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AutokratDaily @autokratdaily.bsky.social · 11h

Day 676 of Georgia's protests. Now the ruling party is asking a court to ban the last opposition party still in parliament. Cases against the two biggest opposition groups are already pending. If the court agrees, Georgia gets a one-party parliament, chosen by judges, not voters. #Georgia #Tbilisi

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AutokratDaily @autokratdaily.bsky.social · 12h

Sánchez runs on the economy: growth 3x the eurozone's, unemployment at its lowest since 2008. But his wife faces a corruption trial and his brother is banned from office. Both deny wrongdoing. Vox, already in four regional governments, runs on "remigration." #Spain #Europe

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AutokratDaily @autokratdaily.bsky.social · 14h

Hormuz tankers are down 93%, but the oil still gets out: shuttle runs under US Navy escort, transferred at sea, up to $40M a trip. Since Sept 28, at least 7 ships have been hit near the strait. Iran's warning: "don't use south corridor at all." #Iran #Yemen

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AutokratDaily @autokratdaily.bsky.social · 19h

Spain votes Nov 29. Sánchez called a snap election after the right blocked his housing decrees. The spark: an 87 year old evicted after 70 years when a fund raised her rent 230%. Polls: PP 34%, Socialists 26%, far-right Vox 18% (POLITICO). #Spain #Europe

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AutokratDaily @autokratdaily.bsky.social · 19h

Bosnia voted and came out as two countries. Serb half: Dodik's party won the presidency seat (55.4%), the regional presidency and the assembly. Dodik is banned from office. Other half: the leading parties back Ukraine and the EU. Russia's ambassador attended Dodik's final rally. #Bosnia #Democracy

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AutokratDaily @autokratdaily.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

Polls had Lula ahead. With 85% counted, Flávio Bolsonaro leads 48.5% to 43.5%. Under 50%, so it's heading for an October 25 runoff, with the gap narrowing as Lula's northeast reports late. The candidate promising to pardon his father is on course to finish first. #Brasil #Election

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AutokratDaily @autokratdaily.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

Dodik is banned from office. He declared victory anyway. His ally Cvijanović took Bosnia's Serb seat with 55%+, about 30 points clear. He credited Trump and Putin. On Friday he told his rally Bosnia "is dead." Turnout: 42%, down about 8 points from 2022. #Bosnia #Europe

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AutokratDaily @autokratdaily.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

Bosnia, 80% counted: Serb seat: Dodik ally Cvijanović leads almost 2 to 1. Serb region president: Dodik's party ahead by 40,000. Croat seat: nationalist HDZ set to win it back for the first time since 2014. Bosniak seat: Bećirović leads Izetbegović. Preliminary (Central Election Commission). #Bosnia

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AutokratDaily @autokratdaily.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

Hungary's Fidesz spent 16 years blaming Brussels for everything. This week it wrote to Brussels for help. Its letter to the EU's rule of law chief calls the new government's moves a "constitutional coup" PM Magyar: "pathetic and ridiculous." #Hungary

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AutokratDaily @autokratdaily.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

The Weekly Autocrat #23: THE EXIT WEEK. Vučić quits the presidency to return as PM. A Hungarian ex-minister hides in parliament until 19:30. The last US troops leave Iraq as the wars spread. Brazil votes on a pardon. Some leave. Few go. #Democracy #News

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AutokratDaily @autokratdaily.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

Latvia final count: United List 35.3%, 42 of 100 seats. Biggest win since independence. Partner Greens and Farmers fell out at 4.5%. Still, with National Alliance and New Unity, Kulbergs holds 60. 51 needed. Pro-Russian parties gained but stay frozen out. (CEC, 97% counted) #Latvia #Europe

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AutokratDaily @autokratdaily.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

If the exit poll holds, Latvia's PM won big: United List about 35%, far above the 23% polls showed. He ruled out populist Latvia First. With the pro-EU Progressives and one more partner, a majority of about 60 of 100 seats looks within reach. #Latvia #Europe

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AutokratDaily @autokratdaily.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

Latvia votes today, with four German Eurofighters guarding its airspace at Riga's request. A country bordering Russia and Belarus, spending nearly 5% of GDP on defense. 14 parties, about 7 expected to pass the 5% bar. Polls close at 19:00 CET. #Latvia #Europe

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AutokratDaily @autokratdaily.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

Trump's whole national security team met in secret at Camp David on Iran and Yemen. "Things were decided," an official told Axios. The last such meeting came days before the June 2025 Israel-Iran war. Saudi Arabia wants US strikes on the Houthis. #IranWar‌ #USA

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AutokratDaily @autokratdaily.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

Brazil votes Sunday, and Lula's lead is gone. Mid August, Polymarket bettors gave Lula a 64% chance. Late September, they gave Flávio Bolsonaro 59%. Polls: 47.6% vs 47.7% in the likely Oct 25 runoff (Atlas). A dead heat. #Brazil #Election

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AutokratDaily @autokratdaily.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

India has struck 130 million names off its voter rolls since last year. About 650 million voted in 2024. The Election Commission says it's removing dead and duplicate voters. Its chief's own two deputies objected at least 14 times in 10 months. #India #Democracy

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AutokratDaily @autokratdaily.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

Ukraine fired its own ballistic missile in combat for the first time on Thursday. The FP-7: about 250 km range, a 200+ kg warhead, hard to intercept. Only about a dozen countries can make one. The catch: Russia fired 195 ballistic and hypersonic missiles in July alone. #Ukraine #Europe

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AutokratDaily @autokratdaily.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

Drones hit Ethiopia's army headquarters in Addis Ababa on Thursday. Hours later Ethiopia cut ties with Eritrea, accusing it of arming the Tigrayan rebels, and gave its diplomats 48 hours to leave. Last war, the fighting took two years to threaten the capital. This time, a week. #Ethiopia #Eritrea

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AutokratDaily @autokratdaily.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

The last US troops left Iraq on Wednesday: invasion in 2003, exit in 2011, return in 2014 to fight Islamic State. IS is mostly defeated. Iran backed militias are not. Iraq's PM wants them disarmed. The hardliners seem unwilling. #Iraq #Iran

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AutokratDaily @autokratdaily.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

Brazil votes Sunday, and one candidate's main promise is to free his father. Flávio Bolsonaro wants to pardon Jair, jailed 27 years over a coup plot that included a plan to kill Lula, the man Flávio is running against. Polls: Lula 40%, Flávio 36% (Datafolha). The Oct 25 runoff looks tied. #Brazil

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AutokratDaily @autokratdaily.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

Bosnia votes Sunday with no international peace envoy in place. The last one quit in May under US pressure. The US also lifted sanctions on Serb separatist Milorad Dodik. Russia defends him too. And a $1.5B gas deal tied to a Trump linked company worries the EU. #Bosnia #Europe

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AutokratDaily @autokratdaily.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

Latvia votes Saturday, four months after its government fell over stray Ukrainian drones. Polls: United List 23%, Latvia First 13%, Sovereign Power 12%. No one wins alone: the top two would get about 43 of 100 seats. 51 needed. #Latvia #Europe

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AutokratDaily @autokratdaily.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

Taxpayers now pay for Trump's campaign ads. A White House "public service announcement" is his 2024 ad rerun word for word, now "paid for by the US government." Funded by the border agency. 90+ airings so far. #USPolitics #Democracy

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AutokratDaily @autokratdaily.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

The last US troops left Iraq today, 23 years after the invasion. 4,500+ Americans died there. The US is at war with Iran next door, and 7 of its 18 dead in that war fell in Iraq. Tehran calls it a victory. #Iraq #Iran

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AutokratDaily @autokratdaily.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

Bardella, the face of the National Rally's "detox," is accused by Mediapart of writing "all banks are held by the Jews" in 2013 party chats, aged 17. He denies it and is suing. The party's founders included Nazi collaborators and Jean-Marie Le Pen that was expelled in 2015. #France #Europe

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AutokratDaily @autokratdaily.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

Morocco has its first female PM, Fatima Zahra El Mansouri, the second woman to lead an Arab government. But the king chose her, from a party founded by his childhood friend. The palace keeps the real power. #Morocco #Africa #Women

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AutokratDaily @autokratdaily.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

70% of Britons want closer EU ties, per a Public First poll for POLITICO. Even 51% of Reform UK voters agree, twice those who want more distance. Brexit promised control. Farage's own base now wants Europe closer. #UK #Europe

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AutokratDaily @autokratdaily.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

Ex-minister Hankó lost his immunity, then hid in Hungary's parliament, where police can't arrest him, until the Speaker said it "cannot be a hiding place." Detained that night, he faces 30 days in custody. Orbán? In Belfast, watching football. #Hungary #Europe

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AutokratDaily @autokratdaily.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

Sweden's centre left won 176 seats to 173 and still can't govern. The Centre Party rejects any deal with SD or the Left, and SD won't back a government without itself. Kristersson, who lost, now gets a turn. 4 failed votes means a snap election. #Sweden #Europe

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AutokratDaily @autokratdaily.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

Hungary's parliament lifted the immunity of the PM and two Orbán era ministers, 139-0, with Fidesz boycotting. Hours later ex-minister Seszták was detained, accused of HUF 11bn in bribes. Magyar asked to lose his own immunity too. #Hungary #Europe

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AutokratDaily @autokratdaily.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

Vučić's Oct 25 opponent: a student-backed list led by Ilija Srdanović, a cardiologist with no political career. Polling average: SNS 43%, students 37%. The gap shrank from 14 points to 6 in a year. A two-horse race. #Serbia #Europe

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AutokratDaily @autokratdaily.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

While Ukraine retakes ground near Lyman, occupied Oleshky starves. Up to 6,000 trapped without food, power or water. Ukrainian drones flew in 4,000 kg of food. Russia beats those caught taking it and won't open an evacuation route. #Ukraine #Russia

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AutokratDaily @autokratdaily.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

Operation Vivaldi, phase three near Lyman: 51 km² retaken and 250 Russian troops captured, including officers and drone pilots. Russia braced for the wrong attack. The real strike took Nove. 176 km² retaken since Sept 15. #Ukraine #Europe

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AutokratDaily @autokratdaily.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

Sept 18: Washington lifts its arms embargo on Ethiopia, "the national emergency has expired." Sept 23: Tigrayan forces seize 3 airports as fighting spreads into Amhara and Afar. Seven rebel groups, including old enemies TPLF and Fano, now aim to topple Abiy. #Ethiopia #Africa

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AutokratDaily @autokratdaily.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

Poland just launched its 2nd Rocket Brigade: 3,000 troops armed with Homar-K, a Polish-Korean answer to HIMARS with a 300 km reach. 10,000 missiles to be built jointly with Seoul, and an army past 220,000 troops, targeting 500,000. #Poland #Europe

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AutokratDaily @autokratdaily.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

The Weekly Autocrat #22 is out: The Red Carpet Week. A state dinner for Xi, a G20 seat for Putin, US reporters locked outside. Plus Netanyahu's empty chairs, the CDU wiped out, Iran's war parked until Nov 3, and Hungary's first test. Subscribe free on Substack. #Europe #Democracy

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AutokratDaily @autokratdaily.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

Poland has more than doubled its defence spending since Russia invaded Ukraine, from 2.2% of GDP to 4.8%. And it's building at home: shell output up from 5,000 rounds in 2023 to 30,000 this year, aiming for 200,000. Warsaw's logic: Putin only understands "solidarity and power." #Poland #Europe

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AutokratDaily @autokratdaily.bsky.social · 26/09/2026

The UN added 61 firms to its blacklist of companies tied to Israeli settlements in the West Bank. 214 now, most of them Israeli. The UN can't force action, but Britain has banned settlement trade, and France and Canada are following. Israel calls it a smear. The list keeps growing. #Palestine

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AutokratDaily @autokratdaily.bsky.social · 26/09/2026

Trump rejected Iran's 7 day ceasefire offer and expects to resume bombing after the midterms, per WSJ. He told the UN the election gets "no credence." Treasury's squeeze bites: Oman and the UAE banned Iranian airlines. Diesel stays above $6 through Election Day. #Iran #USA #Trump

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AutokratDaily @autokratdaily.bsky.social · 26/09/2026

Two days of pageantry, and what came out of Trump-Xi? A trade truce extended by two months and farm promises with no details. Chip controls weren't on the agenda. On Taiwan, Xi pressed; Washington says nothing changed. Xi leaves pandas in Atlanta and flies home with the photos he came for. #China

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AutokratDaily @autokratdaily.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

The European Commission proposed unfreezing €4.2bn for Hungary, blocked since 2022, saying Magyar's government fixed the Orbán era rule of law breaches. 100+ laws amended and €10bn in recovery funds cleared in August. Students win too: Erasmus+ returns. #Hungary #Europe

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AutokratDaily @autokratdaily.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

Chinese state journalists walked into the White House to cover Xi. CNN, MS NOW and Politico were stopped at the gate, despite a court order. Trump joked the Chinese had "the friendliest press corps." China jails 111+ journalists. #PressFreedom #USA #China

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AutokratDaily @autokratdaily.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

Saudi Arabia intercepted six Houthi missiles aimed at Taif and Yanbu, its main Red Sea oil outlet while Hormuz is disrupted. Oil jumped about 3%. Riyadh is now convening Turkey and Pakistan under a pact where an attack on one is an attack on all. Nuclear armed Pakistan is reportedly worried. #Yemen

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AutokratDaily @autokratdaily.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

Empty chairs again. Netanyahu's UN speech was delayed by chants and a mass walkout. He called those who left "moral cowards." Then Gaza was "the opposite of genocide," after 73,000+ Palestinians killed since 2023, most of them civilians. #Israel #Palestine #UN

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AutokratDaily @autokratdaily.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

A year ago YouGov had Farage near a majority. Today: 123 seats, level with the Tories. His net favourability is -45, Starmer's number just before he resigned. Behind it: a police probe into foreign donations and Restore Britain splitting the right. #Farage #Europe #UK

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AutokratDaily @autokratdaily.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

Netanyahu speaks at the UN today, more isolated than ever. No Trump meeting, no majority in the polls, and 61% of Israelis said in June he shouldn't run again. The speech targets voters back home. Last year he spoke to empty chairs. #Israel

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AutokratDaily @autokratdaily.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

A judge temporarily blocked Trump's White House ban on CNN, MS NOW and Politico. Judge Timothy Kelly, a Trump appointee, issued a 14 day restraining order, rejecting the national security excuse for now. In 2018 he ruled the same way on Jim Acosta's pass. #PressFreedom

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AutokratDaily @autokratdaily.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

Trump rolled out the red carpet for Xi tonight. Chinese firms gave Iran satellite imagery used in strikes on US forces. Trump: "They basically do what we do." On China repressing journalists: "I think we're repressive also." Same day, he banned news outlets from the White House. #China #USA

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AutokratDaily @autokratdaily.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

The US invited Putin to December's G20 in Miami, Rubio said at the UN. The invite landed the same day Russian drones hit gas stations and an apartment block in Kyiv. Putin gets a seat at the table before a single ceasefire is signed. #USA #Russia

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AutokratDaily @autokratdaily.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

Trump banned CNN, MS NOW and Politico, and the networks pulled out of the pool. His answer was Trump TV, a 24/7 YouTube stream. Today, with Xi arriving for a state visit, it had 802 people watching live. On screen: what looks like an old State Department event. CNN and MS NOW can relax. #TrumpTV

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