Alex Thomas @alexhousethomas.bsky.social · 09/10/2026I've talked to Democratic leaders and PACs about whether there's any interest in boosting Shoffner (similar to what's happening in Kansas' U.S. Senate race), and that interest isn't there (at least for the time being). There's still time on the calendar, and we really need some objective polls. 000
Alex Thomas @alexhousethomas.bsky.social · 09/10/2026The America One Policies survey from February/March showed Cotton leading Shoffner 58% to 36%. 100
Alex Thomas @alexhousethomas.bsky.social · 09/10/2026As for GrayHouse, it has done work for Republicans in the past. One client: America One Policies, a 501(c)4 that has contributed money to America One, a super PAC flooding the state with anti-Shoffner ads.arkansasonline.comSuper PAC spends more than $730,000 in July to oppose Democratic Senate candidate Hallie Shoffner | Arkansas Democrat GazetteWASHINGTON -- A super PAC ended July by spending more than $730,000 opposing the Democratic candidate in Arkansas' U.S. Senate contest, according to recent Federal Election Commission filings. 100
Alex Thomas @alexhousethomas.bsky.social · 09/10/2026Before anyone thinks this poll shows the race is over ... We don't have multiple (and recent) objective, nonpartisan polls for #ARSen. There's the Hendrix College poll from August, and that's it. 121
Alex Thomas @alexhousethomas.bsky.social · 09/10/2026New poll alert: GrayHouse has released a survey showing Sen. Tom Cotton is leading Halle Shoffner 50% to 39%. Source: x.com/LandonWall_/...x.comLandon Wall (@LandonWall_) on XSenator Tom Cotton maintains a double-digit lead in Arkansas, 50% to 39%, in a new GrayHouse poll of likely voters. As Arkansans learn more about Democratic candidate Hallie Shoffner, her image has b... 200
Alex Thomas @alexhousethomas.bsky.social · 05/10/2026Some news this morning: House Democrats, through the DCCC, have put Chris Jones in its “Red to Blue” program, offering resources and momentum to a campaign looking to flip Arkansas’ 2nd District.arkansasonline.comHouse Democrats’ campaign arm boosting resources for Chris Jones in race for Arkansas’ 2nd District | Arkansas Democrat GazetteWASHINGTON -- National Democrats believe they can flip Arkansas' 2nd Congressional District in next month's midterm elections, and one group is providing resources to candidate Chris Jones to make tha... 030
Alex Thomas @alexhousethomas.bsky.social · 03/10/2026Hallie Shoffner, who's challenging Cotton this fall: "Do you know what else we don’t like? "$4/gal gas and $6.50/gal diesel" 020
Alex Thomas @alexhousethomas.bsky.social · 03/10/2026Cotton: "No one likes changing the clock, me included, but Congress has enacted permanent Daylight Savings Time multiple times before and repealed it each time once Americans experienced absurdly late sunrises in the winter." 110
Alex Thomas @alexhousethomas.bsky.social · 03/10/2026A quiet Saturday: On Truth Social, Trump urges Sen. Tom Cotton to back down from his opposition to making Daylight Saving Time permanent, and apparently shares the senator's *cell phone number* to get people to urge Cotton to change his mind. 112
Alex Thomas @alexhousethomas.bsky.social · 30/09/2026Arkansas Gov. Sarah Huckabee Sanders has signed an executive order allowing farmers to use tax-free dyed diesel on highways, citing high fuel prices. Sen. Cotton called on federal officials in March to pause penalties for farmers wishing to use this fuel for highway travel.arkansasonline.comCotton asks federal officials to let farmers use tax-exempt off-road diesel fuel on roads | Arkansas Democrat GazetteWASHINGTON -- U.S. Sen. Tom Cotton, R-Ark., wants the federal government to temporarily pause penalties for using off-road diesel for on-road use as fuel prices rise amid the ongoing Iran war. 011
Alex Thomas @alexhousethomas.bsky.social · 25/09/2026A final debate schedule from Arkansas TV. Cotton has NOT committed to taking part in a televised debate with Shoffner and Wadlin. 130
Alex Thomas @alexhousethomas.bsky.social · 21/09/2026Get ready for another round of super PAC ads in Arkansas' Senate race: America One has dropped $446,005 in media production and placement opposing Democrat Hallie Shoffner. 110
Alex Thomas @alexhousethomas.bsky.social · 18/09/2026Terri Womack, the congressman's wife, died in January. "While there is a hole in my heart, I am comforted to know that they are reunited in heaven with friends and family, and that one day, I will see them both again," he said.x.comRep. Steve Womack (@rep_stevewomack) on X2026 has been a difficult year. On January 18, 2026, I lost my wife of 41 years, Terri Womack, and today on September 17, 2026, I have lost my mother, Liz Rider, at the age of 92. Together, I was blessed with nearly 111 years of bliss with these two extraordinary women. While there is a hole in my … 000
Alex Thomas @alexhousethomas.bsky.social · 18/09/2026Rep. Steve Womack has announced the death of his mother, Liz Rider. She was 92 years old. "She raised seven children and loved each of us deeply. I was fortunate to share a remarkable relationship with my mother throughout my nearly 70 years on this earth." 101
Alex Thomas @alexhousethomas.bsky.social · 17/09/2026It's not uncommon for farmers and other producers to travel to Washington to advocate for various issues. But after years of poor economic conditions and a spike in input prices thanks to the Iran war, Arkansas agriculture leaders are pressuring Congress to do something for a struggling industry.arkansasonline.comArkansas agriculture leaders push Congress to help struggling farmers | Arkansas Democrat GazetteWASHINGTON -- After years of poor economic conditions, Arkansas agriculture leaders traveled to Capitol Hill this week to stress the needs of a struggling industry. 011
Alex Thomas @alexhousethomas.bsky.social · 17/09/2026"Usually, when I would express an opinion about what LSU was doing, Lane would reply with a screenshot from ChatGPT that supported LSU's position, which was almost always wrong." www.espn.com/college-foot...espn.comInside the SEC's tangled legal battle with LSU and Lane KiffinIt's a twisted tale of grandstanding politicians, colorful characters and college football's most polarizing figure. 000
Alex Thomas @alexhousethomas.bsky.social · 16/09/2026Sabato's Crystal Ball at UVA has changed its rating for the 2nd Congressional District contest (Hill v. Jones) from Safe Republican to Likely Republican. Not a major change, but still a change the Jones campaign will like. centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/...centerforpolitics.org 001
Alex Thomas @alexhousethomas.bsky.social · 15/09/2026French Hill and GT Thompson on the Senate's failure to move forward with the CLARITY Act: "We remain committed to continuing to work with our Senate colleagues to send critical framework legislation to the President’s desk that secures the United States’ leadership in financial innovation." 020
Alex Thomas @alexhousethomas.bsky.social · 15/09/2026Shoffner HAS accepted the Salem Media debate invite. “And if this is the only debate Tom Cotton will agree to... “Bring. It. On.” 011
Alex Thomas @alexhousethomas.bsky.social · 14/09/2026From me: It’s unclear whether the three candidates for Arkansas' U.S. Senate seat will debate this fall. Democrat Hallie Shoffner and Libertarian Jeff Wadlin have accepted Arkansas TV’s invitation, but Republican Tom Cotton has not. Instead, he has agreed to an event by conservative Salem Media.share.googleArkansas’ U.S. Senate candidates consider debates hosted in state | Arkansas Democrat GazetteWASHINGTON -- With less than two months until Election Day, it is unclear whether the three candidates for Arkansas' U.S. Senate seat will share a debate stage this fall. 122
Alex Thomas @alexhousethomas.bsky.social · 09/09/2026Before the GOP midterm convention gets too underway, I should mention none of Arkansas' members of Congress are scheduled to speak tonight or tomorrow. Neither is Arkansas Gov. Sanders. 000
Reposted by Alex ThomasCaitlyn Kim @caitlynkim.bsky.social · 03/09/2026Can a Democrat flip the state’s reddest seat? Eileen Laubacher is trying www.cpr.org/2026/09/03/d... #copolitics #CO04cpr.orgCan a Democrat flip the state’s reddest seat? Eileen Laubacher is tryingThe Democrat is facing off against Republican Rep. Lauren Boebert in the 4th Congressional District seat, hoping to build on voter’s discontent with cost of living and Trump’s policies. 0187
Alex Thomas @alexhousethomas.bsky.social · 02/09/2026The email has a link to the following donation option. 010
Alex Thomas @alexhousethomas.bsky.social · 02/09/2026Keep in mind, Cotton ended June with a significant cash on hand advantage over Shoffner ($9.9 million v. $864,000), although Shoffner did receive more contributions than the senator in the last quarter.arkansasonline.comCotton still tops total campaign funds in Senate race, but Shoffner reports most contributions last quarter | Arkansas Democrat GazetteWASHINGTON -- U.S. Sen. Tom Cotton, R-Ark., still has the financial advantage in this year's Senate contest, but Democratic challenger Hallie Shoffner received more contributions than the incumbent du... 111
Alex Thomas @alexhousethomas.bsky.social · 02/09/2026From Cotton's campaign (in a fundraising email): "Hallie Shoffner has been raising MILLIONS of dollars. And not just from Arkansans. She said she’s seen a WAVE of donations come in from across the entire country." 211
Alex Thomas @alexhousethomas.bsky.social · 26/08/2026Keep in mind that national Republicans tried to tie Harris' appearance at a state Democratic Party dinner in April to Shoffner, who did not attend. bsky.app/profile/alex... 000
Alex Thomas @alexhousethomas.bsky.social · 26/08/2026The Cotton campaign is using this endorsement to go after Hallie Shoffner, who has made small donations to Harris and other Democrats. Spokesperson James Arnold: "Arkansans deserve to know whether Hallie Shoffner has sought this endorsement, and if not, why not?" 100
Reposted by Alex ThomasAlex Thomas @alexhousethomas.bsky.social · 25/08/2026From me: As President Trump explores waiving higher tariffs on some beef imports, Arkansas cattle leaders say the president should be doing more to help domestic producers. "We understand the need for imports, but can we play at a level playing field here?"arkansasonline.comArkansas cattle leaders predict no gains from Trump beef import plan | Arkansas Democrat GazetteWASHINGTON -- Arkansas cattle leaders dismissed President Donald Trump's plan to waive higher tariffs on some beef imports, emphasizing that domestic cattle producers need help with their herds. 001
Alex Thomas @alexhousethomas.bsky.social · 26/08/2026Former VP Harris has endorsed Chris Jones in Arkansas' 2nd District contest: "At a moment when so many people are hurting – when the cost of housing, groceries, gas, health care, and child care is squeezing families – Dr. Chris Jones has made it clear that he will work every day to lower costs." 101
Alex Thomas @alexhousethomas.bsky.social · 25/08/2026From me: As President Trump explores waiving higher tariffs on some beef imports, Arkansas cattle leaders say the president should be doing more to help domestic producers. "We understand the need for imports, but can we play at a level playing field here?"arkansasonline.comArkansas cattle leaders predict no gains from Trump beef import plan | Arkansas Democrat GazetteWASHINGTON -- Arkansas cattle leaders dismissed President Donald Trump's plan to waive higher tariffs on some beef imports, emphasizing that domestic cattle producers need help with their herds. 001
Alex Thomas @alexhousethomas.bsky.social · 25/08/2026Sen. Cotton: "Dolly Parton’s legacy was more than just music. She left a profound impact on Arkansas children through her Imagination Library. May she rest in peace." 100
Reposted by Alex ThomasLibrary of Congress @librarycongress.bsky.social · 25/08/2026The Library is devastated to learn of the passing of Dolly Parton, a music legend and titan of children's literacy. Her Imagination Library program has earned multiple Library Literacy Awards and, in 2018, she visited us to donate its 100 millionth book to our collection and host a story time. 🦋❤️ 194335057162
Alex Thomas @alexhousethomas.bsky.social · 25/08/2026A little update: One of the super PACs in this story, Arkansans for Democracy and Justice, has filed a termination report with the FEC. One of its final transactions: A $3872.98 contribution refund to America One. 000
Alex Thomas @alexhousethomas.bsky.social · 21/08/2026For those wondering if this poll has shaken analysts' projections of Arkansas' U.S. Senate contest, it has not. Still solid Republican from the Cook Political Report: www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/sena... Still safe Republican from Sabato's Crystal Ball: centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/...cookpolitical.com2026 CPR Senate Race ratings | Cook Political Report2026 CPR Senate Race Ratings: current 7-point ratings (Solid D to Solid R) for all 35 Senate seats up in 2026, updated regularly by our nonpartisan analysts. 120
Alex Thomas @alexhousethomas.bsky.social · 20/08/2026If you want to go back to the last presidential election, TBP/Hendrix released a poll with Trump leading Harris 55%-40%. Trump would win Arkansas with 64.2% of the vote. talkbusiness.net/2024/09/poll...talkbusiness.netPoll: Trump has commanding lead over Harris in Arkansas - Talk Business & PoliticsHaving won over 60% of the vote in Arkansas in his two previous Presidential general elections, it should be no surprise that former President Donald Trump has a commanding lead... 000
Alex Thomas @alexhousethomas.bsky.social · 20/08/2026Nate Silver gives Hendrix College, which did the poll with TBP, a B/C grade. www.natesilver.net/p/pollster-r...natesilver.netSilver Bulletin pollster ratings, 2026 updateAll the numbers for every pollster, fully updated after 2025. 100
Alex Thomas @alexhousethomas.bsky.social · 19/08/2026When Cotton won reelection in November 2020, an October 2020 poll had him leading Libertarian Ricky Dale Harrington Jr. 62.5% to 27.5%. Democrats did not have a candidate on Election Day. Cotton would win the contest with 66.5% of the vote. talkbusiness.net/2020/10/trum...talkbusiness.netPoll: Trump, Cotton on cruise control for re-election in Arkansas - Talk Business & PoliticsArkansas’ six electoral votes are heavily favored to go to President Donald Trump, and one of his main allies, U.S. Sen. Tom Cotton, should return to Washington, D.C. regardless of... 100
Alex Thomas @alexhousethomas.bsky.social · 19/08/2026 🚨 #ARSen poll news from Talk Business and Politics: Democrat Hallie Shoffner leads Republican Tom Cotton 47.4% to 44%. 5.65% are undecided. The poll has a 4.7% margin of error. talkbusiness.net/2026/08/poll...talkbusiness.netPoll: Tight race for US Senate between Cotton, Shoffner - Talk Business & PoliticsDemocratic U.S. Senate candidate Hallie Shoffner holds a slim lead over incumbent Republican U.S. Sen. Tom Cotton, but the race is within the statewide survey’s margin of error of 4.7%.... 100
Alex Thomas @alexhousethomas.bsky.social · 06/08/2026Our coverage of today's hearing and what's next for the chair, Arkansas' John Boozman: www.arkansasonline.com/news/2026/au...arkansasonline.comU.S. Senate committee fails to advance farm bill, Boozman charts path forward | Arkansas Democrat GazetteWASHINGTON -- A U.S. Senate committee recessed Thursday without advancing a sweeping farm bill, as lawmakers were unable to find common ground on impending nutrition assistance costs facing states. 000
Alex Thomas @alexhousethomas.bsky.social · 06/08/2026Democratic Senate candidate Hallie Shoffner: "Had I been on that committee today, I would have voted to advance it because ‘something’ matters when it comes to crop insurance, conservation funding, and safety net programs to keep a farm in business." 100
Alex Thomas @alexhousethomas.bsky.social · 05/08/20262040 Strategy Group: "Overall, this analysis shows potential for Shoffner to capitalize on weak support for the incumbent, Tom Cotton. At baseline, we note significant dissatisfaction with Cotton — whose unfavorables are much higher than Shoffner's." 000
Alex Thomas @alexhousethomas.bsky.social · 05/08/2026Add this to the pile of good news for Arkansas Democrats, I suppose: Senate candidate Hallie Shoffner has released a poll showing Republican Tom Cotton leading 46%-43% with a 4% margin of error. 2040 Strategy Group conducted the poll among 586 likely voters. 100
Alex Thomas @alexhousethomas.bsky.social · 05/08/2026The DCCC (House Democrats' fundraising arm) has added Arkansas' 2nd District contest to its list of Districts in Play (Chris Jones is looking to defeat Republican incumbent French Hill in November). dccc.org/2026-distric...dccc.org2026 Districts In Play - DCCCIn 2026, Democrats are going on offense in 46 critical Districts in Play. With 3 seats standing between Democrats and reclaiming the House majority, we have an aggressive and disciplined strategy to g... 131
Alex Thomas @alexhousethomas.bsky.social · 03/08/2026From me: A super PAC ended July by spending more than $730,000 opposing Hallie Shoffner, the Democratic candidate in Arkansas' U.S. Senate contest. America One spent the money on text messages and media against Shoffner, who is challenging Republican incumbent Tom Cotton this fall.arkansasonline.comSuper PAC spends more than $730,000 in July to oppose Democratic Senate candidate Hallie Shoffner | Arkansas Democrat GazetteWASHINGTON -- A super PAC ended July by spending more than $730,000 opposing the Democratic candidate in Arkansas' U.S. Senate contest, according to recent Federal Election Commission filings. 020
Alex Thomas @alexhousethomas.bsky.social · 01/08/2026Eighty years ago today, President Truman signed legislation creating what we know as the Fulbright program. How one Arkansan's vision for international peace led to this educational and cultural exchange: www.arkansasonline.com/news/2026/ju...arkansasonline.comAfter 80 years, Fulbright program remains late Arkansan’s international legacy | Arkansas Democrat GazetteWASHINGTON -- When a freshman U.S. senator wanted to establish an international academic exchange program, he pitched the idea as a tool to "promote friendly relations" between the United States and o... 023
Alex Thomas @alexhousethomas.bsky.social · 17/07/2026Rep. Crawford, the House Intel chair, with a lengthy statement: "Once again, unelected bureaucrats in the Intelligence Community manipulated and concealed intelligence to mislead the President, Congress, and the American people." 001
Alex Thomas @alexhousethomas.bsky.social · 17/07/2026In this piece, we employ the use of numbers.arkansasonline.comCotton still tops total campaign funds in Senate race, but Shoffner reports most contributions last quarter | Arkansas Democrat GazetteWASHINGTON -- U.S. Sen. Tom Cotton, R-Ark., still has the financial advantage in this year's Senate contest, but Democratic challenger Hallie Shoffner received more contributions than the incumbent du... 010