iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Alex Baguzin @alexbaguzin.bsky.social · 29/05/2026

The elite widened the gap over casuals for one last time this season, trusted several captains (with mixed results) and targeted players who still had something to fight for on the final day. Full breakdown of the ultimate gameweek in latest issue: elitethinking.substack.com/p/elite-fpl-... #FPL

elitethinking.substack.com

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Alex Baguzin @alexbaguzin.bsky.social · 23/05/2026

No full issue this time - here's what elite did for #GW37: - Targeted City & Arsenal (3 players apiece) - Dumped Pedro & Palmer for Gyokeres & Saka - 6% played the Bench Boost - Handed Saka the armband (43%), with Gyokeres 2nd (25%) and Bruno 3rd (18%) - Casuals backed Haaland (41%) & Bruno (10%)

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Alex Baguzin @alexbaguzin.bsky.social · 20/05/2026

I did some writing of my own after a long break. Winning a title does that to you

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Reposted by Alex Baguzin

Gunners Town @gunnerstown.com · 20/05/2026

New on Gunners Town by Steve Wellman "It’s coming home. North London’s throne. Reclaimed." Enjoy! Share? Ta. #Arsenal gunnerstown.com/arsenal/2026/05/20/…

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Alex Baguzin @alexbaguzin.bsky.social · 20/05/2026

Don't want to get cocky, but... We might actually defend the title next season. Pep's gone, Liverpool sticking with Slot, United keeping Carrick, Alonso will need time - if he comes through at all. We are the most stable team next season

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Alex Baguzin @alexbaguzin.bsky.social · 19/05/2026

Spare a thought for Bernardo Silva. If only the poor ickings weren't in a transition season, meaning that had to penny-pinch and could only afford to spend a couple of hundred mil in January alone...

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Alex Baguzin @alexbaguzin.bsky.social · 19/05/2026

I'VE LIVED TO SEE THE DAY! YOU BEAUTIFUL BASTARDS!

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Alex Baguzin @alexbaguzin.bsky.social · 18/05/2026

Burnley are some annoying fuckers. Diving, pushing players around, etc. Thugs

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Alex Baguzin @alexbaguzin.bsky.social · 17/05/2026

That's it, not checking any social networks until this season is over. So many rival fans want us to fail. It's puzzling really. No problem with Man City and PSG winning? Really? Why do you hate Arsenal so much - unless you are Spurs fans?

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Alex Baguzin @alexbaguzin.bsky.social · 15/05/2026

Imagine getting thrashed by Villa, a team with 2 wins in 10 and recent losses to Spurs and Fulham. Fucking hell

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Alex Baguzin @alexbaguzin.bsky.social · 15/05/2026

In #DGW36 the elite triple-captained Haaland, maxed out on Man City assets & used chips once more. This still resulted in a mere 11-point gain over casuals. Even perfect-looking setups can be undone by rotation, luck and variance. Full analysis - elitethinking.substack.com/p/elite-fpl-... #FPL

elitethinking.substack.com

‼️ DGW36 Elite Thinking: Double Trouble

The elite maxed out on City and triple-captained Haaland — but the gains were smaller than expected

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Alex Baguzin @alexbaguzin.bsky.social · 15/05/2026

Liverpool take points off Villa tomorrow and both Bournemouth in 37 and Villa in 38 will need wins to stay/get into that 5th CL spot. Guess who they are playing in 37 and 38. Come on Liverpool, do it for the hood, do it for Mo Salah ;)

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Alex Baguzin @alexbaguzin.bsky.social · 13/05/2026

Brilliantly put. I love Benny White, he's a character in a game sorely lacking those - and he's a top footballer. Found himself second to Timber through no fault of his own. Not sure what's going on with his contract, but I'll be devastated if he leaves arseblog.com/2026/05/seas...

arseblog.com

Season over for brilliant Ben White

Morning all. I don’t like to start the blog with bad news but that’s what we’ve got this morning as a season-ending injury to Ben White was announced by Arsenal yesterday. In a statement on the offici...

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Alex Baguzin @alexbaguzin.bsky.social · 10/05/2026

More importantly, Arsenal are probably going to be the end of me

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Alex Baguzin @alexbaguzin.bsky.social · 10/05/2026

Raya equally important to Trossard today - if not more. That save from point-blank at 0-0 absolutely massive

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Alex Baguzin @alexbaguzin.bsky.social · 25/04/2026

It was a simple square pass, Gyokeres. How hard can that be?! Apparently too fucking hard. So glad it didn't cost us #UpTheArsenal

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Alex Baguzin @alexbaguzin.bsky.social · 25/04/2026

I watch Gyokeres and I miss Giroud. That man was a machine when it came to holding the ball up and linking with others

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Alex Baguzin @alexbaguzin.bsky.social · 24/04/2026

GW33 showed what planning looks like. After setting their teams up with the wildcard in GW32, the elite went all-in with Bench Boost (64%) and FreeHit (28%). The result: +46 points vs casuals. Last week underwhelmed – this one didn’t. Full analysis: elitethinking.substack.com/p/elite-fpl-... #FPL

elitethinking.substack.com

📈 DGW33 Elite Thinking: The Payoff

After weeks of setup, the elite cashed in — and crushed casuals by 46 points

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Alex Baguzin @alexbaguzin.bsky.social · 20/04/2026

I think we should make yesterday’s squad the default for the remaining games - bar Mosquera on the right. We had some technical quality, guile, we held onto the ball better, were dangerous in transitions. Ode + Eze + Havertz. Shame that no Saka, but still a good squad

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Alex Baguzin @alexbaguzin.bsky.social · 17/04/2026

In #GW32 61% of elite #FPL managers rebuilt their squads for the upcoming doubles, selling some in-form players along the way. The returns were mixed. GW33 is where things should get interesting. Full breakdown in this week's issue elitethinking.substack.com/p/elite-fpl-...

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Alex Baguzin @alexbaguzin.bsky.social · 12/04/2026

City gave us endless opportunities before today. We repaid that by dropping points vs Nottingham, Brentford, Wolves, Liverpool and United at home. Then we lost to Bournemouth. We are probably getting beaten to the title by a team currently averaging two points per game. I give up

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Alex Baguzin @alexbaguzin.bsky.social · 10/04/2026

GW31 was a reminder of where the edge comes from. The elite barely touched their chips (<1% FreeHit), while casuals leaned on them (13%) Final result: +19 points to the elite. Preparation beat reaction. Full analysis in this week’s issue #FPL #BGW31 elitethinking.substack.com/p/elite-fpl-...

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Alex Baguzin @alexbaguzin.bsky.social · 05/03/2026

No one but Arsenal fans will remember that we played some beautiful football when we finished 5th behind Spurs, or 4 ago when an injury to Saliba derailed our challenge, or 2 years ago, when we finished a point behind City. We’ll be bashed for lacking character and labelled as an “almost” team

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Alex Baguzin @alexbaguzin.bsky.social · 21/02/2026

#FPL #GW26 was defined by a rare elite misstep. 73% used their Triple Captain chip on Gabriel for Arsenal's double. He scored 7 points. The result: almost no gain vs casuals — and a reminder that chip timing matters more than chip choice. Even the elite gaffers can get it wrong

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Alex Baguzin @alexbaguzin.bsky.social · 30/01/2026

For 6 gameweeks now, elite and casual #FPL managers have been level on points. #GW23 saw captaincy fracture, conservative transfers and little conviction from the elite. The gap has stopped growing. Full breakdown in this week’s issue: elitethinking.substack.com/p/elite-fpl-...

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Alex Baguzin @alexbaguzin.bsky.social · 23/01/2026

No full issue this time - not enough to go on - so here are the most interesting bits from #FPL #GW22. - The elite and casuals finished GW22 level on points. - Cunha was dumped by 70% of elites. - Beyond Foden + Saka, midfield picks are tightly clustered

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Alex Baguzin @alexbaguzin.bsky.social · 09/01/2026

YouTube are out of line. First they introduce ads, make them maddeningly frequent, and then casually ask you this. I won’t even touch on their astronomical pricing. Can anyone suggest another good video streaming platform with ad-free videos - or at least manageable subscription prices?

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Alex Baguzin @alexbaguzin.bsky.social · 08/01/2026

I think Jesus should start the next game. Not the cup, the league. Maybe the cup as well, but not the point. Unlike Gyokeres he actually has some end product. He gives us a focal point

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Alex Baguzin @alexbaguzin.bsky.social · 03/01/2026

Worst gameweek of the season for the elite: 41 points on average — level with casuals. This wasn’t bad decision-making. It was just one of those weeks. GW19 breakdown now live: elitethinking.substack.com/p/elite-fpl-... #FPL #GW19

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Alex Baguzin @alexbaguzin.bsky.social · 30/12/2025

What a scoreline. So satisfying

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Alex Baguzin @alexbaguzin.bsky.social · 26/12/2025

GW17 was the calm before Boxing Day. The elite moved as one: triple-captained Haaland (37%), avoided unnecessary risks, and still beat casuals by 12 points. Full breakdown — and what’s likely to happen next — in latest issue: elitethinking.substack.com/p/elite-fpl-... #FPL #GW17 #TripleCaptain

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Alex Baguzin @alexbaguzin.bsky.social · 19/12/2025

GW16 was a backup FreeHit week for the elite. They leaned into Arsenal, took captaincy away from Haaland — and still outscored casuals by 18 points, despite mixed returns. Full GW16 breakdown in Elite Thinking: elitethinking.substack.com/p/elite-fpl-... #FPL #GW16 #FreeHit

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Alex Baguzin @alexbaguzin.bsky.social · 02/12/2025

GW13 was the #FreeHit gameweek of the season: 57% of elite managers activated it, built the same one-week template, and gained 25 points on casuals. Full breakdown — the chip breakdown, the standout picks, and why the elite moved as one: elitethinking.substack.com/p/elite-fpl-... #FPL #GW13

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Alex Baguzin @alexbaguzin.bsky.social · 21/11/2025

The elite finally gave up on 3 up front — and rebuilt their teams around a 5-man midfield. GW11 wasn’t about points. It was about structure. Full breakdown in this week’s Elite Thinking: elitethinking.substack.com/p/elite-fpl-... #FPL #GW11

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Alex Baguzin @alexbaguzin.bsky.social · 07/11/2025

📉 The elite gave Joao Pedro one game too many — then moved on. GW10 was the moment patience broke — unanimously. Full story in this week’s Elite Thinking: elitethinking.substack.com/p/elite-fpl-... #FPL #GW10

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Alex Baguzin @alexbaguzin.bsky.social · 31/10/2025

FPL Review’s GW1 predictions yielded a 75% correlation after 8 weeks — compared to just 42% for player prices. Models beat price hype. See who over- and underachieved in this week’s Elite Thinking: Flat White edition -> elitethinking.substack.com/p/elite-fpl-... #FPL #GW9

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Alex Baguzin @alexbaguzin.bsky.social · 24/10/2025

The elite’s patience broke once again. 13.5% played the Wildcard in GW8 — the second-biggest spike this season — swapping Bruno and Gyökeres for Saka and Woltemade. Full breakdown in this week’s Elite Thinking: elitethinking.substack.com/p/elite-fpl-... #FPL

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Alex Baguzin @alexbaguzin.bsky.social · 17/10/2025

The elite took a breather after last week’s wildcard frenzy — 62% rolled their transfer and still outscored casuals by 10. Patience can score FPL points too, it seems. Read the full breakdown in this week’s Elite Thinking ↓ elitethinking.substack.com/p/elite-fpl-... #FPL

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Alex Baguzin @alexbaguzin.bsky.social · 03/10/2025

Wildcards flew and the elite left casuals in the dust — scoring 21 points more on average. The new template is locked in. Full analysis of #GW6 in latest issue 👉 elitethinking.substack.com/p/elite-fpl-... #FPL

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Alex Baguzin @alexbaguzin.bsky.social · 28/09/2025

I can’t remember the last time I enjoyed an Arsenal win that much. Ok, Real Madrid at home, but you know what I mean. Huge effort to come back and win it. Fuck Newcastle and their fans

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Alex Baguzin @alexbaguzin.bsky.social · 28/09/2025

The more I watch, the more I come to the conclusion that Gyokeres isn’t: 1) quick enough to run in behind 2) strong enough to hold up the ball 3) skilled enough to work the channels In short, just not exceptional in any aspect. I do hope we carve out a role for him. So far we haven’t

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Alex Baguzin @alexbaguzin.bsky.social · 28/09/2025

I’m going to be in the absolute minority here, but it did look like both Gyokeres and Gabriel dived. Didn’t see enough contact (if it all) for the penalty - and not much of push from Woltemade either. Still stings, we are by far the better side

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Alex Baguzin @alexbaguzin.bsky.social · 27/09/2025

After all the shit Liverpool pulled off in the first five games: red cards, late pens, etc. losing in stoppage time is simply poetic

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Alex Baguzin @alexbaguzin.bsky.social · 19/09/2025

Cracks are starting to show in elite’s FPL patience: 10% played the wildcard in GW4, Palace picks surged, as some template managers shuffled their squads. Who held onto their wildcard? Did the casuals outsmart the elite? Full issue 👉https://elitethinking.substack.com/p/elite-fpl-gw4 #FPL #GW4

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Alex Baguzin @alexbaguzin.bsky.social · 16/09/2025

Hope I don’t jinx it - but Mosquera has been phenomenal. I barely noticed Saliba’s absence. I hope he gets game time, hard as it is to displace Saliba or Gabriel

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Alex Baguzin @alexbaguzin.bsky.social · 16/09/2025

I’m astonished by how much players are allowed to use their hands when man-marking nowadays. Makes the game much messier, there’s no holding someone off with sheer body strength - they’ll just use their hands. Unless you’re Haaland

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Alex Baguzin @alexbaguzin.bsky.social · 13/09/2025

Jesus Christ, that guy went through Ode with a straight leg, nowhere near the ball. Not even a foul?!

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Alex Baguzin @alexbaguzin.bsky.social · 12/09/2025

The Great Formation Shift: GW3 saw elites abandon 3-5-2 for 3-4-3 and dump Palmer to power up the forward line. Casuals are still clinging to Haaland — and burning chips. Full breakdown 👉 elitethinking.substack.com/p/elite-fpl-... #FPL #GW3

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