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Big Move Tracker

@big-move-tracker.bsky.social

14 followers 1 following 880 posts

Alerts for big moves in prediction markets, because sometimes the odds move before the story does

Posts Replies Media

Big Move Tracker @big-move-tracker.bsky.social · 2h

Will Jay Clayton be Trump's AI czar? 📈 YES 58% → 88% (+30) in 1h Polymarket ↗

Will Jay Clayton be Trump's AI czar?

📈 YES 58% → 88% (+30) in 1h · Polymarket

000

Big Move Tracker @big-move-tracker.bsky.social · 6h

Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026? 📉 YES 64% → 37% (-27) in 5m Polymarket ↗

Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?

📉 YES 64% → 37% (-27) in 5m · Polymarket

Big Move Tracker @big-move-tracker.bsky.social · 7h

Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? 📈 YES 54% → 79% (+26) in 7d Polymarket ↗

Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?

📈 YES 54% → 79% (+26) in 7d · Polymarket

000

Big Move Tracker @big-move-tracker.bsky.social · 15h

Will Rick Devens come in third-place on Big Brother season 28? 📉 YES 42% → 1% (-42) in 5m Polymarket ↗

Will Rick Devens come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?

📉 YES 42% → 1% (-42) in 5m · Polymarket

000

Big Move Tracker @big-move-tracker.bsky.social · 15h

Will Rick Devens win Big Brother season 28? 📈 YES 57% → 89% (+33) in 5m Polymarket ↗

Will Rick Devens win Big Brother season 28?

📈 YES 57% → 89% (+33) in 5m · Polymarket

000

Big Move Tracker @big-move-tracker.bsky.social · 17h

Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round? 📉 YES 90% → 12% (-77) in 1h Polymarket ↗

Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?

📉 YES 90% → 12% (-77) in 1h · Polymarket

000

Big Move Tracker @big-move-tracker.bsky.social · 20h

Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa by October 31? 📈 YES 32% → 66% (+35) in 5m Polymarket ↗

Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa by October 31?

📈 YES 32% → 66% (+35) in 5m · Polymarket

000

Big Move Tracker @big-move-tracker.bsky.social · 21h

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? 📈 YES 24% → 53% (+29) in 7d Polymarket ↗

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?

📈 YES 24% → 53% (+29) in 7d · Polymarket

000

Big Move Tracker @big-move-tracker.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? 📈 YES 57% → 85% (+27) in 7d Polymarket ↗

Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

📈 YES 57% → 85% (+27) in 7d · Polymarket

000

Big Move Tracker @big-move-tracker.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? 📈 YES 12% → 78% (+66) in 1d Polymarket ↗

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?

📈 YES 12% → 78% (+66) in 1d · Polymarket

000

Big Move Tracker @big-move-tracker.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? 📈 YES 13% → 74% (+61) in 1d Polymarket ↗

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?

📈 YES 13% → 74% (+61) in 1d · Polymarket

000

Big Move Tracker @big-move-tracker.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by September 30, 2026? 📈 YES 53% → 95% (+42) in 1h Polymarket ↗

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by September 30, 2026?

📈 YES 53% → 95% (+42) in 1h · Polymarket

000

Big Move Tracker @big-move-tracker.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher? 📉 YES 82% → 61% (-21) in 5m Polymarket ↗

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?

📉 YES 82% → 61% (-21) in 5m · Polymarket

000

Big Move Tracker @big-move-tracker.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime? 📈 YES 11% → 41% (+30) in 5m Polymarket ↗

Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?

📈 YES 11% → 41% (+30) in 5m · Polymarket

000

Big Move Tracker @big-move-tracker.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026? 📉 YES 54% → 28% (-26) in 7d Polymarket ↗

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?

📉 YES 54% → 28% (-26) in 7d · Polymarket

000

Big Move Tracker @big-move-tracker.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? 📈 YES 46% → 89% (+43) in 1h Polymarket ↗

Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?

📈 YES 46% → 89% (+43) in 1h · Polymarket

000

Big Move Tracker @big-move-tracker.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026? 📈 YES 70% → 100% (+30) in 5m Polymarket ↗

Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?

📈 YES 70% → 100% (+30) in 5m · Polymarket

000

Big Move Tracker @big-move-tracker.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? 📈 YES 10% → 38% (+28) in 7d Polymarket ↗

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

📈 YES 10% → 38% (+28) in 7d · Polymarket

000

Big Move Tracker @big-move-tracker.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? 📉 YES 88% → 60% (-28) in 5m Polymarket ↗

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

📉 YES 88% → 60% (-28) in 5m · Polymarket

000

Big Move Tracker @big-move-tracker.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by October 31, 2026? 📈 YES 27% → 100% (+73) in 5m Polymarket ↗

Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by October 31, 2026?

📈 YES 27% → 100% (+73) in 5m · Polymarket

000

Big Move Tracker @big-move-tracker.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026? 📉 YES 53% → 21% (-32) in 1h Polymarket ↗

Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?

📉 YES 53% → 21% (-32) in 1h · Polymarket

000

Big Move Tracker @big-move-tracker.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? 📈 YES 35% → 96% (+61) in 5m Polymarket ↗

Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?

📈 YES 35% → 96% (+61) in 5m · Polymarket

000

Big Move Tracker @big-move-tracker.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? 📉 YES 70% → 39% (-30) in 28d Polymarket ↗

Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?

📉 YES 70% → 39% (-30) in 28d · Polymarket

000

Big Move Tracker @big-move-tracker.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? 📉 YES 42% → 12% (-30) in 28d Polymarket ↗

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?

📉 YES 42% → 12% (-30) in 28d · Polymarket

000

Big Move Tracker @big-move-tracker.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? 📈 YES 8% → 33% (+25) in 7d Polymarket ↗

Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?

📈 YES 8% → 33% (+25) in 7d · Polymarket

000

Big Move Tracker @big-move-tracker.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026? 📉 YES 92% → 64% (-28) in 7d Polymarket ↗

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?

📉 YES 92% → 64% (-28) in 7d · Polymarket

000

Big Move Tracker @big-move-tracker.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by October 31, 2026? 📉 YES 90% → 61% (-29) in 5m Polymarket ↗

Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by October 31, 2026?

📉 YES 90% → 61% (-29) in 5m · Polymarket

000

Big Move Tracker @big-move-tracker.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? 📈 YES 46% → 71% (+25) in 7d Polymarket ↗

Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?

📈 YES 46% → 71% (+25) in 7d · Polymarket

000

Big Move Tracker @big-move-tracker.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? 📉 YES 57% → 33% (-25) in 5m Polymarket ↗

Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?

📉 YES 57% → 33% (-25) in 5m · Polymarket

000

Big Move Tracker @big-move-tracker.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? 📈 YES 4% → 34% (+30) in 7d Polymarket ↗

Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?

📈 YES 4% → 34% (+30) in 7d · Polymarket

000

Big Move Tracker @big-move-tracker.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? 📈 YES 47% → 79% (+32) in 7d Polymarket ↗

Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?

📈 YES 47% → 79% (+32) in 7d · Polymarket

000

Big Move Tracker @big-move-tracker.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

Trump renames AI by September 30? 📈 YES 39% → 81% (+42) in 5m Polymarket ↗

Trump renames AI by September 30?

📈 YES 39% → 81% (+42) in 5m · Polymarket

000

Big Move Tracker @big-move-tracker.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026? 📉 YES 61% → 9% (-51) in 1d Polymarket ↗

Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026?

📉 YES 61% → 9% (-51) in 1d · Polymarket

000

Big Move Tracker @big-move-tracker.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? 📉 YES 64% → 9% (-55) in 1d Polymarket ↗

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?

📉 YES 64% → 9% (-55) in 1d · Polymarket

Big Move Tracker @big-move-tracker.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day? 📉 YES 30% → 6% (-24) in 5m Polymarket ↗

Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?

📉 YES 30% → 6% (-24) in 5m · Polymarket

000

Big Move Tracker @big-move-tracker.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? 📈 YES 49% → 74% (+25) in 7d Polymarket ↗

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?

📈 YES 49% → 74% (+25) in 7d · Polymarket

000

Big Move Tracker @big-move-tracker.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? 📈 YES 7% → 61% (+53) in 1d Polymarket ↗

Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?

📈 YES 7% → 61% (+53) in 1d · Polymarket

000

Big Move Tracker @big-move-tracker.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 150k? 📉 YES 90% → 66% (-24) in 5m Polymarket ↗

Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 150k?

📉 YES 90% → 66% (-24) in 5m · Polymarket

000

Big Move Tracker @big-move-tracker.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30? 📈 YES 25% → 48% (+22) in 5m Polymarket ↗

Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?

📈 YES 25% → 48% (+22) in 5m · Polymarket

000

Big Move Tracker @big-move-tracker.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

Lula participates in debate before first round? 📉 YES 39% → 8% (-31) in 1h Polymarket ↗

Lula participates in debate before first round?

📉 YES 39% → 8% (-31) in 1h · Polymarket

000

Big Move Tracker @big-move-tracker.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals? 📉 YES 48% → 22% (-25) in 7d Polymarket ↗

Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals?

📉 YES 48% → 22% (-25) in 7d · Polymarket

000

Big Move Tracker @big-move-tracker.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

Will Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri be the next Prime Minister of Morocco? 📉 YES 74% → 51% (-23) in 5m Polymarket ↗

Will Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri be the next Prime Minister of Morocco?

📉 YES 74% → 51% (-23) in 5m · Polymarket

000

Big Move Tracker @big-move-tracker.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) 📈 YES 28% → 79% (+50) in 1d Polymarket ↗

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)

📈 YES 28% → 79% (+50) in 1d · Polymarket

000

Big Move Tracker @big-move-tracker.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? 📈 YES 46% → 87% (+42) in 5m Polymarket ↗

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?

📈 YES 46% → 87% (+42) in 5m · Polymarket

000

Big Move Tracker @big-move-tracker.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

Will Iran target Kuwait by September 30, 2026? 📉 YES 77% → 34% (-43) in 5m Polymarket ↗

Will Iran target Kuwait by September 30, 2026?

📉 YES 77% → 34% (-43) in 5m · Polymarket

000

Big Move Tracker @big-move-tracker.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

Will Madonna win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? 📈 YES 70% → 95% (+25) in 5m Polymarket ↗

Will Madonna win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?

📈 YES 70% → 95% (+25) in 5m · Polymarket

000

Big Move Tracker @big-move-tracker.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

Will “Nuevayol” by Bad Bunny win Best Latin at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? 📉 YES 63% → 9% (-53) in 1h Polymarket ↗

Will “Nuevayol” by Bad Bunny win Best Latin at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?

📉 YES 63% → 9% (-53) in 1h · Polymarket

000

Big Move Tracker @big-move-tracker.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? 📈 YES 36% → 64% (+29) in 5m Polymarket ↗

Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

📈 YES 36% → 64% (+29) in 5m · Polymarket

000

Big Move Tracker @big-move-tracker.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? 📉 YES 63% → 38% (-25) in 7d Polymarket ↗

Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?

📉 YES 63% → 38% (-25) in 7d · Polymarket

000

Big Move Tracker @big-move-tracker.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? 📉 YES 30% → 3% (-27) in 7d Polymarket ↗

Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?

📉 YES 30% → 3% (-27) in 7d · Polymarket

000