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Ben Fawkes

@bfawkes22.bsky.social
253 followers 116 following 79 posts

Yahoo Senior Sports Betting Analyst | Former: ESPN, VSiN | Brooklyn born, fan of all teams Minnesota. DMs open

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Ben Fawkes @bfawkes22.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
The Los Angeles Rams just added Aaron Donald and are the clear Super Bowl favorite at sportsbooks at +500 odds. ➡️Over the past 30 years, the preseason favorite has had SB odds of +500 or better 20 times Those short favorites have gone 0-for-20 ... never winning the big game
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Ben Fawkes @bfawkes22.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
The 5 lowest power-rated NFL teams, according to one Vegas oddsmaker: 28. Atlanta Falcons 29. NY Jets 30. Tennessee Titans 31. Miami Dolphins 32. Arizona Cardinals
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Ben Fawkes @bfawkes22.bsky.social · 12/07/2026
One bettor at @dksportsbook.bsky.social cashes a wager for over $4 MILLION after Tom Kim (-17) wins the Scottish Open. ➡️Bettor wagered $47,700 on Tom Kim to win at 84-1 odds ➡️Wins $4,006,800💰✅ Nice little Sunday
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Ben Fawkes @bfawkes22.bsky.social · 16/06/2026
Four World Cup games on Monday ... and four more draws. Spain-Cape Verde 12-1✅ Belgium-Egypt +300✅ Saudi Arabia-Uruguay +333✅ Iran-New Zealand +230✅ If you bet a draw in every game so far: ➡️16 games ➡️8 ties✅ ➡️+26.5 units💰💰
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Ben Fawkes @bfawkes22.bsky.social · 15/05/2026
The Arizona Cardinals are the only NFL team that is currently an underdog in all 17 games this season, including EIGHT as a double-digit 'dog
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Ben Fawkes @bfawkes22.bsky.social · 17/03/2026
From one oddsmaker on Miami (OH)-SMU First Four game: “We’ve had some of our sharpest accounts on the underdog. Pretty good two-way action, but overall it’s been bet down to a version of SMU -7.”
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Ben Fawkes @bfawkes22.bsky.social · 28/12/2025
Week 17 NFL sharp action gathered from a few different sportsbooks: ➡️Bills -1, -1.5, -2, -2.5 ➡️NY Giants -2.5 ➡️Colts +6.5 ➡️Titans +2.5
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Ben Fawkes @bfawkes22.bsky.social · 21/10/2025
The Ohio State Buckeyes (6-0-1 ATS) are the last remaining undefeated team against the spread in college football
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Ben Fawkes @bfawkes22.bsky.social · 10/10/2025
Favorites have lost outright in the last four NFL prime-time games: Rams -8.5 ❌ Bills -8❌ Chiefs -3.5❌ Eagles -7.5❌
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Ben Fawkes @bfawkes22.bsky.social · 02/09/2025
Most lopsided Week 1 NFL sides so far by total 💵 at @betmgm-sportsbook.bsky.social sportsbooks (current line shown): 95% of 💰 on Broncos -8 88% on Eagles -8 87% on Cardinals -6.5 83% on Jaguars -3.5 81% on Lions +2.5 76% on 49ers -2.5 74% on Steelers -3
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Ben Fawkes @bfawkes22.bsky.social · 31/08/2025
Five most-bet Week 1 college football sides by total 💵 at @betmgm-sportsbook.bsky.social: 1. Texas +1 ❌ 2. Alabama -14❌ 3. Notre Dame -3 ❓ 4. Clemson -4❌ 5. Indiana -24❌ Tough start to the season for the betting public
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Ben Fawkes @bfawkes22.bsky.social · 28/08/2025
Notable Super Bowl 60 futures bet from Nevada bettor at Caesars: ➡️$8,000 on Indianapolis Colts to win Super Bowl LX at 125-1 odds Bet would win $1 million. It's the fourth reported seven-figure liability Super Bowl wager at legal U.S. sportsbooks
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Ben Fawkes @bfawkes22.bsky.social · 25/08/2025
Some notable Week 1 college football lines at @betmgm-sportsbook.bsky.social: No. 1 Texas at No. 3 Ohio State (-1.5, 47.5) No. 8 Alabama (-13.5, 50.5) at Florida State No. 9 LSU at No. 4 Clemson (-4, 57.5) No. 6 Notre Dame (-2.5, 49.5) at No. 10 Miami (FL)
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Ben Fawkes @bfawkes22.bsky.social · 05/08/2025
One Vegas oddsmaker on Minnesota Vikings QB J.J. McCarthy: "Until he plays, I don’t know how I can rate him better than [Sam] Howell. I wouldn’t be surprised if he’s a bust."
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Ben Fawkes @bfawkes22.bsky.social · 02/08/2025
Top 10 U.S. states by total sports betting $$ wagered, June 2025 (of states reporting so far): 1. New York: $1.65 BILLION 2. NJ: $790.4M 3. Ohio: $587M 4. Massachusetts: $533M 5. Nevada: $496.6M 6. PA: $483.6M 7. VA: $478M 8. NC: $433M 9. Maryland: $404M 10. TN: $352.5M
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Ben Fawkes @bfawkes22.bsky.social · 29/07/2025
Notable Super Bowl LX bet at Hard Rock Bet: $10,000 on Pittsburgh Steelers to win Super Bowl 60 at 40-1 odds Bet would win $400,000 #HereWeGo
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Ben Fawkes @bfawkes22.bsky.social · 22/07/2025
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish (12-1) have their best preseason odds to win the national championship since 2006, when they were +450
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Ben Fawkes @bfawkes22.bsky.social · 18/07/2025
Three most-bet NFL teams to MISS the playoffs (by total wagers) at @betmgm-sportsbook.bsky.social: 1. Detroit Lions (+165) 2. New Orleans Saints (-800) 3. San Francisco 49ers (+150)
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Ben Fawkes @bfawkes22.bsky.social · 13/07/2025
Current NFL divisional favorites at BetMGM: Bills -275 Ravens -145 Texans +110 Chiefs -120 Eagles -150 Lions +120 Bucs -105 49ers +160
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Ben Fawkes @bfawkes22.bsky.social · 09/07/2025
The Oklahoma City Thunder open with a 2025-26 win total of 62.5, the highest since the 2018-19 Golden State Warriors (62.5)
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Ben Fawkes @bfawkes22.bsky.social · 02/07/2025
The Miami Marlins have won eight straight games outright as underdogs: +139 vs. ATL✅ +151 at SF✅ +194 at SF✅ +155 at SF✅ +146 at AZ✅ +142 at AZ✅ +163 at AZ✅ +128 vs. MIN✅
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Ben Fawkes @bfawkes22.bsky.social · 29/06/2025
New York Yankees games have gone UNDER the total in 16 straight
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Ben Fawkes @bfawkes22.bsky.social · 23/06/2025
The Oklahoma City Thunder open as +240 favorites to repeat at sportsbooks. Those are best title odds since 2018-19 Golden State Warriors (-168)
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Ben Fawkes @bfawkes22.bsky.social · 16/06/2025
The Indiana Pacers are 7-3 ATS as a road underdog in this year's playoffs. Betting public is backing Pacers to cover in Game 5 tonight in OKC, with 70%+ of wagers on Indiana +9.5 at multiple sportsbooks
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Ben Fawkes @bfawkes22.bsky.social · 05/06/2025
Huge NBA Finals wager placed last night at MGM book in Las Vegas: $1.05 MILLION on Oklahoma City Thunder to win series at -700 odds Bet would win $150,000. Biggest reported finals wager so far
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Ben Fawkes @bfawkes22.bsky.social · 03/06/2025
The @okcthunder.bsky.social are currently 9.5-point home favorites in Game 1 of the #NBAFinals vs. the @indiana-pacers.bsky.social The last time a favorite that big lost Game 1 outright was all the way back in the 2001 Finals when the Lakers (-12) lost to Allen Iverson's 76ers 107-101 in OT.
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Ben Fawkes @bfawkes22.bsky.social · 05/05/2025
The Golden State Warriors (+155 vs. Timberwolves) are underdogs in an NBA Playoff series for the first time in more than 10 years. They were last underdogs before a series began in Round 1 of 2014 postseason (+170 vs. the Clippers, lost in 7)
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Ben Fawkes @bfawkes22.bsky.social · 28/04/2025
2025 post-NFL Draft over/unders at @betmgm-sportsbook.bsky.social: 11.5: BAL, BUF, KC, PHI 10.5: DET, SF 9.5: CIN, DEN, GB, HOU, LAC, LAR, TB, WAS 8.5: AZ, CHI, MIA, MIN, PIT 7.5: ATL, DAL, IND, JAX, NE, SEA 6.5: CAR, LV, NO 5.5: NYG, NYJ, TEN 4.5: CLE
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Ben Fawkes @bfawkes22.bsky.social · 22/04/2025
“Bookmakers hate the draft. We torch five to six figures a year on it.” My latest for @yahoosports.bsky.social on why oddsmakers hate the NFL Draft: sports.yahoo.com/nfl/article/...
sports.yahoo.com
2025 NFL Draft betting, odds, lines: 'A necessary evil' — Why bookmakers hate the NFL Draft
Why do oddsmakers hate the NFL Draft? We asked them (and some sharp bettors) to find out.
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Ben Fawkes @bfawkes22.bsky.social · 11/03/2025
Very excited to join @yahoosports.bsky.social as their Senior Sports Betting Analyst
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Ben Fawkes @bfawkes22.bsky.social · 09/02/2025
Five biggest reported #SuperBowlLIX wagers: 1. $800K on Eagles ML +110 at @betmgmsportsbook.bsky.social 2. $750K on PHI ML +110 at BetMGM 3. $500K on PHI +1.5 (-115) at @dksportsbook.bsky.social 4. $500K on PHI ML (EVEN) at BetMGM 5. $400K on PHI +4 (-198) at @caesarssports.bsky.social
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Ben Fawkes @bfawkes22.bsky.social · 04/02/2025
One bettor at @betmgmsportsbook.bsky.social in Nevada has wagered $1.1 million on the @philadelphiaeagles.bsky.social in Super Bowl 59: $800,000 on Eagles ML +110 $300,000 on Eagles 1H +0.5
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Ben Fawkes @bfawkes22.bsky.social · 28/01/2025
Interesting Super Bowl LIX wager at Caesars Sportsbook: $550 on @philadelphiaeagles.bsky.social kicker Jake Elliot to win MVP at 1,000-1 odds Bet would win $550,000. No kicker has ever won Super Bowl MVP
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Ben Fawkes @bfawkes22.bsky.social · 26/01/2025
One bettor at DraftKings wagered $1 million on Commanders-Eagles UNDER 47.5. He won’t be cashing that ticket
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Ben Fawkes @bfawkes22.bsky.social · 26/01/2025
55 best bets on Commanders-Eagles and Bills-Chiefs from handicappers: bfawkes22.substack.com/p/55-best-be...
bfawkes22.substack.com
55 best bets for Commanders-Eagles and Bills-Chiefs today
Best bets from respected handicappers and where the sharp action is on both games
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Ben Fawkes @bfawkes22.bsky.social · 25/01/2025
My latest @theathletic.bsky.social article on NFL championship weekend action and the $1.3 million Chiefs wager: "Even though we’ve seen slightly heavier action on the Eagles on the side, we’re starting to accumulate some Commanders liability on the moneyline." www.nytimes.com/athletic/608...
nytimes.com
NFL playoffs betting sees $1.3M bet on Chiefs, sportsbooks ‘rooting for Eagles’
Read for big bets, plus sportsbooks are seeing a lot of action on the playoff-darling Commanders ahead of the conference championship games.
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Ben Fawkes @bfawkes22.bsky.social · 21/01/2025
Bettor loses $485,410 on Notre Dame in College Football Playoff title game bfawkes22.substack.com/p/bettor-los...
open.substack.com
Bettor loses $485,410 on Notre Dame in College Football Playoff title game
One bettor at Betr in Ohio had a rough Monday night
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Ben Fawkes @bfawkes22.bsky.social · 21/01/2025
One bettor at @caesarspalace.bsky.social in Vegas wagered $1.3 MILLION on the Kansas City Chiefs ML (-130) vs. the Buffalo Bills in the AFC Championship Game. Bet would win $1 million. @chiefs.bsky.social @buffalo-bills.bsky.social
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Ben Fawkes @bfawkes22.bsky.social · 21/01/2025
Favorites end up going 10-1 outright and 9-2 ATS in the first year of the 12-team #CFBPlayoff
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Ben Fawkes @bfawkes22.bsky.social · 18/01/2025
The Kansas City Chiefs are 7-0 SU, but 0-6-1 ATS in games this season as a favorite of 6+ points
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Ben Fawkes @bfawkes22.bsky.social · 14/01/2025
The @detroitlions.bsky.social are 9.5-point favorites against the @wshcommanders.bsky.social on Saturday. It is the largest playoff favorite the Lions have ever been in their franchise history
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Ben Fawkes @bfawkes22.bsky.social · 09/01/2025
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-1.5 vs. Penn State in #CFBPlayoff  semifinal) have covered 10 straight games against the spread
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Ben Fawkes @bfawkes22.bsky.social · 03/01/2025
Week 18 NFL betting picture at @BetMGM sportsbooks: Most bet teams (total wagers) 1. Bengals -2 2. Lions -3 3. Chiefs +10.5   Most bet teams (💵) 1. Bengals -2 2. Vikings +3 3. Chiefs +10.5
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Ben Fawkes @bfawkes22.bsky.social · 02/01/2025
Arizona State was great to bettors this season, finishing the season with the best mark in college football at 12-2 ATS, including SEVEN straight covers
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Ben Fawkes @bfawkes22.bsky.social · 01/01/2025
One Nevada bettor at @caesarssports.bsky.social is hoping for quite the start to the New Year. He wagered $100,000 on the Notre Dame ML (+110) in today's @cfbplayoff.bsky.social game
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Ben Fawkes @bfawkes22.bsky.social · 29/12/2024
Notable Week 17 NFL bet from @caesarssports.bsky.social bettor in Nevada: $115,000 on Philadelphia Eagles -7 (-115)
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Ben Fawkes @bfawkes22.bsky.social · 28/12/2024
Best bets for all the college football bowl games today: bfawkes22.substack.com/p/best-bets-...
bfawkes22.substack.com
Best bets for all eight Saturday college football bowl games
Public betting information from the books and bets on every game today
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Ben Fawkes @bfawkes22.bsky.social · 26/12/2024
The betting public likes the @seahawksofficial.com to cover on #TNF: 90% of bets, 93% of $$ on Seahawks -4 at @betmgmsportsbook.bsky.social 84% of 🎟️, 79% of 💵 on Seahawks -4 at ESPN BET 81% of 🎟️, 83% of 💵 on Seahawks -4 at DK 79% of 🎟️, 87% of 💵 on Seahawks -4.5 at @fdsportsbook.bsky.social
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Ben Fawkes @bfawkes22.bsky.social · 25/12/2024
It’s a very Merry Christmas for the bettor at Caesars Palace in Vegas who wagered $1.45 MILLION on the Kansas City Chiefs ML -145. He wins $1 million. Final score: Chiefs 29, Steelers 10 ✅
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Ben Fawkes @bfawkes22.bsky.social · 23/12/2024
A huge Christmas Day wager from a bettor at Caesars Palace in Vegas: $1.45 MILLION on Kansas City Chiefs ML -145 (at Pittsburgh Steelers) @chiefs.bsky.social @pittsburghsteeler.bsky.social
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