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Australian Strategic Policy Institute

@aspi-org.bsky.social
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The Australian Strategic Policy Institute is an independent, non-partisan think tank focused on Australia's defence, cyber, tech and strategic policy.

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Australian Strategic Policy Institute @aspi-org.bsky.social · 15h
'Australia should commemorate the service of its personnel while also recognising the Afghan interpreters and advisors – known as "oga pa oga" in Pashto and "shona ba shona" in Dari – who stood shoulder to shoulder with them on the heated battlefield,' writes Sami Omari.
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Twenty-five years on: what Australia gave Afghanistan, and what it still owes | The Strategist
On 14 September 2001, Prime Minister John Howard announced that Australia would invoke the ANZUS Treaty. On 11 October, Australia established Operation Slipper, its first operation in Afghanistan. By ...
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Australian Strategic Policy Institute @aspi-org.bsky.social · 16h
🗓️ JOB ALERT 🗓️ ASPI is seeking an experienced professional to lead its AI & Security Program. Shape research on AI safety and innovation, US–China competition, Australia’s place in the AI ecosystem and global AI governance. 🔗 Applications close 29 October. Find out more and apply: bit.ly/3VA7hfC
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Australian Strategic Policy Institute @aspi-org.bsky.social · 19h
NEW PODCAST 🎤 This episode of Stop the World features @anthropic.com’s Jeff Bleich in conversation with @politico.com's Ryan Heath at the Sydney Dialogue AI Masterclass, discussing AI safety, Anthropic’s investment in 🇦🇺 and the importance of embedding democratic principles in AI. 🎧: bit.ly/4yccO9B
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Australian Strategic Policy Institute @aspi-org.bsky.social · 22h
'Surface combatants, such as destroyers and frigates, therefore are not finished, but they must be used differently,' writes Sean Andrews.
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Not like the old days: modern sea control will be episodic and local | The Strategist
A new combination of surveillance, drones and precision strike is eroding the old assumption that navies could generate sea control through superior ships, vessels, aircraft and operational skills alo...
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Australian Strategic Policy Institute @aspi-org.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
'The clutch of new missiles has extended American air defences hundreds of kilometres in the span of just a couple of years,' writes David Axe.
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New US air-to-air missiles will finally overthrow China’s range advantage | The Strategist
With a clutch of new long-range air-to-air missiles (LRAAMs) with ranges of 300 km or more, US forces could dramatically shift the aerial balance of power over the Western Pacific. Travelling at least...
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Australian Strategic Policy Institute @aspi-org.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
'Kolesnikov digs deep to explain Russia’s actions and is not optimistic that the war in Ukraine will end anytime soon,' writes Robert Wihtol.
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Bookshelf: The closing of the Russian mind (doesn’t bode well for the future) | The Strategist
Bogged down militarily in Ukraine, with Russia’s economy in a shambles and Ukrainian drones penetrating ever deeper into the heartland and causing popular unrest, President Vladimir Putin’s position is looking increasingly tenuous. In anticipation of ...
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Australian Strategic Policy Institute @aspi-org.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
NEW PODCAST 🎙️ This episode of Stop the World features Justin Bassi's conversation with Abi Bradshaw, Director-General of the Australian Signals Directorate, at the TSD AI Masterclass, covering AI-enabled cyber threats, the offence-defence balance and 🇦🇺’s access to frontier AI. 🎧: bit.ly/4zniJtC
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Australian Strategic Policy Institute @aspi-org.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
'The Indo-Pacific’s next deterrence problem may be a shortage not of military capability but of coordination,' writes Benjamin Zala.
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As allies’ capabilities grow, they need to work with US on nuclear signalling | The Strategist
The Indo-Pacific’s next deterrence problem may be a shortage not of military capability but of coordination. As Australia, Japan and South Korea acquire long-range strike, missile defence and other st...
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Australian Strategic Policy Institute @aspi-org.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
'Occasional military exercises are unlikely to provide the certainty required for significant private sector investment,' writes Raelene Lockhorst.
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Australian Strategic Policy Institute @aspi-org.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
'Intelligence professionals exert significant influence in the process through collection, analysis, framing, prioritisation and the communication of uncertainty,' writes Roseleen Woodman.
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Decision-shaping: the ethical responsibility in intelligence work | The Strategist
Intelligence professionals carry an unrecognised ethical responsibility. It arises when they shape what political decision-makers come to know, which risks are held to be salient, and which options ap...
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Australian Strategic Policy Institute @aspi-org.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
NEW REPORT 🔊 In ‘Making the littoral force operational,’ Raelene Lockhorst argues that delivering the 2026 NDS’s ambition for littoral manoeuvre and long-range strike will depend on having the logistics system to keep 🇦🇺’s emerging littoral force moving, supplied and operational. 🔖: bit.ly/4rM9Oiu
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Australian Strategic Policy Institute @aspi-org.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
'Lockheed Martin has enjoyed a near-monopoly position since its plump cuckoo-chick, the F-35 Lightning, tossed its last rival, the Boeing F/A-18E/F Super Hornet, out of the nest,' writes Bill Sweetman.
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Australian Strategic Policy Institute @aspi-org.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
⏰ CLOSING SOON ⏰ Applications for ASPI’s China Senior Analyst/Analyst role close at 5pm today. We’re looking for an experienced analyst with strong subject matter expertise, leadership, policy and fundraising experience to join ASPI’s influential China team. 🔗 Apply now: bit.ly/4jlyegA
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Australian Strategic Policy Institute @aspi-org.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
'The central issue is therefore not simply senior officers’ self-enrichment but whether informal networks of authority and obligation have persisted within the PLA despite Xi’s efforts to strengthen centralised party control,' write Michael Clarke and Jade Guan.
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A paradoxical purge: Xi shows his power, and his trouble in controlling the PLA | The Strategist
Chinese President Xi Jinping’s purge of the senior leadership of the People’s Liberation Army continues unabated. It reveals both the reach of the Chinese Communist Party’s disciplinary apparatus, and...
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Australian Strategic Policy Institute @aspi-org.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
'So the most likely reason for returning a Blackbird to flight is this: to enable testing of a large high-speed test aircraft that it would carry and launch,' writes Bill Sweetman.
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Blackbirds: take these broken wings and learn to fly, says NASA | The Strategist
I’ve been a keen follower of the Lockheed Blackbird family since the headline ‘We have Mach 3 plane, says US’ appeared above a short item in London’s Daily Express in March 1964. The coolest thing ...
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Australian Strategic Policy Institute @aspi-org.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
🔔 Applications are now open for ASPI's 2027 Defence Fellows Program 🔔 The program supports emerging leaders ready to bring new ideas, perspectives and innovative thinking to some of Australia’s most pressing defence and security challenges. ✍️ Find out more and apply ➡️ bit.ly/46Qrpwn
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Australian Strategic Policy Institute @aspi-org.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
'A military alliance is a serious undertaking, and lively debate about one is just what you’d expect from a parliamentary democracy. But Mara isn’t a parliamentarian: he’s a chief,' write ASPI Defence Strategy Staff. www.aspistrategist.org.au/fault-lines-...
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Fault Lines – Taiwan’s arms hopes, Indonesia’s carrier, Fiji’s chiefs | The Strategist
Welcome to the latest edition of ASPI’s Fault Lines. Every fortnight, ASPI’s Defence Strategy Program monitors the actions and developments shaping the regional order and Australia’s security. This edition covers the period from 18 September to 1 October ...
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Australian Strategic Policy Institute @aspi-org.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
'Diversity of cooperation matters because, if tensions with China ever escalate, Indonesia will still have partners to support its maritime interests,' writes Aristyo Darmawan.
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How Indonesia can protect its interests in maritime cooperation with China | The Strategist
With China posing a threat to Indonesia’s interests in the South China Sea, Indonesia needs a clear maritime cooperation strategy. It should itself set the cooperation agenda with China, insist that j...
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Australian Strategic Policy Institute @aspi-org.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
'Australia is accepting significant risk in mine countermeasures, a capability once seen as essential,' writes Andy Perry.
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Here we go again. Mine countermeasures are Australia’s forgotten naval capability | The Strategist
Australia is accepting significant risk in mine countermeasures, a capability once seen as essential. While investing heavily in submarines and warships, Australia has allowed its dedicated mine count...
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Australian Strategic Policy Institute @aspi-org.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
'If we can cut guided-weapon cost by an order of magnitude, using machinery that can be accelerated into three-shift production overnight, the line of missile cost gets much flatter. Which changes everything,' writes Bill Sweetman.
aspistrategist.org.au
Destruction on a budget | The Strategist
‘There are weeks when decades happen’ has been a stock phrase to remember this summer. The missile wars between Ukraine and Russia and between Iran and the United States (and its nervous Middle Easter...
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Australian Strategic Policy Institute @aspi-org.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
'Strategic fitness is the measurable capacity to convert change into operational advantage – and it’s the foundation of a continuously adaptive land force,' writes John Coyne.
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Strategic fitness: how the army can institutionalise rapid adaptation | The Strategist
The Australian Army’s workforce is more educated, technically proficient and connected to emerging technology than any previous generation. Its people challenge assumptions, experiment with new capabilities and increasingly recognise learning as a warfighting function. The ...
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Australian Strategic Policy Institute @aspi-org.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
'An adversary can use camouflage, deception, electronic warfare and other techniques to distort what an AI system observes and create weaknesses in how it adapts,' writes Ayeza Areej.
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When weapons can learn, humans need to stay in control | The Strategist
AI weapons systems that are designed to learn and adapt could become increasingly difficult for humans to predict, explain and control. This creates an accountability gap that existing oversight mecha...
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Australian Strategic Policy Institute @aspi-org.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
ICYMI 🎙️ As AI safety and security dominates headlines around the globe, @bassijustin.bsky.social joined David Wroe on Stop the World to unpack the OpenAI Medicare breach, the challenges of AI risk and safety, US–China coordination on AI safety and the Trump–Xi summit. 🎧 Listen here: bit.ly/4yisvNb
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Australian Strategic Policy Institute @aspi-org.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
'If China took Taiwan, Japan would surely activate what we must presume to be well-established plans to rapidly equip itself with nuclear weapons,' writes Andrew Forrest.
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Revolting for the CCP: seizing Taiwan could drive Japan to nuclear weapons | The Strategist
Potential Japanese acquisition of nuclear weapons is an under-appreciated deterrent to a Chinese attempt at seizing Taiwan. If China took Taiwan, Japan would surely activate what we must presume to be...
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Australian Strategic Policy Institute @aspi-org.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
'At Davos this year, Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney said "middle powers must act together because if you are not at the table, you are on the menu." Nowhere is the case stronger than in AI,' writes Hannah Merchant.
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To secure frontier AI access, Australia’s best bet is a coalition of the dependent | The Strategist
At Davos this year, Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney said ‘middle powers must act together because if you are not at the table, you are on the menu.’ Nowhere is the case stronger than in ...
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Australian Strategic Policy Institute @aspi-org.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
'These developments do not signal a strategic reset. Instead, they show India distinguishing between sectors where Chinese involvement is economically necessary and those it considers too sensitive,' writes Shibani Mehta.
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India’s relationship with China should be understood sector-by-sector | The Strategist
Over the past few months, New Delhi’s relations with Beijing have improved. It would be a mistake to read this as a sign of greater strategic trust. A better explanation is that India is managing ...
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Australian Strategic Policy Institute @aspi-org.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
'For both [Canada and Australia], distance is not simply a transport problem. It affects how capabilities need to be designed,' writes Raelene Lockhorst.
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Australia and Canada face similar northern logistics problems | The Strategist
Australia and Canada are separated by half a world, but a new defence partnership is exposing an unexpected similarity. Canada is buying Australian surveillance technology developed to monitor the vas...
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Australian Strategic Policy Institute @aspi-org.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
ICYMI 🔊 We’re looking for a China Analyst or Senior Analyst to join ASPI’s high-performing China team. Don’t miss the opportunity to join one of the Indo-Pacific’s most influential think tanks and contribute to globally recognised research initiatives. 🔗 Apply now: bit.ly/4jlyegA
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Australian Strategic Policy Institute @aspi-org.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
'The problem is not simply technical but also legal: do Indo-Pacific partners understand the legal and operational limits of AI-enabled warfare in sufficiently similar ways to make decisions together?' writes Samuel White.
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Australia’s next interoperability challenge is military AI | The Strategist
Australia is spending heavily on military AI and, separately, on building the capabilities and interoperability of its Indo-Pacific partners, yet we are paying too little attention to what happens as ...
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Australian Strategic Policy Institute @aspi-org.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
'While the attention of the CCP’s International Department appears currently focused on the Middle East, all regions need to watch closely how China is using these Global Civilization Initiative bodies for influence and propaganda,' writes Geoff Wade.
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Chinese twin-track diplomacy is building influence in the Middle East | The Strategist
China is seeking to exploit perceived Western missteps in the Middle East, including the Iran war, by turning societies against the United States and other western nations. As part of this, the Chines...
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Australian Strategic Policy Institute @aspi-org.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
'A stronger US approach would be to acknowledge that global AI governance – widely acknowledged as a necessity – starts at home and that regulation can itself be a lever of both hard and soft power,' writes Bethany Allen.
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What’s at stake as Trump and Xi discuss AI governance | The Strategist
The stakes will be high in expected talks between President Donald Trump and Chinese leader Xi on AI safety and governance during Xi’s state visit to Washington on 24 September. AI and tech company ex...
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Australian Strategic Policy Institute @aspi-org.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
'We expect police to provide a baseline for public safety, but we also add alarms, guards or panic buttons where a specific threat warrants it. Digital protection should follow the same logic,' writes Jason Van der Schyff.
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Protect the person, not just the network | The Strategist
We spend enormous amounts of money protecting the networks around our most important people. Then, at the end of the day, we send those people home. There they find a car that logs where it ...
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Australian Strategic Policy Institute @aspi-org.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
'Western policy responses typically wait until it is too late and Chinese firms already dominate a market. The Little Giant designation offers a leading indicator of these strategically significant companies,' write Stephan Robin and Shelly Shih.
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Beijing picked 19,000 companies to win. Many are already in our supply chains | The Strategist
Today, ASPI is expanding its globally-recognised data offering by launching the China Little Giants Tracker – a searchable database of the high-tech small and medium enterprises (SMEs) that Beijing ha...
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Australian Strategic Policy Institute @aspi-org.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
🚨 NEW TRACKER 🚨 ASPI has launched the China Little Giants Tracker, mapping 19,000+ Chinese SMEs designated by Beijing for their specialised technological capabilities and relevance to national industrial priorities. 🔗 Request access now: bit.ly/4hiv0rL
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Australian Strategic Policy Institute @aspi-org.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
'Immigration and multiculturalism are central to Australia’s prosperity, security and international standing, especially in the Indo-Pacific region where languages, cultural understanding and trusted relationships matter deeply,' writes Jenny Bloomfield.
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Australia’s multiculturalism is a precious achievement | The Strategist
When I arrived in 1981 as a 12-year-old from Greece, I could not have imagined that three decades later I would return to the country of my birth as Australia’s ambassador. My family already had ...
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Australian Strategic Policy Institute @aspi-org.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
'AI will undoubtedly improve, and autonomous ground systems will assume a growing share of military missions. But the environments in which modern armies increasingly operate continue to reward qualities that machines struggle to replicate,' writes Boaz Golany.
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Not only robots: warfare will still need humans | The Strategist
Future warfare won’t be entirely robotic. Yes, people will gradually disappear from battlefield environments where speed, endurance, distance, precision or physical danger overwhelmingly favour use of...
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Australian Strategic Policy Institute @aspi-org.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
'The broader lesson from Ukraine and the Middle East is that space is becoming inseparable from warfare on Earth,' writes Frank Rose.
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Ukraine and the Middle East teach the Indo-Pacific about the new space wars | The Strategist
On 14 September, US Secretary of the Air Force Troy Meink publicly announced that the US Space Force had deployed ‘space control weapons’ in response to growing threats to American and allied space sy...
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Australian Strategic Policy Institute @aspi-org.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
'The Australian defence establishment should urgently work with commercial providers to deliver military and dual-use capabilities that can be deployed in months, not years or decades,' writes Nam Nguyen.
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For fast defence capability, look to commercial providers | The Strategist
The Australian defence establishment should urgently work with commercial providers to deliver military and dual-use capabilities that can be deployed in months, not years or decades. Government procu...
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Australian Strategic Policy Institute @aspi-org.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
'Brilliant minds breaking boundaries in intellectual pursuit need support to spot indicators of foreign interference and respond,' write Justin Bassi, Elizabeth Buchanan and James Corera.
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On research security, our divisions are the real vulnerability | The Strategist
Scholars named in public for entanglement with a foreign regime, international research collaborations quietly binned, and institutional partnerships needing to be torn up by the government – such eve...
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Australian Strategic Policy Institute @aspi-org.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
JOB ALERT 🔊 ASPI is looking for an experienced and high-performing China analyst or senior analyst to join the team. The role will focus on China’s foreign and security policy, defence and military affairs, Australia–China relations and China’s impact on the region. 🔗 Apply now: bit.ly/4z2utBF
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Australian Strategic Policy Institute @aspi-org.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
NEW PODCAST 🎙️ Fresh from ASPI’s Sydney Dialogue AI Masterclass, leading China AI experts Ryan Fedasiuk and Alex Colville join David Wroe on Stop the World to discuss the upcoming Trump–Xi meeting, China’s strategic goals for AI and recent AI safety incidents. 🎧 Listen here: bit.ly/4xs7cI0
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Australian Strategic Policy Institute @aspi-org.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
'Australia is much closer to locking in a security deal with Solomon Islands than anyone outside the corridors of power expected,' write ASPI Defence Strategy Staff.
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Fault Lines – Defence bills, warning flares, Pacific cheques | The Strategist
Welcome to the latest edition of ASPI’s Fault Lines. Every fortnight, ASPI’s Defence Strategy Program monitors the actions and developments shaping the regional order and Australia’s security. This ed...
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Australian Strategic Policy Institute @aspi-org.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
'Giving people more algorithms to choose from only works if those choices are intelligible, and if someone can turn the technical business of ranking a feed into a service people understand and trust,' writes @fergus.bsky.social.
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Australians should be able to choose the algorithms they trust | The Strategist
Forgive me my pedantry, but if Australia is going to regulate social media algorithms, we should be precise about what an algorithm actually is. Discussion of the government’s proposed digital duty of...
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Australian Strategic Policy Institute @aspi-org.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
'Expanding the submarine industrial base across all three countries is itself an AUKUS objective. The challenge is part of the program, not evidence that its rationale has disappeared,' writes Jennifer Parker.
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After five years, AUKUS's political resilience is remarkable | The Strategist
As AUKUS reaches its fifth anniversary, a strong navy has never been more important for Australia. But that recognition is not what is remarkable five years on. It is a persistent, if often misunderst...
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Australian Strategic Policy Institute @aspi-org.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
'[The Sea Archer] could provide surveillance ahead of crewed forces, move supplies into areas where putting military personnel at risk is undesirable, carry electronic-warfare payloads or, with appropriate integration, contribute to maritime strike,' writes Raelene Lockhorst.
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Industry is building the capability and industrial base northern Australia needs | The Strategist
Last week in Darwin, I saw an example of what Australia needs more of: industry investing in sovereign capability before Defence has written the requirement or issued a tender. I watched Leidos’s Aust...
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Australian Strategic Policy Institute @aspi-org.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
'At universities in both [HK and Macau], China has established state key laboratories – nationally important research centres overseen by the Ministry of Science and Technology,' writes Geoff Wade.
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China’s military research absorbs HK, Macau. Track the links with ASPI’s updated China Defence Universities Tracker | The Strategist
The tendency to treat universities in Hong Kong and Macau as somehow separated from the mainstream of Chinese research institutions is long out of date. Since the territories were handed over to China...
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Australian Strategic Policy Institute @aspi-org.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
🚨 NOW LIVE 🚨 ASPI’s China Defence Universities Tracker has been expanded to cover Hong Kong and Macau universities, alongside 10+ new Chinese Academy of Sciences institutes. Explore new insights into China’s defence, security and tech ecosystem. 👉 Request access: bit.ly/46nwhIF
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Australian Strategic Policy Institute @aspi-org.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
NEW PODCAST 🔊 In the final episode of our special series recorded on the sidelines of the ADSTAR Summit, David Wroe is joined by David Galligan, Chief Defence Scientist and head of Defence Science & Technology with the NZ Defence Force, to discuss innovation, sovereignty and AI. 🎧: bit.ly/46TrCP6
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Australian Strategic Policy Institute @aspi-org.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
'While the research and industrial heft of the US is indispensable, partnerships between other democracies also matter. There are welcome signs that Canberra is taking the initiative,' writes Alex Bristow.
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China is poised to lead in research on quantum technologies. Democracies must act | The Strategist
Australia and its democratic partners need to act promptly to avoid conceding the lead in quantum technologies to China. ASPI’s research shows that China is either already ahead or poised to take the ...
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Australian Strategic Policy Institute @aspi-org.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
'Twenty-five years [after 9/11], the true measure of success in both Washington and Canberra is a national security system resilient enough to withstand the next sudden shock without losing sight of the broader strategic environment,' writes Adam McCombs.
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Twenty-five years after 9/11, strategic shocks mustn't cloud strategic thinking | The Strategist
It was 25 years ago today that the Western world completely changed following the attacks on the World Trade Center and Pentagon on September 11th, 2001. The shock of these horrific terrorist attacks ...
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