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Andi Shehu

@andishehu.bsky.social
249 followers 908 following 160 posts

Policy analyst & historian · EU & world Economics, climate, international politics For people who want the mechanism, not the headline

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Andi Shehu @andishehu.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
Nel 2026 l'Ue ha reso vincolante il taglio del 90% delle emissioni al 2040. Nello stesso pacchetto ha però introdotto fino al 5% di crediti internazionali dal 2036, l'uso di rimozioni permanenti di carbonio e più flessibilità tra settori. Registrazione: www.thegoodlobby.it/eventi/europ... 1/3
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Andi Shehu @andishehu.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
Europe is about to spend more on defence: €800 billion mobilised, a joint borrowing instrument in SAFE, a NATO target of 5% by 2035. Given Russia's war and an unreliable American guarantee, the focus on defence is justified. However, what travels alongside the money? 🧵
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Andi Shehu @andishehu.bsky.social · 05/07/2026
Europe is writing its biggest defence cheques since the Cold War: €800bn, 5% of GDP and conscription returning. The threat from Russia is real, Usa is destrying NATO from within. So Europe must indeed take defense in its own hands. 1/2
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Andi Shehu @andishehu.bsky.social · 29/06/2026
Albania's government paid an American firm to prove the protests were a foreign "hybrid war." Out of 879,067 messages, the report found seven tied to Russia. Seven. So the government had to admit the grievances were legitimate.
shehuandi.substack.com
The Pelican and the Flamingo
How Albania learned to defend a lagoon, and to stop fleeing West
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Andi Shehu @andishehu.bsky.social · 28/06/2026
Some things — land, water, a coastline — were never made to be sold. Karl Polanyi's name for what happens next: the double movement. First everything is auctioned; then a society rises to take back what's left open.substack.com/pub/shehuand...
open.substack.com
The Pelican and the Flamingo
How Albania learned to defend a lagoon, and to stop fleeing West
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Andi Shehu @andishehu.bsky.social · 27/06/2026
We all think: corruption is the disease, fighting it is the cure. The opposite can be true. 🧵 1/4
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Andi Shehu @andishehu.bsky.social · 27/06/2026
I'm Andi, trained as a chemist but I liked history more and become one. In my free time, I try to make Europe's decisions legible: in essays and short videos about economics, climate and international politics. 📩 The Continental Brief, my newsletter (free): shehuandi.substack.com
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Andi Shehu @andishehu.bsky.social · 22/06/2026
Two men, same job, same age, same company (Amazon). One earns more... and is more likely to die young. He's the American. A rich American and a poor German now have roughly the same odds of reaching 75. So tell me again which continent is "in decline." open.substack.com/pub/shehuand...
open.substack.com
Mismeasured
Why does Europe keep being told that it is the one in decline?
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Andi Shehu @andishehu.bsky.social · 12/06/2026
1/ Italy pays guards in Albania to watch empty cells. The EU just made this the model for the continent. I wrote about how a failed experiment became Europe's strictest migration law; and why it was never really failing: shehuandi.substack.com/p/the-returns
shehuandi.substack.com
The Returns
Europe tested its deportation machine. It failed. So it became the law of the continent.
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Andi Shehu @andishehu.bsky.social · 06/06/2026
1/2 Rama says that if it were not Jared Kushner, Albanians would not care. I think the opposite is true. Kushner is the reason the world is looking, but he is not the reason Albanians are angry. Link: open.substack.com/pub/shehuand...
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Andi Shehu @andishehu.bsky.social · 01/06/2026
1/8 Russian frozen assets: Belgium did not volunteer to become the keeper of Europe’s most dangerous liability. That is the part of the frozen Russian assets debate that keeps getting confused. open.substack.com/pub/shehuand...
open.substack.com
The Back Office of Reparations
What €193 billion in a Belgian custody account tells us about European power
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Andi Shehu @andishehu.bsky.social · 27/04/2026
The leadership of the country that just killed the leaders of another country weeks ago tells us that political violence is not the answer.
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Volt Italia @voltitalia.it · 28/01/2026
Meloni definisce “motore europeo” l’asse con Merz: in realtà è un patto tra due economie fragili, senza investimenti, senza politica industriale, senza visione. Perché deregulation e slogan non creano crescita. Così l’Europa però non accelera, deraglia. Con @andishehu.bsky.social
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Andi Shehu @andishehu.bsky.social · 25/01/2026
For decades, Europe accepted a bargain: US security guarantees in exchange for markets, stability, alignment. It was imperfect but it helped reduce conflict and produce prosperity. That bargain broke. The time of monsters is upon us and it is based on predation 1/4
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Andi Shehu @andishehu.bsky.social · 19/01/2026
Here we go with Nixon's "Madman Theory" update. Now it comes wrapped with no theory, but with a real-world madman.
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Andi Shehu @andishehu.bsky.social · 19/01/2026
"Do you support starting WWIII because Trump couldn't get his Nobel Peace Prize?"
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Andi Shehu @andishehu.bsky.social · 19/01/2026
Trying to foment a war within NATO and a civil war while grasping for the Nobel Peace Prize has to be peak insanity. Yet, I'm sure it'll get worse.
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Volt Italia @voltitalia.it · 13/01/2026
In Iran servono 100 anni di stipendi per una casa e il pane costa il 72% in più. Intanto, il regime reprime chi protesta mentre il Paese crolla. Volt sta con chi resiste: servono sanzioni mirate, protezione per gli iraniani e una condanna netta della repressione. Con @andishehu.bsky.social
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Andi Shehu @andishehu.bsky.social · 11/01/2026
What we’re seeing isn’t a revival of nineteenth-century imperialism. It’s an interregnum: a moment where the old ordering stories have collapsed, but no new ones have replaced them. 1/2
open.substack.com
The Time of Monsters
Between resource imperialism and imperial cosplay
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Volt Italia @voltitalia.it · 08/01/2026
Il governo Meloni è stabile, sì. Ma l’Italia cresce poco e i salari reali arretrano: spread basso e mercati tranquilli non bastano se produttività, investimenti e innovazione restano fermi. Perché la stabilità senza scelte coraggiose è semplice immobilismo. Con @andishehu.bsky.social
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Volt Italia @voltitalia.it · 06/01/2026
Il diritto internazionale è imperfetto, spesso ipocrita. Ma costringe il potere a una lingua contestabile e permette di reagire alle violazioni. Il vero pericolo è il cinismo, che normalizza la legge del più forte: difendere il diritto internazionale è politica! Con @andishehu.bsky.social
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Andi Shehu @andishehu.bsky.social · 05/01/2026
Venezuela exposed a fault line in the rules-based order. Condemning violations is easy when they come from adversaries. Europe’s ambiguity isn’t neutral. It’s a surrender of agency and it surrenders the language of sovereignty to far right actors. Does Europe have a problem with sovereignty?
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Andi Shehu @andishehu.bsky.social · 02/01/2026
The real numbers on the Russian economy. Here for the full analysis: open.substack.com/pub/shehuand...
open.substack.com
Potemkin Boom
How Russia Is Cannibalising Its Own Future
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Andi Shehu @andishehu.bsky.social · 02/01/2026
Russia’s economy didn’t collapse after 2022 But resilience isn’t the same as health. War spending boosts GDP while hollowing out labour supply, civilian investment and long-term growth. Growth that looks stable while consuming its own future. Full analysis: open.substack.com/pub/shehuand...
open.substack.com
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Andi Shehu @andishehu.bsky.social · 30/12/2025
Una cifra completamente inadeguata
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Volt Italia @voltitalia.it · 30/12/2025
Draghi è netto: per la competitività europea servono 800 miliardi di investimenti aggiuntivi ogni anno. La risposta UE in discussione è 409 miliardi in 7 anni e partirebbe dal 2028. Ma USA e Cina investono ora: se l’Europa aspetta, perde industria, lavoro e tecnologia. Con @andishehu.bsky.social
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Scott Hielen @scotthielen.bsky.social · 28/12/2025
Good insight and analysis that reframes Europe’s condition as more “suspended animation” rather than a trajectory of decline. “This is not a technical debate. It is a political one with a clear-cut question: Is Europe willing to pool risk in order to pool power?”
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Andi Shehu @andishehu.bsky.social · 27/12/2025
Everyone keeps asking whether Europe is “declining”. That’s the wrong question. Europe is wealthy enough to avoid collapse and comfortable enough to avoid decisions. I unpack the data, the myth and the political consequences here 👇 shehuandi.substack.com/p/europe-is-...
shehuandi.substack.com
Europe is not in decline. It is in suspension.
Europe’s priorities for 2026 have been chosen.
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Andi Shehu @andishehu.bsky.social · 26/12/2025
Meloni Is being normalized in Europe. Is that correct? Data says no. English subtitles
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Volt Italia @voltitalia.it · 26/12/2025
Nel 2025 quasi il 70% delle dichiarazioni pubbliche di Giorgia Meloni verificate da Pagella Politica è risultato impreciso o inaffidabile. Non è un dettaglio tecnico: è una questione di democrazia. Chi guida un Paese ha il dovere di dire la verità, non di manipolarla. Con @andishehu.bsky.social
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Volt Italia @voltitalia.it · 24/12/2025
Gli Stati Uniti hanno negato il visto a un ex Commissario UE per aver applicato il Digital Services Act, la legge UE che impone regole alle Big Tech. Se far rispettare diritti digitali comporta sanzioni personali, è la sovranità dell’Europa a essere in pericolo. Con @andishehu.bsky.social
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Andi Shehu @andishehu.bsky.social · 09/12/2025
“There is no alternative.” I must have heard this phrase, or one of its cousins, a thousand times. From policy panels to dinner tables, from party manifestos to op-eds that result into one long resignation sigh. A reflection 🧵 1/
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Francesca Romana D'Antuono @francescaromanadantuono.volteuropa.org · 18/03/2025
#Draghi presenta il suo rapporto al Senato oggi, con @andishehu.bsky.social lo avevo analizzato a Settembre su #ThePostInternazionale Competitività, diritti sociali e transizione ecologica non sono in contraddizione se c'è volontà politica www.thepostinternazionale.it/2024/09/26/m...
thepostinternazionale.it
Luci e ombre del Rapporto Draghi sulla competitività Ue
Com'è profondo il Mario: luci e ombre del Rapporto Draghi sulla competitività Ue. L'approfondimento sul nuovo numero di TPI
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Andi Shehu @andishehu.bsky.social · 12/03/2025
So tired of winning already
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Andi Shehu @andishehu.bsky.social · 11/03/2025
When you literally read a sales pitch. Corruption out in the open.
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Andi Shehu @andishehu.bsky.social · 11/03/2025
Just months ago, Tesla's market capitalization soared by $733 billion, one of the most rapid surges in S&P 500 history. Fast forward to today, and that same valuation has plummeted by 54%, raising the hope of seing Tesla go even further down along with Musk. 1/6
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Andi Shehu @andishehu.bsky.social · 11/03/2025
Are you tired of winning already?
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Andi Shehu @andishehu.bsky.social · 10/03/2025
The US is really losing its mind. This is nuts.
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Andi Shehu @andishehu.bsky.social · 10/03/2025
His conspiracy theory or this is just the product of his idea of efficiency
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Andi Shehu @andishehu.bsky.social · 10/03/2025
Today Twitter's down repeatedly, a great analogy to where Musk is leading the US with his DOGE
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Andi Shehu @andishehu.bsky.social · 10/03/2025
Reading White House cabinet meetings feels like walking into a toddler’s room before nap time
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Andi Shehu @andishehu.bsky.social · 09/03/2025
Since when did the US become so needy?
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Andi Shehu @andishehu.bsky.social · 08/03/2025
Have you seen headlines claiming the EU will spend an extra €800 billion on defense through the ReArm Europe plan? Sounds impressive, right? But let's pause for a moment, because there are some assumptions to clarify. How did we arrive at €800 billion? 1/6
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Andi Shehu @andishehu.bsky.social · 07/03/2025
Sudan is finally back on the European Parliament’s agenda! How did we get here? A small thread with a few lessons 1/
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Andi Shehu @andishehu.bsky.social · 07/03/2025
🚨 Another transparency scandal in the European Parliament Ex-Israeli military officials from IDSF—known for their extreme stance on Gaza—gained unauthorized access to the EP for over a year, bypassing lobbying rules. And some MEPs never declared their meetings. 1/3 www.ftm.eu/articles/isr...
ftm.eu
Exposed: The opaque lobby of high-ranking Israeli officers in Brussels
A group of high-ranking Israeli military personnel gained access to the European Parliament without accreditation. Known as the IDSF, the group is infamous for its extreme line on Gaza.
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Andi Shehu @andishehu.bsky.social · 25/02/2025
Another day of craziness and chaos in German politics The CDU manifesto declares that the "debt brake"—Merkel’s policy and infamous fetish of German fiscal superiority over debt-ridden Southern Europe—is absolutely untouchable. Merz repeatedly vowed to never, ever touch it 1/3
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Andi Shehu @andishehu.bsky.social · 24/02/2025
Life expectancy in Gaza is now the lowest in the entire world. A study on The Lancet reveals that within just 12 months, life expectancy in Gaza plummeted from 75.5 to 40.5 years—a drop of nearly 35 years under the central scenario. Men lost about 38 years while women lost around 30 years. 1/2
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Andi Shehu @andishehu.bsky.social · 20/02/2025
HSBC is another bank to push its net‑zero target into the future. They gave themselves 20 years of free pass, delaying commitments from 2030 to 2050. They did so while giving a fat bonus to the CEO: 600% of his salary. Corporations cannot decide our future. www.theguardian.com/business/202...
theguardian.com
HSBC net zero goal delayed 20 years, as CEO offered 600% bonus
Bank is criticised for pushing climate targets to 2050 and watering down environmental goals
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Francesca Romana D'Antuono @francescaromanadantuono.volteuropa.org · 19/02/2025
In 24h #Trump ha detto che #Zelensky è un dittatore che ha iniziato la guerra. Basta con i lunghi processi inconcludenti, le riunioni di burocrati, i Paesi che hanno voce e quelli di serie B. Facciamo l'#UnioneEuropea ORA, con un esercito, un budget e una politica estera comune!
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Andi Shehu @andishehu.bsky.social · 19/02/2025
Tough times ahead
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