For those not invested in the polls, this means that polls are overcounting Trump voters to account for this and are having 2024 style electorates, which is NOT HAPPENING.
Polls could underestimate Democrats, like what happened in Virginia and NJ last year
@ericmgarcia.bsky.socialOne common trait that might be causing polls to be a little wonky? Rural voters who supported Trump in 2024 are lying about their 2024 votes.
thepoliticalspectrum.substack.com/p/just-how-f...
thepoliticalspectrum.substack.com
Just how far off could the polls be?
‘There's not a single pollster out there that is decent that isn't obsessing about this question,’ Natalie Jackson said