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Anton (Anjo) Peez

@antonpeez.bsky.social
124 followers 79 following 0 posts

Postdoc/Political Scientist at @mpips.bsky.social・public opinion, international politics, sanctions・⚾/🏃‍♂️ antonpeez.github.io

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Reposted by Anton (Anjo) Peez
Scherzinger @scherzinger.bsky.social · 21/05/2026
My friend @antonpeez.bsky.social and I wrote a new paper in @the-peio.bsky.social on how to use LLMs to measure revealed preferences in diplo. speeches. We use UN sanctions as a test case to illustrate the approach and offer a template for future IO/IR research. Thread below doi.org/10.1007/s115...
doi.org
Using LLMs for measurement in diplomatic speeches: The evolving politics of UN sanctions in Security Council debates - The Review of International Organizations
UN sanctions are an important tool for maintaining international peace and have shaped the global security order since the end of the Cold War. However, given contemporary UN Security Council (UNSC) dynamics, new sanctions regimes have become rare, and policymakers are pessimistic about the future of the tool. We evaluate this pessimism by offering a long-term perspective, analyzing all UNSC members’ positions on UN-mandated and unilateral sanctions from 1992 to 2023, introducing the UNSC Sanctions Stance Dataset. We examine 5,984 sanctions-related Council speeches using a large language model for measurement, and validate this procedure with hand coding, descriptive analyses, and expert interviews. Our description of the construction process and guidance on using LLMs for measurement serve as a template for creating LLM-coded and manually and substantively verified datasets from IO speech data. The analysis focuses on Russia, China, and the Global South, and traces their positions in detail. We find that Russia turned from limited support of UN sanctions in the 2000s to total opposition in the mid-2010s, while China has persistently been opposed, offering at most begrudging tolerance. The P3 (France, UK, US) have consistently been supportive. Meanwhile, states from the Global South hold a distinct intermediate position, opposing unilateral sanctions while cautiously but consistently supporting UN-mandated sanctions. This finding cuts against an assumption of Global South opposition to sanctions in general.
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Reposted by Anton (Anjo) Peez
Productive Outs @productiveouts.bsky.social · 24/03/2026
Worth every penny. EW has been the best baseball pod around for over a decade, and that's really not debatable. Support good people doing good work.
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Reposted by Anton (Anjo) Peez
Max Lesch @maxlesch.bsky.social · 22/12/2025
This is part of our section on “Norm Robustness” with excellent contributions by @profbode.bsky.social, Srinivas Burra, @vckeating.bsky.social, @antonpeez.bsky.social, and Élise Rousseau.
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Reposted by Anton (Anjo) Peez
Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 18/12/2025
🪙Do economic sanctions negatively affect democracy and human rights in targeted countries? ➡️ @antonpeez.bsky.social re-examines the effects of Western sanctions to improve democracy and human rights from 1990-2021 and finds that negative effects persist www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
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Reposted by Anton (Anjo) Peez
Cambridge University Press Political Science & IR @cambup-polsci.cambridge.org · 04/12/2025
#OpenAccess from @psrm.bsky.social - Re-examining the effects of Western sanctions on democracy and human rights in the 21st century - cup.org/44678BQ - @antonpeez.bsky.social #FirstView
Logo of Political Science Research and Methods in monochrome featuring the initials 'PS' and 'RM' interlinked in an elegant serif font on a dark background.
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Reposted by Anton (Anjo) Peez
Max Lesch @maxlesch.bsky.social · 19/10/2023
Yesterday, we launched our book Goethe University! A wonderful opportunity to wrap up this project and a great discussion with Lisbeth Zimmermann, @ndeitelhoff.bsky.social @antonpeez.bsky.social moderated by @tobiaswille.bsky.social. The book is now available online: academic.oup.com/book/46746
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