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Bill Drexel

@bill-drexel.bsky.social

94 followers 15 following 9 posts

Tech, National Security @CNAS 🇮🇳🚀//🇨🇳🦅 | Former @UNmigration, @AEI. Views my own, RTs ≠ Endorsements.

Posts Replies Media

Bill Drexel @bill-drexel.bsky.social · 06/12/2024

The USG must therefore be ambitious with *both* frontier and narrow systems. The incoming Trump administration has the opportunity—and obligation—to do so. 9/9 Full article here foreignpolicy.com/2024/12/04/t...

foreignpolicy.com

Trump Must Rebalance America’s AI Strategy

The Biden administration’s approach was risky and needs to be corrected.

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Bill Drexel @bill-drexel.bsky.social · 06/12/2024

The debate about the trajectory of frontier AI is remarkably divisive—ultimately no one knows if, when, or to what extent scaling frontier models will prove transformative in defense. 8/

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Bill Drexel @bill-drexel.bsky.social · 06/12/2024

With chip export controls and a pragmatic tech culture, China will likely emphasize narrow AI. If we over-fixate on a resource-intensive race to superintelligence that may not pan out, China may meanwhile build an arsenal of small, practical, and decisive AI systems. 7/

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Bill Drexel @bill-drexel.bsky.social · 06/12/2024

Focusing on frontier AI above all else could sideline narrow AI that more effectively addresses pressing national security needs—think hypersonic modeling, autonomous drone swarming, and the material science research critical to developing new weapons 6/

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Bill Drexel @bill-drexel.bsky.social · 06/12/2024

But if you're skeptical about the potential of the current frontier AI paradigm (as many investors and engineers increasingly are), such a strategy is wasteful, misguided, even dangerous—risking the loss of critical other AI leads over Beijing. 5/

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Bill Drexel @bill-drexel.bsky.social · 06/12/2024

*IF* you believe we’re on the cusp of superintelligence, this strategy makes sense: manufacturing a bunch of nobel-prize-level minds and beyond would eclipse other AI priorities. 4/

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Bill Drexel @bill-drexel.bsky.social · 06/12/2024

One official admitted that the doc was “rooted” in faith in frontier progress projections. Lots on accelerating gargantuan frontier training runs, little on boosting other important forms of AI. 3/

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Bill Drexel @bill-drexel.bsky.social · 06/12/2024

The National Security Memorandum on AI , released just before the election, was the clearest indication that the USG approach was becoming dangerously unbalanced in favor of frontier AI. 2/

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Bill Drexel @bill-drexel.bsky.social · 06/12/2024

For AI in national security, 🇺🇸's growing fixation on frontier models was becoming dangerously unbalanced. Trump must reprioritize "narrow" AI defense systems, or risk losing out to 🇨🇳. My latest with @rubyscanlon.bsky.social in @foreignpolicy.com 1/9 foreignpolicy.com/2024/12/04/t...

foreignpolicy.com

Trump Must Rebalance America’s AI Strategy

The Biden administration’s approach was risky and needs to be corrected.

100