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Davud Rostam-Afschar

@almostsurely.bsky.social
650 followers 465 following 18 posts

Prof. @ Uni Mannheim rostam-afschar.de

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Davud Rostam-Afschar @almostsurely.bsky.social · 24/11/2025
What do employers think about AI? Who benefits from AI? How are the labor market and qualification requirements adapting? Check out our new discussion paper: arxiv.org/abs/2510.21959
arxiv.org
Beliefs about Bots: How Employers Plan for AI in White-Collar Work
We provide experimental evidence on how employers adjust expectations to automation risk in high-skill, white-collar work. Using a randomized information intervention among tax advisors in Germany, we...
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Davud Rostam-Afschar @almostsurely.bsky.social · 04/10/2025
Excellent workshop, great discussions, and a fantastic venue! I presented new work (in progress) with Eckhard Janeba, Felix Köhler and Paul Steger on what the city of Mainz did with its excess tax revenue of 3.3 billion € or about 12,600 per capita due to the breakthrough of its superstar firm.
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Reposted by Davud Rostam-Afschar
Daniel Zhao @danielzhao.bsky.social · 13/08/2025
State of the tech job market halfway through 2025? Still stagnant, still not much better than the last 2.5 yrs. Tech employment has dropped modestly from its Dec 2022 peak, falling 1.9%, or 76,000 jobs, with no improvement in 2025, despite the hype around AI + data center investment. 1/
Bar chart of month over month change payroll employment in manually defined tech industry. In H1 2025, 2,000 jobs were lost on average monthly. This is a continuation of stagnation/modest job losses in tech started at the beginning of 2023.

Sourced using data from Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics from the July 2025 release.Line chart of payroll employment in manually defined tech industry. Tech employment is down 1.9% from the December 2022 peak or 76,000 fewer jobs.

Sourced using data from Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics from the July 2025 release.
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Davud Rostam-Afschar @almostsurely.bsky.social · 18/08/2025
Unternehmer in Deutschland sind zwar skeptisch und unzufrieden, aber die positiven Erwartungen auf das kurz- und mittelfristige Wirtschaftswachstum drücken doch einen gesunden Optimismus aus. Oder bin ich zu pessimistisch? Mehr Einschätzungen 👇
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Davud Rostam-Afschar @almostsurely.bsky.social · 18/08/2025
Zölle sind immer noch aktuell...und aus US Sicht ist die Handelspolitik eher systematisch als erratisch.
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Davud Rostam-Afschar @almostsurely.bsky.social · 06/05/2025
What is behind tax elasticities? Often we think firms move when taxes increase. Asked directly, they indeed complain but experimental evidence shows they will not act. Instead tax cuts attract investments. Tax policy works like a ratchet due to home bias: dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn...
shorturl.at
Local Policy Misperceptions and Investment: Experimental Evidence from Firm Decision Makers
We study firm responses to local policies through a survey experiment, providing randomized information on the competitiveness of business tax rates and highway
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Davud Rostam-Afschar @almostsurely.bsky.social · 30/04/2025
If you do not have money for a student assistant but need an overview of relevant literature, try the Paper Search tool by @eduardbruell.bsky.social👇 I find myself using this quite often. One of the best AI/LLM tools for research. Thanks, Eddy!
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Reposted by Davud Rostam-Afschar
Anna Goeddeke @annagoeddeke.bsky.social · 18/03/2025
Dear #Econsky and #TeachEcon, I promise, I’ll be annoying you with this over the next few weeks! The @eeanews.bsky.social is once again awarding its two Teaching Awards. (1/2)
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Reposted by Davud Rostam-Afschar
John P de New 🇦🇺🇨🇦🇩🇪🇪🇺 @denewjohn.bsky.social · 05/02/2025
Fabulous! Oceania Stata Conference 2025 Melbourne @statacorp.bsky.social surveydesign.com.au Earning while learning: How to run batched bandit experiments Davud Rosam-Afschar University of Mannheim rostam-afschar.de/bbandits/bba...
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Reposted by Davud Rostam-Afschar
John P de New 🇦🇺🇨🇦🇩🇪🇪🇺 @denewjohn.bsky.social · 05/02/2025
See @almostsurely.bsky.social For an excellent presentation
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Davud Rostam-Afschar @almostsurely.bsky.social · 19/12/2024
Written while waiting for an appointment...
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Reposted by Davud Rostam-Afschar
Max Steinhardt @steinhardt.bsky.social · 01/11/2024
The Berlin School of Economics (@bseberlin.bsky.social) invites applications for several Research Associate positions for fixed-term appointments between 3 to 6 year. We're excited to see your application!
berlinschoolofeconomics.de
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Davud Rostam-Afschar @almostsurely.bsky.social · 19/09/2024
Check out @essobecker.bsky.social's list of fun titles 😂 One of my favorite: Children Crying at Birthday Parties. Why? doi.org/10.1007/s001...
doi.org
Children Crying at Birthday Parties. Why? - Economic Theory
We consider the problem of dividing a non-homogeneous one-dimensional continuum whose endpoints are topologically identified. Examples are the division of a birthday cake, the partition of a circular ...
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Davud Rostam-Afschar @almostsurely.bsky.social · 18/09/2024
New working paper "Understanding Firm Dynamics with Daily Data" with Lukas Hack We construct survey-based daily time series on 🔹 sales prices 🔹 dividends 🔹 fixed cost 🔹 R&D investments 🔹 firm survival 🔹 revenue 🔹 investment 🔹 policy satisfaction 🔹 profit 🔹 employment
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Davud Rostam-Afschar @almostsurely.bsky.social · 23/03/2024
Honored and excited to give the NZ Treasury guest lecture next week. Thanks for inviting me! www.treasury.govt.nz/news-and-eve...
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Davud Rostam-Afschar @almostsurely.bsky.social · 10/03/2024
Sydneysiders and Wollongongers: I will be coming to town on 21 and 23 March to share some new research. Let me know if you'd like to catch up!
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Davud Rostam-Afschar @almostsurely.bsky.social · 09/03/2024
I will be presenting some new research in Melbourne at MI. If you are around and would like to meet up, let's get in touch!
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Davud Rostam-Afschar @almostsurely.bsky.social · 18/01/2024
Short guides with tricks and tips to understand and apply econometrics. Covering the classics: Probability, Distributions, OLS, Maximum Likelihood, Generalized Method of Moments. Based on my course at the university of Mannheim: rostam-afschar.de/metricks/met... Hope you find them useful!
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Davud Rostam-Afschar @almostsurely.bsky.social · 06/10/2023
Had a great time at ZEW. Thanks for having me! Stay tuned for some News results www.zew.de/en/events-an...
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