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Aucoin Analytics

@aucoinanalytics.com
270 followers 588 following 344 posts

Geopolitical intelligence expert, writer, and ex-SOF Intelligence analyst. Host of This Week Explained podcast, focused on deciphering complex geopolitical events. Updates on Russia, the Middle East, and beyond—follow for need-to-know analysis.

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Aucoin Analytics @aucoinanalytics.com · 24/07/2026
Intelligence describes what is and what might happen. It does not tell policymakers what to do. The moment a report starts recommending action, it's crossed into advocacy. That line matters more than people think.
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Aucoin Analytics @aucoinanalytics.com · 22/07/2026
People think intelligence means spies. Most of it is HUMINT (human sources), SIGINT (signals), IMINT/GEOINT (imagery), OSINT (open source), and MASINT (technical signatures). Different disciplines, different failure modes. Know which one you're reading.
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Aucoin Analytics @aucoinanalytics.com · 08/07/2026
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Aucoin Analytics @aucoinanalytics.com · 23/06/2026
For most of this war, Moscow was the one place it stayed an idea instead of a fact. Now the smoke is overhead, and the response from the top is a silence everyone reads off the same script. A state that manages its message this carefully is worried about how it lands at home.
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Aucoin Analytics @aucoinanalytics.com · 26/04/2026
With regional tensions at a tipping point and a U.S. naval blockade in place, the big question remains: Is a peace deal actually on the table?
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Aucoin Analytics @aucoinanalytics.com · 25/04/2026
Trump's Truth Social post suggested bombing Iranian ships in the Strait of Hormuz. Let's drop the spin. Striking active minelayers is legally justified. Blanket targeting is not. Breaking down international law and the tactical reality in the Middle East. 🚢 #Geopolitics #Defense #News
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Aucoin Analytics @aucoinanalytics.com · 14/03/2026
Do these go here?
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Aucoin Analytics @aucoinanalytics.com · 11/12/2025
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Aucoin Analytics @aucoinanalytics.com · 02/11/2025
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Aucoin Analytics @aucoinanalytics.com · 25/10/2025
The result is a fragile state of affairs. The ceasefire addresses the immediate violence but none of the core structural problems. What options does Pakistan have when its military and economic pressure have failed to show results? #geopolitics #foreignpolicy #afghanistan #pakistan #securitystudies
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Aucoin Analytics @aucoinanalytics.com · 24/10/2025
There's a multi-layered geopolitical chess match unfolding in the Caribbean, and the stated counter-narcotics mission is likely just the top layer. The massive U.S. military deployment signals a strategic re-evaluation of the region. Let's dig into the potential long-term play here. A 🧵
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Aucoin Analytics @aucoinanalytics.com · 18/10/2025
Beyond the headlines of this week's US-Russia-Ukraine diplomacy lies a complex strategic chess match. The announced Budapest summit is not just a meeting; it's the culmination of a high-risk diplomatic gambit centered on the threat of escalation. Let's break it down. 🧵
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Aucoin Analytics @aucoinanalytics.com · 16/09/2025
open.spotify.com/episode/3QBE...
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Aucoin Analytics @aucoinanalytics.com · 13/09/2025
Nepal is but a singular example in a long line of global protests.
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Aucoin Analytics @aucoinanalytics.com · 09/09/2025
Why is there still no ceasefire? It boils down to one core problem: their goals are mutually exclusive.
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Aucoin Analytics @aucoinanalytics.com · 07/09/2025
Russia has launched its largest air attack of the war on Ukraine overnight, striking central Kyiv and hitting the main government building for the first time. President Zelenskiy has issued a direct appeal to allies for stronger, more comprehensive air defense systems to protect Ukrainian cities.
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Aucoin Analytics @aucoinanalytics.com · 06/09/2025
See the trend before it becomes the headline. Earlier this week, we analyzed how U.S. policy was pushing India towards China. Yesterday, President Trump confirmed our assessment in his own words. This is the clarity we provide. If you want to understand why things happen, you're in the right place.
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Aucoin Analytics @aucoinanalytics.com · 01/09/2025
A major geopolitical shift is unfolding. Punitive U.S. tariffs, intended to isolate Russia, are having the unintended consequence of pushing India, a key U.S. partner, into a tactical rapprochement with its primary adversary, China.
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Aucoin Analytics @aucoinanalytics.com · 24/08/2025
The recent data on the effectiveness of sanctions against Russia presents a compelling case study in the evolution of economic statecraft. The traditional playbook—cut off access to the dollar and the global financial system—is running into the hard reality of a multi-polar world.
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Aucoin Analytics @aucoinanalytics.com · 13/08/2025
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Aucoin Analytics @aucoinanalytics.com · 28/07/2025
🌍 New on This Week Explained! 🌍 We're dissecting "Ukraine, Gaza & Asia's New Flashpoint: A World in Flux." Get the full picture on diplomatic efforts, the humanitarian crisis, and the escalating Thailand-Cambodia border conflict. #Geopolitics #InternationalRelations #WorldNews #Podcast #Global
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Aucoin Analytics @aucoinanalytics.com · 26/07/2025
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Aucoin Analytics @aucoinanalytics.com · 20/07/2025
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Aucoin Analytics @aucoinanalytics.com · 22/06/2025
US strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities have significantly escalated Middle East tensions. Iran has launched rockets at Israel, and a critical question remains. This extends beyond the Middle East, with the redeployment of US aircraft carriers impacting strategic balance in the Indo-Pacific.
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Aucoin Analytics @aucoinanalytics.com · 20/04/2025
This Week Explained unpacks global headlines: Stalled Ukraine peace talks face internal friction. Gaza's humanitarian crisis deepens. Is the US involved in a Yemen ground offensive? PLUS: US accuses a Chinese firm of aiding Houthi Red Sea attacks! 🤯
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Aucoin Analytics @aucoinanalytics.com · 30/03/2025
A journalist from The Atlantic was mistakenly added to a Signal chat with Trump officials discussing strikes on the Houthis in Yemen. What are the implications for U.S. foreign policy? 🎙️ Full analysis on This Week Explained: www.leonmedianetwork.com/this-week-ex...
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Aucoin Analytics @aucoinanalytics.com · 09/03/2025
Reuters reports Hamas confirms talks with the US on releasing an American hostage in Gaza. Just 2 days ago, we broke down the White House's diplomatic approach vs. Trump's rhetoric on This Week Explained. 🎙️ Listen anywhere you get your podcasts
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Aucoin Analytics @aucoinanalytics.com · 08/03/2025
We called it! 👀 Before Trump’s statement calling for sanctions on Russia, we discussed the need for public pressure on Russia to negotiate peace in Ukraine. Now that Trump has spoken out, will it make a difference? 🎙️ Listen to the latest episode of This Week Explained to hear our analysis.
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Aucoin Analytics @aucoinanalytics.com · 02/03/2025
When diplomacy gets messy live on camera, there’s no room for spin. This week, we’re breaking down the explosive meeting that unfolded in real-time and what it says about the evolution of media and global politics. Catch the latest episode of This Week Explained! 🌍🎙️
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Aucoin Analytics @aucoinanalytics.com · 01/03/2025
This week on This Week Explained, we’re breaking down the most important global stories. We discuss the Oval Office drama between Trump and Zelensky, Europe’s shifting defense strategy, and the fragile ceasefire between Israel and Hamas. Listen now wherever you get your podcasts!
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Aucoin Analytics @aucoinanalytics.com · 23/02/2025
After Russia’s failed push for Kyiv in 2022, was there a missed opportunity for diplomacy? While a deal with Putin was unlikely, early negotiations might have shaped today’s narrative differently. Could this have better served Ukraine’s future? 🌍 Please listen before responding.
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Aucoin Analytics @aucoinanalytics.com · 04/02/2025
If you are your company have any security needs that intelligence can fix, feel free to get in touch at aucoinanalytics.com
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Aucoin Analytics @aucoinanalytics.com · 04/02/2025
🌏 "China is the biggest adversary to the US over the past 5 years." 💡 Expert analysis on the growing tensions in the Indo-Pacific and the need for stronger U.S. deterrence. Follow along for more insights on the world around you. #Geopolitics #China #US #IndoPacific #Taiwan
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Aucoin Analytics @aucoinanalytics.com · 31/01/2025
No agreement in sight on Ukraine-Russia talks without respect for sovereignty. Watch developments in Donetsk—potential shift in dynamics ahead. #Ukraine #Russia #Geopolitics #PeaceTalks
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Aucoin Analytics @aucoinanalytics.com · 29/01/2025
Remember when I assessed that the forced removal of Western forces from the African continent would likely create a dangerous power vacuum—a real powder keg just waiting to ignite? Now, Romanian mercenaries hired by pro-Russian officials in the DRC have reportedly surrendered to the M23 rebels. hmm
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Aucoin Analytics @aucoinanalytics.com · 25/01/2025
Sweden's defense is evolving! 🇸🇪 From neutrality to NATO's robust ally, witness a historic shift in security strategy. Check out the entire episode pod.fo/e/2a3820 🌍💪 #Sweden #NATO #DefensePolicy #HistoricChange #MilitaryCommitment
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Aucoin Analytics @aucoinanalytics.com · 03/01/2025
🚨 Putin's strategy hinges on Western divisions and China's backing. 📉 As the conflict drags on, what will Ukraine's future hold? Watch now for key insights! Listen here: pod.fo/e/2992a8
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Aucoin Analytics @aucoinanalytics.com · 02/01/2025
🚨 Is a bigger attack looming after New Orleans? This incident raises serious concerns about potential threats in larger cities like Houston. Stay vigilant. #Terrorism #SafetyFirst #Awareness
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Aucoin Analytics @aucoinanalytics.com · 01/01/2025
🚀 Dive into the whirlwind of warfare tactics on TikTok! 💣 Ryan McBeth exposes the new age of conflict and strategic implications. Don't miss these insights! Check out 'This Week Explained' on all podcasting platforms. #Warfare #TikTok #GlobalPolitics #SecurityInsights
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Aucoin Analytics @aucoinanalytics.com · 01/01/2025
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Aucoin Analytics @aucoinanalytics.com · 17/12/2024
Everyone waking up to how bad of an ally Turkey is, here is a snippet of my conversation with #NTDNews from last week telling the world to keep an eye on what Erdogan does in Syria.
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Aucoin Analytics @aucoinanalytics.com · 15/12/2024
🌍✨ Experience history as it unfolds. Dive into this powerful firsthand account of the Ukraine invasion, told through @HM_Int3lligence perspective! listen here: pod.fo/e/29198e 🇺🇦📺 #UkraineInvasion #MilitaryStories #DataMinr
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Aucoin Analytics @aucoinanalytics.com · 13/12/2024
🔍 Dive into Syria's pivotal moment! Can HTS deliver inclusive governance or will chaos reign? The stakes are high. Let's hope for a government that truly represents the people. 🇸🇾 #Syria #Governance #HTS #FutureInsights Listen to the full analysis here: podfollow.com/this-week-ex...
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Aucoin Analytics @aucoinanalytics.com · 13/12/2024
As winter approaches, Ukraine faces daunting challenges. Will the West reaffirm its support for peace? Check out the insights on this critical moment! ❄️🇺🇦 #Ukraine #Winter #Diplomacy #Peace listen to the full analysis: podfollow.com/this-week-ex...
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Aucoin Analytics @aucoinanalytics.com · 12/12/2024
The struggle for influence in Syria is intensifying. The U.S. & Israel seek security, while Iran pushes for an Islamic state. What does this mean for the future? Watch now! #Syria #Geopolitics #Iran #Russia #Israel
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Aucoin Analytics @aucoinanalytics.com · 10/12/2024
🌍 What happens after Assad? Dive into the insights behind the swift rebel uprising in Syria! Discover what sets this moment apart from the past. Watch the full video on #YouTube www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZK52... 📽️ #Syria #Assad #Uprising #MiddleEast 🌟
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Aucoin Analytics @aucoinanalytics.com · 07/12/2024
To reclaim social media, we must give users more control. Start prioritizing genuine conversations and focus on building real connections instead of chasing metrics. Until then, calling these platforms "social media" is misleading; they are algorithmic media, prioritizing clicks over connections.
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Aucoin Analytics @aucoinanalytics.com · 07/12/2024
Is Zelensky's bold move a desperate plea or a strategic gamble? 🤔 As NATO faces Putin’s threat, the stakes couldn't be higher! Will the West step up? 🌍💥 #NATO #Ukraine #Zelensky #GlobalCrisis
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Aucoin Analytics @aucoinanalytics.com · 03/12/2024
Understanding the Syrian conflict requires context. Let's explore how key events since 2011 have shaped lives amidst turmoil. Don’t miss this crucial insight. Check out the full episode wherever you listen to Podcasts kite.link/this-week-ex... #Syria #Conflict #History #ArabSpring
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Aucoin Analytics @aucoinanalytics.com · 01/12/2024
🚨 The ruble is crashing! 💸 What’s fueling this decline and how is it impacting Putin's strategies with Kazakhstan and beyond? Dive in for critical insights! #RubleCrash #Russia #Economy 🧐
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