Alex Lipp @alexlipp.github.io · 21/06/2026I often think this with respect to sewage spills from water co’s. If Thames *is* renationalised, the pollution doesn’t instantly stop and it’s no longer “sufficient abstract evil shareholder” to blame it’s literally the government. Do you really want to touch that 3rd rail? 010
Alex Lipp @alexlipp.github.io · 16/04/2026Hey thanks for the interest! We are working on this! Hoping to get this sorted soon :) 🏴 110
Alex Lipp @alexlipp.github.io · 16/04/2026Thanks to @mysociety.org for this great focus on SewageMap and what we’re doing to make sewage spill data more transparent! (And how the public can apply pressure for even more data!!) 011
Alex Lipp @alexlipp.github.io · 17/03/2026Hey! Yes, sure, ping me at a dot lipp at ucl dot ac dot uk! That’s great to hear. Would you be happy to share the data about this? I would be keen to hear how that’s going… 001
Alex Lipp @alexlipp.github.io · 16/03/2026what is telling about UUK response is it focuses only on financial costs. EU students in U.K. dropped from 27% to 5% overnight after Brexit. There is clear latent demand that is not being met! As we have learned, student numbers is no limit, so why not diversify where students are coming from! 000
Alex Lipp @alexlipp.github.io · 16/03/2026A proposal that would improve the university sector, bring in external investment and help normalise EU relations… so obviously the gov and UUK are dead against it 101
Alex Lipp @alexlipp.github.io · 27/02/2026Good! I have been keeping a list of other vital environmental datasets and models that were publicly funded but now sit behind a paywall (looking at you CEH 👀). Can we initiate some community efforts to open up all such datasets? A digital right-to-roam as it were… 000
Alex Lipp @alexlipp.github.io · 24/02/2026💯… Sewage pollution is “easy” (ish) to monitor: it’s literally a pipe. Agriculture is so much harder because it’s a diffuse source and not just one evil company to point the finger at… 🤷 010
Alex Lipp @alexlipp.github.io · 20/02/2026giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/... “‘Is university still worth it?’ is the wrong question” 110
Alex Lipp @alexlipp.github.io · 21/01/2026The student-loan system now actively subsidises the rest of the state, fails to adequately support HE, *and* has punitive life-long repayment terms for students 🫠 000
Alex Lipp @alexlipp.github.io · 21/01/2026wonkhe.com/blogs/gradua... Remarkable quote: "We’ve gone from government suggesting that the state would subsidise undergraduate student loans by about 45p in the pound, to making a profit on them for that cohort."wonkhe.comGraduates are paying more and getting lessJim Dickinson traces how a student loans system once sold as cost-sharing has become one where graduates fund everything – and where Labour has quietly reversed promises to make things fairer Jim Dick... 110
Reposted by Alex LippLewis A. Jones (he/him) @lewisajones.bsky.social · 23/12/2025🚨 Pre-announcement! 🚨 We’re hiring for 2 x two-year, full-time roles to join me and the wider @palaeoverse.bsky.social team @es-ucl.bsky.social. - Research Software Engineer (REF: B04-06999): lnkd.in/eNRBiPnP - Community Engagement Coordinator (REF: B04-06998): lnkd.in/ejUACCzn 22330
Alex Lipp @alexlipp.github.io · 11/12/2025This was a very fun project to work on, with some neat stats & maths from fractals to fluid mechanics. We were surprised that for such a high profile dataset like sewage spills there had been such limited public statistical analysis until now! 💩 🧮 🧑💻 eartharxiv.org/repository/v... 8/8 000
Alex Lipp @alexlipp.github.io · 11/12/2025This matters because water companies now need to create hydraulic models of thousands of CSOs to reduce their spilling… but unless they can model infiltration (hard!) they are likely to underestimate the frequency of the most damaging, long duration spills! 7/ www.gov.uk/government/p...gov.ukHow to form, publish and maintain your drainage and wastewater management plan (DWMP) 110
Alex Lipp @alexlipp.github.io · 11/12/2025What causes the heavy tail? When trying to replicate it using hydraulic models we can only do so by including infiltration of groundwater into pipes through cracks… this suggests that these long duration spills are *not* only occurring after heavy rain… eartharxiv.org/repository/v... 6/ 100
Alex Lipp @alexlipp.github.io · 11/12/2025We think this is driven by daily fluctuations in water usage (🚿 💩) which modulates the length of sewage spills… eartharxiv.org/repository/v... 5/ 100
Alex Lipp @alexlipp.github.io · 11/12/2025A total (and cool 🤓) surprise for us, was the discovery of a periodic variation of the misfit to this modelled trend, fluctuating around spills that are multiples of 24 hours long… what’s causing this? eartharxiv.org/repository/v... 4/ 100
Alex Lipp @alexlipp.github.io · 11/12/2025Statistically, this tail is well described by a stretched exponential distribution. It’s not quite as heavy as a power law, but much heavier than a vanilla exponential… eartharxiv.org/repository/v... 3/ 100
Alex Lipp @alexlipp.github.io · 11/12/2025We find that sewage spills follow a very heavy-tailed distribution. 10% of spills account for 85% of all spilling *time*. So, it’s not the infrequent, short spills we should care about, it’s the infrequent long ones… eartharxiv.org/repository/v... 2/ 100
Alex Lipp @alexlipp.github.io · 11/12/2025In our 💫 new preprint 💫 Barney Dobson & I drill into the statistics behind “shitty” headlines like these about the number & duration of sewage pollution spills. We analyse a dataset of nearly 4 million individual #sewage spill events… 1/ eartharxiv.org/repository/v... 110
Alex Lipp @alexlipp.github.io · 15/11/2025OTOH the environment agency *is* massively under-resourced so not totally their fault, *but* this defence is totally inappropriate… You’re an arm of the State, it’s right and good to be subject to criticism and you need to respond to it better than “uwu don’t be so mean” 🙄 010
Reposted by Alex LippBrandon Bishop @brandontbishop.bsky.social · 12/11/2025Many people believe that the way to attract people to the geosciences is via logical, utilitarian returns on an undergraduate degree. But left unexplored is the power of the field's inherent irrational, cosmic horror to command attention. It's 2nd only to astronomy in that, & much more immediate. 6433
Alex Lipp @alexlipp.github.io · 16/10/2025I mean c’mon you’re the CEH! You famously study things that are naturally messy and green and blue! Why opt for…. black with very hard lines?! 020
Alex Lipp @alexlipp.github.io · 16/10/2025so pleased everyone is choosing such unique and distinctive typefaces 110
Alex Lipp @alexlipp.github.io · 16/10/2025Another research institute opting for “short lived AI start-up chic” in their (no doubt vastly expensive) rebranding I see 130
Alex Lipp @alexlipp.github.io · 27/09/2025Finally, the scientific models used by agencies to model nutrient pollution are _remarkably_ opaque and under scrutinised given their ubiquitous importance (as I have written about previously: alexlipp.github.io/posts/2024/0...)alexlipp.github.ioGreater transparency is needed on water quality modelling in the UK - written evidence to Environmental Audit CommitteeThe following was submitted by myself and Dr Gareth Roberts as written evidence to the Environmental Audit Committee’s non-inquiry session into water quality, published here. We highlight that computa... 010
Alex Lipp @alexlipp.github.io · 27/09/2025also the population change assumes (iirc) its all *new* population into catchment, rather than say residents moving *within* catchment (=no net increase). so, population density increasing due to limited supply would be a “win” for nutrient neutrality… 110
Alex Lipp @alexlipp.github.io · 27/09/2025you’re right on the gist (nutrient neutrality is mad) but actually population growth *is* linear with nutrient outflow (ie it’s not a capacity thing). Problem is builders can’t pay to increase treatment efficiency at existing plants (!?) even though that can work… 100
Alex Lipp @alexlipp.github.io · 05/09/2025… and blessed with some Aurora Borealis too! #studygeologyandseethenorthernlights 140
Alex Lipp @alexlipp.github.io · 05/09/2025Stunning conditions (and enthusiastic students!) for the first few days of the @es-ucl.bsky.social mapping course in North West Scotland! ☀️ ⛰️ ⚒️🏴 🗺️ #fieldworkfriday 1102
Alex Lipp @alexlipp.github.io · 26/08/2025Neat idea from psephology that might be useful for geological ternary plots too. Similar to the 4 component solid solution of garnet. 031
Alex Lipp @alexlipp.github.io · 15/08/2025Focus on "universities" raising fees misses the point that the real injustice is the interest rates & repayment thresholds on student debt which I suspect plays greater role in determining how much is paid over a lifetime than the initial "up-front" fees... 010
Alex Lipp @alexlipp.github.io · 15/08/2025Given that universities/gov are savaged in the media even for increasing fees with inflation, is there anything meaningfully lost from advocating for a one-off step change back to an inflation adjusted £9k (~£13k)? 120
Alex Lipp @alexlipp.github.io · 11/08/2025Me to students: "Keep field notebooks legible, and only write down the most relevant information". My own notebooks: 180
Alex Lipp @alexlipp.github.io · 05/08/2025Shocked to hear that Stream, which has given Esri huge sums of bill payer money to create an extremely basic API, has won an award from…. Esri! Trebles all round… 000
Alex Lipp @alexlipp.github.io · 31/07/2025eartharxiv.org/repository/v... In our new preprint we describe in detail the software & workflows behind www.SewageMap.co.uk! One for the open environmental data nerds out there :) 💩 🧑💻 🏞️ 1157
Alex Lipp @alexlipp.github.io · 24/07/2025grass fed “sustainable” rewilding cattle ultimately false solution. Yes, it’s good for climate… but hopelessly not scaleable. Only works if we each only eat one steak every couple of years! So, basically, are vegetarian! 020
Alex Lipp @alexlipp.github.io · 24/07/20251) methane (CH4) has greater greenhouse effect than CO2 so grass fed cattle is partly turning CO2 to CH4 and 2) probably greater effect is opportunity cost of land use. grass fed cattle needs LOADS of grassland which would otherwise be (for instance) forest, wetlands etc… much better for climate 230
Alex Lipp @alexlipp.github.io · 18/07/2025So, whilst a laudable aim on paper im not sure how it’s really enforceable or even if it’s ‘fair’ to enforce it (assuming I have understood it) 000
Alex Lipp @alexlipp.github.io · 18/07/2025…and selecting one year as your baseline is very silly. Last year was very very wet and this year is very very dry. So, 2025 has already seen less than half the amount of spills than 2024 but purely out of changes in the weather. 100
Alex Lipp @alexlipp.github.io · 18/07/2025“From 2021 levels” I predict will result in future confusion. We only have had consistent sewer overflow monitoring data since *2023*… 2021 data is only partial. Not a good thing to use as a benchmark (imo) 100
Alex Lipp @alexlipp.github.io · 14/07/2025Related reminder that the student loan repayment threshold for current students is now *£25000*... i.e., if you now graduate and get *any full time job* you will be paying back your loan. (www.gov.uk/repaying-you...) 34111
Reposted by Alex LippStephen Bush @stephenkb.bsky.social · 02/07/2025Shamelessly replugging this from two years ago. We would never look at the proportion of, say, schools, that don't turn out literate pupils and go 'oh well, probably those kids were better off out of it'. We shouldn't view the short tail of bad courses and/or outcomes any differently:ft.comEveryone needs educating in the fight over university degreesPolitical confusion over the purpose of these institutions means the obvious fixes are being neglected 39722
Alex Lipp @alexlipp.github.io · 27/06/2025Hi Ned! Thanks! You can drop me a Bluesky message if you want! Or you can email me, my contacts are at: alexlipp.github.io Sadly there are currently issues with the input data stream (beyond my control unfortunately) which is creating some issues which may be behind this!alexlipp.github.ioDr Alex Lipp 010
Alex Lipp @alexlipp.github.io · 04/06/2025😭 (Although, providing summaries of long technical documents for non-technical audiences in a non-critical capacity seems like actually quite a good use of AI?!) 010