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BernardoVerda 🤔

@bernardoverda.bsky.social
2.4K followers 2.8K following 6.4K posts

Retired. Into science, environment, climate, literature, Proportional Representation, Esperanto, science fiction & fantasy... More interested in 'policy' than in 'politics' – but nonetheless prefer 'woke' over 'zombie'. "Live & learn, or die an idiot."

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BernardoVerda 🤔 @bernardoverda.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
Hey, this guy is a judge now! Let that seep in for a bit.

Emil Bove used to work for the DOJ. Then he went to work for Trump, acting as his personal lawyer starting in 2023. Upon Trump’s return to office, he was brought back to the DOJ to serve as an “associate deputy attorney general” — a position that didn’t actually require Bove to be subjected to the Senate confirmation process.

Bove was fine with this. And being one of Trump’s guys, he decided to use this new position to aid and abet illegal activities engaged in by ICE and the DHS. It was Bove who first instructed DOJ lawyers to tell courts to “fuck themselves” when faced with rulings that demanded the administration respect the law. 

...
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BernardoVerda 🤔 @bernardoverda.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
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BernardoVerda 🤔 @bernardoverda.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Over the last few years, it has become accepted knowledge that the internet — mainly social media and, lately, AI tools — was damaging the mental health of kids and increasing the suicide rate among that demographic. To hear the media and politicians talk about it, this was the biggest issue on the planet and we had to do basically everything possible to block social media (and AI) from kids.

Of course, the narrative was always bullshit. While there had been an uptick in suicide rates among teens between 2010 and 2020, they were way below the rates in the 80s and 90s. And by the time Jonathan Haidt’s “moral panic in a book” came out blaming social media for teen mental health problems, the data already didn’t support his claims, as I pointed out in my review of the book right after it came out.
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BernardoVerda 🤔 @bernardoverda.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
OMFG. They really do have absolutely no shame at all…
These subpoenas aren’t being issued for the reasons they say they’re being issued. DHS is deliberately abusing a law that allows it to self-issue subpoenas to obtain evidence of customs violations. Some journalists covering a protest in a church obviously isn’t an issue of customs law, which covers things like import/export fees and verifying the provenance of items entering the United States.
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BernardoVerda 🤔 @bernardoverda.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
Look, this is just terrifying: the president and his administration are building a system designed to guarantee that fewer people receive their ballots, in a manner designed to create obvious chaos around an election they don’t expect to win. Whatever you want to call the intent, that’s an executive branch actively degrading the machinery of free and fair elections.
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BernardoVerda 🤔 @bernardoverda.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
They really, really want this – and they don't intend to let mere court decisions get in the way…
While the new USPS rule is currently blocked in court, the whistleblower alleged workers were directed to continue developing the new system even as court orders were in place barring the agency from moving forward with implementing it, alleging the “ongoing work” was “inconsistent” with the agency’s claims that it was not implementing the new rule for the midterm elections while the court orders against it were in place.
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BernardoVerda 🤔 @bernardoverda.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
"There are two novels that can change a bookish fourteen-year old's life: The Lord of the Rings and Atlas Shrugged. One is a childish fantasy that often engenders a lifelong obsession with its unbelievable heroes, leading to an emotionally stunted, socially crippled adulthood, unable to deal with the real world. The other, of course, involves orcs." 

~ John Rogers
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BernardoVerda 🤔 @bernardoverda.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
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BernardoVerda 🤔 @bernardoverda.bsky.social · 29/08/2026
There is a cult of ignorance in the United States, and there always has been. The strain of anti-intellectualism has been a constant thread winding its way through our political and cultural life, nurtured by the false notion that democracy means that “my ignorance is just as good as your knowledge.”

~ Isaac Asimov
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BernardoVerda 🤔 @bernardoverda.bsky.social · 28/08/2026
He's certifiably nuts:
On Tuesday, as news of the two deaths was breaking, Kennedy took to his personal X account to rail against the measles, mumps, and rubella (MMR) vaccine and posted a link to The HighWire, a hardline anti-vaccine and conspiracy site run by Del Bigtree, a prominent anti-vaccine propagandist and Kennedy ally.

Kennedy’s post also assailed Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro, who has criticized Kennedy’s anti-vaccine rhetoric and activism. Kennedy went on to blame national declines in vaccination rates on the Biden administration.

On Wednesday, as news broke that one of the deaths in Pennsylvania was in a newborn, Kennedy turned to his official X account as US health secretary to allege that “the deaths may even have been altogether fabricated by one of the Governor’s hopeful staffers.” He cited a tweet from Josh Parsons, a Republican commissioner of Lancaster County, who claimed there had been “zero measles deaths” reported in the county. The claims appear to be another old play from the anti-vaccine handbook.
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BernardoVerda 🤔 @bernardoverda.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
"Am I mistaken and confused? No -- it's the scientists and experts who are wrong."
Principal Skinner, musing over the evident conflict between his perceptions and actual reality.
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BernardoVerda 🤔 @bernardoverda.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
President Lyndon B Johnson had a few words to say about that kind of "thinking"...
I'll tell you what's at the bottom of it. If you can convince the lowest white man he's better than the best colored man, he won't notice you're picking his pocket. Hell, give him somebody to look down on, and he'll empty his pockets for you.

 - Lyndon Johnson
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BernardoVerda 🤔 @bernardoverda.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
"Meet me in the middle," says the unjust man. You take a step towards him, he takes a step back. "Meet me in the middle," says the unjust man.
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BernardoVerda 🤔 @bernardoverda.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
This was entirely predictable - and predicted. This anti-vax bullshit is killing people. And permanently maiming others. It has to stop.
They are the first measles deaths reported in Pennsylvania in 35 years and the first deaths reported in the US in 2026. Last year, the US saw three measles deaths: two in otherwise-healthy but unvaccinated school-age children in Texas and one in an unvaccinated adult in New Mexico. Prior to those deaths, the US had not seen a measles death since 2015, when a woman with underlying conditions became severely ill.While measles fatalities are rare—between one to three in 1,000 cases—the risk is demonstrably real. And in many more cases, the disease can be severe, leading to hospitalizations and complications, some of which can lead to hearing loss and intellectual disabilities. The virus also causes a rare but fatal neurological condition called subacute sclerosing panencephalitis (SSPE), which typically strikes years after a child seemingly recovers from the infection.
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BernardoVerda 🤔 @bernardoverda.bsky.social · 23/08/2026
It's time to stop with the "gesture of good faith" moves. "Good faith" gestures are a two-way street. Tell the US we might put American booze back on store shelves after the US makes a meaningful move. We're not Charlie Brown (though admittedly, you do kind of resemble Lucy).
"Meet me in the middle" says the unjust man. You take a step towards him. He takes a step back. "Meet me in the..."
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BernardoVerda 🤔 @bernardoverda.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
From uncertainty to conspiracy

COVID-19 created the conditions in which conspiracy theories flourish: enormous uncertainty, frightening consequences, rapidly changing information and distrust of institutions.

People wanted explanations. Why did the virus appear in Wuhan? Why did recommendations about masks change? How were vaccines developed so quickly?

These questions were legitimate. Problems emerged when those questions became connected to a predetermined conclusion: Powerful people either created the pandemic or concealed the connection to the lab in Wuhan.
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BernardoVerda 🤔 @bernardoverda.bsky.social · 07/08/2026
There is a cult of ignorance in the United States, and there always has been. The strain of anti-intellectualism has been a constant thread winding its way through our political and cultural life, nurtured by the false notion that democracy means that “my ignorance is just as good as your knowledge.”

Isaac Asimov, “A Cult of Ignorance” 
Newsweek, January 21, 1980
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BernardoVerda 🤔 @bernardoverda.bsky.social · 02/08/2026
They know "The Truth" and they won't compromise.
Mark my word, if and when these preachers get control of the party, and they're sure trying to do so, it's going to be a terrible damn problem. Frankly, these people frighten me. Politics and governing demand compromise. The government won't work without it. But these Christians believe they are acting in the name of God, so they can't and won't compromise. I know, I've tried to deal with them.

- Republican Barry Goldwater"If conservatives become convinced that they cannot win democratically, they will not abandon conservatism. They will reject democracy."

- David Frum,  former Republican
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BernardoVerda 🤔 @bernardoverda.bsky.social · 30/07/2026
And with any luck, that will be in one of these.
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BernardoVerda 🤔 @bernardoverda.bsky.social · 29/07/2026
I did not mean that Conservatives are generally stupid; I meant, that stupid persons are generally Conservative. I believe that to be so obvious and undeniable a fact that I hardly think any honorable Gentleman will question it.
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BernardoVerda 🤔 @bernardoverda.bsky.social · 28/07/2026
🙄 This is the highest "Canadian support for Trump" I could find. Most are somewhere down around 15%. This poll seems to be up to 22% because it asked about "confidence in Trump" rather than "support for Trump". Which gives you a fair idea how unrepresentative the "Maple MAGA" crowd really is.
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BernardoVerda 🤔 @bernardoverda.bsky.social · 25/07/2026
There is a cult of ignorance in the United States, and there always has been. The strain of anti-intellectualism has been a constant thread winding its way through our political and cultural life, nurtured by the false notion that democracy means that “my ignorance is just as good as your knowledge.”

Isaac Asimov, “A Cult of Ignorance” 
Newsweek, January 21, 1980
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BernardoVerda 🤔 @bernardoverda.bsky.social · 24/07/2026
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BernardoVerda 🤔 @bernardoverda.bsky.social · 23/07/2026
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BernardoVerda 🤔 @bernardoverda.bsky.social · 19/07/2026
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BernardoVerda 🤔 @bernardoverda.bsky.social · 12/07/2026
Historians have a word for Germans who joined the Nazi party, not because they hated Jews, but out of a hope for restored patriotism, or a sense of economic anxiety, or a hope to preserve their religious values, or dislike of their opponents, or raw political opportunism, or convenience, or ignorance, or greed.

That word is “Nazi.” Nobody cares about their motives any more.

They joined what they joined. They lent their support and their moral approval. And, in so doing, they bound themselves to everything that came after. Who cares any more what particular knot they used in the binding?

Andrew R. Moxon (contemp.) American writer, critic [a.k.a. Julius Goat]
Essay (2017-01-16),
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BernardoVerda 🤔 @bernardoverda.bsky.social · 04/07/2026
You're either an idiot, or just trolling. The article even states - in as many words: "... modern measurements show that there is not nearly enough CO2 in the atmosphere to block most of the infrared radiation in the bands of the spectrum where the gas absorbs." Either way... I'm done with you.
In any event, modern measurements show that there is not nearly enough CO2 in the atmosphere to block most of the infrared radiation in the bands of the spectrum where the gas absorbs. That’s even the case for water vapor in places where the air is very dry. (When night falls in a desert, the temperature can quickly drop from warm to freezing. Radiation from the surface escapes directly into space unless there are clouds to block it.)So, if a skeptical friend hits you with the "saturation argument" against global warming, here’s all you need to say: (a) You’d still get an increase in greenhouse warming even if the atmosphere were saturated, because it’s the absorption in the thin upper atmosphere (which is unsaturated) that counts (b) It’s not even true that the atmosphere is actually saturated with respect to absorption by CO2, (c) Water vapor doesn’t overwhelm the effects of CO2 because there’s little water vapor in the high, cold regions from which infrared escapes, and at the low pressures there water vapor absorption is like a leaky sieve, which would let a lot more radiation through were it not for CO2, and (d) These issues were satisfactorily addressed by physicists 50 years ago, and the necessary physics is included in all climate models.
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BernardoVerda 🤔 @bernardoverda.bsky.social · 02/07/2026
In a post on his blog, the security guru Bruce Schneier points out that if the ruling stands and is adopted elsewhere, it could have important implications not just for things like Google’s AI Overviews and chatbots, but also for the increasingly popular AI agents:

  < More generally, liability concerns could mean that many current use cases for agents won’t be commercially viable. Companies may not be able to profitably operate AI lawyers, doctors and media influencers if they are held responsible for what they say and do.  >     

Schneier says that he is “OK with this outcome”:

 < There’s nothing in the law that requires us to accommodate AI systems if they are fundamentally untrustworthy, just as we don’t need to accommodate untrustworthy human systems. Any company that won’t stand by the statements its agents make—whether human or AI—doesn’t deserve users’ time or money. >
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BernardoVerda 🤔 @bernardoverda.bsky.social · 26/06/2026
There is a cult of ignorance in the United States, and there always has been. The strain of anti-intellectualism has been a constant thread winding its way through our political and cultural life, nurtured by the false notion that democracy means that “my ignorance is just as good as your knowledge.”

Isaac Asimov
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BernardoVerda 🤔 @bernardoverda.bsky.social · 13/06/2026
There is a cult of ignorance in the United States, and there always has been. Anti-intellectualism has been a constant thread winding its way through our political and cultural life, nurtured by the false notion that democracy means that “my ignorance is just as good as your knowledge.”
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BernardoVerda 🤔 @bernardoverda.bsky.social · 05/06/2026
NYT, WashPo, LATimes.. CBS, ABC, et all... Take note-- this is how you do that "journalism" thing:
On Thursday, President Donald Trump announced his administration’s latest attempt to prop up the US coal industry during an incoherent press event that randomly oscillated between energy issues and Trump’s fixation with building and renovating monuments in DC. The energy portion of the events was also frequently disconnected from reality.

“Today we’re taking historic action to bring down the price of energy and the cost of living for all Americans with the power of clean, beautiful coal,” said Trump, apparently unaware that coal is one of the most expensive means of generating electricity in the US.

With wind and solar power getting cheaper, coal has become the second-most expensive way of producing electricity, trailing only the cost of building a new nuclear plant. As a result, no new coal plants have been completed in over a decade, and coal has gone from powering over half the electrical grid to producing only about 15 percent of the nation’s electricity. That’s before the indirect costs of coal use are considered. It produces the most greenhouse gas emissions per unit of energy, releases dangerous particulates and chemicals into the atmosphere, and leaves behind ash that has high levels of toxic metals.

That’s reality, but the White House is clearly not inhabiting it. “If you look at some of the real great failures, countries, they’re usually wind,” he proclaimed. “It keeps blowing, blowing, blowing and puts you right out of business. Very expensive. The most expensive energy there is.”

He also suggested that China, which produces roughly half the wind energy in the world, isn’t actually using it: “About the only time they build [wind turbines] is to sell them to stupid people in the United States.”

Despite the economic issues with coal, Trump claimed that his new effort to stall its decline will save $50 billion in electricity costs. The source of that figure wasn’t specified.
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BernardoVerda 🤔 @bernardoverda.bsky.social · 13/05/2026
(Very much like this, only without the understanding to understand how much they too will end up paying):
Image from the movie * Shrek *

"Some of you may die. But that is a sacrifice I'm willing to make."
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BernardoVerda 🤔 @bernardoverda.bsky.social · 12/05/2026
It was a *quote*. And anyways Frum was writing for, and trying to reach, Americans who would be allergic to your response. But here's another quote, that might make you feel better. Because one day it will be applied to those "conservative" "Republicans" - and those who went along - too:
“Historians have a word for Germans who joined the Nazi party, not because they hated Jews, but out of a hope for restored patriotism, or a sense of economic anxiety, or a hope to preserve their religious values, or dislike of their opponents, or raw political opportunism, or convenience, or ignorance, or greed.

That word is "Nazi." Nobody cares about their motives anymore.

They joined what they joined. They lent their support and their moral approval. And, in so doing, they bound themselves to everything that came after. Who cares any more what particular knot they used in the binding?”

   ~ A.R. Moxon
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BernardoVerda 🤔 @bernardoverda.bsky.social · 10/05/2026
That would be the planet settled so many millennia ago by Golgafrinchan telephone sanitizers, (as ably journalled by D. Adams). Admittedly they may have devolved somewhat since that time.
These tales of impending doom allowed the Golgafrinchans to rid themselves of an entire useless third of their population. The story was that they would build three Ark ships. Into the A ship would go all the leaders, scientists and other high achievers. The C ship would contain all the people who made things and did things, and the B Ark would hold everyone else, such as hairdressers and telephone sanitisers. They sent the B ship off first, but of course, the other two-thirds of the population stayed on the planet and lived full, rich and happy lives until they were all wiped out by a virulent disease contracted from a dirty telephone.
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BernardoVerda 🤔 @bernardoverda.bsky.social · 07/05/2026
Also: this.
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BernardoVerda 🤔 @bernardoverda.bsky.social · 27/04/2026
There is a cult of ignorance in the United States, and there has always been. The strain of anti-intellectualism has been a constant thread winding its way through our political and cultural life, nurtured by the false notion that democracy means that my ignorance is just as good as your knowledge.
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BernardoVerda 🤔 @bernardoverda.bsky.social · 21/04/2026
The bar chart showing just how few kids claim that TikTok, SnapChat, and Instagram make them feel worse about themselves is quite telling:

[Image of bar chart]

Just look at those numbers. That tiny green bar? That’s the percentage that says these services make them feel worse about themselves. On TikTok — the platform most frequently cast as an unusually dangerous self-esteem killer for teen girls — 15% of teen users say it makes them feel better about themselves, and just 3% say it makes them feel worse. That’s a 5-to-1 ratio in the wrong direction for the moral panic narrative.

The numbers on the other platforms follow the same script. On Snapchat, 13% say it makes them feel better, just 2% worse. On Instagram — the platform Haidt has singled out for particular damnation, building much of his case on leaked Meta internal research he insists proves it’s poisonous — 10% say it makes them feel better, just 3% say it makes them feel worse.

Three percent. That’s not a signal of a generation-defining mental health catastrophe. That’s barely distinguishable from a rounding error.

And even these small numbers overstate the harm, because the vast majority of kids—around 60% on each platform—say these apps make no difference at all to how they feel about themselves. Add the quarter who report “about equally better and worse,” and you’re left with a tiny minority on either side of the ledger, tilted toward the positive.

Overall experience tracks the same way:

    All told, teens tend to have a mostly positive experience on TikTok, Instagram and Snapchat. About seven-in-ten teens on each platform say this. Very few – just 3% on each – say it’s mostly negative.

Seven-in-ten teens report a mostly positive experience. Three percent report a mostly negative one. These numbers are not ambiguous. If social media was so inherently harmful to kids, the numbers would not — could not — look that way.
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BernardoVerda 🤔 @bernardoverda.bsky.social · 17/04/2026
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BernardoVerda 🤔 @bernardoverda.bsky.social · 03/04/2026
Just looked up in Wikipedia -- is it just me, or does that statue seem to not actually look like her?
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BernardoVerda 🤔 @bernardoverda.bsky.social · 30/03/2026
Call me crazy, but I don’t think an official government app should be loading executable code from a random person’s GitHub account. Or tracking your GPS location in the background. Or silently stripping privacy consent dialogs from every website you visit through its built-in browser. And yet here we are.
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BernardoVerda 🤔 @bernardoverda.bsky.social · 30/03/2026
Wile E. Coyote, walking well beyond the edge of the cliff, and starting to realize that his situation --  standing on nothing, and gravity is still a thing.
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BernardoVerda 🤔 @bernardoverda.bsky.social · 26/03/2026
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BernardoVerda 🤔 @bernardoverda.bsky.social · 19/03/2026
An interesting story about unintended consequences contrary to the (presumably) intended effect:
There’s a concept in economics known as Goodhart’s Law, often summarized as: “When a measure becomes a target, it ceases to be a good measure.” The idea, originally about monetary policy, has proven remarkably durable across domains. When you attach high enough stakes to a single metric, people stop trying to accurately reflect reality and start trying to game the metric. Schools teach to the test. Banks shuffle risk off their balance sheets to hit capital ratios. Hospitals reclassify patients to improve their reported outcomes.

Prediction markets were supposed to be immune to this. The whole pitch — the reason people like me found them conceptually interesting for years — was that because participants are putting real money on the line, they’d have powerful incentives to seek out and act on true information. Financial stakes, the theory went, would filter out noise and bullshit and produce a hopefully decently accurate signal about the probability of real-world events. The wisdom of crowds, sharpened by the discipline of the wallet.

What most people didn’t think through was the obvious corollary: what happens when you attach $14 million in stakes to a 150-word blog post by a war correspondent, and the gamblers decide it’s cheaper to threaten the journalist than to accept they made a bad bet?
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BernardoVerda 🤔 @bernardoverda.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
"I can't believe that!" said Alice.
"Can't you?" the Queen said in a pitying tone. "Try again: draw a long breath, and shut your eyes."
Alice laughed. "There's no use trying," she said: "one can't believe impossible things."
"I daresay you haven't had much practice," said the Queen. "When I was your age, I always did it for half-an-hour a day. Why, sometimes I've believed as many as six impossible things before breakfast."
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BernardoVerda 🤔 @bernardoverda.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
We’ve noted repeatedly how the U.S. authoritarian right is buying up all of our new and old media companies because they’re trying to mimic what Viktor Orban created in Hungary. Namely, a media where all the major outlets are owned by rich autocratic allies, who spew propaganda 24/7 while the government strangles real, independent journalism just out of frame.

Of course, you’re supposed to try and have some subtlety in this so the public isn’t fully aware of the con. But the Trump administration doesn’t do subtlety...
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BernardoVerda 🤔 @bernardoverda.bsky.social · 15/03/2026
But that kind of progress demands that we take responsibility for these problems. We must acknowledge that our governments, societies, communities, and even ourselves may have normalized and contributed to these harmful conditions. We may discover there’s no rhyme or reason to why teenagers commit suicide. But we may uncover that teen suicide isn’t random at all. It may stem from something we’ve unwittingly ignored, or perhaps built into the world. 

That possibility is far more unsettling than the idea of dangerous technology. It’s the idea that the danger might be us.
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BernardoVerda 🤔 @bernardoverda.bsky.social · 15/03/2026
These and other socioeconomic reforms are not easy solutions. They aren’t just a matter of adjusting algorithms or restricting platform features. They demand uncomfortable conversations about how we structure work, education, and community life. They require sustained political commitment and resource allocation. Yet if we can achieve these results, we will create a better world than one derived from mere technological fixes.

In short, technology doesn’t cause suicide. It doesn’t cause a host of human problems for which it is often accused. Sadly, they have always been with us. 

But technology, used wisely, could help us mitigate these problems. For example, through processing massive amounts of data, AI can detect patterns that elude us humans. This alone could help reveal early warning signs or surface new protective factors. AI chatbots, for example, could help us identify teens who are at risk and create opportunities to intervene.
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BernardoVerda 🤔 @bernardoverda.bsky.social · 15/03/2026


The path forward requires resisting the impulse to treat fundamentally human problems as technological ones. When new technologies appear alongside harm, the harder and more necessary questions are not simply how to regulate the tool, but what human choices produced the conditions in which harm emerged, which institutions failed or fell short, and what values should guide our response. These questions are more difficult—and often more uncomfortable—because they turn our attention inward, toward ourselves, rather than external and more convenient actors.

Instead of focusing our energies on systematically regulating platforms, we should direct our efforts toward these human problems. For suicide, public health experts point to a wide range of evidence-based strategies for preventing and mitigating risk factors. These include strengthening economic supports such as household financial stability and housing security; creating safer environments by reducing at-risk individuals’ access to lethal means; fostering healthy organizational policies and cultures; and improving access to healthcare by expanding insurance coverage for mental health services and increasing provider availability and remote access in underserved areas. Experts also emphasize the importance of promoting social connection and teaching problem-solving skills that can help individuals navigate periods of acute distress.
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BernardoVerda 🤔 @bernardoverda.bsky.social · 15/03/2026
The appeal of reducing complex social issues to matters of redesigning or banning technology is understandable. Technology problems can feel tractable. They suggest clear targets and concrete fixes. 

What this logic ignores, however, is that the pre-technology status quo for many public health crises has long been dismal. The better question, then, isn’t whether technology causes harm, but whether it deepens an already broken baseline—or simply reflects it.
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BernardoVerda 🤔 @bernardoverda.bsky.social · 12/03/2026
As concerning as recent outbreaks of measles have been, they herald a larger systemic problem.

How a country controls measles can be viewed as a proxy for how well it would control many other diseases. That’s because the steps for stopping the spread are the same: deploying vaccines to prevent infections, detecting and isolating cases when they occur, identifying exposed contacts of infected people and making sure they stay home if they’re likely to be contagious, and treating sick people safely.

But besides measles, we’ve already seen infections that were once controlled, like whooping-cough, that rose sharply in 2024 and remained high in 2025 compared with before the COVID-19 pandemic.
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