total. Under 3.5 goals has a 67+% chance, and is a value at -142. Hear more on this week’s show- buff.ly/tbh5CF3

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Bob Ventimiglia | MLS Analysis, Expert Picks @bobvsoccer.bsky.social · 11/09/2026

Without Evander, I think FC Cincinnati could struggle against Charlotte FC this weekend. At +230 Charlotte is a value, but I will protect against the draw with a Draw No Bet at +156 instead. Catch this week’s podcast for more- buff.ly/298MW26

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Bob Ventimiglia | MLS Analysis, Expert Picks @bobvsoccer.bsky.social · 11/09/2026

This weekend I think Angel City at +125 to beat the Denver Summit is a great play. My model shows a 42.4% chance at a win, and the implied probability of a +125 bet is almost even.

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Bob Ventimiglia | MLS Analysis, Expert Picks @bobvsoccer.bsky.social · 11/09/2026

MLS Week 26 is almost here, so here is my model’s predictions on each match. In the thread, I included win %, o/u 2.5, o/u 3.5, and both teams to score. Good luck this week!

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Bob Ventimiglia | MLS Analysis, Expert Picks @bobvsoccer.bsky.social · 11/09/2026

With NWSL’s week starting tonight, here are my model’s predictions for each match. In the thread below, find the win%, chance at over/under on 2.5 and 3.5 goals, and the % chance that both teams score. Good Luck!

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Bob Ventimiglia | MLS Analysis, Expert Picks @bobvsoccer.bsky.social · 10/09/2026

Last up, I think the Vancouver Whitecaps and LA Galaxy both want want to be stingy tonight. Low goal totals are probable according to the model, so let’s set that trend. Under 3.5 is the official play.

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Bob Ventimiglia | MLS Analysis, Expert Picks @bobvsoccer.bsky.social · 09/09/2026

Portland Timbers vs St. Louis City could be the sneaky game of the Matchday for MLS tonight. I will pass on closing a winner, but instead favor GOALS to be in supply. Official play is Both Team to Score and NO DRAW. This game deserves a winner.

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Bob Ventimiglia | MLS Analysis, Expert Picks @bobvsoccer.bsky.social · 09/09/2026

Next official play for #MLS tonight is Austin FC on the Draw No Bet option. Protecting us from the volatility that sometimes accompanies Colorado is the way to go. The +145 on ATX is a good bet, but playing chicken on this midweek plays isn’t a bad strategy, either.

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Bob Ventimiglia | MLS Analysis, Expert Picks @bobvsoccer.bsky.social · 09/09/2026

When NYCFC host the Revolution tonight, I wanted to favor NYCFC but get draw protection. By pairing the double chance, representing ~68% of outcomes, with a small over on 1.5 goals which pushes us to -152 odds. Low risk, low reward to start Matchday 25.

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