Alex Nikos @alexnikos.bsky.social · 40mI feel like with Sand on top of the ballot that could end up not mattering as much, he could end up eking out a very narrow win 000
Alex Nikos @alexnikos.bsky.social · 11hThis is also why I think 2008-2024 is the slow transitional period to unmake the 6th party system and start the new one 020
Alex Nikos @alexnikos.bsky.social · 11hI think that the collapse of the Bush admin did hurt them in the long run, because ever since, from 2008 to 2024, the majority of the electorate has consistently refused to vote for the GOP, Dems just haven't been able to fully consolidate that majority, yet 110
Alex Nikos @alexnikos.bsky.social · 11hAlso, I barely see anyone talk about this, but I think a political party that has only won the popular vote twice in nearly 40 years, and only won the majority of the vote once, 20 years ago, is probably not doing well 120
Alex Nikos @alexnikos.bsky.social · 11hI could be wrong, but i'm pretty sure the GOP has lost independents in every single election after 2016, including 2024 210
Alex Nikos @alexnikos.bsky.social · 09/10/2026It might actually break right wing brains even more than Obama did, inshallah 110
Alex Nikos @alexnikos.bsky.social · 09/10/2026Him losing to AOC in a landslide in 2028 would be awesome tbh 110
Alex Nikos @alexnikos.bsky.social · 09/10/2026It's so funny how desperate and hysterical conservatives got the moment they thought they had something on him to turn things around 080
Alex Nikos @alexnikos.bsky.social · 09/10/2026My guess is that AES calling him low T hurt him so he's trying to seem more “masculine”, him and the people around him probably think this will make him more appealing because they have the thought process of a chimp 110
Reposted by Alex NikosMayor Zohran Kwame Mamdani @mayor.nyc.gov · 09/10/2026I am angry tonight. Because tonight ICE shot a New Yorker. They shot a New Yorker while his five year old child was in the car. ICE makes this city less safe. We want them out. Now. 11625190913508
Reposted by Alex NikosRep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez @ocasio-cortez.house.gov · 09/10/2026My statement on the ICE shooting in Marble Hill ⬇️ 15259071564
Alex Nikos @alexnikos.bsky.social · 07/10/2026I'm actually shocked she agreed to debate him, I was fully convinced she would just refuse to do it, she's just not good at public speaking 150
Alex Nikos @alexnikos.bsky.social · 06/10/2026I wouldn't be surprised if it surpassed 2018, at the very least 010
Alex Nikos @alexnikos.bsky.social · 06/10/2026With the insane levels of turnout we've been seeing 2025-2026 in special elections, primaries, and now early vote, I genuinely wonder if 2026 is gonna have like presidential level turnout 110
Alex Nikos @alexnikos.bsky.social · 05/10/2026My guess has always been anywhere around D+0-3, now I think it's gonna be more like D+5-7 though I'm okay with anything below that as long as it's a win. Anything beyond 7 points is a “I'll believe it when I see it” type thing 110
Alex Nikos @alexnikos.bsky.social · 05/10/2026And with only a plurality of the vote, less than half of voters actually voted for him (most voters haven't voted republican since 2004) 120
Alex Nikos @alexnikos.bsky.social · 05/10/2026This only makes sense if you think women aren't people btw 010
Alex Nikos @alexnikos.bsky.social · 05/10/2026That's so funny to me, because back in like early 2025 I was wishcasting a D+12 environment so that it would be a 14 point shift, just like the 2008 to 2010 shift, I thought I was mostly joking! 030
Alex Nikos @alexnikos.bsky.social · 03/10/2026If engineering “good vibes” to win elections was possible, Harris would've won 020
Alex Nikos @alexnikos.bsky.social · 02/10/2026Anything below 35% puts us in realignment territory 000
Alex Nikos @alexnikos.bsky.social · 01/10/2026“Why are you judging the Nazi movement by it's most extremist elements like Goebbels” 1130
Alex Nikos @alexnikos.bsky.social · 01/10/2026A lot of the people who claim to be upset by that would be perfectly fine with Carlson endorsing Newsom 140
Alex Nikos @alexnikos.bsky.social · 29/09/2026Just a way for them to not have to say “we were wrong, and they were right” 1150
Alex Nikos @alexnikos.bsky.social · 29/09/2026At least they're not insisting on D+2-4 like they were just a few months ago, that's growth. I also remember some saying Dems couldn't win the senate even if they won Texas lol 111
Alex Nikos @alexnikos.bsky.social · 28/09/2026She would do a lot better than Bernie though, she actually has a real chance 020
Alex Nikos @alexnikos.bsky.social · 26/09/2026It's easy to see 2016 as an accident or a mistake because he actually lost the popular vote, plus no one knew what he was gonna do so it was easier to understand why someone would fall for that. But 2024 was a choice, they knew what he was going to do, and he won the popular vote 010
Alex Nikos @alexnikos.bsky.social · 26/09/2026I also like how these people always ask you “What are you going to do about it?” when they're literally not doing anything, literally less than nothing 010
Alex Nikos @alexnikos.bsky.social · 26/09/2026That level of gleeful doomerism is so gross, imagine talking about something like that in such a smug way, if that were to actually happen why would your priority be to brag about “being right” on the internet 270
Alex Nikos @alexnikos.bsky.social · 26/09/2026I think she believes that if Netanyahu loses everyone will go back to supporting Israel and the past decade or two will be magically undone 0220
Alex Nikos @alexnikos.bsky.social · 25/09/2026More Clinton 2008 voters voted for McCain than Bernie 2016 voters voted for Trump 030
Alex Nikos @alexnikos.bsky.social · 25/09/2026“Can't stop talking about” literally no one's talking about this 030
Alex Nikos @alexnikos.bsky.social · 23/09/2026The incumbent getting below 35% is one of the conditions for a realignment to happen 000
Alex Nikos @alexnikos.bsky.social · 23/09/2026Also, look at who the president is now; you can't really pearl clutch about someone not being qualified when Trump is president, specially when the media is so deferent to him 020
Alex Nikos @alexnikos.bsky.social · 22/09/2026Centrists demanding and expecting Jeffries to be as trusted as Mamdani just because he's on track to be in a position of power is so stupid imo 010
Alex Nikos @alexnikos.bsky.social · 21/09/2026Hey, is it good when the incumbent's approval rating starts getting worse the closer we get to election day? 030
Alex Nikos @alexnikos.bsky.social · 21/09/2026Also, and this is just my opinion, I feel like AOC has more leeway to take her time, given she would have a ton of grassroots and structural support right away. It's not clear to me that it'd be the same for Harris, AOC has a more defined lane that can be consolidated a lot faster 020
Alex Nikos @alexnikos.bsky.social · 15/09/2026There are probably dictatorial regimes with more critical media 010
Alex Nikos @alexnikos.bsky.social · 15/09/2026I don't think there's a real lane for that, most people are not gonna care 010
Alex Nikos @alexnikos.bsky.social · 15/09/2026Isn't she DSA?, if anything she'd be to the left of Bernie, KHive really has no ideology at all 120
Alex Nikos @alexnikos.bsky.social · 12/09/2026The thing i'm worried about is that if/when he wins it'll be taken as “proof” that this stuff not only works but it's “actually necessary” 021
Alex Nikos @alexnikos.bsky.social · 08/09/2026Also, you can't just ignore your base no matter how much you want to; your general election strategies are useless if you can't get through the primary 030
Alex Nikos @alexnikos.bsky.social · 08/09/2026The people saying that it won't matter in 2028 are the same people who say that it wouldn't matter in 2026, just like they said it didn't matter in 2024 031
