Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 24/09/2026Results haven't happened yet but it could have closer similarities with the 2006 mid terms. 000
Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 03/09/2026If Phillipe makes round 2, he could beat her. I think I've read that Attall could drop out and endorse Phillipe in the coming months. 110
Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 06/02/2026After winning a landslide, his political capital should've been very high. 000
Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 05/02/2026I think Rayner wins if it's her vs Streeting but I can see a scenario with either doesn't run. Rayner had been expected to run for leader in 2020 but didn't. 000
Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 12/12/2025I still think it will be Newsom but gut says if not, they'll nominate a Shapiro or Mark Kelly. 020
Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 10/12/2025Another good read. Some dark horses on the D side, on the GOP side I could see a Ted Cruz running even just to give himself more credit in the bank for a 2032 run. 110
Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 10/12/2025As for the Democrats, Harris feels in a weak position considering her name recognition. I would put money on Newsom being the nominee. 110
Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 10/12/2025Great article, Vance will be the nominee but I'm not sure that he will be completely unopposed. 010
Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 22/11/2025I think he does full term if health allows it but becomes a lame duck post midterms. 000
Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 21/11/2025The 2028 US election kicks off in just over a year and the other 6 nations know that Trump will be out of office permanently in three years time. 000
Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 15/11/2025I think if a contest happens, it happens over a summer. 000
Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 13/11/2025Some are saying an election happens post budget but that would mean it playing out through the Xmas build up. 100
Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 12/11/2025Re 2028, Vance will be the nominee but history doesn't favour non incumbent nominees of the governing party. 010
Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 26/09/2025Also potential tactical voting against Reform. 010
Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 02/06/2025It's like how Trump never received a fraction of the scrutiny the Dems did. 010
Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 28/05/2025It's very rare for Labour to topple their leaders. 020
Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 07/03/2025The article also says (which has been missed) that she's also considering a 2028 run. 010
Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 28/02/2025Generally (Dan Quayle being an exception), ex VPs have a strong chance in the Presidential Primaries. 010
Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 24/02/2025I just hope China doesn't decide to invade Taiwan between now and 28. 110
Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 24/02/2025And the 2028 GOP nominee will have all the bad things happening in America on their record. 130
Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 22/02/2025Even if Trump lives to 100, there's no way of him ever running for office again. 010
Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 19/02/2025Even Erdoğan is being harder on Putin than Trump. 010
Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 18/02/2025Trump's power is likely to be at it's strongest in the next 18 months as the mid terms will kick off the 2028 election campaign. 010
Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 17/02/2025Trump refused to even endorse his own VP for the next election!!! 010
Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 15/02/2025Vance is tied to the Trump s**tshow just as Ford was to Nixon in the 70s. 130
Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 15/02/2025In 2027 focus will turn to who succeeds him and in 2028 the D and GOP nominee become very important. That's if Trump survives until 2028. 010
Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 15/02/2025It makes 2026 and 28 look much more achievable. 010
Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 14/02/2025Even if Harris is the nominee, the coming issues of the next four years will be what dominates. 000
Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 14/02/2025Al Gore revealed in December 2002 that he wasn't running again but speculation was rife in the build up. 000
Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 11/02/2025He doesn't and I don't see him doing so either. 120
Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 11/02/2025I think Trump has more bandwidth to do the stupid things which Vance wouldn't have. 110
Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 05/02/2025It's not even like 2016 when he lost the popular vote. 020
Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 05/02/2025Irony is they'd be screaming warmonger if Bush/Obama/Biden had proposed this. 000
Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 04/02/2025There are a number of tories who wouldn't touch reform with a bargepole. 010
Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 03/02/2025Vance is very possibly going to face headwinds in 2028....... 110