iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Andy Meyers @andymeyers10.bsky.social · 3h

Here me out. If I ever become a celebrity enough to come on your show, I can do a half hour on potatoes no problem.

Andy Meyers @andymeyers10.bsky.social · 16/10/2026

Do you have an average of how many states are different than predictions because of polling error? Maybe polls w 2-8 pts difference to exclude true tossups and blowouts.

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Andy Meyers @andymeyers10.bsky.social · 16/10/2026

It’s the Toy Story 2 strategy.

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Andy Meyers @andymeyers10.bsky.social · 16/10/2026

Glad to help. But you should know, I may be crazy

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Reposted by Andy Meyers

Morgan Johnson @poormojo.bsky.social · 14/10/2026

No joke. I think this is the most important video I have ever seen about mobile games. This guy breaks down how this game psychologically profiles you, and makes the game harder or easier in order to show you ads

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Andy Meyers @andymeyers10.bsky.social · 14/10/2026

Awww. I like you. (That’s meant in the most affirming and least upsetting way. Not obsessed. Just a gentle fan of your writing. Oh dear, I’ve overcorrected and now this is sounding weird. I see what you mean now)

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Reposted by Andy Meyers

Odd This Day @oddthisday.bsky.social · 14/10/2026

There’s really only one way to mark the 99th anniversary of Roger Moore’s birth

Marc Haynes’ story: As a 7 year old in about 1983, … I was with my grandad in Nice Airport and saw Roger Moore Sitting at the departure gate, ... told my granddad i'd just seen James Bond and asked if we could go over so I could get his autograph. …so we walked over and he popped me in front of Roger Moore, with the words "my grandson says you're famous. Can you sign this?" As charming as you'd expect, Roger asks my name and signs the back of my plane ticket... I'm ecstatic, but …I glance down at the signature. … it definitely doesn't say 'James Bond'. ...I tell my grandad he's signed it wrong, … so my grandad heads back to Roger Moore...
"he says you've signed the wrong name. He says your name is James Bond." Roger Moore's face crinkled up with realisation and he beckoned me over. …he leant over, looked from side to side, raised an eyebrow and in a hushed voice said "I have to sign my name as 'Roger Moore because otherwise...Blofeld might find out I was here." He asked me not to tell anyone …and thanked me for keeping his secret. I went back to our seats, my nerves absolutely jangling with delight. My grandad asked me if he'd signed 'James Bond.' No, I said.
I'd got it wrong. I was working with James Bond now. Many years later, I was working on a recording that involved UNICEF, and Roger Moore was doing a piece to camera as an ambassador. He was lovely and while the cameramen were setting up, I told him the story. He …had a chuckle and said "Well, I don't remember but I'm glad you got to meet James Bond." So that was lovely. And then he did something so brilliant. After the filming, he walked past me in the corridor, heading out to his car - but as he got level, he paused looked both ways, raised an eyebrow and in a hushed voice said, "Of course I remember our meeting in Nice. But I didn't say anything in there, because those cameramen - any one of them could be working for Blofeld."
I was as delighted at 30 as I had been at 7. What a man. What a tremendous man.

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Andy Meyers @andymeyers10.bsky.social · 11/10/2026

Also, cops are more likely to *make* false allegations in general. Liars think everyone is lying.

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Andy Meyers @andymeyers10.bsky.social · 11/10/2026

I would blame it on the fox I would seal it in a box I would claim it was a mouse I would be the one to grouse

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Andy Meyers @andymeyers10.bsky.social · 10/10/2026

Are you familiar with the 27% floor called the Crazification Factor, as coined by John Rogers?

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Andy Meyers @andymeyers10.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

If you can’t subscribe (or can), buy Aaron a cup of coffee after a day like today!

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Andy Meyers @andymeyers10.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

If you count it as a hitman movie, The Long Kiss Goodnight is mine. For sheer volume of weird hitmen, Bullet Train has to be included.

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Andy Meyers @andymeyers10.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

What? No shoutout for bringing you two crazy kids together?

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Andy Meyers @andymeyers10.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

The “hidden” have certain traits that pull in different directions. It depends on which feature you think dominates. They tend to be… - GOP (if so, polls overstate D) - Less likely to vote (if so, polls are close) - Anti-establishment (if so, polls understate D)

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Andy Meyers @andymeyers10.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

Fish named after Star Trek captain holding a spear. Only possible answer

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Andy Meyers @andymeyers10.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

Curious about where you see Cory Doctorow in this discussion. He seems to be skeptical of the economics of it and pushes on the limits but also sees places where it’s extremely useful.

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Reposted by Andy Meyers

Massimo (mirror) @rainmaker1973-m.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

The cutest thing you'll see today Repost of @PerceptiveBliss: Original post

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Andy Meyers @andymeyers10.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

I get that. especially non-Georgians and bad faith actors. Can be hard to weed them out. Even so, I know a lot of black folks who are weary in this particular way. It’s a sentiment that’s out there, even if used in bad faith here.

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Andy Meyers @andymeyers10.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

As an *indicator* on Election Day, you make a good point. However, Many black folks are tired of hearing that if only *they* did better things would be better. Choosing to point out the black vote reads like blaming them for 2024 results. Seems that’s not your intent, but listen to your readers.

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Andy Meyers @andymeyers10.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

Fun! I love these Have you seen Key and Peele for Gremlins 2? Uses the same conceit but hilarious in a different way

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Andy Meyers @andymeyers10.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

Can anyone translate this into non-technical for me? As far as I can tell, it means: -Facebook’s AI has terrible security to the point where it will just email you its entire instruction code -Anyone can use it for bad purposes -Plus it’s incredibly invasive So basically born to be a scam machine

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Andy Meyers @andymeyers10.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

It’s superb. A lot is visual plus the pacing is a little more meditative than most shows, so I recommend paying a little more attention when you watch. Attention doesn’t mean concentration - it doesn’t feel like effort. More like it rewards sinking into its vibe without a lot of distraction.

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Andy Meyers @andymeyers10.bsky.social · 14/09/2026

I’m voting for Ashman over Menken.

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Andy Meyers @andymeyers10.bsky.social · 12/09/2026

Remarkable. Couple of thoughts, possible follow-ups. 1. Can you tell if low-turnout is dependent on negativity? Or were they low-turnout before? 2. Can you tell if there are 2 types of low-turnout voters? Only vote if Trump is on ballot vs. general low-turnout. (Media assumes 1, you’re on 2)

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Reposted by Andy Meyers

Jim Teeth @drjamesjteeth.bsky.social · 11/09/2026

This should be named the Scalzi Index. @scalzi.com

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Andy Meyers @andymeyers10.bsky.social · 10/09/2026

I laid my marker down decades ago to go “Hey, that’s my car!” Could be carjacked. Could be totaled. Good guys or bad guys. Doesn’t matter. I have many versions of “Hey, that’s my car!” Loaded and ready.

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Andy Meyers @andymeyers10.bsky.social · 09/09/2026

I’d like the historical comparison to out-party midterm voting. Out party is always riled up but this seems bigger.

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Andy Meyers @andymeyers10.bsky.social · 09/09/2026

70% Extremely. Isn’t that insanely high?

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Andy Meyers @andymeyers10.bsky.social · 05/09/2026

So when there was just one set of footprints, it was just a cute lil’ turtle trying to catch up. Honestly, the proverb makes a lot more sense now.

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Andy Meyers @andymeyers10.bsky.social · 04/09/2026

Mrs. Washington, please give Mina her phone back

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Andy Meyers @andymeyers10.bsky.social · 03/09/2026

Correction: now you have an unassailable excuse. “Clippers were going to draft me in the first round before they lost all those picks”

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Andy Meyers @andymeyers10.bsky.social · 02/09/2026

Interesting. We’ve found similar results. They’re also useful for interviews with voice or even video, within limits In my experience they’re average moderators. They can get a lot of answers, keep conversation focused and delve into pre-arranged topics. But they weed out some people and nuance

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Andy Meyers @andymeyers10.bsky.social · 02/09/2026

It’s all scale and degree, right? It’s not that they go up, but WAY up. It’s not that they can’t deficit spend, but it’s SO much. Demand (that pays) has to skyrocket. It’s not that there’s an inherent problem with deferring costs, but don’t mistake today’s cost structure for the long-term one.

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Andy Meyers @andymeyers10.bsky.social · 02/09/2026

OK. I think I get you a little more. It’s non-ARM in that it’s added capacity. Housing-like in that you get a massive item all at once. And ARM-like in that costs are deferred and explode after 2 years. (I reread the article and Anthropic vs OpenAI parallels your position vs my position)

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Andy Meyers @andymeyers10.bsky.social · 02/09/2026

Fwiw, that asterisk is doing a lot of work.

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Andy Meyers @andymeyers10.bsky.social · 02/09/2026

And the costs are not on the books today. They go on the books when the data center is ready to go - about 2 yrs from now. Hence the ARM or balloon analogy The mistake is to pretend that now and later are the same when one includes costs and the other defers them.

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Andy Meyers @andymeyers10.bsky.social · 02/09/2026

This is wrong. And the core misunderstanding he’s trying to debunk. Costs in 2027 DON’T go up and down proportionally with the about of compute. They’re set. They’re set at max. OpenAI will pay for the max compute no matter how much or little they want or if they can charge their customers for it

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Andy Meyers @andymeyers10.bsky.social · 01/09/2026

The only way they can afford any compute now is because they’re borrowing. They don’t make profit on that compute. Financiers that use today’s structure as the basis for projections are ignoring the upcoming payments and convinced there’s a magic “AI doesn’t have to pay for things ever” button.

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Andy Meyers @andymeyers10.bsky.social · 01/09/2026

They’re like ARMs because they have a committment to make rent payments in the future that they are not making now. Those payments are scheduled for 2 years from now. Like people w 2006 ARMs, their plan does not actually include having cash to make those payments when they come due. Not even close.

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Andy Meyers @andymeyers10.bsky.social · 01/09/2026

His point is that the obligations are ballooning well beyond the revenue growth, even the OpenAI revenue projections. They’ll need to change the balloon (restructure) to make it. Or get more revenue from someone else (financiers).

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Andy Meyers @andymeyers10.bsky.social · 01/09/2026

They agreed to pay for all the compute whether they use it or not. They agreed to pay for a LOT, starting next year. They are on the hook for that compute whether they use it, rent it out, go into the wine business, or charge other people for it. Where does the cash come from when payments start?

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Andy Meyers @andymeyers10.bsky.social · 01/09/2026

Best summary of AI finance I’ve seen “The single most important credit fact in the global economy right now fits in one sentence: the largest capital cycle in the history of technology is underwritten, to the tune of roughly one trillion dollars, by two private companies that do not make money.”

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Andy Meyers @andymeyers10.bsky.social · 01/09/2026

Oh, so it’s the mortgage crisis again. 2007: millions of people with balloon mortgages totaling a trillion dollars 2026: 7 companies with balloon mortgages totaling a trillion dollars

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Andy Meyers @andymeyers10.bsky.social · 01/09/2026

Have you seen Patriot? Same showrunner. Not as emotional, but also has an offbeat sensibility and atypical rhythms. Its been awhile but I remember enjoying it a lot On Prime Video if I recall.

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Andy Meyers @andymeyers10.bsky.social · 01/09/2026

Fudd is short for Tuberville the same way Ted is short for Rafael.

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