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Ben Jackson

@bluenosesrule.bsky.social
135 followers 108 following 124 posts
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Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Results haven't happened yet but it could have closer similarities with the 2006 mid terms.
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Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
If Phillipe makes round 2, he could beat her. I think I've read that Attall could drop out and endorse Phillipe in the coming months.
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Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 25/06/2026
Algeria could lose by two to Austria.
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Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 22/06/2026
She'll be seen as safe
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Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 06/02/2026
After winning a landslide, his political capital should've been very high.
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Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 05/02/2026
I think Rayner wins if it's her vs Streeting but I can see a scenario with either doesn't run. Rayner had been expected to run for leader in 2020 but didn't.
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Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 11/01/2026
Do you think Pahlavi will return to Iran?
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Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 02/01/2026
Health?
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Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 12/12/2025
I still think it will be Newsom but gut says if not, they'll nominate a Shapiro or Mark Kelly.
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Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 10/12/2025
Another good read. Some dark horses on the D side, on the GOP side I could see a Ted Cruz running even just to give himself more credit in the bank for a 2032 run.
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Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 10/12/2025
As for the Democrats, Harris feels in a weak position considering her name recognition. I would put money on Newsom being the nominee.
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Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 10/12/2025
Great article, Vance will be the nominee but I'm not sure that he will be completely unopposed.
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Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 22/11/2025
I think he does full term if health allows it but becomes a lame duck post midterms.
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Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 21/11/2025
The 2028 US election kicks off in just over a year and the other 6 nations know that Trump will be out of office permanently in three years time.
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Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 18/11/2025
They qualified in the best manner possible.
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Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 15/11/2025
I think if a contest happens, it happens over a summer.
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Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 13/11/2025
Some are saying an election happens post budget but that would mean it playing out through the Xmas build up.
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Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 12/11/2025
Re 2028, Vance will be the nominee but history doesn't favour non incumbent nominees of the governing party.
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Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 26/09/2025
Also potential tactical voting against Reform.
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Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 15/06/2025
It's not like it's 80 years since WW2.
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Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 15/06/2025
The Corbynite argument.
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Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 02/06/2025
It's like how Trump never received a fraction of the scrutiny the Dems did.
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Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 28/05/2025
It's very rare for Labour to topple their leaders.
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Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 27/05/2025
Labour has time on its side.
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Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 07/03/2025
The article also says (which has been missed) that she's also considering a 2028 run.
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Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 03/03/2025
Recessions is the main thing voters hate.
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Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 28/02/2025
Generally (Dan Quayle being an exception), ex VPs have a strong chance in the Presidential Primaries.
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Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 24/02/2025
I just hope China doesn't decide to invade Taiwan between now and 28.
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Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 24/02/2025
And the 2028 GOP nominee will have all the bad things happening in America on their record.
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Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 23/02/2025
Sounds like a campaign speech,
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Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 22/02/2025
Even if Trump lives to 100, there's no way of him ever running for office again.
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Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 22/02/2025
And unique in that Trump is term limited now.
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Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 19/02/2025
Even Erdoğan is being harder on Putin than Trump.
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Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 18/02/2025
Trump's power is likely to be at it's strongest in the next 18 months as the mid terms will kick off the 2028 election campaign.
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Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 17/02/2025
Trump refused to even endorse his own VP for the next election!!!
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Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 15/02/2025
Vance is tied to the Trump s**tshow just as Ford was to Nixon in the 70s.
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Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 15/02/2025
In 2027 focus will turn to who succeeds him and in 2028 the D and GOP nominee become very important. That's if Trump survives until 2028.
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Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 15/02/2025
It makes 2026 and 28 look much more achievable.
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Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 14/02/2025
Even if Harris is the nominee, the coming issues of the next four years will be what dominates.
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Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 14/02/2025
Al Gore revealed in December 2002 that he wasn't running again but speculation was rife in the build up.
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Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 14/02/2025
It's actually next year when Trump turns 80.
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Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 13/02/2025
It's a Bush 2004 victory.
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Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 13/02/2025
It's as high as it's going to be I think.
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Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 11/02/2025
He doesn't and I don't see him doing so either.
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Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 11/02/2025
I think Trump has more bandwidth to do the stupid things which Vance wouldn't have.
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Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 05/02/2025
It's not even like 2016 when he lost the popular vote.
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Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 05/02/2025
Irony is they'd be screaming warmonger if Bush/Obama/Biden had proposed this.
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Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 04/02/2025
There are a number of tories who wouldn't touch reform with a bargepole.
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Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 03/02/2025
Vance is very possibly going to face headwinds in 2028.......
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Ben Jackson @bluenosesrule.bsky.social · 03/02/2025
Exactly that
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