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Andrew Norton

@andrewjnorton.bsky.social
484 followers 254 following 167 posts

Australian higher education policy andrewnorton.id.au

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Andrew Norton @andrewjnorton.bsky.social · 19h
Tougher versions of Labor's policy on students bringing partners & children, less scope than under Labor for making student visa applications onshore, & abolition of most post-study work rights. My summary of the Coalition's policy on international students. theconversation.com/the-coalitio...
theconversation.com
The Coalition’s migration changes would slash international student enrolments
Abolishing the temporary graduate visa would deliver a large additional blow to international education.
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Andrew Norton @andrewjnorton.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Policy details and numbers on the new restrictions on onshore student visa applications. andrewnorton.id.au/2026/10/05/n...
andrewnorton.id.au
New restrictions on onshore applications for student visas
As foreshadowed in Tony Burke’s September 2026 National Press Club speech, the government has now implemented a range of policy changes for onshore student visa applications. There is a new g…
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Andrew Norton @andrewjnorton.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Former international students have in recent years secured high numbers of points-tested visas. But success rates will decline as demand increases while supply decreases. andrewnorton.id.au/2026/09/28/p...
andrewnorton.id.au
Navigating Points-Tested Visas for International Students
Explore the changing landscape of points-tested visas for former international students, including demand, success rates, and future trends.
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Andrew Norton @andrewjnorton.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Jason Clare's uni funding bill likely to get Senate approval in mid-October. This post summarises likely amendments, including a slight softening of caps on student numbers and less scope for ministerial conditions. andrewnorton.id.au/2026/09/21/p...
andrewnorton.id.au
Proposed amendments to the student places capping and needs based funding bill
Jason Clare’s student places capping bill appeared in the Senate several times last week, but there were no votes on substantive amendments. Parliament does not sit again until 12 October. It…
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Andrew Norton @andrewjnorton.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
Things look bad for aspiring future international students, but in recent years more former international students have achieved permanent residence. andrewnorton.id.au/2026/09/16/p...
andrewnorton.id.au
Pathways to permanent residence for former international students
The Australian government is trying, without much success to date, to reduce the number of long-term temporary migrants. For student-related visa holders – people with student visas, temporary grad…
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Andrew Norton @andrewjnorton.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
Big city universities have few potential official 'low SES' students living in their metro areas. A new low SES definition would better target disadvantage. andrewnorton.id.au/2026/09/03/m...
andrewnorton.id.au
Measuring low SES and higher education policy
Australian higher education policy uses a geographic proxy to measure socioeconomic status. People living in the lowest 25% of areas by the ABS Index of Education and Occupation are deemed ‘low SES…
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Andrew Norton @andrewjnorton.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
The government is likely to stop most international students from bringing partners & children with them. It's likely to have a major impact on demand, especially in South Asian markets. andrewnorton.id.au/2026/09/01/t...
andrewnorton.id.au
The coming cuts to student-related secondary temporary visa holders
Last week The Australian reported on apparent forthcoming limits on student secondary visa holders, the partners and children of the primary visa holder students. This has been rumoured for months.…
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Andrew Norton @andrewjnorton.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
Despite some improvements, the government's student place capping bill will still lead to year-on-year cuts in minumum numbers of places. andrewnorton.id.au/2026/08/24/g...
andrewnorton.id.au
Government amendments to its student places capping bill
Last week the government made two substantive amendments to its student places capping bill, officially named the Universities Accord (Opening the Doors of Opportunity) Bill 2026. One amendmen…
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Andrew Norton @andrewjnorton.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
Jason Clare's over-enrolment caps threated higher education opportunities, with his own home city of Sydney at greatest risk. andrewnorton.id.au/2026/08/21/a...
andrewnorton.id.au
ATEC’s big test: Meeting demand for higher education in Sydney
At the AFR higher education conference this week Jason Clare was open to amending his capping student places bill. He subsequently inserted amendments on ministerial conditions and floor numbers of…
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Andrew Norton @andrewjnorton.bsky.social · 10/08/2026
The government wants more higher education enrolments. But there is no new money. andrewnorton.id.au/2026/08/10/h...
andrewnorton.id.au
How will the government finance more higher education enrolments?
The government has grand hopes for additional higher education participation, on the way to 80% tertiary attainment by 2050. But how they will fund enrolment growth is much less clear. The governme…
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Andrew Norton @andrewjnorton.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
A data update for my Mapping Australian higher education publication. andrewnorton.id.au/2026/08/05/m...
andrewnorton.id.au
Mapping Australian higher education – August 2026 update
I don’t currently have the capacity for a new edition of Mapping Australian higher education 2023 but I am still updating the data behind the tables and charts. The latest spreadsheet is here…
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Andrew Norton @andrewjnorton.bsky.social · 03/08/2026
The government's higher education funding legislation puts student opportunities at unnecessary risk. My submission to the Senate inquiry. andrewnorton.id.au/2026/08/03/m...
andrewnorton.id.au
My Senate inquiry submission on the government’s student place capping bill
Submissions to the Senate inquiry into the government’s student place capping bill – with the official but misleading title of the Universities Accord (Opening the Doors of Opportunity) Bill …
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Andrew Norton @andrewjnorton.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
Explainer on what the new higher education funding system means for education providers outside the public university sector. andrewnorton.id.au/2026/07/20/t...
andrewnorton.id.au
The proposed new funding system, part 6: Private universities and non-university higher education providers
The funding system I have described parts 1 to 5 of this series of posts applies in full to the higher education providers listed on ‘Table A’ of the Higher Education Support Act 2003. …
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Andrew Norton @andrewjnorton.bsky.social · 19/07/2026
Job-ready Graduates cut the cost of postgraduate study for many students. theconversation.com/beyond-50k-a...
theconversation.com
Beyond $50k arts degrees: what has Job-ready Graduates done to postgrad study?
Job-ready Graduates created cheaper postgraduate education – especially for nursing students – but this may not last.
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Andrew Norton @andrewjnorton.bsky.social · 19/07/2026
The penalty regime under ATEC is surprisingly weak. andrewnorton.id.au/2026/07/17/r...
andrewnorton.id.au
Rewards and penalties under ATEC and the new funding system
This post in an overview of rewards and penalties available to ATEC as it enforces mission based compact terms and student places allocations. By the standards of recent higher education regulation…
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Andrew Norton @andrewjnorton.bsky.social · 14/07/2026
For the first time since the late 1990s the majority of domestic postgraduate coursework students are Commonwealth supported rather than full-fee. My latest paper with @leorh.bsky.social explains why. melbourne-cshe.unimelb.edu.au/research/pub...
melbourne-cshe.unimelb.edu.au
Occasional Paper Series
Occasional Paper Series
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Andrew Norton @andrewjnorton.bsky.social · 13/07/2026
The government's pseudo-uncapping of places for equity students is a bureaucratic mess. andrewnorton.id.au/2026/07/13/p...
andrewnorton.id.au
Proposed new funding system, part 5: What has happened to effectively demand driven funding for equity groups?
In his second reading speech for the Universities Accord (Opening the Doors of Opportunity) Bill 2026 education minister Jason Clare said that it will ‘help more people from poor families and…
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Andrew Norton @andrewjnorton.bsky.social · 09/07/2026
Australian higher education needs based funding. More a reboot of existing equity group and regional campus funding than genuinely needs based. andrewnorton.id.au/2026/07/09/t...
andrewnorton.id.au
The proposed new funding system, part 4: Needs based funding
The idea behind needs based funding is that universities should be paid according to student characteristics, not just the disciplines of the subjects students take. While agreeing with the broad c…
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Andrew Norton @andrewjnorton.bsky.social · 06/07/2026
ATEC's power to allocate international student places is another case of excessive bureaucratic discretion. But it could easily have been worse. andrewnorton.id.au/2026/07/06/a...
andrewnorton.id.au
ATEC’s allocation of international student commencements
In presentations earlier this year I told audiences that the government will try again to impose provider-level caps on international students. Its 2024 attempt failed due to a surprise Coalition-G…
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Andrew Norton @andrewjnorton.bsky.social · 02/07/2026
The government wants to put much harder limits on university enrolments. This post explains the very complex methods they plan to use. andrewnorton.id.au/2026/07/02/t...
andrewnorton.id.au
The proposed new funding system, part 3: capping over-enrolments
The Universities Accord (Opening the Doors of Opportunity) Bill 2026, in itself, does not do what it says in the cover. Although the minister’s promotional material focuses on new Commonwealt…
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Andrew Norton @andrewjnorton.bsky.social · 01/07/2026
How ATEC will allocate student places to universities. Suprise restrictions on allocating to specific courses, but ATEC may have workarounds. andrewnorton.id.au/2026/06/30/t...
andrewnorton.id.au
The proposed new funding system, part 2: ATEC allocations of Commonwealth supported places to public universities
In the previous post, I outlined how the minister would set total numbers of Commonwealth supported student places if the Universities Accord (Opening the Doors of Opportunity) Bill 2026 is passed.…
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Andrew Norton @andrewjnorton.bsky.social · 29/06/2026
How the number of government subsidised university places will be set in Australia, if new funding legislation gets parliamentary support. The first in a series of legislation explainers. andrewnorton.id.au/2026/06/29/t...
andrewnorton.id.au
The proposed new funding system, part 1: Setting the number of fully-funded Commonwealth supported places
This post is the first in a series of explainers on how the new Commonwealth supported student funding system will operate if the Universities Accord (Opening the Doors of Opportunity) Bill 2026 is…
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Andrew Norton @andrewjnorton.bsky.social · 25/06/2026
New higher education funding legislation was introduced today. It wants to expand enrolments while capping them at the university level. My Conversation article explores these semi-contradictory policies. theconversation.com/caps-are-com...
theconversation.com
Caps are coming for domestic uni places, but the government also wants to grow student numbers. Can this work?
Federal Education Minister Jason Clare has introduced a bill under which universities face new caps on their domestic student numbers.
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Andrew Norton @andrewjnorton.bsky.social · 23/06/2026
Trends in domestic postgraduate coursework enrolments. Health courses the biggest source of growth over the decade to 2024. Students more online, more part-time, and younger. Women trending towards 2/3 enrolments. andrewnorton.id.au/2026/06/23/t...
andrewnorton.id.au
Trends in domestic postgraduate coursework education
I have a paper coming out soon, co-authored with Ren-Hao Xu, on the rise of Commonwealth supported places in postgraduate coursework degrees. It is another in our series on university decision-maki…
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Andrew Norton @andrewjnorton.bsky.social · 15/06/2026
After many articles on how Job-ready Graduates affected students, one on how it affected university decision-making. Short answer: Many of the apparent incentives did not strongly influence outcomes.
link.springer.com
University missions and financial incentives: the response of universities to Australia’s Job-ready Graduates policy - The Australian Educational Researcher
Funding incentives are widely used to steer universities towards meeting policy objectives, but they do not always produce the expected outcomes. The headline policy of Australia’s Job-ready Graduates...
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Andrew Norton @andrewjnorton.bsky.social · 10/06/2026
The self-reported status gap between university graduates and people with vocational qualifications is narrowing. andrewnorton.id.au/2026/06/10/s...
andrewnorton.id.au
Self-reported status by educational attainment, an update
It’s common to hear concern about the ‘status’ of vocational education. An article yesterday in The Conversation reported a ‘stigma’ associated with school leavers cho…
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Andrew Norton @andrewjnorton.bsky.social · 20/05/2026
In higher education policy the rule of law is being replaced with rule by email. andrewnorton.id.au/2026/05/20/r...
andrewnorton.id.au
Rule by email in higher education policy – over-enrolment and governance
This post is about unlegislated higher education policies. The story starts last year with reports that the government was imposing caps on commencing Commonwealth supported places, which reached t…
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Andrew Norton @andrewjnorton.bsky.social · 12/05/2026
TEQSA's intervention in the process for choosing a new ANU Chancellor was a mistake. It puts the ANU Council at risk of non-compliance with its legislation. It sets a bad precedent for TEQSA using 'voluntary' undertakings to exceed its own legal authority. andrewnorton.id.au/2026/05/11/t...
andrewnorton.id.au
TEQSA’s response to the Australian National University’s governance issues
Julie Bishop quit as ANU Chancellor last Friday, but not without a parting shot: “Following unprecedented and co-ordinated interference, the ANU Council is no longer able to discharge its legal and…
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Andrew Norton @andrewjnorton.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
The Australian Tertiary Education Commission signalling the new more interventionist approach to higher education policy. andrewnorton.id.au/2026/05/06/a...
andrewnorton.id.au
ATEC’s interim statement of strategic priorities
Yesterday the Australian Tertiary Education Commission issued an interim statement of strategic priorities. This statement will guide university mission based compacts for 2027. This post covers th…
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Andrew Norton @andrewjnorton.bsky.social · 05/05/2026
Interesting new Treasury work on student debt repayment times. I argue that this is a useful way to think about setting student contribution rates. andrewnorton.id.au/2026/05/05/t...
andrewnorton.id.au
Treasury’s take on student debt repayment times under Job-ready Graduates
Thanks to a Guardian story based on a FoI request we now know that Treasury has modelled changes to HELP debt repayment times under Job-ready Graduates. They are six years too late to influence the…
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Andrew Norton @andrewjnorton.bsky.social · 30/04/2026
The poor prospects for student contribution reform. My article in The Conversation. theconversation.com/50-000-arts-...
theconversation.com
$50,000 arts degrees look set to stay, despite a new bill trying to slash uni fees
Only the federal government can fix the problems created by the Job-ready Graduates scheme. Ahead of the budget on May 12, it shows no interest in doing that.
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Andrew Norton @andrewjnorton.bsky.social · 27/04/2026
More than $1 billion has now been spent on undelivered university student places. andrewnorton.id.au/2026/04/27/t...
andrewnorton.id.au
The $1 billion spent on undelivered student places
Last year I wrote about payments to universities under the Higher Education Continuity Guarantee, a Morrison-era program to compensate universities for ‘under-enrolment’. I then had dat…
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Andrew Norton @andrewjnorton.bsky.social · 08/04/2026
My proposal for fixing the worst of Job-ready Graduates student contributions. andrewnorton.id.au/2026/04/08/p...
andrewnorton.id.au
Political compromise to end the worst of Job-ready Graduates
Late last year the Greens introduced the Higher Education Support Amendment (Reverse Job-Ready Graduates Fee Hikes and End 50k Arts Degrees) Bill  into the Senate. Submissions for the Senate inquir…
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Andrew Norton @andrewjnorton.bsky.social · 31/03/2026
The ATEC bill has passed the Senate with amendments. While these changes improve the bill, ATEC still lacks the power to advise on student contributions and has excessive power over unis via mission based compacts. andrewnorton.id.au/2026/03/31/a...
andrewnorton.id.au
ATEC legislation amended in the Senate
The ATEC legislation passed the Senate yesterday, after the government accepted amendments from the Greens and David Pocock. It now needs to be rubber-stamped by the House of Representatives and th…
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Andrew Norton @andrewjnorton.bsky.social · 26/03/2026
Needs based funding winnners and losers. andrewnorton.id.au/2026/03/26/n...
andrewnorton.id.au
Needs based funding winners and losers
Last month I wrote about the new equity and regional needs based funding programs. Back then I had the funding formulas but not total funding amounts. The Department’s funding determinations …
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Andrew Norton @andrewjnorton.bsky.social · 11/03/2026
My theories on why low SES higher education enrolments declined after 2017. andrewnorton.id.au/2026/03/11/w...
andrewnorton.id.au
What is going on with low SES higher education numbers?
In his speech to the Universities Australia conference last month Jason Clare complained that the low SES share of enrolments ‘hasn’t changed that much in the last 30 years.’ He is over…
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Andrew Norton @andrewjnorton.bsky.social · 23/02/2026
New loading rates for students at regional campuses of Australian universities. andrewnorton.id.au/2026/02/23/n...
andrewnorton.id.au
Needs based funding – the regional campus component
This post examines the regional campus component of needs based funding, which starts this year. I looked at the low SES and Indigenous component last week. The regional component funds students at…
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Andrew Norton @andrewjnorton.bsky.social · 19/02/2026
What's wrong with the needs based student funding program for Australian universities. andrewnorton.id.au/2026/02/19/n...
andrewnorton.id.au
Needs based funding – the low SES and Indigenous component
Directing some university funding based on student, rather than just course, characteristics was one good idea coming from the Universities Accord. Students arrive in higher education with varying …
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Andrew Norton @andrewjnorton.bsky.social · 16/02/2026
Undergrad demand trending up. Some unis up by 10%+ but others down. Mostly driven by young people. Some recovery in non-STEM fields but longer-term trend towards STEM. andrewnorton.id.au/2026/02/16/a...
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Andrew Norton @andrewjnorton.bsky.social · 10/02/2026
Public universities expected to earn $15.5 billion in tuition subsidies and student contributions in 2026, up 3.4% on 2025. andrewnorton.id.au/2026/02/10/t...
andrewnorton.id.au
Total 2026 Commonwealth supported places funding for public universities
This post looks at estimated 2026 funding for Commonwealth supported students in public universities. Compared to my earlier post on block grants it adds public funding for medical students, demand…
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Andrew Norton @andrewjnorton.bsky.social · 06/02/2026
Universities face new processes when they want to close a course or major. andrewnorton.id.au/2026/02/06/t...
andrewnorton.id.au
The 2026 funding agreements, Part 3: New rules on closing courses
In the 2026 university funding agreements the rules on closing courses have changed and now require universities to follow additional processes. These changes are presumably a response to course an…
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Andrew Norton @andrewjnorton.bsky.social · 04/02/2026
How the Department of Education avoided a potential medical education fiasco, following the introduction of demand driven places for Indigenous students. andrewnorton.id.au/2026/02/04/t...
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Andrew Norton @andrewjnorton.bsky.social · 30/01/2026
Public unis face a cut in real terms in 2026 for the main tuition subsidy program. But better allocation of funding may offset any negative effects on student places. andrewnorton.id.au/2026/01/30/t...
andrewnorton.id.au
The 2026 funding agreements, Part 1: Public university block grants
The 2026 higher education funding agreements, the legal basis of Commonwealth Grant Scheme funding, were published recently. This post examines public university funding for ‘higher education…
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Andrew Norton @andrewjnorton.bsky.social · 19/01/2026
A special issue of the Journal of Higher Education Policy and Management will examine the financing of higher education. I'm an co-editor of this issue. Abstracts due 8 June 2026. think.taylorandfrancis.com/special_issu...
think.taylorandfrancis.com
Financing higher education – institutional and student perspectives
Financing higher education, institutional and student perspectives
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Andrew Norton @andrewjnorton.bsky.social · 15/01/2026
My submission to the ATEC bill Senate inquiry is long but my conclusion is concise: the Senate should reject the ATEC legislation. andrewnorton.id.au/2026/01/15/m...
andrewnorton.id.au
My ATEC Senate inquiry submission/legislation analysis
Submissions for the ATEC bills Senate inquiry are appearing on the inquiry’s website. My submission turned into a detailed analysis of the two bills, the main one setting up ATEC and another …
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Andrew Norton @andrewjnorton.bsky.social · 13/01/2026
ATEC commissioners will have significant power over Australian universities. But they may lack the expertise to do their jobs well. andrewnorton.id.au/2026/01/13/t...
andrewnorton.id.au
The Australian Tertiary Education Commission legislation, Part 7, The number of ATEC commissioners and their qualifications
Under the bill to create the Australian Tertiary Education Commission there will be three ATEC commissioners: a Chief Commissioner, a First Nations Commissioner, and a Commissioner. The commissione…
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Andrew Norton @andrewjnorton.bsky.social · 07/01/2026
The Australian Tertiary Education Commission legislation includes another attempt to cap international student numbers. andrewnorton.id.au/2026/01/07/t...
andrewnorton.id.au
The Australian Tertiary Education Commission legislation, Part 6, International student caps
Under legislation to establish the Australian Tertiary Education Commission, introduced into Parliament in November 2025, a function of ATEC is to ‘allocate a maximum number of international studen…
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Andrew Norton @andrewjnorton.bsky.social · 16/12/2025
Updated data for *Mapping Australian higher education* including enrolments, finances and graduate outcomes. andrewnorton.id.au/2025/12/16/m...
andrewnorton.id.au
Mapping Australian higher education – December 2025 data update
To prolong the life of Mapping Australian higher education 2023 I have been updating a spreadsheet which contains the data behind the charts and tables. The December 2025 Mapping data update is her…
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Andrew Norton @andrewjnorton.bsky.social · 08/12/2025
Under the ATEC legislation, academics would be removed from the advisory panel on higher education standards, and replaced by the ATEC Commissioners. andrewnorton.id.au/2025/12/08/t...
andrewnorton.id.au
The Australian Tertiary Education Commission legislation, Part 5, ATEC, TEQSA and the Threshold Standards
Under the legislation to establish the Australian Tertiary Education Commission, introduced into Parliament late last month, ATEC would advise the minister on the Higher Education Threshold Standar…
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Andrew Norton @andrewjnorton.bsky.social · 04/12/2025
The Australian Tertiary Education Commission's staff will be Department of Education employees. andrewnorton.id.au/2025/12/04/t...
andrewnorton.id.au
The Australian Tertiary Education Commission legislation, Part 4, ATEC’s independence from the government
The Universities Accord Final Report recommended that ATEC be an ‘independent statutory authority … to enable it to provide robust advice and support evidence-based decision making and …
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